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Ricky's 1* play on Free Pick.

Key Angle: It's important to remember that Ricky never makes a bet on any game based on just one angle. In order to make the grade, all his premium picks must meet several important criteria. He doesn't share all his secrets within his analysis, instead he chooses to reveal only the angle that he feels is the most significant. Here in this game the recent history of these two teams is particularly significant.

- Colorado are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games.

- Arizona are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.

- Colorado are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games at home.

Verdict: The value is on the home underdog.

Wednesday MLB Free play. My selection is on Baltimore over San Francisco at 6:35 pm et on Wednesday.

The Orioles got throttled 10-0 in the opener of this series last night but I look for them to bounce back on Wednesday.

Hayden Birdsong will get the start for visiting San Francisco. The Giants have lost each of his last seven starts. While he did turn in a solid five innings in his most recent outing, he's struggled as a whole since the beginning of August. Note that Birdsong has recorded an ERA more than two runs higher on the road compared to at home this season.

Dean Kremer takes the ball for Baltimore. He's coming off consecutive terrific outings. He was a 13-game winner a year ago but is just 7-9 this season. Interestingly, his numbers have actually improved as he sports a 4.23 FIP and 1.26 WHIP. Note that current Giants hitters are just 5-for-26 (.192) against him.

The key arms in both bullpens are in good shape entering this contest following last night's lopsided affair. Take Baltimore.

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick

PLAY ON: Astros -101

I'm betting the Astros -101 on the money line in Wednesday's series finale in San Diego. This is a bet on Houston starter Framber Valdez, who has been one of the best pitchers in baseball the last 2 months. Valdez has allowed 1 or fewer ER in 5 of his last 6 starts. In his last 10 outings he's averaging 6.1 innings/start and giving up just 1.3 ER/game. Houston has won 9 of those 10 starts (only loss by 1 run). Give me the Astros -101! 

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