Free NBA Pick
Here is our expert Boston vs. Miami NBA gambling prediction & free pick. The Boston Celtics and Miami Heat will tip off on Sunday, May 21st, 2023 at the Kaseya Center. The Celtics are currently trailing the series 2-0 and this is “pretty much” a must-win game for them on Sunday evening. The Heat are looking to get out to a 3-0 series lead of course.
2023 NBA Handicapping – Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat
(0-2) Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat (2-0)
Date: Sunday, May 21st
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida
Moneyline Odds: Celtics -156 | Heat +136 (Bet Now!)
ATS Odds: Celtics -3.5
Total Odds: 214.5
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Boston vs. Miami NBA Gambling Odds
In the upcoming Celtics vs. Heat game, the point spread is set at Celtics -3.5. The over/under line for total points is 213.5. In terms of the money line, the Celtics are favored at -160, while the Heat are the underdogs at +135. Miami pulled off what no one thought they’d be able to do by taking both road games to open the series 2-0.
Celtics vs. Heat ATS
The current ATS (against the spread) record for these two clubs is as follows: The Celtics have a season record of 53-43-1 overall against the spread, with a record of 25-21-1 ATS as the away team. On the other hand, the Heat have a season record of 41-53-3 against the spread, with a record of 19-27-2 ATS as the home team.
Grant Williams had limited playing time in five postseason games, causing fans and analysts to express their desire for his involvement. Although it seemed the issues between Williams and Coach Joe Mazzulla had been resolved when he made a positive impact on Friday, a critical moment changed the game’s direction.
Williams scored a crucial 3-pointer, extending Boston’s lead, but his taunting of Jimmy Butler backfired. Butler’s response fueled the Miami Heat’s momentum, leading them to a decisive 24 to 9 run and securing their Game 2 victory.
Despite Jayson Tatum’s impressive performance of 34 points, 13 rebounds, and eight assists, he struggled in the final frame, similar to Game 1.
Butler’s outstanding performance (27 pts, 8 reb, 6 ast, 3 stl, 2 blk) and contributions from Adebayo (22 pts, 17 reb, 9 ast) and Martin (25 pts) fueled the Heat’s comeback.
Despite claims of indifference, Butler’s response to Williams shows such incidents motivate the team.
Boston vs. Miami Season Series
In the regular season series, the teams split 2-2, with the Celtics winning the first two meetings and the Heat winning the latter two. In the postseason, Miami leads 3-2.
The Celtics and Heat have met in the Conference Finals three times in the last four seasons, with the Celtics winning the previous encounter 4-3.
Boston vs. Miami Stats
The Miami Heat struggle to score, averaging only 109.5 points per game (30th). Their shooting percentages are low (46% field, 34.4% perimeter, 26th and 27th rankings). Defensively, they allow 109.8 points per game (2nd), but opponents have higher shooting percentages against them. In contrast, the Boston Celtics have a strong offense, averaging 117.9 points per game (4th) with decent shooting percentages.
Defensively, the Celtics hold opponents to 111.4 points per game (5th) and limit their shooting percentages. The series between these teams highlights their contrasting styles and strengths.
|Points Per Game||117.90||109.50|
|Points Per Game Allowed||104.48||105.57|
|Possessions Per Game||99.30||96.20|
|Field Goal %||47.50||46.00|
|Made Three-Pointers Per Game||16.00||12.00|
Celtics vs. Heat Gambling Trends
The Celtics have struggled against the spread in their recent six games, with a record of 2-4. In their last five games against Miami, the Celtics have a disappointing 1-4 ATS record.
The Heat, on the other hand, have been performing impressively with a strong 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games. The Heat have been dominant in their home games, maintaining a flawless 6-0 ATS record.
- In 52 out of their 82 games this season, Miami and their opponents have collectively scored more than 214.5 points.
- The average total for Miami’s games this season has been 219.3 points, which is 4.8 points higher than the over/under for this particular matchup.
Overall ATS performance:
- The Heat have a record of 30-52-0 this season.
- The Celtics hold a slightly better record of 45-37-0.
- Boston has an impressive 71.2% win rate in games where they were favored, winning 52 out of 73 games.
- Specifically, when oddsmakers have given them a significant advantage of -450 or more, the Celtics have a record of 12-8, equating to a 60% win rate.
Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat Free Pick
As the Celtics find themselves in a do-or-die situation, this game becomes a crucial must-win for them. In terms of the betting pick, I recommend taking the Celtics against the spread.
In my NBA free prediction, I envision the Celtics securing a hard-fought victory with a final score of Celtics 109 – Heat 103.
Boston vs. Miami NBA Sportsbooks
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