Matt Fargo Sports Betting Picks

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS for our NBA Monday Signature Enforcer. Miami has won three straight games starting with a solid win at Golden St. but then winning two layups against Utah and Portland, ranked No. 24 and No. 25 respectively. The Heat are now playing their sixth game without Jimmy Butler who has two games remaining with his suspension and they head to Los Angeles at the wrong time. They have improved to 9-10 on the road and have struggled in fringe games, going 2-5 when getting six points or less. The Clippers have lost two straight games including a 23-point loss at Denver last time out but they have been off since January 8th because of the wildfire situation and it has been a beneficial time off and they will get Kawhi Leonard back. He made his season debut January 4th and played two games before missing the Nuggets game for personal reasons stemming from the wildfires in the area. He practiced on Sunday and everything in his personal life seems to be ok and the Clippers will be playing this game for their area. Here, we play against road underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points - in a game involving two teams averaging between 108 and 114 ppg, after allowing 48 points or less in the first half in two straight games. This situation is 25-5 ATS (83.3 percent) since 1997 with a scoring differential of +12.8 ppg. 10* (556) Los Angeles Clippers

This is a play on the ELON PHOENIX for our CBB Monday Signature Enforcer. Campbell is coming off an upset win at Hampton on Thursday to improve to 2-1 in the Coastal Athletic Association and that was a Quad 3 win, their first of the season. This will be their first Quad 2 game as the Camels remain on the road where they are a solid 4-6 but aside from the win over Hampton, the other three victories were all Quad 4 games and against teams ranked No. 317, No. 326 and No. 359 in NET Ranking so the schedule has played a part. Campbell has covered four straight games which is adding value the other way. Elon is one of the bigger surprises in the CAA as it is off to an 11-5 start, including 2-1 in the conference after winning a total of 13 games all of last season. The Phoenix are the top ranked team in the conference in NET ranking at No. 127 and coming off a loss at William & Mary by 13 points so they are in bounce back mode at home where they are 6-0. After starting 1-2 in Quad 4 games, they have won their last six with the three at home all by at least eight points and this is the lowest ranked team coming in. 10* (888) Elon Phoenix

This is a play on the LOS ANGELES RAMS for our NFL Game of the Year. It is unfortunate for Minnesota that won 14 games and is a No. 5 seed and it comes in as a no surprise road favorite, but unlike the Chargers, this is one that we will fade. The Vikings did not show up in Detroit on Sunday night and that loss snapped a nine-game winning streak with only one of those wins coming against a playoff team, a two-point win over Green Bay at home in a game they tried to give away. They went 6-2 on the road, with only one win over a playoff team, another two-point win over the Packers and overall, they finished No. 2 in the NFL Luck Ratings. The redzone offense was the issue against Detroit as they went 0-4 and on the season, they finished No. 19 in Redzone Touchdown Percentage and now face a Rams defense that finished No. 5 in Redzone Touchdown Percentage allowed. The Rams had a five-game winning streak snapped in Week 18 against Seattle but they rested all of their starters to remain healthy and that has been the key down the stretch. They opened the season 1-4 but went on a 9-2 run before this past week to take the NFC West, a very average division this season. Overall, Los Angeles played the No. 5 ranked schedule and went 2-3 against the top ten including a Week Eight win over Minnesota by 10 points at essentially the same number. Postseason home underdogs are 22-13-2 ATS (62 percent) since 2000. Here, we play against teams with a winning percentage of .750 or better revenging a loss where opponent scored 28 or more points, playing a team with a winning percentage between .501 and .600. This situation is 22-8 (73.3 percent) since 1983 with a scoring differential of +2.8 ppg. 10* (386) Los Angeles Rams