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Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Eagles/Cowboys OVER 51.5

The Dallas Cowboys are scoring 41.0 points per game at home this season.  The OVER is 5-1 in Dallas' six home games this season, and I think we can chalk up another OVER here with the Philadelphia Eagles coming to town Sunday night.

This Eagles' defense is worn out.  They were on the field for 73 plays against the Chiefs and then 91 plays against the Bills.  They gave up 515 total yards to the Bills and then were gashed for 42 points and 456 yards by the 49ers.  They are also pretty banged up defensively, so the Cowboys are going to get their points.

The Eagles are going to have to try to keep up in a shootout and are capable, especially with TE Dallas Goedert expected to return from injury this week.  The Cowboys just allowed 35 points and 406 total yards to the Seahawks in their last home game.  They also gave up 28 points to the Eagles in their first meeting this season.

This has been an OVER series.  The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings between the Cowboys and Eagles with 51 or more combined points in five of those six meetings.  The last three meetings in Dallas have seen 74, 62 and 54 combined points.  Dallas is 7-0 OVER in its last seven home games in the 2nd half of the season.  Bet the OVER in this game Sunday.

No. 1 Ranked Overall Capper All-Time! Jack Jones has absolutely CRUSHED the books over the past 6-plus years! He is riding a 4161-3606 Run L2281 Days on all premium plays that has seen his $1,000/game players cash in $233,580! He was the No. 5 Ranked Overall Capper in 2022 as well with his $1,000/game players up $62,170 last year alone!

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Cleveland Browns -3

The Jacksonville Jaguars suffered several key injuries in their OT loss to the Cincinnati Bengals on Monday Night Football.  QB Trevor Lawrence and his favorite target in WR Christian Kirk both got hurt in that game and both aren't going to play in this game.  Even if Lawrence does, he would be playing at about 50% with a high ankle sprain.  Whoever is under center will be playing behind a shoddy offensive line that is missing both starting tackles.  They will also be playing against a Cleveland defense that has been ferocious at home this year.  The Browns are 5-1 SU & 5-1 ATS at home this season where they are holding opponents to just 10.2 points per game, 175.7 yards per game and 3.6 yards per play.  Joe Flacco showed enough against the Rams last week that he still can get the job done at QB.  The Jaguars allowed 491 total yards to Cincinnati and backup QB Jake Browing last week, including 156 on the ground.  The Browns can pound the rock in this one if they want to.  Give me the Browns.

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Dave's Sunday Free Play:

1* on Seattle Seahawks +11

The Key: This is a terrible spot for the San Francisco 49ers.  They had that game against the Eagles circled all offseason.  They got their revenge in emphatic fashion.  They just beat the Seahawks on Thanksgiving the game prior.  They won't be all that excited to play the Seahawks again, and I think they could take them lightly this week without being fully focused.  I like the price we are getting on the Seahawks, who have the rest advantage after taking the Cowboys to the wire on the road last Thursday in a 41-35 defeat.  The Seahawks are the desperate team right now trying to make the playoffs.  They will give a much better effort than they did in that 1st matchup with the 49ers this week.  Seattle is 60-35 ATS in its last 95 games off 2 consecutive losses.  San Francisco is 23-41 ATS in its last 64 home games off a 2-game road trip.  Pete Carroll is 59-38 ATS as an underdog as Seattle's head coach.  Carroll is 8-1 ATS after allowing 30 points or more in 2 consecutive games.  Take Seattle.

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This is a play on the SEATTLE SEAHAWKS for our Sunday Free Play. San Francisco has looked dominant the last four weeks with double-digit wins in all of those games and the 49ers are the current public darling, overtaking the Eagles following their 42-19 drubbing of Philadelphia last week. The 49ers are now the favorites to win the Super Bowl at +310 and justifiably so but coming off that Eagles win and all of the talk after, this should be a slight letdown spot regardless of this being a divisional game. Despite 94 percent of the money on Seattle, we have seen a big line increase with this line opening at 10.5 so we are getting a reverse line move. Seattle has dropped three straight games to fall to 6-6 and it is currently tied with three other teams for two playoff spots in the NFC. The Seahawks have dropped four straight road games but have been within one possession in three of those. Seattle got its offense going again last week against a very good Dallas defense and it is now No. 14 in offensive DVOA and it should not take much to stay within this big number. Head coach Pete Carroll has been perfect at 5-0 with the Seahawks when coming off three straight losses and it does not get bigger than this one. Here, we play against favorites outgaining their opponents by 50 or more ypg, after gaining 375 or more total yards in three consecutive games. This situation is 44-19 ATS (69.8 percent) over the last five seasons. Play (119) Seattle Seahawks

Matt is locked and loaded in the NFL following a 4-2 Week 13 and a Patriots win on Thursday as we keep it rolling! The NFL Regular and Postseason record is 110-87-3 (+$14,710) since the start of last season and the remainder of Week 14 is loaded with SIX Winners (4 Sunday, 2 Monday)!