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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-16-14 | Tampa Bay Rays v. Los Angeles Angels -135 | Top | 3-0 | Loss | -135 | 10 h 58 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Angels -135 |
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05-16-14 | Detroit Tigers +102 v. Boston Red Sox | 1-0 | Win | 102 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
15* Tigers/Red Sox Game 1 No-Brainer on Detroit +102 |
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05-15-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 212 | Top | 104-98 | Win | 100 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Clippers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 212 |
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05-15-14 | Cleveland Indians +100 v. Toronto Blue Jays | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show |
20* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Indians +100 |
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05-14-14 | PORTLAND GM5 +8 v. SAN ANTONIO GM5 | Top | 82-104 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
25* NBA Western Conference Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on Portland Trail Blazers +8 |
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05-14-14 | Atlanta Braves v. San Francisco Giants UNDER 6.5 | Top | 4-10 | Loss | -109 | 5 h 47 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/Giants UNDER 6.5 |
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05-13-14 | LA CLIPPERS GM5 +5.5 v. OKLAHOMA CITY GM5 | Top | 104-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
20* Clippers/Thunder Game 5 No-Brainer on Los Angeles +5.5 |
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05-13-14 | Texas Rangers -111 v. Houston Astros | 0-8 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
15* American League PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -111 |
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05-13-14 | San Diego Padres v. Cincinnati Reds -113 | 2-1 | Loss | -113 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
15* National League PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -113 |
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05-12-14 | Atlanta Braves +105 v. San Francisco Giants | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 18 m | Show | |
15* National League PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves +105 |
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05-12-14 | MIAMI GM4 v. BROOKLYN GM4 +3 | 102-96 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 53 m | Show | |
15* Heat/Nets Game 4 No-Brainer on Brooklyn +3 |
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05-12-14 | Los Angeles Angels +101 v. Toronto Blue Jays | Top | 3-7 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 16 m | Show |
20* American League GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Angels +101 |
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05-11-14 | Kansas City Royals v. Seattle Mariners OVER 7 | 9-7 | Win | 100 | 5 h 25 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Royals/Mariners OVER 7 |
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05-11-14 | OKLAHOMA CITY GM4 v. LA CLIPPERS GM4 -5 | Top | 99-101 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 6 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Clippers Game 4 ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles -5 |
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05-10-14 | Kansas City Royals -120 v. Seattle Mariners | 1-3 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Night BAILOUT on Kansas City Royals -120 |
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05-10-14 | MIAMI GM3 v. BROOKLYN GM3 UNDER 189.5 | Top | 90-104 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
20* Nets/Heat Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 189.5 |
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05-10-14 | New York Yankees +129 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 26 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Yankees +129 |
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05-09-14 | Miami Marlins -122 v. San Diego Padres | 1-10 | Loss | -122 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
15* National League PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami Marlins -122 |
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05-09-14 | Kansas City Royals -109 v. Seattle Mariners | 6-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 21 m | Show | |
15* American League PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas City Royals -109 |
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05-09-14 | Indiana Pacers +4.5 v. Washington Wizards | Top | 85-63 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Wizards Game 3 No-Brainer on Indiana +4.5 |
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05-08-14 | Kansas City Royals +121 v. Seattle Mariners | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Night BAILOUT on Kansas City Royals +121 |
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05-08-14 | Brooklyn Nets +8 v. Miami Heat | Top | 82-94 | Loss | -110 | 8 h 11 m | Show |
20* Nets/Heat Side & Total Parlay on Brooklyn +8/UNDER 192 |
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05-08-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Miami Heat UNDER 192 | Top | 82-94 | Win | 100 | 8 h 10 m | Show |
20* Nets/Heat Side & Total Parlay on Brooklyn +8/UNDER 192 |
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05-07-14 | Washington Wizards v. Indiana Pacers -4.5 | Top | 82-86 | Loss | -102 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
25* NBA Second Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Indiana Pacers -4.5 |
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05-07-14 | Kansas City Royals +101 v. San Diego Padres | 8-0 | Win | 101 | 5 h 27 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Kansas City Royals +101 |
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05-06-14 | Kansas City Royals +107 v. San Diego Padres | Top | 3-1 | Win | 107 | 11 h 45 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday Night BAILOUT on Kansas City Royals +107 |
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05-06-14 | St. Louis Cardinals v. Atlanta Braves -112 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 45 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -112 |
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05-06-14 | Brooklyn Nets +7.5 v. Miami Heat | 86-107 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 18 m | Show | |
15* Nets/Heat Game 1 ANNIHILATOR on Brooklyn +7.5 |
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05-05-14 | Kansas City Royals -115 v. San Diego Padres | 5-6 | Loss | -115 | 11 h 1 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas City Royals -115 |
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05-05-14 | Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 v. Oklahoma City Thunder | Top | 122-105 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
20* Clippers/Thunder Game 1 No-Brainer on Los Angeles +5.5 |
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05-04-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves -130 | Top | 4-1 | Loss | -130 | 3 h 6 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -130 |
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05-04-14 | Brooklyn Nets +3 v. Toronto Raptors | Top | 104-103 | Win | 100 | 17 h 17 m | Show |
25* NBA First Round GAME OF THE YEAR on Brooklyn Nets +3 |
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05-03-14 | GOLDEN STATE GM7 +7 v. LA CLIPPERS GM7 | Top | 121-126 | Win | 100 | 13 h 50 m | Show |
20* Warriors/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +7 |
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05-03-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves -166 | 3-1 | Loss | -166 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -166 |
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05-02-14 | Houston Rockets v. Portland Trail Blazers UNDER 213 | Top | 98-99 | Win | 100 | 11 h 35 m | Show |
25* Western Conference Playoffs TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Rockets/Blazers UNDER 213 |
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05-02-14 | San Francisco Giants v. Atlanta Braves -131 | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -131 | 8 h 3 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday Bounce-Back BLOWOUT on Atlanta Braves -131 |
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05-02-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 192 | 83-97 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
15* Raptors/Nets Game 6 No-Brainer on UNDER 192 |
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05-01-14 | PIT GM2 v. BAL GM2 -132 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Baltimore Orioles -132 (Game 2) |
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05-01-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder -2.5 v. Memphis Grizzlies | 104-84 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
15* Thunder/Grizzlies Game 6 No-Brainer on Oklahoma City -2.5 |
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05-01-14 | Indiana Pacers -1 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 95-88 | Win | 100 | 8 h 42 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Hawks Game 6 ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -1 |
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04-30-14 | Brooklyn Nets v. Toronto Raptors UNDER 191 | Top | 113-115 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 39 m | Show |
20* NBA Wednesday Total ANNIHILATOR on Nets/Raptors UNDER 191 |
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04-30-14 | Dallas Mavericks +6.5 v. San Antonio Spurs | 103-109 | Win | 100 | 8 h 14 m | Show | |
15* Mavericks/Spurs Game 5 No-Brainer on Dallas +6.5 |
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04-29-14 | Memphis Grizzlies v. Oklahoma City Thunder UNDER 187.5 | 100-99 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
15* NBA Tuesday PLAY OF THE DAY on Grizzlies/Thunder UNDER 187.5 |
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04-29-14 | Washington Nationals -143 v. Houston Astros | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
15* Intereleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Washington Nationals -143 |
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04-28-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 203.5 | Top | 93-89 | Win | 100 | 14 h 9 m | Show |
20* Mavs/Spurs TNT Monday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 203.5 |
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04-28-14 | Colorado Rockies v. Arizona Diamondbacks -120 | 8-5 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 9 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Arizona Diamondbacks -120 |
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04-27-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 192 | Top | 87-79 | Win | 100 | 8 h 33 m | Show |
20* Nets/Raptors Game 4 No-Brainer on UNDER 192 No analysis today because I'm on vacation. I'll be back with full analysis by Tuesday. Thanks, and good luck, Jack! |
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04-27-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 210 | 97-118 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 3 m | Show | |
15* Clippers/Warriors Game 4 Total DOMINATOR on UNDER 210 No analysis today because I'm on vacation. I'll be back with full analysis by Tuesday. Thanks, and good luck, Jack! |
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04-27-14 | Oakland A's -144 v. Houston Astros | 1-5 | Loss | -144 | 3 h 36 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Oakland -144 No analysis today because I'm on vacation. I'll be back with full analysis by Tuesday. Thanks, and good luck, Jack! |
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04-27-14 | Chicago Bulls +1.5 v. Washington Wizards | 89-98 | Loss | -103 | 2 h 34 m | Show | |
15* Bulls/Wizards Sunday Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago +1.5 No analysis today because I'm on vacation. I'll be back with full analysis by Tuesday. Thanks, and good luck, Jack! |
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04-26-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 189 | Top | 92-89 | Win | 100 | 32 h 33 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Grizzlies Saturday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 189 |
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04-26-14 | Oakland A's -138 v. Houston Astros | 6-7 | Loss | -138 | 7 h 32 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Oakland A's -138 |
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04-26-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Dallas Mavericks UNDER 202.5 | Top | 108-109 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 29 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Mavericks Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 202.5 |
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04-26-14 | Indiana Pacers -2 v. Atlanta Hawks | 91-88 | Win | 100 | 24 h 57 m | Show | |
15* Pacers/Hawks Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -2 |
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04-25-14 | Houston Rockets v. Portland Trailblazers UNDER 216 | Top | 121-116 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 13 m | Show |
20* Rockets/Blazers ESPN Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 216 |
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04-25-14 | Oakland A's -1.5 v. Houston Astros | 12-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Oakland A's -1.5 (-117) |
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04-25-14 | Chicago Bulls +3 v. Washington Wizards | 100-97 | Win | 100 | 49 h 15 m | Show | |
15* Bulls/Wizards Game 3 ANNIHILATOR on Chicago +3 |
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04-25-14 | Toronto Raptors v. Brooklyn Nets UNDER 192 | Top | 98-102 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 6 m | Show |
20* Raptors/Nets Game 3 No-Brainer on UNDER 192 |
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04-24-14 | Los Angeles Clippers v. Golden State Warriors UNDER 215.5 | Top | 98-96 | Win | 100 | 29 h 41 m | Show |
20* Clippers/Warriors TNT Thursday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 215.5 |
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04-24-14 | Oklahoma City Thunder v. Memphis Grizzlies UNDER 191 | Top | 95-98 | Loss | -110 | 26 h 2 m | Show |
20* Thunder/Grizzlies TNT Thursday No-Brainer on UNDER 191 |
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04-24-14 | Indiana Pacers -2 v. Atlanta Hawks | Top | 85-98 | Loss | -110 | 25 h 1 m | Show |
20* Pacers/Hawks NBA TV Early ANNIHILATOR on Indiana -2 |
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04-24-14 | Baltimore Orioles v. Toronto Blue Jays OVER 9 | 11-4 | Win | 102 | 8 h 1 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Blue Jays OVER 9 |
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04-23-14 | Portland Trailblazers v. Houston Rockets UNDER 215 | Top | 112-105 | Loss | -110 | 48 h 16 m | Show |
20* Blazers/Rockets TNT Wednesday Night BAILOUT on UNDER 215 |
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04-23-14 | Baltimore Orioles +103 v. Toronto Blue Jays | Top | 10-8 | Win | 103 | 8 h 1 m | Show |
20* AL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles +103 |
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04-22-14 | Washington Wizards v. Chicago Bulls -5 | Top | 101-99 | Loss | -107 | 24 h 16 m | Show |
20* Wizards/Bulls TNT Tuesday Night BAILOUT on Chicago -5 |
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04-22-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers -7 | 85-101 | Win | 100 | 22 h 46 m | Show | |
15* Hawks/Pacers TNT Tuesday No-Brainer on Indiana -7 |
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04-22-14 | Kansas City Royals -101 v. Cleveland Indians | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
15* AL Central PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas City Royals -101 |
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04-22-14 | Baltimore Orioles +125 v. Toronto Blue Jays | 3-9 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 7 m | Show | |
15* AL East PLAY OF THE DAY on Baltimore Orioles +125 |
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04-21-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 212.5 | Top | 98-138 | Loss | -110 | 12 h 33 m | Show |
25* NBA Opening Round TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Warriors/Clippers UNDER 212.5 |
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04-21-14 | San Diego Padres +105 v. Milwaukee Brewers | 3-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on San Diego Padres +105 |
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04-20-14 | Washington Wizards +4.5 v. Chicago Bulls | 102-93 | Win | 100 | 9 h 43 m | Show | |
15* Wizards/Bulls Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Washington +4.5 |
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04-20-14 | Charlotte Bobcats +10 v. Miami Heat | Top | 88-99 | Loss | -105 | 5 h 14 m | Show |
20* Bobcats/Heat Game 1 No-Brainer on Charlotte +10 |
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04-20-14 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays -129 | 5-1 | Loss | -129 | 3 h 18 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -129 |
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04-19-14 | Atlanta Hawks v. Indiana Pacers -7.5 | Top | 101-93 | Loss | -106 | 19 h 41 m | Show |
20* Hawks/Pacers Game 1 No-Brainer on Indiana -7.5 |
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04-19-14 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays -139 | 1-16 | Win | 100 | 19 h 40 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -139 |
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04-19-14 | Golden State Warriors v. Los Angeles Clippers -7 | 109-105 | Loss | -107 | 15 h 11 m | Show | |
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04-18-14 | San Francisco Giants +102 v. San Diego Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 31 m | Show | |
15* Giants/Padres NL West BAILOUT on San Francisco +102 |
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04-18-14 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays -105 | Top | 5-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 31 m | Show |
20* American League GAME OF THE MONTH on Tampa Bay Rays -105 |
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04-18-14 | Baltimore Orioles +120 v. Boston Red Sox | 8-4 | Win | 120 | 8 h 7 m | Show | |
15* Orioles/Red Sox AL East ANNIHILATOR on Baltimore +120 |
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04-17-14 | New York Yankees v. Tampa Bay Rays -165 | Top | 10-2 | Loss | -165 | 8 h 5 m | Show |
20* AL Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -165 |
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04-16-14 | Golden State Warriors +8 v. Denver Nuggets | 116-112 | Win | 100 | 10 h 32 m | Show | |
15* Warriors/Nuggets NBA Late-Night BAILOUT on Golden State +8 |
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04-16-14 | Kansas City Royals -115 v. Houston Astros | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
20* AL Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Kansas City Royals -115 |
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04-16-14 | Brooklyn Nets +7 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 85-114 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 3 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Brooklyn Nets +7 |
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04-16-14 | Washington Nationals v. Miami Marlins -132 | 6-3 | Loss | -132 | 9 h 42 m | Show | |
15* National League PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami Marlins -132 |
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04-16-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds -114 | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 2 h 8 m | Show | |
15* Pirates/Reds NL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on Cincinnati -114 |
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04-15-14 | Denver Nuggets v. Los Angeles Clippers UNDER 220 | 105-117 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 51 m | Show | |
15* Nuggets/Clippers TNT Late-Night BAILOUT on UNDER 219.5 The books have set the bar too high tonight in this contest between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Clippers. That is evident when you look at tonight's posted total compared to the previous three totals set in the first three meetings of the season between these teams.
Denver and Los Angeles have combined for 203, 231 and 210 points in their three meetings this season. The total sets of those games were 205, 215 and 216.5, respectively. Now, this number has been set at 220, which alone shows that there is clearly value here. Also, 16 of the last 17 meetings between these teams have seen 215 or fewer combined points, which makes for a 16-1 system backing the UNDER pertaining to tonight's total set.
"We're still playing for something," said point guard Chris Paul, scoring 23.1 points a game and shooting 47.1 percent from 3-point range over his last eight. "We can keep building confidence on defense. We're at our best when we're running and getting stops."
I like the Clippers' chances of slowing down Denver tonight. The Nuggets are hampered by a ton of injuries right now, which makes points harder to come by. They are expected to be without their best player and floor general in Ty Lawson, who is listed as doubtful with an ankle injury. They are also without J.J. Hickson, Nate Robinson, Danilo Gallinari and JaVale McGee, and could be without Darrell Arthur (knee, doubtful).
The Clippers have combined with 16 of their last 17 opponents to score 220 or fewer points, so their defense has certainly been improving of late. The Nuggets are coming off back-to-back games where they didn't combine for 200. They won 100-99 at Golden State and 101-94 versus Utah.
The UNDER is 4-0 in Nuggets last four games following a win. The UNDER is 9-2 in Nuggets last 11 games following an ATS loss. The UNDER is 4-1 in Nuggets last five road games. The UNDER is 8-1 in Clippers last nine home games vs. a team with a losing road record. The UNDER is 9-2-1 in Clippers last 12 home games overall. The UNDER is 13-3 in in the last 16 meetings in Los Angeles. Roll with the UNDER in this game Tuesday.
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04-15-14 | Kansas City Royals -147 v. Houston Astros | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Kansas City Royals -147 The Kansas City Royals are highly motivated for a victory tonight in Game 1 of this series with the lowly Houston Astros. They were just swept by the Minnesota Twins last series, so you can bet they have a sour taste in their mouths that they want to get rid of quickly.
I like their chances of putting an end to the streak with the young, electrifying Yordano Ventura on the mound. He pitched six shutout innings of two-hit ball while striking out six against Tampa Bay in his debut on April 8. He is picking up where he left off in spring training, where he posted a 2.70 ERA and 1.071 WHIP with 23 K's over 23 1/3 innings.
I'll gladly back Ventura over Houston's Lucas Harrell, who is 0-2 with an 11.05 ERA and 2.729 WHIP in two starts this year. Harrell has given up nine earned runs and 20 base runners over 7 1/3 innings. The left-hander sports a 5.23 ERA and 1.646 WHIP in two career starts against Kansas City as well.
Houston is 5-24 (-17.4 Units) against the money line after three straight games where they committed no errors over the last three seasons. The Royals are 22-8 in their last 30 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. The Astros are 26-70 in their last 96 games overall. Houston is 0-6 in Harrell's last six starts during Game 1 of a series. The Astros are 7-20 in Harrell's last 27 starts overall. Bet the Royals Tuesday.
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04-15-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds +105 | 5-7 | Win | 105 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
15* NL Central PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds +105 The Cincinnati Reds are showing solid value as a home underdog to the Pittsburgh Pirates tonight. This team is off to a slow 4-8 start this season, which has it undervalued right now. It's time to take advantage and back them in this rare home dog role.
Mike Leake is one of the most underrated starters in the league. He went 14-7 with a 3.37 ERA last season, and he has started 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.886 WHIP through two starts in 2014 as well. The guy is simply better than he gets credit for.
Leake also loves facing tonight's opponent. The right-hander is 5-3 with a 3.79 ERA and 1.295 WHIP in 15 career starts against Pittsburgh. Leake is 4-0 with a 3.52 ERA in his last seven home starts against the Pirates as well.
Leake is 29-10 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in his career. The Reds are 4-0 in Leake's last four home starts vs. Pittsburgh. The Pirates are 52-66 (-29.4 Units) against the money line in their last 118 games as a road favorite of -110 or higher. Take the Reds Tuesday.
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04-14-14 | San Antonio Spurs v. Houston Rockets -5.5 | Top | 98-104 | Win | 100 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
20* Spurs/Rockets NBA TV No-Brainer on Houston -5.5
The San Antonio Spurs have already clinched the top seed in the Western Conference and home-court advantage throughout the playoffs. Their concern will be resting their starters to get fresh heading into the playoffs rather than beating the Houston Rockets tonight. Houston (53-27), meanwhile, still has something to play for. While it is certain that it will play Portland (53-28) in the first-round of the playoffs, home-court advantage is still up in the air. A win tonight over the Spurs would give the Rockets the No. 4 seed due to their 3-1 series lead over the Blazers this season. The Rockets had Dwight Howard and Patrick Beverly both return from injury last time out in their win over Phoenix, which is a huge boost to the lineup. They will be going for the season sweep of the Spurs after beating them 112-106 and 111-98 on the road, as well as 97-90 at home. This will be a possible second-round match-up, and the Spurs have to be worried. Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last five Monday games. The Rockets are 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of greater than 60%. Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last five meetings with San Antonio. These three trends combined for a perfect 15-0 system backing the home team tonight. Bet the Rockets Monday. |
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04-14-14 | Charlotte Bobcats -3.5 v. Atlanta Hawks | 95-93 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
15* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Charlotte Bobcats -3.5
After winning six of their last seven games, the Charlotte Bobcats (41-39) have a chance to secure their second winning season in franchise history tonight with a victory over the Atlanta Hawks (37-43). However, that's now their only motivation heading into this one. Charlotte still has a chance for the No. 6 seed in the Eastern Conference as it trails the Washington Wizards (42-38) by one game for that spot. Moving up to No. 6 would be huge as it would mean avoiding either Miami or Indiana in the first round of the playoffs. The Bobcats also want to put an and to an 11-game losing streak to the Hawks in this series. That shouldn't be a problem considering Atlanta won't even show up for this game tonight. The Hawks are locked into the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference after their 98-85 victory over the Miami Heat last time out clinched the final playoff spot for them. That makes this a huge letdown spot for Atlanta, which will be more concerned with getting its starters rest for the playoffs. The Bobcats are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 vs. Eastern Conference opponents. Charlotte is 20-8-2 ATS in its last 30 games when playing on 1 days' rest. The Bobcats are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 vs. a team with a losing record. Charlotte is 6-2 ATS in its last eight road games. Atlanta is 5-12 ATS in its last 17 home games. The Hawks are 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record. The road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings. Take the Bobcats Monday. |
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04-14-14 | Pittsburgh Pirates v. Cincinnati Reds -121 | 7-7 | Push | 0 | 8 h 46 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -121
The Cincinnati Reds are undervalued at this point in the season due to their slow 4-8 start to the year. They should be a much heavier home favorite tonight against the Pittsburgh Pirates, and I'll take advantage and back them at a tremendous price. Homer Bailey is one of the better starters in the National League, but he's not getting treated like it right now after getting roughed up in his first two outings of the season. Both of those came against the St. Louis Cardinals, who are one of the favorites to win the NL every year and arguably the best team in the league. Bailey and the Reds will be hungry for a win tonight against a Pittsburgh team that knocked them out of the postseason last year by winning the wild-card game. Bailey also lost all four starts against the Pirates last year, adding fuel to the fire. Still, the right-hander is 8-5 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.137 WHIP in 16 career starts against Pittsburgh. Wandy Rodriquez is a below-average starter in this league. He has gone 0-2 with a 5.73 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in two starts this season, both of which came against the lowly Chicago Cubs. Rodriquez is 8-12 with a 4.21 ERA and 1.335 WHIP in 20 career starts against Cincinnati, and 0-3 with a 4.73 ERA in his last six starts against the Reds. The Pirates are 0-4 in Rodriquez's last four starts overall. The Reds are 4-1 in Bailey's last five starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. Cincinnati is 9-3 in Bailey's last 12 starts when working on five days of rest. Pittsburgh is 0-4 in Rodriquez's last four starts vs. Cincinnati. Roll with the Reds Monday. |
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04-13-14 | Chicago Bulls -3.5 v. New York Knicks | Top | 89-100 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show |
20* NBA Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Bulls -3.5
The Chicago Bulls are currently one game ahead of the Toronto Raptors for the No. 3 seed in the Eastern Conference. They want to hold on to this spot so that they would either face Washington or Charlotte instead of Brooklyn in the first round of the playoffs. They have certainly been motivated of late to get the No. 3 seed. That has been evident considering Chicago is a perfect 7-0 in its last seven games overall while going 6-1 ATS in the process. It has a whopping five double-digit wins during this stretch as it has clearly been playing its best basketball of the season. I look for the Bulls to roll the Knicks tonight, too. New York has nothing to play for. It was officially eliminated from the playoffs last night when the Atlanta Hawks beat the Miami Heat 98-85. I faded Cleveland last night against Boston in an outright loss because it was officially eliminated from the playoffs. Just like Cleveland didn't show up, I expect the Knicks to fold in this one and to not even show up mentally, either. "We can't get mad at Atlanta, we can't get mad at anybody but ourselves," New York's J.R. Smith said. "We dug this grave, we have to lie in it." Chicago is 20-8-1 ATS in its last 29 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The Bulls are 6-2 ATS in their last eight meetings with New York. The Knicks are 2-6 ATS in their last eight games playing on one days' rest. New York is 1-4 ATS in its last five Sunday games. Bet the Bulls Sunday. |
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04-13-14 | Kansas City Royals -119 v. Minnesota Twins | 3-4 | Loss | -119 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas City Royals -119
The Kansas City Royals have been throttled in the first two games of this series against Minnesota, getting outscored a combined 2-17 in back-to-back losses. They'll be motivated to not only get the win avoid the sweep, but to get their bats going, which shouldn't be a problem against today's scheduled starter. Kevin Correia is one of the worst starters in the big leagues. He has gone 0-1 with a 6.17 ERA and 1.457 WHIP in two starts this season. Correia has never beaten the Royals, going 0-3 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.763 WHIP on six career starts against them. His teams are 0-6 in those six games. Jason Vargas is one of the most underrated starters in the game. Quietly, this was a very nice offseason addition to the rotation as he is a solid No. 2 starter in Kansas City. The left-hander has gone 1-0 with a 1.20 ERA and 0.733 WHIP in his first two starts of the season. He has allowed two earned runs and 11 base runners over 15 innings in starts against the Tigers and Rays. Kansas City is 51-27 (+24.1 Units) against the money line after two straight games without giving up a stolen base over the last two seasons. The Royals are 22-7 in their last 29 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Kansas City is 35-10 in its last 35 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. The Twins are 23-65 in their last 88 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Minnesota is 0-7 in Correia's last seven home starts. The Twins are 3-14 in Correia's last 17 starts as an underdog. Take the Royals Sunday. |
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04-12-14 | Detroit Tigers -135 v. San Diego Padres | 6-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
20* MLB Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Detroit Tigers -135
This is a pretty generous price to get ace Justin Verlander and the Detroit Tigers against the lowly San Diego Padres. I'll take advantage, especially since the Tigers should come back motivated after getting shut out in Game 1 of this interleague series last night. Verlander is one of the top five starters in the game today, hands down. He has opened 2014 solid, posting a 2.57 ERA and 1.143 WHIP while allowing just four earned runs in 14 innings of work. He has only faced San Diego once before, leading the Tigers to a 5-3 road victory in 2008 while striking out 10 batters. Ian Kennedy had one great season in Arizona, but he has been vanilla ever since. Kennedy went 15-12 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.301 WHIP in 2012, and followed it up with a 7-10 record, a 4.91 ERA and a 1.395 WHIP in 2013. The right-hander is 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA in two career starts against the Tigers; both losses. The Tigers are 53-24 in their last 77 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. Detroit is 20-6 in Verlander's last 26 interleague starts. The Padres are 24-49 in their last 73 interleague games as an underdog. San Diego is 0-7 in its last seven interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150. Bet the Tigers Saturday. |
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04-12-14 | Boston Celtics +8 v. Cleveland Cavaliers | Top | 111-99 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
20* NBA Saturday Night Line Mistake on Boston Celtics +8
The Cleveland Cavaliers have no business being this heavily favored over the Boston Celtics tonight. They aren't even going to show up for this game, so asking them to win by 9-plus points to beat is simply asking too much. The reason they won't show up is because they were officially eliminated from the playoffs last night with their 116-119 road loss to the Milwaukee Bucks, coupled with Atlanta's win at Brooklyn. I look for them to suffer an emotional hangover from that defeat and to not even show up at all mentally tonight. It's clear to me that Boston has not quit. It beat Charlotte 106-103 at home last night in a very meaningful game for the Bobcats. Each of its last four games have been decided by single-digits. In fact, 11 of its last 14 games have been decided by single-digits. This one will be as well, and I actually believe the Celtics have an excellent chance to win this game outright given the circumstances. Boston goes for the season sweep over Cleveland tonight. This has been a one-sided series of late to say the least as the Celtics have taken six of the last eight meetings. Both of their losses during this stretch have come by 6 points or fewer. You would honestly be foolish to put your money on the Cavs tonight given the situation. Cleveland is 10-27 ATS in its last 37 home games when playing its 3rd game in 4 days. The Cavaliers are 9-20 ATS revenging a road loss vs. opponent this season. The Celtics are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games when playing on no rest. Take Boston Saturday. |
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04-12-14 | Washington Nationals v. Atlanta Braves -116 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
15* NL East ANNIHILATOR on Atlanta Braves -116
The Atlanta Braves can pull even with the Washington Nationals for the NL East lead with a home victory tonight. I like their chances of getting that 'W' thanks to the massive edge they have on the mound in this one. Alex Wood has picked up right where he left off last season and in spring training this year. He went 3-3 with a 3.13 ERA in 11 starts and 20 relief appearances in 2013. Wood tore it up in spring training, posting a 0.45 ERA while allowing just one earned run over 20 innings of work. The left-hander is 1-1 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in two starts in 2014, allowing three earned runs and 12 base runners over 14 innings. Wood has owned Washington, posting a 1.50 ERA and 0.944 WHIP in three career starts against the Nationals, allowing three earned runs and 17 base runners over 18 innings. Taylor Jordan is off to a solid start for Washington as well, allowing one earned run over 6 2/3 innings of a 2-1 home win over Wood and the Braves. That will have Wood and company out for revenge in the second head-to-head matchup of the season between these young hurlers. Jordan has allowed 18 base runners in 12 1/3 innings in two career starts against Atlanta for a 1.460 WHIP. Washington is 4-21 (-16.3 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +100 to +125 over the last two seasons. The Braves are 28-5 in their last 33 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Atlanta is 69-30 in its last 99 home games. Bet the Braves Saturday. |
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04-11-14 | Phoenix Suns +3 v. San Antonio Spurs | 104-112 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 36 m | Show | |
15* NBA Friday Undervalued Underdog on Phoenix Suns +3
The San Antonio Spurs will be playing the second of a back-to-back and their 3rd game in 4 days tonight. Off a big win over Dallas yesterday to essentially clinch home-court advantage in the West, they do not care one bit to win this game Friday. That is evident by the fact that head coach Greg Popovich is expected to rest both Tony Parker and Tim Duncan tonight. Without these two on the floor, this team just isn't very good. They certainly have no business even being favored tonight over a team that needs the win like Phoenix. Indeed, the Suns are currently the No. 7 seed in the Western Conference. They are only percentage points ahead of No. 8 seed Dallas, and one game ahead of No. 9 Memphis. A win tonight would go a long way in helping them inch closer to clinching a playoff spot. Phoenix has been thriving under the pressure of all these must-win games down the stretch. In fact, it has won 10 of its last 12 games overall, which includes victories over Portland and OKC. This will only be its 2nd game in 5 days, so unlike San Antonio, it will be well-rested and ready to go tonight. The Suns are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 games following a ATS loss. Phoenix is 27-11 ATS in its last 38 road games. The Suns are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Phoenix is 36-14-1 ATS in its last 51 games when playing on one day of rest. The road team is 5-1-1 ATS in the last seven meetings in this series. Bet the Suns Friday. |
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04-11-14 | Atlanta Hawks +5.5 v. Brooklyn Nets | Top | 93-88 | Win | 100 | 9 h 37 m | Show |
20* NBA Eastern Conference ANNIHILATOR on Atlanta Hawks +5.5
The Brooklyn Nets have nothing to play for. They are three games behind Chicago and Toronto for the No. 3 and No. 4 seeds in the East, and three in front of Charlotte and Washington for the No. 6 and No. 7 seeds. They are all but locked into fifth place in the East. While the Nets likely won't show up tonight because of it, the Hawks have everything to play for. They lead the New York Knicks by two games for the No. 8 seed in the Eastern Conference. Given these motivational angles, the Hawks should not be an underdog in this match-up tonight. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings in this series. The road team is 4-1 ATS in the last five meetings. The Nets are 2-5 ATS in their last seven vs. a team with a losing record. Brooklyn is 1-4 ATS in its last five vs. NBA Southeast division opponents. Bet the Hawks Friday. |
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04-11-14 | Indiana Pacers +6 v. Miami Heat | 86-98 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 37 m | Show | |
15* Pacers/Heat NBA TV No-Brainer on Indiana +6
Indiana rested its starters at just the right time against the Milwaukee Bucks on Wednesday. Somehow, resting all five starters, the Pacers were able to beat Milwaukee 104-102. Now, they find themselves in first place in the Eastern Conference with a half-game lead over Miami. The Pacers had really been struggling up to this point, losing 12 of their last 20 overall. I believe this breather that the starters got, plus the new life with the No. 1 seed at stake tonight, will have this team playing very inspired basketball tonight. It will be enough to stay within 6 points or Miami, likely pulling off the upset. The Heat haven't been playing that well themselves. They have actually lost 11 of their last 21 games overall, including two in a row to Brooklyn and Memphis. Dwyane Wade, Udonis Haslem, Chris Andersen and Greg Oden are all questionable to return tonight. Even if they go, I still like Indiana's chances of covering. This will be the 3rd game in 4 nights for the Heat, while the Pacers' starting five have essentially had the last four days off having last played on April 6. The two meetings between these teams this season were decided by a combined 4 points, so there's a very good chance this 6-point spread comes into play tonight. Roll with the Pacers Friday. |
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04-11-14 | Miami Marlins -119 v. Philadelphia Phillies | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -119 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
20* NL East GAME OF THE WEEK on Miami Marlins -119
The Miami Marlins get the nod Friday as a small road favorite over the Philadelphia Phillies tonight. Rarely is this team ever a road favorite against anyone, but the fact of the matter is that it should be an even bigger favorite tonight with who it has on the mound. Indeed, Jose Fernandez is one of the top five pitchers in the game, right up there with Clayton Kershaw, Felix Hernandez and a couple others. However, he gets treated like he's not one of the best, which is why we are getting such a good price on him here tonight. Fernandez won Rookie of the Year honors in 2013 thanks to going 12-6 with a 2.19 ERA and 0.979 WHIP with 187 strikeouts over 172 2/3 innings. He has been un-hittable thus far in 2014 as well, going 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA and 0.789 WHIP while allowing just one earned runs and 10 base runners over 12 2/3 innings and striking out 17. Fernandez is 1-0 with a 0.50 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in three career starts against Philadelphia, giving up just one earned run and 12 base runners while striking out 16 batters in 18 innings. He'll be up against A.J. Burnett, who is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in two starts this season. Fernandez is 10-1 (+11.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last two seasons. Fernandez is 9-0 (+9.0 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons. The Phillies are 0-7 in their last seven home games. Take the Marlins Friday. |
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