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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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05-20-24 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 1 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110) The Los Angeles Dodgers were swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks in the playoffs last year. They haven't forgotten and will be looking for revenge all season on the Diamondbacks. They outscored Arizona 19-8 in their first three meetings this season, and I expect them to win in a blowout at home tonight. The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Yoshinobu Yamamoto, who is 4-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in nine starts this season. Yamamoto fired 6 shutout innings in an 8-0 victory over the Diamondbacks on May 1st. The Diamondbacks will be making this a bullpen game starting with opener Joe Mantiply, who won't go more than one or two innings in this one. This is a poor Arizona bullpen with a 4.60 ERA and 1.43 WHIP on the season. The Dodgers should hang a big number on Mantiply and this bullpen tonight. The Dodgers are 19-3 in their last 22 May home games and outscoring opponents by 3.2 runs per game in this spot. Los Angeles is 45-12 in its last 57 home games off three or more consecutive wins. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Monday. |
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05-20-24 | Orioles +116 v. Cardinals | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Baltimore Orioles +116 The Baltimore Orioles are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 3.8 runs per game this season. I'll gladly back the better offense here as underdogs to the Cardinals in Game 1 of this series. Sonny Gray has really struggled in his last two starts for the Cardinals allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings. Gray allowed 6 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start against the Orioles last season. I like what I've seen from Dean Kremer this season. He is 3-3 with a 3.72 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in eight starts this season with 47 K's in 46 innings. Kremer has been at his best away from home, going 2-1 with a 1.87 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in four road starts this season. Baltimore is 11-1 on the road with a money line of +125 to -125 this season. Bet the Orioles Monday. |
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05-20-24 | Orioles v. Cardinals OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Cardinals OVER 7.5 Temps will be in the 80's tonight in St. Louis with light winds blowing out to left. This total of 7.5 is too low for these conditions with these two offenses that are heating up at the plate as the weather gets warmer. The OVER is 10-1 in Cardinals last 11 games overall. They have scored an average of 6.5 runs per game in their last six games. The Orioles just scored 18 runs against the Mariners over the weekend for an average of 6.0 runs per game. Sonny Gray has really struggled in his last two starts for the Cardinals allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings. Dean Kremer will be making his 1st start since May 12th. He was rocked for 6 runs, 3 earned, and 8 base runners in a 9-2 loss to the Diamondbacks in his last start. Gray allowed 6 earned runs in 6 innings in his last start against the Orioles last season. Kremer allowed 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Cardinals last season. The OVER is 13-3 in Gray's last 16 home starts against AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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05-20-24 | Mariners v. Yankees -130 | 5-4 | Loss | -130 | 8 h 48 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Yankees -130 The New York Yankees are the hottest team in baseball right now going 7-0 in their last seven games overall while hitting .300 and scoring 5.9 runs per game. They will be motivated to extend their winning streak to 8 games tonight. I like their chances up against Seattle's Logan Gilbert, who does not enjoy facing the Yankees one bit. Gilbert is 0-2 with a 12.15 ERA in his last three starts against the Yankees, allowing 18 earned runs, 5 homers and 30 base runners in 13 1/3 innings. He has also allowed 11 earned runs, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 10 2/3 innings while losing each of his last two starts coming in. Marcus Stroman is 3-2 with a 3.33 ERA in nine starts for the Yankees this season. Stroman has posted a 3.75 ERA in four career starts against the Mariners. The Yankees are 27-9 against right-handed starters this season. Bet the Yankees Monday. |
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05-20-24 | Red Sox v. Rays -106 | 5-0 | Loss | -106 | 8 h 37 m | Show | |
15* Red Sox/Rays AL East ANNIHILATOR on Tampa Bay -106 The Tampa Bay Rays have been on a tear since a return to health for both their lineup and their bullpen. They have gone 11-5 in their last 16 games overall while scoring at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games overall. The Boston Red Sox have been plagued by injuries over the last couple weeks and are just 5-11 in their last 16 games overall. They have been held to 3 runs or fewer in nine of those 11 losses as their offense has gone ice cold. Taj Bradley has been impressive in his two starts this season going 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.00 WHIP while allowing just 3 earned runs and one home in 11 innings with 13 K's. Bradley has never lost to the Red Sox, going 3-0 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in three career starts against them. Tanner Houck has never beaten the Rays, going 0-4 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in four career starts against them. He has allowed 14 earned runs and 33 base runners in 18 2/3 innings in those four starts. Tampa Bay is 15-2 in its last 17 home meetings with Boston. Bet the Rays Monday. |
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05-19-24 | Brewers v. Astros OVER 9 | 4-9 | Win | 100 | 5 h 42 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Brewers/Astros OVER 9 The Milwaukee Brewers are one of the most underrated offensive teams in baseball. They are scoring 5.2 runs per game and are 27-16-1 OVER in their 44 games this season. The Houston Astros are scoring 4.6 runs per game despite not hitting up to their potential to this point. This total of 9 is too low for these two starting pitchers today. Spencer Arrighetti has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season. Arrighetti is 1-4 with a 7.52 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in six starts, allowing 22 earned runs, 4 homers and 50 base runners in 26 1/3 innings. Colin Rea has come back down to reality after a good start this season. He has allowed 7 earned runs in 10 2/3 innings in his last two starts to Pittsburgh and Kansas City. He only has 30 K's in 44 1/3 innings this season so his 'stuff' isn't as good as his numbers. He has allowed 6 homers as well. Houston is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 home games after allowing 4 runs or fewer in four consecutive games. Milwaukee is 24-14 OVER against right-handed starters this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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05-19-24 | Mets -135 v. Marlins | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 21 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -135 I love the spot for the New York Mets today. They will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the lowly Miami Marlins. They will be looking to bounce back especially after blowing a 4-run lead in the 9th yesterday. The Mets have a huge advantage on the mound today. Sean Manaea is 2-1 with a 3.05 ERA in eight starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.61 ERA in four road starts. Sixto Sanchez is 0-0 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 26 base runners in 15 1/3 innings. Sanchez is one of the worst starters in all of baseball. The Marlins are 1-15 against left-handed starters this season and hitting .211 while scoring just 2.7 runs per game in those 16 games. Bet the Mets Sunday. |
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05-19-24 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 2-5 | Loss | -110 | 4 h 12 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rays/Blue Jays OVER 8 The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten healthy offensively and are raking at the plate as a result. They have scored at least 4 runs in eight consecutive games. I expect both teams to score 4-plus runs today against these two awful starting pitchers. Alek Manoah went 3-9 with a 5.87 ERA and 1.74 WHIP in 19 starts last season. Manoah is 0-1 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in two starts this season, already allowing 3 homers in 11 innings. Manoah is 0-2 with a 12.91 ERA in his last two starts against the Rays, allowing 11 earned runs and 21 base runners in 7 2/3 innings. Aaron Civale is 2-3 with a 5.83 ERA and 1.32 WHIP in nine starts for the Rays this season. Civale has been at his worst on the road, going 1-1 with a 7.58 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in four starts while allowing 16 earned runs in 19 innings. Civale is 2-2 with a 4.65 ERA in four career starts against Toronto. The OVER is 13-3 in Manoah's last 16 home starts against division opponents. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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05-18-24 | Reds v. Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 0-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 42 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Reds/Dodgers OVER 8 The Los Angeles Dodgers are 18-6 in their last 24 games overall with 16 wins by 2 runs or more. They have one of the best lineups in baseball and are scoring 5.6 runs per game at home this season. They face a Cincinnati Reds team that is heating up at the plate scoring 5 runs or more in four of their last six games. Graham Ashcraft is 3-2 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in eight starts for the Reds this season while allowing 7 homers in 43 2/3 innings with only 35 K's. He has really struggled in his last two starts, allowing 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 19 base runners in 9 innings. Walker Buehler is making is way back from Tommy John surgery and is nowhere near 100%. He is 0-1 with a 7.37 ERA and 1.77 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs, 3 homers and 13 base runners in 7 1/3 innings. He will remain on a pitch count and shaky in his 3rd start of the season today. The Dodgers are 14-2 OVER in home games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs this season. Cincinnati is 8-0 OVER in its last eight road games vs. teams that strand 7.5 or more base runners per game. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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05-18-24 | A's v. Royals -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
15* AL Saturday BLOWOUT on Kansas City Royals -1.5 (+110) The Oakland A's are back to reality, which is one of the worst teams in baseball. They are 0-6 in their last six games overall and have scored a total of 10 runs during this 6-game skid, or an average of just 1.7 runs per game. The Kansas City Royals are 27-19 this season, including 16-8 at home where they are scoring 5.0 runs per game. It won't get any easier for the A's at the plate today against one of the most underrated starters in baseball in Seth Lugo. He is 6-1 with a 1.81 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in nine starts this season while allowing just 12 earned runs in 59 2/3 innings. I'll gladly fade Ross Stripling, who is 1-7 with a 4.98 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in nine starts this season, allowing 26 earned runs and 72 base runners in 47 innings. Stripling is 0-3 with a 5.40 ERA in four road starts as well. Temps will be in the 80's with light winds blowing out to center tonight in Kansas City, giving the Royals an even better chance of winning this game by multiple runs. Oakland is 2-14 as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season and getting outscored by 3.7 runs per game in this spot. Lugo's teams are 22-4 in his 26 career starts against teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game and outscoring them by 2.5 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Royals on the Run Line Saturday. |
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05-18-24 | Pirates v. Cubs -1.5 | 0-1 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NL Saturday BLOWOUT on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (+110) The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory today. They have lost the first two games of this series to the Pittsburgh Pirates up against their two best starting pitchers against two of their worst. Now there's a role reversal, and the untouchable Shota Imanaga will take down the awful Bailey Salters in Game 3 today. Imanaga is 5-0 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing just 5 earned runs in 46 2/3 innings. Falter is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA in eight starts, allowing 8 homers in 43 1/3 innings with only 27 K's. Falter is 1-2 with a 6.63 ERA in four road starts as well. He has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four career starts against them. His teams are 0-4 in those four starts. The Cubs are 10-3 when playing with double revenge this season. Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Saturday. |
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05-18-24 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8 | 0-1 | Loss | -120 | 4 h 22 m | Show | |
15* Pirates/Cubs NL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8 Conditions look good for a slug fest in Chicago at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field this afternoon. Temps will be in the 70's with light winds blowing out to left. The Cubs are capable of covering this total on their own against Pittsburgh's Bailey Falter. Falter is 2-2 with a 4.15 ERA in eight starts this season, allowing 8 homers in 43 1/3 innings with only 27 K's. Falter is 1-2 with a 6.63 ERA in four road starts as well. He has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-3 with a 7.56 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four career starts against them. No question Shota Imanaga's numbers are impressive this season for the Cubs. But he has been fortunate to have the ERA and WHIP he has to this point according to the advanced analytics. He is due some negative regression especially with how many runners he puts on base. The OVER is 9-0-1 in the last 10 meetings between the Pirates and Cubs with 9 or more combined runs in all 10 meetings, including 11 or more combined runs in seven of those. Pittsburgh is 11-3 OVER in road games with a total of 8 to 8.5 runs this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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05-17-24 | Reds v. Dodgers -1.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 25 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105) The Los Angeles Dodgers are 17-6 in their last 23 games overall with 15 wins by 2 runs or more. They have one of the best lineups in baseball and are scoring 5.6 runs per game at home this season. They will be highly motivated for a victory off two consecutive losses, including an upset loss as -305 favorites in Game 1 to the Reds yesterday. The Cincinnati Reds are a mess right now. They have gone 3-12 in their last 15 games overall. A big reason for their struggles is injuries up and down their lineup as they are struggling to score runs. They have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 11 of those 15 games, including 2 runs or fewer in seven of those. The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mount tonight behind James Paxton, who is 5-0 with a 2.58 ERA in seven starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.16 ERA in three home starts. Paxton held the Reds to one run in 5 innings in his lone career start against them last season. Frankie Montas is 2-3 with a 4.20 ERA in seven starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.29 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in three road starts, allowing 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 24 base runners in 12 1/3 innings away from home. Montas is 0-2 with a 16.19 ERA and 2.70 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 18 base runners in 6 2/3 innings. The Dodgers are 28-7 in their last 35 games off a loss by 4 runs or more and outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday. |
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05-17-24 | Reds v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 24 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Reds/Dodgers OVER 8.5 The Los Angeles Dodgers are 17-6 in their last 23 games overall with 15 wins by 2 runs or more. They have one of the best lineups in baseball and are scoring 5.6 runs per game at home this season. They face a Cincinnati Reds team that is heating up at the plate scoring 5 runs or more in four of their last five games. Frankie Montas is 2-3 with a 4.20 ERA in seven starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.29 ERA and 1.95 WHIP in three road starts, allowing 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 24 base runners in 12 1/3 innings away from home. Montas is 0-2 with a 16.19 ERA and 2.70 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 18 base runners in 6 2/3 innings. James Paxton is very fortunate to have a 2.58 ERA this season when you consider he has a 1.41 WHIP and has already allowed 24 walks in 38 1/3 innings with only 22 K's. His stuff isn't very great, and he will get hit hard soon. The Dodgers are 13-2 OVER in home games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs this season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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05-17-24 | Brewers -105 v. Astros | 4-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -105 The Milwaukee Brewers have one of the most underrated lineups in the big leagues. They are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season. They have the rest advantage over the Houston Astros after having yesterday off. They also have a massive advantage on the mound and should be bigger favorites as a result. Freddy Peralta is 3-1 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.05 WHIP in eight starts this season with 58 K's in 44 2/3 innings and only 4 homers allowed. He'll be opposed by one of the worst starters in baseball in Hunter Brown, who is 0-4 with an 8.89 ERA and 2.20 WHIP in seven starts this season. Brown has already allowed 27 earned runs and 60 base runners in 27 1/3 innings. Milwaukee is 7-0 in Friday games this season. The Brewers are 6-0 in their last six road games against AL West opponents. Bet the Brewers Friday. |
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05-17-24 | Padres v. Braves OVER 8 | Top | 3-1 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Braves OVER 8 The Atlanta Braves have one of the best lineups in baseball. They are scoring 4.8 runs per game despite disappointing seasons thus far for many of their top hitters. It's only a matter of time before they start raking consistently. The Padres are hitting .282 and scoring 5.4 runs per game on the road this season. The Braves are capable of covering this total on their own tonight. Matt Waldron is the worst starter for the Padres, going 1-5 with a 5.49 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in eight starts. He has allowed 13 earned runs and 3 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts coming in. Max Fried is getting too much respect from the books here. He is 3-1 with a 3.57 ERA in eight starts this season, but 1-0 with a 4.73 ERA in two home starts. Fried allowed 4 earned runs and 11 base runners in 6 innings of an 11-6 loss to the Padres in his last home start against them. San Diego is a perfect 11-0 OVER off three consecutive division games this season. Fried is a perfect 11-0 OVER in his 11 career Friday night home starts. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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05-17-24 | Twins v. Guardians -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
20* AL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cleveland Guardians -115 The Minnesota Twins were just outscored 14-1 in their 3-game sweep at the hands of the New York Yankees. They had to play yesterday while the Cleveland Guardians had Thursday off, giving them a big rest advantage. The Guardians also have the advantage on the mound today and should be bigger favorites as a result. Triston McKenzie has posted a 1.93 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings. McKenzie has owned the Twins, posting a 1.42 ERA in his last three starts against them while allowing just 3 earned runs in 19 innings with 23 K's. Simeon Woods-Richardson is getting way too much respect from the books today. He just allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings to the Blue Jays in his last start. He has gotten to face Toronto, Seattle and the White Sox in his only three starts this season, which are three of the worst offenses in baseball. This is a big step up in class for him here tonight. Bet the Guardians Friday. |
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05-17-24 | White Sox v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 5 m | Show | |
15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Yankees OVER 7.5 This total is too low tonight for these two offenses up against these two suspect starting pitchers inside hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. I'll gladly back the OVER in a game the Yankees are capable of covering the total on their own. The Yankees have scored a total of 24 runs in their last four games overall for an average of 6.0 runs per game. They should feast on Mike Clevinger, who is 0-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 2.10 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 4 earned runs and 14 base runners in 6 2/3 innings. Nestor Cortes is one of the more overrated starters in baseball. He is 1-4 with a 4.03 ERA in nine starts this season, including 0-2 with a 5.10 ERA in his last three. The White Sox are heating up at the plate which is a big reason they have gone 6-2 in their last eight games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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05-17-24 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 7.5 | Top | 9-3 | Win | 105 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
20* Pirates/Cubs NL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 7.5 Kyle Hendricks should not be pitching in a game with a total of 7.5 or less. Hendricks is 0-3 with a 10.04 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 29 earned runs and 9 homers in 26 innings. Paul Skenes is the top prospect in baseball which is why this total is so low. But with the hype comes expectations that are tough for him to live up to. We saw that in his major league debut against the Cubs on May 11th. He allowed 3 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 innings. Now the Cubs get to see him for the 2nd time in a week, which is to their advantage. The OVER is 8-0-1 in the last nine meetings between the Pirates and Cubs with 9 or more combined runs in all nine meetings, including 11 or more combined runs in six of those. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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05-16-24 | Reds v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 7-2 | Loss | -145 | 10 h 22 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-145) The Los Angeles Dodgers are 17-5 in their last 22 games overall with 15 wins by 2 runs or more. They have one of the best lineups in baseball and are scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this season. The Cincinnati Reds are a mess right now. They have gone 2-12 in their last 14 games overall. A big reason for their struggles is injuries up and down their lineup as they are struggling to score runs. They have been held to 4 runs or fewer in 11 of those 14 games, including 2 runs or fewer in seven of those. Tyler Glasnow is among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young this year. Glasnow is 6-1 with a 2.53 ERA and 0.86 WHIP while allowing just 16 earned runs and 49 base runners in 57 innings with a whopping 73 K's. He'll be opposed by Brent Suter, who will be making his first start of the season for the Reds, who will be making this a bullpen game. Suter is 0-2 with a 17.34 ERA and 3.43 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 9 earned runs and 16 base runners in 4 2/3 innings. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday. |
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05-16-24 | Mets v. Phillies OVER 8 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 58 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Mets/Phillies OVER 8 The Philadelphia Phillies are hitting the cover off the ball right now. They have scored at least 4 runs in 11 of their last 12 games overall. The New York Mets have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last 12 games overall. I expect both teams to get to 4-plus runs against these two suspect starting pitchers. Jose Quintana is 1-4 with a 5.44 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 1-2 with an 8.19 ERA and 1.98 WHIP in four road starts. Quintana has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts against the Phillies. Taijaun Walker is 3-0 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in three starts this season, already allowing 4 homers in 18 2/3 innings. Walker allowed 4 earned runs in 7 innings in his last start against the Mets. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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05-15-24 | Cubs +160 v. Braves | 7-1 | Win | 160 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
15* NL Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +160 The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory after getting shut out by the Braves for a 2nd consecutive day. They will want to avoid the sweep, and I expect them to finally get their bats going today. I also expect Javier Assad to shut down the Braves. Assad has the best ERA in all of baseball since last June. He is 3-0 with a 1.70 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in eight starts this season. Charlie Morton is off to a good start for the Braves and he's a notorious slow starter. But Morton is 4-7 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 18 career starts against Chicago. He allowed 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-4 loss to the Cubs in his lone start against them last season. The Cubs are 10-3 (+11.5 Units) in Assad's last 13 starts as an underdog, including 7-1 (+8.8 Units) in his last eight starts as a dog of +125 to +175. Bet the Cubs Wednesday. |
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05-15-24 | Rays +118 v. Red Sox | 4-3 | Win | 118 | 9 h 24 m | Show | |
15* AL Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Tampa Bay Rays +118 The Tampa Bay Rays just got several key hitters back from injury. They have gone 7-4 in their last 11 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in seven of those 11 games. The Boston Red Sox have several hitters sitting due to injury and are really struggling at the plate. They are averaging 2.6 runs per game over their last seven games. Tanner Houck has never beaten the Rays, going 0-3 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.92 WHIP in three career starts against them. He has allowed 13 earned runs and 25 base runners in 13 innings in those three starts. The Rays should stay hot at the plate against him tonight. Taj Bradley was dominant in his first start this season. He held the Yankees to one earned run in 6 innings with 7 K's in a 2-0 loss on May 10th. I expect him to shut down the Red Sox tonight. Boston is 7-19 in its last 26 home games with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs. The Rays are 24-10 in their last 34 meetings with the Red Sox. Bet the Rays Wednesday. |
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05-15-24 | Royals +135 v. Mariners | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 25 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Kansas City Royals +135 The Kansas City Royals are one of the most improved teams in baseball this season. They are 26-18 and grossly undervalued. They should not be +135 underdogs to the Seattle Mariners today. Speaking of undervalued, Kansas City starter Alec Marsh is 3-0 with a 2.53 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in six starts this season. He has been dominant in his last three starts, going 1-0 with a 0.59 ERA and 0.98 WHIP while allowing just one earned run in 15 1/3 innings. Bryan Woo will be making his just 2nd start of the season. He pitched 4 1/3 shutout innings against the lowly Oakland A's in his first start and will be on a pitch count again, meaning the Mariners will have to dip into their bullpen early. The Royals are 6-0 (+7.3 Units) in Marsh's six starts this season. Kansas City is 19-7 against AL teams that score 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season. Bet the Royals Wednesday. |
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05-14-24 | Royals +145 v. Mariners | 4-2 | Win | 145 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
15* AL Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Kansas City Royals +145 The value on the Kansas City Royals is too good to pass up tonight. The Royals are one of the most improved teams in baseball at 25-18 this season and have been underrated all season. They continue to be as +145 underdogs to the Seattle Mariners tonight. Michael Wacha has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball over the last couple seasons. He held the Angels to 2 earned runs in 6 innings of a 10-4 victory in his last start. Wacha fired 6 shutout innings in a 10-3 victory over the Mariners in his last start against them last season. Logan Gilbert is getting way too much respect for the Mariners tonight. He just allowed 8 earned runs in 4 innings of an 11-1 loss to the Twins in his last start. Gilbert has posted a 5.27 ERA in five career starts against Kansas City, allowing 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 27 1/3 innings. Kansas City is 18-7 vs. AL teams that score 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season. Wacha's teams are 18-5 in his last 23 starts vs. AL teams that score 4.4 or fewer runs per game. Wacha's teams are 24-7 in his last 31 starts following a loss. The Mariners are 2-7 (-9.4 Units) in Gilbert's last nine home starts in the first half of the season. Bet the Royals Tuesday. |
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05-14-24 | A's v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 44 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on A's/Astros OVER 8.5 This total is too low tonight with these two offenses red hot at the plate right now. The OVER is 9-1 in A's last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 10 games. The A's are scoring 6.8 runs per game in their last 10 games. The Astros have scored at least 4 runs in five of their last six games overall including 9 runs in Game 1 last night. JP Sears is 3-2 with a 4.20 ERA in eight starts this season. Sears is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 1/3 innings. Sears is 1-1 with a 4.58 ERA in three career starts against Houston. He has allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Astros. Ronel Blanco is getting too much respect because he threw a no-hitter earlier this season. Blanco has vcome back down to reality of late going 2-0 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 4 homers in 17 1/3 innings. Both starters have the propensity to give up the long ball. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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05-14-24 | Cubs +178 v. Braves | 0-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NL Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +178 The value on the Chicago Cubs is too good to pass up tonight. After losing Game 1 by a final of 2-0 last night, I expect them to bounce back and pull off the upset victory in Game 2 tonight. Jameson Taillon is 3-0 with a 1.12 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing just 3 earned runs in 24 innings. He is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Taillon is 1-0 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.83 WHIP in three career starts against Atlanta as well. Chris Sale is having his best season in years at 5-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.99 WHIP in seven starts this season. But I doubt he can keep up this pace. Plus, the Cubs thrive against southpaws, scoring 6.0 runs per game this season against left-handed starters. Taillon's teams are 25-17 (+15.7 Units) in his 42 career starts as a road underdog. Taillon's teams are 12-1 (+11.6 Units) in his last 13 starts after allowing 2 earned runs or fewer in two consecutive starts. Bet the Cubs Tuesday. |
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05-13-24 | A's v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 43 m | Show |
20* AL West TOTAL OF THE MONTH on A's/Astros OVER 8.5 This total is too low for a game involving these two terrible starting pitchers up against these two lineups. The OVER is 8-1 in A's last nine games overall with 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games. The A's are scoring 7.3 runs per game in their last nine games. The Astros have scored at least 4 runs in four of their last five games overall. Spencer Arrighetti has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season and it's amazing the Astros are throwing him back out there again tonight. Arrighetti is 0-4 with an 8.43 ERA and 2.02 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 20 earned runs and 43 base runners in 21 1/3 innings. Ross Stripling is 1-6 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in eight starts this season, allowing 24 earned runs and 66 base runners in 42 innings. He is 0-2 with a 5.94 ERA and 1.56 WHIP in three road starts as well. Houston is 22-4 OVER in its last 26 Monday games. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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05-13-24 | Blue Jays v. Orioles OVER 7.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 16 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/Orioles OVER 7.5 The Baltimore Orioles have one of the most potent lineups in baseball scoring 5.1 runs per game this season. The Toronto Blue Jays have scored 4.7 runs per game in their last seven games and are heating up at the plate. Temps are expected to be in the 70's with 13 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Baltimore tonight that will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket. The Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own. They should crush Jose Berrios, who allowed 8 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 10-1 loss at Philadelphia in his last start. Berrios allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 6 innings to the Orioles in his last start against them. Corbin Burnes has been solid for the Orioles this season at 3-2 with a 2.83 ERA in eight starts. But this total is so low because he is starting. Burnes allowed 3 earned runs and 2 homers in 7 2/3 innings to the Blue Jays in his lone career start against them. The ball will be flying out of the park tonight. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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05-12-24 | Braves v. Mets OVER 7.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 39 m | Show |
20* Braves/Mets ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5 The Atlanta Braves are scoring 5.0 runs per game this season while the New York Mets are scoring 4.3 runs per game. After both offenses were held in check in the first two meetings in this series, I expect them both to have a lot of success at the plate tonight in Game 3. Bryce Elder is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in three starts for the Braves this season. He allowed 7 earned runs, 3 homers and 11 base runners in 3 1/3 innings to the Dodgers in his last start. Elder has allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 11 1/3 innings in two career starts against New York. Luis Severino is getting way too much respect from the books tonight. He allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 5 innings of a 7-6 loss to the Rays in his last start on May 5th. Severino allowed 5 runs, 3 earned and 2 homers in 4 innings to the Braves in his last start against them last season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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05-12-24 | Royals -123 v. Angels | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 31 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas City Royals -123 The Kansas City Royals have big advantages on the mound and at the plate today over the Los Angeles Angels and should be bigger favorites as a result. The Angels are in a world of hurt without Mike Trout and a few other key bats in their lineup. Seth Lugo has been one of the most underrated starters in baseball over the past couple seasons. Lugo is 5-1 with a 1.92 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 3-0 with a 0.43 ERA and 0.67 WHIP in three road starts. Lugo held the Angels to one earned run in 6 innings of a 5-3 victory in his lone career start against them last season. Patrick Sandoval is 2-5 with a 5.08 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in eight starts for the Angels this season. The Royals are scoring 4.6 runs per game overall including 4.6 runs per game against left-handed starters. The Angels are scoring just 3.9 runs per game against right-handed starters. The Angels are 1-11 in Sandoval's last 12 home starts with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs. The Angels are 1-11 at home with a money line of +125 to -125 this season. Lugo's teams are 21-4 in his last 25 starts against teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game. The Angels are 1-12 in Sandoval's last 13 starts against good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Bet the Royals Sunday. |
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05-12-24 | Cubs v. Pirates OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
15* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Cubs/Pirates OVER 8.5 The Pirates beat the Cubs 10-9 yesterday for 19 combined runs. Both teams should stay hot at the plate against these two awful starting pitchers. Plus, there are expected to be double-digit winds blowing out to center this afternoon in Pittsburgh to aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket. Kyle Hendricks has been arguably the worst starter in baseball. He is 0-3 with a 12.00 ERA and 2.10 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 28 earned runs, 8 homers and 44 base runners in 21 innings. Bailey Falter is 2-2 with a 4.34 ERA in seven starts for the Pirates, allowing 7 homers in 37 1/3 innings. He has allowed 8 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against two of the worst offenses in baseball in Colorado at home and Oakland on the road. Falter is 0-3 with a 10.12 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in three career starts against Chicago, allowing 12 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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05-12-24 | Diamondbacks v. Orioles -118 | 9-2 | Loss | -118 | 4 h 57 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Baltimore Orioles -118 The Baltimore Orioles have a big advantage at the plate today over the Arizona Diamondbacks. They are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season, while the Diamondbacks are scoring just 3.8 runs per game against right-handed starters. I also love what I've seen from Dean Kremer, especially of late. Kremer is 3-2 with a 3.57 ERA and 0.97 WHIP in seven starts this season. He is 3-0 with a 1.96 ERA and 0.76 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 4 earned runs and 14 base runners in 18 1/3 innings with 20 K's. Zac Gallen is getting too much respect from the books here. He has huge home/road splits in his career and that's the case again this season. Gallen is 1-2 with a 4.71 ERA in four road starts this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 21 innings. He allowed 5 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of an 8-5 loss to the Orioles in his lone career start against them last season. The Orioles are 18-4 in Kremer's last 22 home starts. Bet the Orioles Sunday. |
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05-11-24 | Dodgers v. Padres OVER 8.5 | Top | 5-0 | Loss | -120 | 14 h 33 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Dodgers OVER 8.5 Both offenses were red hot coming into Game 1 of this series last night. Tyler Glasnow and Michael King held both offenses in check. But it will be a different story tonight as these offenses light up these two below average starters in Game 2. Matt Waldron is 1-4 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.56 WHIP In seven starts for the Padres this season, including 0-3 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in three home starts. He has allowed 22 earned runs and 53 base runners in 34 innings this season. James Paxton is very fortunate to have a 3.06 ERA with a 1.55 WHIP in his six starts this season. He is getting away with walking a lot of batters as he has 24 walks in 32 1/3 innings with only 18 K's. He won't be so fortunate tonight. Paxton allowed 11 base runners in 5 innings in his lone start against the Padres earlier this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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05-11-24 | Diamondbacks v. Orioles -157 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 9 h 3 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Baltimore Orioles -157 The Baltimore Orioles have big advantages at the plate and on the mound today over the Arizona Diamondbacks. They should be bigger favorites as a result. John Means has been dominant for the Orioles when healthy. Well, he is back to full strength now and proved it in his first start of the season on May 4th, pitching 7 shutout innings with 8 K's against the Cincinnati Reds. Ryne Nelson is 2-2 with a 5.22 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in five starts for the Diamondbacks this season. He has allowed 12 earned runs and 33 base runners in 20 2/3 innings. He just returned from the IL to allow 4 earned runs in 5 innings to the Padres on May 5th. Bet the Orioles Saturday. |
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05-10-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Padres | 1-2 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-105) The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now going 14-2 in their last 16 games overall with 12 wins by two runs or more. They have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres that should have them winning this game by two runs or more. Tyler Glasnow is among the favorites to win the NL Cy Young award. He is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs in 21 innings with 29 K's. The Dodgers are 7-1 in his eight starts this season with six wins by two runs or more. I'll gladly fade Michael King, who has already allowed 9 homers in 38 2/3 innings this season. He is 0-1 with a 7.72 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in two home starts, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 1/3 innings. King faced the Dodgers earlier this season on April 12th, allowing 7 runs, 4 earned, and 4 homers in 5 innings. He will get lit up again tonight. San Diego is 2-10 in home games in night games this season and getting outscored by 3.0 runs per game. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday. |
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05-10-24 | Royals -107 v. Angels | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Kansas City Royals -107 The Kansas City Royals have advantages on the mound and at the plate over the Los Angeles Angels tonight. I like the value we are getting on the Royals at basically even money in Game 2 of this series off their 10-4 win in Game 1. Alec Marsh takes a big step down in class here against an Angels lineup that is in a world of hurt right now without Mike Trout and a few others due to injury. Marsh is 3-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five starts this season. He has pitched 10 shutout innings in his last two starts against Baltimore and Toronto. I'll gladly fade Griffin Canning, who is 1-4 with a 6.69 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 26 earned runs and 6 homers in 35 innings. Canning is 1-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in three home starts this season. The Angels are 1-10 at home with a money line of +125 to -125 this season. The Royals are 16-5 against AL teams that score 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season. Kansas City is 11-2 against teams with a bad bullpen with a 4.70 ERA or worse this season. Bet the Royals Friday. |
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05-10-24 | Phillies -1.5 v. Marlins | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-110) The Philadelphia Phillies are the hottest team in baseball going 18-4 in their last 22 games overall with 13 wins by two runs or more. I fully expect them to win this game against the Miami Marlins by multiple runs tonight. The Marlins have the second-worst record in baseball this season at 10-29. They have gone 4-12 in their last 16 games overall with 11 losses by two runs or more. Ranger Suarez is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He has gone 6-0 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.72 WHIP in seven starts this season allowing just 9 earned runs and 34 base runners in 47 innings. The Phillies are 7-0 in his seven starts this season with six wins by 3 runs or more. Suarez is 3-1 with a 2.01 ERA in seven career starts against Miami. Trevor Rogers is 0-5 with a 6.15 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 23 earned runs and 58 base runners in 33 2/3 innings. The Marlins are 0-8 in Rogers' last eight starts with all eight losses coming by two runs or more. Rogers is 1-5 with a 6.70 ERA in nine career starts against the Phillies. The Phillies are 13-2 in Suarez's last 15 road starts in the first half of the season. The Marlins are 0-10 in Rogers' last 10 starts with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs and getting outscored by 4.9 runs per game in this spot. Miami is 2-17 in Rogers' last 19 starts off a loss. Philadelphia is 8-0 in Suarez's last eight starts against an NL team with a .245 batting average or worse. Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Friday. |
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05-10-24 | Diamondbacks v. Orioles -118 | Top | 2-4 | Win | 100 | 7 h 24 m | Show |
20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Baltimore Orioles -118 The Baltimore Orioles are 24-12 this season and one of the best teams in baseball. They should be much bigger favorites over the Arizona Diamondbacks today given their rest advantage and their advantage on the mound. The Orioles had yesterday off while the Diamondbacks completed their 3-game series in Cincinnati yesterday and now have to travel to Baltimore. Cole Irvin is 3-1 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.07 WHIP in six starts for the Orioles this season, allowing just 2 homers in 34 2/3 innings. He has been unhittable in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.60 WHIP while pitching 20 shutout innings and allowing just 12 base runners. Brandon Pfaadt has been a major disappointment for the Diamondbacks in his two seasons in big leagues not living up to the hype. Pfaadt is 1-2 with a 4.61 ERA in seven starts this season, allowing 21 earned runs and 5 homers in 41 innings. The Orioles will tag him tonight. The Orioles are 15-2 with a money line of +125 to -125 this season. We are getting tremendous value on Baltimore tonight. Bet the Orioles Friday. |
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05-09-24 | Royals -111 v. Angels | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 19 m | Show | |
15* Royals/Angels AL Late-Night BAILOUT on Kansas City -111 The Kansas City Royals have advantages on the mound and at the plate over the Los Angeles Angels tonight. I like the value we are getting on the Royals at basically even money in Game 1 of this series. Michael Wacha takes a big step down in class here against an Angels lineup that is in a world of hurt right now without Mike Trout and a few others due to injury. Wacha has never lost to the Angels, going 3-0 with a 0.44 ERA and 0.73 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing just one earned run in 20 2/3 innings. Reid Detmers has come back down to reality in a big way of late. The left-hander is 0-3 with an 8.15 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing a whopping 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 17 2/3 innings. Detmers has posted a 5.90 ERA in two career starts against the Royals, allowing 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 2/3 innings. The Angels are 1-9 at home with a money line of +125 to -125 this season. The Royals are 15-5 against AL teams that score 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season. Kansas City is 10-2 against teams with a bad bullpen with a 4.70 ERA or worse this season. Bet the Royals Thursday. |
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05-09-24 | Astros v. Yankees OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -115 | 5 h 54 m | Show | |
15* Astros/Yankees AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8 The New York Yankees are hitting the cover off the ball right now. They have scored at least 5 runs in four consecutive games and a total of 29 runs in those four games. They beat the Astros 10-3 in Game 1 and 9-4 in Game 2 and are fully capable of covering this total on their own. The Astros have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall, including 8 runs or more four times during this stretch. I think they will do enough to contribute to us cashing this OVER 8 ticket tonight. Two reeling starting pitchers square off in this one. Ronel Blanco has come back down to reality after throwing a no-hitter earlier this season. He has allowed 4 homers in his last three starts. Marcus Stroman is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.84 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 8 earned runs, 3 homers and 27 base runners in 14 2/3 innings. The Astros and Yankees have combined for at least 7 runs in 10 consecutive meetings, including 8 runs or more in eight of those 10. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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05-08-24 | Giants -1.5 v. Rockies | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-110) The San Francisco Giants have a big advantage on the mound over the Colorado Rockies tonight that should have them winning this game by two runs or more. The Rockies are 1-8 in their last nine games overall and have scored a total of 11 runs in their last six games overall. Jordan Hicks is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Hicks is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in seven starts for the Giants, allowing just 8 earned runs and one homer in 38 innings. He will shut down the ice cold Rockies tonight. I'll gladly fade Peter Lambert, who is 0-1 with a 14.22 ERA and 2.21 WHIP in two starts for the Rockies this season, allowing 10 earned runs and 14 base runners in 6 1/3 innings. Lambert is 0-1 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in four career starts against San Francisco. He allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings of a 6-3 loss to the Giants in his last start against them. Colorado is 8-27 in all games this season and getting outscored by 2.4 runs per game. Bet the Giants on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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05-08-24 | White Sox +210 v. Rays | 4-1 | Win | 210 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago White Sox +210 I'll take a shot with the Chicago White Sox today as better than 2-to-1 underdogs to the Tampa Bay Rays because Aaron Civale has no business being this big of a favorite against anyone. The White Sox will also be motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series. Civale is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 7 homers in 36 2/3 innings. Civale has been brutal in his last three starts, going 0-1 with an 11.85 ERA and 2.05 WHIP while allowing 18 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. One of those starts came against the White Sox on April 27th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of an 8-7 defeat as a -180 favorite. Chris Flexen is 2-1 with a 1.96 ERA in his last three starts against the Rays, allowing just 4 earned runs and one homer in 18 1/3 innings. He faced Tampa Bay on April 26th and pitched 5 shutout innings of a 9-4 victory as a +200 underdog. The value is too good to pass up today. Bet the White Sox Wednesday. |
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05-08-24 | White Sox v. Rays OVER 8 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Rays OVER 8 The Tampa Bay Rays have come to life at the plate scoring a total of 33 runs in their last five games overall. The Chicago White Sox have come to life at the plate over the last two weeks, scoring 5 runs or more in six of their last 11 games overall. This total of 8 is too low for a game involving these two awful starting pitchers tonight. Aaron Civale is 2-2 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.34 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 7 homers in 36 2/3 innings. Civale has been brutal in his last three starts, going 0-1 with an 11.85 ERA and 2.05 WHIP while allowing 18 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. One of those starts came against the White Sox on April 27th when he allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of an 8-7 defeat as a -180 favorite. Chris FLexen is 1-3 with a 5.79 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 15 earned runs, 4 homers and 36 base runners in 23 1/3 innings with only 13 K's. Civale is 22-8 OVER at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs in his career. Flexen is 9-1 OVER in his last 10 starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest. Flexen is 16-3 OVER in his last 19 starts overall. Flexen is 10-1 OVER In his last 11 starts against a team with a winning record. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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05-08-24 | Marlins v. Dodgers -1.5 | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 47 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Early Afternoon ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-121) The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now going 13-2 in their last 15 games overall with 11 wins by two runs or more. They have a big advantage on the mound this afternoon over the lowly Marlins, who are 10-28 on the season. Gavin Stone is 2-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in six starts for the Dodgers this season. He'll be opposed by Ryan Weathers, who is 2-3 with a 4.54 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.89 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in his last three. Weathers is 0-1 with a 9.34 ERA in his last two starts against the Dodgers, allowing 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 2/3 innings. The Dodgers are 30-7 in their last 37 home games off two or more consecutive wins and outscoring opponents by 2.9 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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05-07-24 | Marlins v. Dodgers OVER 7.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 57 m | Show | |
15* NL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Marlins/Dodgers OVER 7.5 This is a very low total for a game involving the Los Angeles Dodgers. They are scoring 5.5 runs per game overall, 5.8 runs per game at home and 6.1 runs per game against right-handed starters. They are capable of covering this 7.5-run total on their own tonight. Edward Cabrera is 1-1 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four starts for the Marlins this season. He has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado and Washington at home. Cabrera allowed 6 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of an 8-1 loss to the Dodgers in his lone career start against them. The Marlins have scored a total of 19 runs in their last three games and have scored at least 4 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall. They will chip in enough to get this one up and OVER this 7.5-run total. The Dodgers are 11-2 OVER at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs this season. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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05-07-24 | Marlins v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 58 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-136) The Los Angeles Dodgers are rolling right now going 12-2 in their last 14 games overall with 10 wins by two runs or more. They have a big advantage on the mound over the lowly Marlins, who are 10-27 on the season. Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 3-1 with a 2.91 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in seven starts this season with 42 K's in 34 innings. He has fired 12 shutout innings in his last two starts coming in. Edward Cabrera is 1-1 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in four starts for the Marlins this season. He has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 8 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Colorado and Washington at home. Cabrera allowed 6 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of an 8-1 loss to the Dodgers in his lone career start against them. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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05-07-24 | Angels v. Pirates -121 | Top | 9-0 | Loss | -121 | 9 h 35 m | Show |
20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Pittsburgh Pirates -121 The Los Angeles Angels are in a world of hurt right now without Mike Trout. They have scored exactly one run in four of their last five games. They are 3-14 in their last 17 games overall and getting way too much respect here against the Pittsburgh Pirates. The Pirates have won three consecutive games and I like what I've seen from Quinn Priester in his last two starts. He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 12 innings in those two starts and will shut down the Angels today. I'll gladly fade Patrick Sandoval, who is 1-5 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.72 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-2 with a 7.16 ERA and 1.90 WHIP in four road starts. The Pirates are 8-4 against left-handed starters this season and scoring 4.4 runs per game against them. The Angels are 4-16 in Sandoval's last 20 starts with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs. Bet the Pirates Tuesday. |
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05-07-24 | White Sox v. Rays OVER 8 | 1-5 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 29 m | Show | |
15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Rays OVER 8 The Tampa Bay Rays came to life at the plate over the weekend scoring a total of 28 runs in their last four games overall. The Chicago White Sox have come to life at the plate over the last two weeks, scoring 5 runs or more in six of their last 10 games overall. Both offenses should stay hot against these two starting pitchers. Mike Soroka is 0-3 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in seven starts for the White Sox this season. Zach Eflin is 1-4 with a 4.17 ERA in seven starts this season for the Rays and has already allowed 6 homers in 41 innings. Eflin allowed 4 earned runs and 11 base runners in 6 innings of a 9-4 loss to the White Sox back on April 26th. The OVER is 11-5 in White Sox last 16 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 16 games. The OVER is 9-5 in Rays last 14 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 10 of those 14 games. The OVER is 8-0 in Soroka's last eight starts in the first half of the season. The OVER is 7-0 in Soroka's seven starts this season. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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05-06-24 | Mariners -109 v. Twins | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -109 | 8 h 21 m | Show |
20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Seattle Mariners -109 The Minnesota Twins just had their 12-game winning streak snapped with a 9-2 loss to Boston on Sunday. I love fading teams after having an extended winning streak snapped because there tends to be a hangover effect in the next game. They just aren't motivated any more to keep the winning streak going. The Seattle Mariners are 13-5 in their last 18 games overall with some elite starting pitching. Luis Castillo has been the catalyst, going 3-0 with a 0.90 ERA and 0.65 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 2 earned runs and 13 base runners in 20 innings with 22 K's. Castillo is 1-0 with a 2.84 ERA in his last three starts against the Twins, allowing 6 earned runs in 19 innings with 27 K's. Simeon Woods-Richardson is no more than a fill-in starter for the Twins. He is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in three starts this season while averaging less than 5 innings per start. He has gotten to face the White Sox (twice) and Tigers, two of the worst lineups in baseball. This is a big step up in class for the youngster tonight. Bet the Mariners Monday. |
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05-06-24 | White Sox v. Rays OVER 7.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 8 h 38 m | Show | |
15* AL Monday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Rays OVER 7.5 The Tampa Bay Rays came to life at the plate over the weekend scoring a total of 20 runs in their 3-game sweep of the Mets. The Chicago White Sox have come to life at the plate over the last two weeks, scoring 5 runs or more in six of their last nine games overall. Both offenses should stay hot against these two terrible starting pitchers. Mike Clevinger is making his first start of the season for the White Sox. I expect him to be on a pitch count and for the Rays to get after him and this rough Chicago bullpen. Tyler Alexander is 0-1 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.54 WHIP in three starts for the Rays this season. The White Sox should tee off on him and this disappointing Tampa Bay bullpen that has a 5.06 ERA on the season. The Rays are 26-9 OVER in their last 35 games after a game where their bullpen threw 6 or more innings in their previous game. The OVER is 10-5 in White Sox last 15 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 15 games. The OVER is 8-5 in Rays last 13 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 9 of those 13 games. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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05-06-24 | Tigers v. Guardians UNDER 7.5 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
15* Tigers/Guardians AL Central ANNIHILATOR on UNDER 7.5 Two below-average offenses square off today at pitcher-friendly Progressive Field in Cleveland against two above-average starting pitchers and bullpens. I will back the UNDER 7.5 runs as a result. Detroit and its opponents have combined for 8 or fewer runs in six of its last seven games overall, including 5 or fewer in four of those. The Tigers are hitting .224 and scoring 3.9 runs per game this season. The Guardians and their opponents have combined for 8 or fewer runs in eight of their last 10 games overall. They just lost leadoff hitter Steven Kwan to a hamstring injury over the weekend. Jack Flaherty is 0-1 with a 4.00 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in six starts for the Tigers this season with a whopping 50 K's in 36 innings. Triston McKenzie is 1-0 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in his last three starts with 19 K's in 16 innings. Flaherty has allowed 2 earned runs in 12 innings in his last two starts against Cleveland. The UNDER is 3-0 in Flaherty's three career starts against the Guardians. McKenzie is 3-2 with a 1.05 ERA and 0.77 WHIP in seven career starts against Detroit. The UNDER is 5-1-1 in those seven starts. The UNDER is 14-4-1 in the last 19 meetings. The Guardians and Tigers have combined for 8 or fewer runs in 16 of those 19 meetings, including 7 runs or fewer in 14 of those 19. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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05-05-24 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 1-5 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 36 m | Show | |
15* Braves/Dodgers NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5 This total of 8.5 is very low for a game involving two of the best offenses in baseball in the Braves and Dodgers. The Braves are scoring 5.2 runs per game overall and 5.5 runs per game against left-handed starters, while the Dodgers are scoring 5.5 runs per game overall and 5.8 runs per game at home. Max Fried is 2-0 with a 4.02 ERA in six starts for the Braves this season. James Paxton is 3-0 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.68 WHIP in five starts for the Dodgers, already allowing 22 walks in 25 2/3 innings with only 15 K's. Neither starter has displayed great stuff this season in the K department. The Dodgers are 10-1 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Paxton is 9-1 OVER when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last two seasons. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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05-05-24 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 9 | 4-11 | Win | 100 | 5 h 10 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 9 The San Diego Padres have scored at least 6 runs in five of their last six games and are raking right now. The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 4.9 runs per game at home this season. This is a very low total for these two offenses up against these two below-average starting pitchers today. The Padres should stay hot at the plate against Ryne Nelson, who is 1-2 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in four starts this season, including 1-1 with a 5.19 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in two home starts. Nelson is 1-2 with a 6.04 ERA in five career starts against the Padres. He has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts against San Diego. Matt Waldron is 1-3 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in six starts this season for the Padres. Waldron allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of a 6-4 loss to the Diamondbacks in his lone career start against them. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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05-05-24 | Mariners +122 v. Astros | 5-4 | Win | 122 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +122 The Seattle Mariners are 12-5 in their last 17 games overall. They should not be underdogs to Hunter Brown and the Houston Astros today. The Astros are 12-21 (-14.6 units) this season and grossly overvalued. Speaking of overvalued, Brown continues to get respect that he doesn't deserve. Brown is 0-4 with a 9.78 ERA and 2.22 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 25 earned runs and 51 base runners in 23 innings. He is 0-2 with a 17.46 ERA and 3.70 WHIP in two career starts against Seattle, allowing 11 earned runs and 21 base runners in 5 2/3 innings. Bryce Miller is 3-2 with a 2.04 ERA and 0.88 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing just 8 earned runs and 31 base runners in 35 1/3 innings with 39 K's. Miller is 2-1 with a 2.20 ERA and 0.80 WHIP in three career starts against the Astros, allowing just 4 earned runs and 13 base runners in 16 1/3 innings. Bet the Mariners Sunday. |
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05-05-24 | Angels v. Guardians -129 | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 3 h 54 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Cleveland Guardians -129 The Los Angeles Angels are in shambles right now without Mike Trout. The rest of their lineup leaves a lot to be desired and there are more injuries they are dealing with right now. The Angels are 3-12 in their last 15 games overall. They should be bigger underdogs to the Cleveland Guardians today. I'll gladly fade Griffin Canning, who is 1-3 with a 7.45 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in six starts this season while allowing 24 earned runs and 45 base runners in 29 innings. Canning is 0-3 with an 8.16 ERA in three road starts, allowing 13 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings. Bet the Guardians Sunday. |
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05-04-24 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 11 h 39 m | Show |
20* Braves/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5 This total of 8.5 is very low for a game involving two of the best offenses in baseball in the Braves and Dodgers. The Braves are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.5 runs per game on the road, while the Dodgers are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.5 runs per game on the road. Tyler Glasnow is getting a lot of respect here but he has a mediocre 3.60 ERA in four home starts and the OVER is 3-1 in his four home starts. Bryce Elder has been solid in two starts against Cleveland and Miami, but he now takes a big step up in class here against the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 9-1 OVER when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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05-04-24 | Padres v. Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 | 13-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show | |
15* NL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 The San Diego Padres have scored at least 6 runs in four of their last five games and are raking right now. The Arizona Diamondbacks are scoring 5.1 runs per game at home this season. This is a very low total for these two offenses up against these two below-average starting pitchers tonight. Michael King is 1-3 with a 4.68 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in six starts for the Padres this season, already allowing 9 homers and 18 walks in 32 2/3 innings. He has been very poor in his last two starts, allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings. Brandon Pfaadt is 1-1 with a 4.63 ERA in six starts this season, allowing 18 earned runs and 5 homers in 35 innings. Pfaadt had a lot of hype coming into the big leagues but has been a major disappointment in his first two seasons. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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05-04-24 | Angels v. Guardians -131 | Top | 1-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 46 m | Show |
20* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Guardians -131 The Los Angeles Angels are in shambles right now without Mike Trout. The rest of their lineup leaves a lot to be desired. The Angels are 3-11 in their last 14 games overall. They should be bigger underdogs to the Cleveland Guardians tonight. Cleveland wants revenge from a 6-0 loss to the Angels yesterday as -195 favorites. Now we get them at a big discount today. I like what I've seen from starter Ben Lively, who has posted a 2.30 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing just 4 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings with 19 K's. Reid Detmers has come back down to reality in his last two starts, allowing 9 earned runs, 2 homers and 18 base runners in 12 innings in losses to the Orioles and Twins. Detmers is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in four career starts against Cleveland. The Angels lost both of his starts to the Guardians last year where he allowed 6 earned runs in 10 innings. The Guardians are 6-1 against left-handed starters this season and scoring 6.4 runs per game in these games. Bet the Guardians Saturday. |
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05-04-24 | Brewers v. Cubs -121 | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 56 m | Show | |
15* Brewers/Cubs NL Central Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -121 The Chicago Cubs come back highly motivated for a victory after dropping Game 1 of this series to the Milwaukee Brewers. I think the Cubs have a big advantage on the mound and should be bigger home favorites as a result. Jameson Taillon is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in three starts for the Cubs this season, allowing just 3 earned runs and 17 base runners in 18 innings. He'll be opposed by Tobias Myers, who is 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in two starts for the Brewers. He shut down a bad Pittsburgh offense, but was tagged for 4 earned runs and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 15-5 loss to the Yankees in his last start. Taillon's teams are 32-8 in his last 40 starts after he allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in two consecutive starts. Bet the Cubs Saturday. |
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05-03-24 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 18 m | Show |
20* Braves/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER ticket in Game 1 tonight between two of the best offenses in baseball. There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Los Angeles tonight. The Dodgers are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall, 5.6 runs per game at home and 5.9 runs per game against right-handed starters. The Braves are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall and 5.6 runs per game on the road. Charlie Morton is 2-0 with a 3.60 ERA in five starts this season, but 1-0 with a 4.76 ERA in two road starts. Morton is 1-5 with a 5.37 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 10 career starts against the Dodgers. He has allowed 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Los Angeles. Gavin Stone is 2-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 1.36 WHIP in five starts this season, but 1-0 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in three home starts. Stone allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 innings of an 8-6 win over the Braves in his lone career start against them last season. The Dodgers are 15-2 OVER in their last 17 games against NL teams that allow 4.0 or fewer runs per game. Los Angeles is 8-1 OVER in home games vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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05-03-24 | Orioles v. Reds OVER 9 | 3-0 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 2 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Reds OVER 9 The Baltimore Orioles have one of the best offenses in baseball. They are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.5 runs per game on the road. The Cincinnati Reds are scoring 5.1 runs per game at home inside hitter-friendly Great American Ballpark. I expect some fireworks offensively in Game 1 of this series tonight. Cole Irvin is 2-1 with a 3.49 ERA in five starts for the Orioles this season, and 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in two road starts. He has faced a very soft schedule and takes a big step up in class here. Hunter Greene is 1-2 with a 3.63 ERA in six starts this season, and 0-2 with a 4.94 ERA in four home starts. Greene allowed 4 earned runs in 7 innings to the Phillies and 6 earned runs in 6 innings to the Brewers in his last two home starts. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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05-02-24 | Guardians v. Astros OVER 9 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 11 h 3 m | Show | |
15* Guardians/Astros AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9 The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 5.2 runs per game overall including 5.3 runs per game on the road. The Houston Astros are hitting .281 and scoring 4.9 runs per game at home. These two offenses should have their way against these two awful starting pitchers tonight. Logan Allen is 3-1 in spite of a 5.46 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 6 homers in 31 1/3 innings. The OVER is 5-1 in Allen's six starts this season. Allen allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings of a 10-9 win over the Astros in his lone career start against them last season. Spencer Arrighetti is only in the rotation for Houston due to injuries to their other starters. He is 0-3 with a 10.97 ERA and 2.34 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 25 base runners in 10 2/3 innings. Cleveland is 9-2 OVER against AL West opponents this season. Houston is 21-10 OVER in its last 31 games when revenging a one-run loss. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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05-01-24 | Dodgers -134 v. Diamondbacks | 8-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -134 The Los Angeles Dodgers are highly motivated to win this series against the Arizona Diamondbacks after getting swept by them in the playoffs last year. They won 8-4 in Game 1 but lost 4-3 in extras last night. I expect them to take Game 3 tonight with their advantage on the mound and at the plate. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has been dominant since losing to the Padres in Japan in the opener. He is 2-0 with a 2.00 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 6 earned runs in 27 innings with 35 K's. Jordan Montgomery got off to a late start this season after being signed late by the Diamondbacks. After facing the Cardinals and Giants in his first two starts this season, Montgomery takes a big step up in class here against the Dodgers. He is 0-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.37 WHIP in two career starts against Los Angeles while allowing 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings. Arizona is 3-10 off a win this season. The Dodgers are 54-23 in their last 77 games off a loss. Bet the Dodgers Wednesday. |
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05-01-24 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 2-0 | Loss | -105 | 9 h 35 m | Show | |
15* AL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Orioles OVER 8.5 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Orioles tonight. It's going to be 80 degrees at game time with light winds blowing out to right-center at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are scoring 5.4 runs per game this season while the Yankees are scoring 5.5 runs per game on the road. These are two of the best lineups in the American League, and both are hot right now. The Yankees scored 30 runs in two games over the weekend and have now scored at least 6 runs in four of their last seven games overall. The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs or more in 14 of their last 16 games overall. Both offenses have been held in check in this series thus far, but I expect them to explode in Game 3. Corbin Burnes has already allowed 5 homers in 35 1/3 innings, while Luis Gil has control issues with 19 walks in 24 2/3 innings. This total of 8.5 is too low for these two offenses this afternoon. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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05-01-24 | Reds v. Padres OVER 8 | Top | 2-6 | Push | 0 | 6 h 18 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Padres OVER 8 The Cincinnati Reds have a potent lineup that is scoring 4.9 runs per game. The San Diego Padres are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season. This is a very low total for a game involving these two offenses with 10 MPH winds expected to be blowing out to right-center in San Diego this afternoon. Joe Musgrove consistently gets too much respect from the books and is with this low total again today. Musgrove is 3-3 with a 6.94 ERA and 1.66 WHIP in seven starts this season, allowing 27 earned runs, 9 homers and 58 base runners in 35 innings with only 27 K's. The OVER is 5-2 in Musgrove's seven starts and the OVER is 7-2 in Musgrove's last nine starts against Cincinnati. Graham Ashcraft is 3-1 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.29 WHIP in five starts for the Reds this season, allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 28 2/3 innings. The Padres are scoring 5.1 runs per game against right-handed starters this season and should get to Ashcraft today. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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05-01-24 | Phillies -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 2 m | Show |
20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-110) The Los Angeles Angels are playing like the team most thought they would be coming into the season, which is one of the worst teams in baseball. They have gone 2-10 in their last 12 games overall and just lost Mike Trout to a torn meniscus. He was having a great season and the lone bright spot on this team. The Philadelphia Phillies are showing what they are capable of, which is one of the best teams in baseball. They have gone 12-3 in their last 15 games overall and have now scored at least 5 runs in 12 of their last 14 games. They are raking at the plate right now. The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Patrick Sandoval, who is 1-4 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.81 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 20 earned runs and 49 base runners in 27 innings. Philadelphia has a big advantage on the mound behind ace Zack Wheeler, who is 2-3 with a 1.93 ERA and 0.86 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 32 base runners in 37 1/3 innings with 46 K's. The Angels are 2-14 in Sandoval's last 16 starts against a team with a winning record and getting outscored by 4.3 runs per game in this spot. The Angels are 1-10 in Sandoval's last 11 home starts with a total set of 8 to 8.5 runs and getting outscored by 3.8 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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04-30-24 | Dodgers -110 v. Diamondbacks | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NL Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -110 The Los Angeles Dodgers want revenge after getting swept by the Arizona Diamondbacks in three games in the playoffs last year to end their season. The won Game 1 8-4 last night, and I expect them to crush the Diamondbacks again in Game 2 tonight. I like what I've seen from Landon Knack, who is 1-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.00 WHIP in two starts for the Dodgers this season. Knack will be up against an ice cold Arizona lineup that has scored a total of 10 runs in their last five games for an average of just 2.0 runs per game. The Diamondbacks hitting .208 and scoring 3.7 runs per game against right-handed starters this season. The Dodgers have one of the best lineups in baseball and are hitting .275 and scoring 5.4 runs per game this season. I expect them to get to Jordan Montgomery, who signed late with the Diamondbacks and is behind the eight ball. Montgomery is 0-2 with a 5.90 ERA and 1.41 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 2/3 innings. Montgomery's teams are 1-8 (-10.6 Units) in his last nine starts when the total is 9 to 9.5 runs. Bet the Dodgers Tuesday. |
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04-30-24 | Reds v. Padres OVER 7.5 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 57 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Reds/Padres OVER 7.5 The Cincinnati Reds have a potent lineup that is scoring 5.0 runs per game. The San Diego Padres are scoring 4.7 runs per game this season. This is a very low total for a game involving these two offenses tonight. Nick Martinez is 0-1 with a 7.31 ERA and 1.69 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 27 base runners in 16 innings. Yu Darvish is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA in his last three starts for the Padres, allowing 10 earned runs in 15 innings. Both starters are getting too much respect tonight. Cincinnati is 16-5 OVER in its last 21 road games after allowing 2 runs or less. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-30-24 | Phillies -134 v. Angels | 7-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 48 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Philadelphia Phillies -134 The Los Angeles Angels are playing like the team most thought they would be coming into the season, which is one of the worst teams in baseball. They have gone 2-9 in their last 11 games overall and just gave up a total of 27 runs in two games over the weekend to the Twins. The Philadelphia Phillies are showing what they are capable of, which is one of the best teams in baseball. They have gone 11-3 in their last 14 games overall and have now scored at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 13 games. They are raking at the plate right now. The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Tyler Anderson, who is very fortunate to have the numbers he has to this point. Anderson has 21 K's in 30 1/3 innings and doesn't have elite stuff at all. Anderson has allowed 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Phillies. Spencer Turnbull is the real deal for the Phillies. He has gone 2-0 with a 1.33 ERA and 0.85 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing just 4 earned runs and 23 base runners in 27 innings with 30 K's, showing he has elite stuff with this K numbers. The Angels are 1-9 at home with a line of +125 to -125 this season. Bet the Phillies Tuesday. |
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04-30-24 | Guardians v. Astros OVER 9 | 9-10 | Win | 100 | 9 h 23 m | Show | |
15* AL Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Guardians/Astros OVER 9 The Cleveland Guardians are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season including 5.2 runs per game on the road. The Houston Astros are scoring 4.8 runs per game at home. Both offenses should have their way against these two awful starting pitchers tonight. Hunter Brown is 0-4 with a 9.68 ERA and 2.49 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 44 base runners in 17 2/3 innings. Carlos Carrasco is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA and 1.63 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 12 earned runs and 38 base runners in 23 1/3 innings. Carrasco has allowed 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts against the Astros. Cleveland is 8-1 OVER against AL West opponents this season. Houston is 8-0 OVER in its last eight home games after allowing 4 runs or fewer in four consecutive games. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-30-24 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 51 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Yankees/Orioles OVER 9 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket between the Yankees and Orioles tonight. It's going to be 85 degrees at game time with 10 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center at Camden Yards in Baltimore. The Orioles are scoring 5.5 runs per game this season while the Yankees are scoring 5.7 runs per game on the road. These are two of the best lineups in the American League, and both are hot right now. The Yankees scored 30 runs in two games over the weekend and have now scored at least 6 runs in four of their last six games overall. The Orioles have scored at least 6 runs in three of their last five, and 4 runs or more in 13 of their last 15 games overall. Nestor Cortes is 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA and 1.64 WHIP in three road starts this season. Dean Kremer is 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA and 1.61 WHIP in two home starts. Kremer is 2-3 with a 5.04 ERA in nine career starts against the Yankees. Cortes allowed 4 runs and 2 homers in 6 innings of a 9-6 loss to the Orioles in his last start against them. The Yankees are 12-3 OVER in their last 15 road games after scoring and allowing 3 runs or less. The OVER is 15-5 in Kremer's last 20 starts in the first half of the season. The OVER is 13-1 in Kremer's last 14 starts against a AL team that hits .255 or worse. The OVER is 10-0 in Kremer's last 10 starts against a AL team that slugs .410 or worse. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-29-24 | Reds v. Padres OVER 8 | 5-2 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 3 m | Show | |
15* NL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Padres OVER 8 The Cincinnati Reds have a potent lineup that is scoring 5.0 runs per game. The San Diego Padres are scoring 4.8 runs per game this season. This is a very low total for a game involving these two offenses tonight. Nick Lodolo will be making his 4th start of the season. After shutting down two of the worst lineups in baseball in the White Sox and Angels, he took a big step up in class and allowed 3 runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings of a 7-4 win over the Phillies in his last start. He won't be able to hold the Padres in check, either. The Reds should have plenty of success against Matt Waldron, who is 1-2 with a 3.96 ERA and 1.44 WHIP in five starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.34 ERA and 2.08 WHIP in two home starts, allowing 9 earned runs and 16 hits in 8 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-29-24 | Dodgers v. Diamondbacks OVER 10 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 2 m | Show | |
15* NL West PLAY OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Diamondbacks OVER 10 The Dodgers are hitting .274 and scoring 5.3 runs per game this season. They should be able to name their number against Tommy Henry, who is 1-1 with a 5.55 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in five starts this season, including 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.16 WHIP in two home starts. James Paxton is fortunate to have a 2.61 ERA in his four starts this season when you consider he has a 1.55 WHIP and has allowed 17 walks in 20 2/3 innings with only 11 K's. He has somehow been able to get out of trouble despite lacking good 'stuff'. His luck runs out tonight against an Arizona lineup that is hitting .294 and scoring 7.3 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. The Dodgers are 10-2 OVER vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-29-24 | Twins v. White Sox OVER 7.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -102 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
15* AL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Twins/White Sox OVER 7.5 The Minnesota Twins are raking right now scoring 5 runs or more in seven consecutive games while averaging 8.1 runs per game in their last seven. The Chicago White Sox have finally gotten their bats going as well scoring 3 runs or more in six consecutive games, including a total of 21 runs in their 3-game sweep of the Rays last series. The forecast will aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the White Sox and Twins. There are expected to be 13 MPH winds blowing out to left tonight at Guaranteed Rate Field with temps approaching 70. Both starters are getting too much respect in this one. Joe Ryan has allowed 7 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts. He gave up 2 homers in 6 innings to the White Sox in his last start on April 24th of a 6-3 victory opposite Garrett Crochet. Ryan has allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 innings in his last two starts against Chicago. Crochet has been a major disappointment for the White Sox. He is 1-4 with a 6.37 ERA in six starts this season, including 0-3 with a 13.11 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 2/3 innings. Crochet gave up 5 earned runs in 4 innings in that loss to the Twins on April 24th. Minnesota is 22-6 OVER in its last 28 games against a starting pitcher that allowed one or more homers per start. The OVER is 5-0-1 in Twins last six games overall. The OVER is 5-1 in White Sox last six games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-29-24 | Yankees v. Orioles OVER 9 | Top | 0-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 7 m | Show |
20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Yankees/Orioles OVER 9 The Orioles are scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this season while the Yankees are scoring 6.1 runs per game on the road. These are two of the best lineups in the American League, and both are hot right now. The Yankees scored 30 runs in two games over the weekend and have not scored at least 6 runs in four of their last five games overall. The Orioles have scored at least 6 runs in three of their last four, and 4 runs or more in 13 of their last 14 games overall. The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 9 ticket tonight. Temps will be in the 80's with 8 MPH winds blowing out to left in Baltimore tonight. The ball should be flying off the bats of both teams in his humid air. Grayson Rodriquez allowed 7 eruns and 12 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Angels in his last start. Clarke Schmidt is 2-1 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in three career starts against the Orioles, and the OVER is 3-1 in those four starts. Rodriquez is 12-3 OVER in his last 15 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-28-24 | Reds v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -125 | 4 h 35 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Reds/Rangers OVER 8.5 Two above-average offenses square off today in Texas against two below-average starting pitchers. The Reds are scoring 5.0 runs per game while the Rangers are scoring 4.6 runs per game this season. Andrew Abbott lacks elite stuff with just 20 K's in 27 2/3 innings and 11 walks and 3 homers allowed. I expect the Rangers to tee off on him. But the Reds will also tee off on Dane Dunning, who is 2-2 with a 4.61 ERA with 7 homers and 16 walks allowed in 27 1/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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04-28-24 | Dodgers v. Blue Jays OVER 8.5 | Top | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 3 h 44 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Blue Jays OVER 8.5 The Los Angeles Dodgers are hitting .277 and scoring 5.4 runs per game this season, including .287 and 6.2 runs per game against right-handed-starters. They will get 6-plus in this one and lead the way in us cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket. Kevin Gausman is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in five starts for the Blue Jays this season, including 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.96 WHIP in two home starts. Gausman is 1-4 with a 4.31 ERA in eight career starts against the Dodgers. Michael Grove will be making his first start of the season for the Dodgers. He has posted a 6.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 15 innings in relief this season. Grove is 3-3 with a 5.72 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in 113 1/3 innings in the big leagues. The Blue Jays will have a lot of success at the plate today as well. The Dodgers are 10-1 OVER in their last 11 road games against AL East opponents. Toronto is 23-8 OVER in its last 31 Sunday games. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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04-28-24 | A's v. Orioles -1.5 | 7-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+110) The Baltimore Orioles have a massive advantage at the plate today over the Oakland A's that should lead them to winning this game by two or more runs. They are scoring 5.6 runs per game while the A's are scoring just 2.7 runs per game. I've been very impressed with Albert Suarez, who will be making his 3rd start of the season for the Orioles. Suarez is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.79 WHIP in two starts this season, pitching 11 1/3 shutout innings while allowing just 9 base runners. He will shut down the A's, who have scored 3 runs or fewer in nine consecutive games after getting shut out yesterday. Baltimore is 26-7 in its last 33 games against bad teams that are outscored by one or more runs per game and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot. Plays on home favorites of -150 or more (Baltimore) - an excellent power team averaging 1.5 or more homers per game after allowing one run or less are 80-14 (85.1%) over the last five seasons. Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Sunday. |
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04-27-24 | Guardians v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Braves OVER 8.5 The Atlanta Braves have arguably the best lineup in baseball. They are hitting .284 and scoring 6.0 runs per game this season. The Cleveland Guardians are much better offensively than they get credit for. They are scoring 5.2 runs per game overall and 5.4 runs per game on the road. This is a very low total for these two potent offenses up against these two suspect starting pitchers. Tanner Bibee is 2-0 with a 4.44 ERA and 1.60 WHIP in five starts for the Guardians this season. Charlie Morton is 2-0 with a 4.69 ERA and 1.26 WHIP in four starts for the Braves. The OVER is 24-9 in Morton's last 33 starts in the first half of the season. He is a notorious slow starter. Both teams should have their way at the plate today. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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04-27-24 | Rays -1.5 v. White Sox | 7-8 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 57 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125) The Chicago White Sox are the worst team in baseball this season. They are 4-22 this season while scoring 2.5 runs per game and allowing 5.6 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.1 runs per game. After a shocking win yesterday in Game 1 over the Rays, I expect them to get back to being the terrible team they are today. The Rays have a big advantage on the mound. Aaron Civale is 2-2 with a 3.90 ERA and 1.23 WHIP in five starts for the Rays this season. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in seven of his 10 career starts against the White Sox. Jonathan Cannon is 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.62 WHIP in two starts for the White Sox this season. He has allowed 7 earned runs and 14 base runners in 8 2/3 innings to the Twins and Royals. Chicago is 0-15 after losing four of its last five games this season and getting outscored by 4.6 runs per game in this spot. Civale's teams are 22-3 in his last 25 starts against bad teams that are outscored by one or more runs per game on the season and winning by 2.2 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Saturday. |
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04-27-24 | A's v. Orioles OVER 8 | 0-7 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 56 m | Show | |
15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on A's/Orioles OVER 8 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket between the A's and Orioles this afternoon. There are expected to be 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Baltimore this afternoon. The Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own. They'll tee off on JP Sears, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles. Cole Irvin is vulnerable for the Orioles. he is 1-1 with a 4.64 ERA and 1.45 WHIP in four starts this season, including 0-1 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.55 WHIP in two home starts. Irvin has a 7.00 ERA in two career starts against Oakland. Baltimore is 10-2 OVER as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. Oakland is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 road games against excellent power teams that average 1.5 or more homers per game. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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04-27-24 | A's v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 122 | 7 h 60 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+122) The Baltimore Orioles are highly motivated for a victory today after getting upset as -275 favorites to the A's in Game 1. They came into this series with a rest advantage over the A's, and that rest advantage will pay dividends today. The A's have most of their top bullpen arms unavailable after needing them to upset the Yankees and Orioles in consecutive days Thursday and Friday. Cole Irvin fired 6 2/3 shutout innings against the Royals in his last start. Irvin allowed just one run in 5 innings of a 7-2 victory in his last start against the A's. He'll be opposed by JP Sears, who has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against the Orioles. The A's lost those two games by 11 and 4 runs. The Orioles are 8-0 in Irvin's last eight starts against an AL team slugging .410 or worse and winning by 2.5 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Saturday. |
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04-26-24 | Phillies v. Padres OVER 7.5 | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 43 m | Show | |
15* Phillies/Padres NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5 Two offenses that have come to life recently square off tonight against two of the most overrated starters in baseball in Aaron Nola and Joe Musgrove. These two starters are getting too much respect here with this total set at just 7.5 runs. Nola is 3-1 with a 3.45 ERA this season but he has already allowed 6 homers in 31 1/3 innings. Nola allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 2/3 innings of an 8-5 loss to the Padres in his last start against them. Musgrove is 3-2 with a 5.74 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 20 earned runs and 5 homers in 31 1/3 innings. Musgrove is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA in his last two starts against the Phillies, allowing 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 2/3 innings. The Phillies have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games overall. The Padres have scored at least 6 runs in seven of their last 14 games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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04-26-24 | Rays -1.5 v. White Sox | 4-9 | Loss | -131 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
15* AL Friday Night BLOWOUT on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-131) The Chicago White Sox are off to one of the worst starts in MLB history. They are 3-22 this season scoring just 2.2 runs per game and allowing 5.6 runs per game, getting outscored by 3.4 runs per game. I'll gladly back the Tampa Bay Rays to win by two runs or more tonight. The Rays have the rest advantage after having yesterday off while the White Sox lost their 6th consecutive game in Minnesota. The Rays also have a massive advantage on the mound in this one. Zach Eflin is the ace of the Rays at 1-2 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.06 WHIP in five starts this season. Eflin is 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.10 WHIP in two career starts against the White Sox. Chris Flexen is one of the worst starters in baseball. Flexen is 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.88 WHIP in three starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 25 base runners in 13 1/3 innings with only 7 K's. He is 1-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.53 WHIP in three career starts against the Rays as well. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Friday. |
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04-26-24 | Guardians v. Braves OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 14 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Guardians/Braves OVER 8.5 The Atlanta Braves have arguably the best lineup in baseball. They are hitting .285 and scoring 6.0 runs per game this season. The Cleveland Guardians are much better offensively than they get credit for. They are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall, including hitting .305 and scoring 7.2 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. The Braves are capable of covering this total on their own against Logan Allen, who has posted a 5.06 ERA and 1.39 WHIP in five starts this season while allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 26 2/3 innings. Chris Sale is 2-1 with a 4.38 ERA in four starts for the Braves this season. He has allowed 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 24 2/3 innings. The Guardians should continue crushing southpaws tonight. Atlanta is 11-2 OVER in its last 13 games after allowing 3 runs or fewer in three consecutive games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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04-26-24 | Cardinals v. Mets OVER 7.5 | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
15* NL Friday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Mets OVER 7.5 The forecast is going to aid us in cashing this OVER 7.5 ticket between the Cardinals and Mets tonight. There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center tonight at Citi Field in New York. The Mets are hot at the plate scoring 6 runs or more in 10 of their last 17 games overall. They will do the heavy lifting for us in cashing this OVER, but the Cardinals have scored 5 runs or more in three of their last five and should do enough at the plate to get this OVER. The Mets could cover this total on their own against Miles Mikolas, who is 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 26 1/3 innings. Mikolas is 0-2 with a 10.97 ERA in his last two starts against the Mets, allowing 13 earned runs and 3 homes in 10 2/3 innings. Both starts came last season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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04-26-24 | Cardinals v. Mets -126 | 4-2 | Loss | -126 | 7 h 15 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on New York Mets -126 The New York Mets have rebounded nicely from a poor start in going 13-6 in their last 19 games overall. They have a big advantage on the mound over the St. Louis Cardinals tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result. Jose Butto is 0-0 with a 1.65 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in three starts for the Mets this season with 21 K's in 16 1/3 innings. He has allowed just 3 earned runs and 8 hits in those 16 1/3 innings as well. I'll gladly fade Miles Mikolas, who is 1-3 with a 6.49 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in five starts this season, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 26 1/3 innings. Mikolas is 0-2 with a 10.97 ERA in his last two starts against the Mets, allowing 13 earned runs and 3 homes in 10 2/3 innings. Both starts came last season. Bet the Mets Friday. |
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04-26-24 | A's v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 6 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-115) I like the spot for the Baltimore Orioles tonight. They have the rest advantage after having yesterday off while the Oakland A's pulled off the 3-1 upset as +240 underdogs against the New York Yankees on the road Thursday. That makes this a letdown spot for the A's, whose bullpen is now taxed as well. The Orioles have big advantages on the mound and at the plate tonight. Ace Corbin Burnes is 3-0 with a 2.76 ERA and 0.92 WHIP in five starts this season. He'll be facing an Oakland lineup that is hitting .201 and scoring 2.8 runs per game this season, including .194 and 2.7 runs per game against right-handed starters. Ross Stripling is 0-5 with a 5.34 ERA and 1.57 WHIP in five starts for the A's this season. The A's have lost all five of his starts with four of them coming by two runs or more. Stripling will be facing a loaded Baltimore lineup that is scoring 5.7 runs per game overall this season and 6.0 runs per game against right-handed starters. Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Friday. |
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04-25-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals | 2-1 | Loss | -110 | 5 h 35 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-110) The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage at the plate today over the Washington Nationals. They are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall this season while the Nationals are scoring just 3.6 runs per game overall, including 3.3 runs per game at home. The Nationals just lost one of their best hitters in RF Lane Thomas to a knee injury yesterday as well. Los Angeles ace Yoshinobu Yamamoto is 1-1 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in five starts this season with 30 K's in 22 innings. He has rebounded nicely from a terrible opening start against the Padres. Mackenzie Gore is 1-1 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in three home starts for the Nationals this season. Gore is 0-0 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in two career starts against the Dodgers, allowing 3 homers in 9 2/3 innings. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Thursday. |
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04-24-24 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 56 m | Show |
20* NL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-120) The Miami Marlins are now 6-19 this season after getting shut out in consecutive games by the Braves to open this series. They have scored 3 runs or fewer in six of their last seven games and are averaging just 2.3 runs per game during this stretch. It won't get any easier for them against Reynaldo Lopez, who has been brilliant for the Braves this season. Lopez is 2-0 with a 0.50 ERA and 0.94 WHIP in three starts, allowing just one earned run in 18 innings with 18 K's. Sixto Sanchez sat out from 2021-23 and he is just getting a spot start here. Sanchez is 0-1 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.50 WHIP in 7 1/3 innings out of the bullpen this season, allowing 5 earned runs and 11 hits. Sanchez is 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in three career starts against Atlanta. The Braves are 4-1 in their last five meetings with the Marlins with all four wins coming by 2 runs or more. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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04-24-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals | 8-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-115) The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage at the plate today over the Washington Nationals. They are scoring 5.6 runs per game against right-handed starters this season while the Nationals are scoring just 3.4 runs per game. The Nationals just lost one of their best hitters in RF Lane Thomas to a knee injury yesterday as well. Landon Knack was solid in his first start this season holding the Nationals to 2 runs in 5 innings. He has posted a 4.02 ERA and 0.96 WHIP in 15 2/3 innings at AAA this season for the Dodgers with 16 K's and only one homer allowed. Jake Irvin went 3-7 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 24 starts for the Nationals last season, allowing 62 earned runs and 20 homers in 121 innings as a rookie. He is off to a better start this season, but it's unsustainable. Look for Irvin to get rocked tonight. The Dodgers are 36-13 in their last 49 games against a NL starting pitcher with a 3.20 ERA or better. They are outscoring opponents by 2.7 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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04-24-24 | Orioles -124 v. Angels | Top | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
20* AL BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -124 The Baltimore Orioles have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate today over the Los Angeles Angels. The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in 10 consecutive games behind one of the best offenses in baseball. The Angels have scored 2 runs or fewer in four of their last six games, and they are 1-5 in their last six games overall. Dean Kremer is 0-2 with a 4.91 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in four starts this season. Kremer is 2-0 with a 1.76 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in three career starts against the Angels, and the Orioles are 3-0 in those three starts. Tyler Anderson is very fortunate to have a 1.42 ERA in his four starts this season. He is getting hit hard, but balls are going right at defenders. He has just 14 K's in 25 1/3 innings and pitches to contact. His luck will run out today against the hard-hitting Orioles. Bet the Orioles Wednesday. |
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04-23-24 | Orioles -151 v. Angels | Top | 4-7 | Loss | -151 | 10 h 33 m | Show |
20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -151 The Baltimore Orioles have a big advantage on the mound and at the plate tonight over the Los Angeles Angels. The Orioles have scored at least 4 runs in nine consecutive games behind one of the best offenses in baseball. The Angels have scored 2 runs or fewer in four of their last five games, and they are 0-5 in their last five games overall while scoring a total of 9 runs or an average of 1.8 runs per game. Grayson Rodriquez is one of the best young starters in baseball. He is 3-0 with a 2.62 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in four starts this season. One of those starts came against the Angels on March 30th as he held them to one earned run in 6 innings with 9 K's in a 13-4 victory. Griffin Canning is 0-3 with an 8.05 ERA and 1.58 WHIP in four starts for the Angels this season, allowing 17 earned runs and 5 homers in 19 innings. One of those starts came against the Orioles opposite Rodriquez on March 30th where he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of that 13-4 defeat. Canning fell to 0-3 with a 9.17 ERA and 2.04 WHIP in four career starts against the Orioles. Baltimore is 14-4 in its last 18 meetings with the Angels, including 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Los Angeles. The Orioles are 19-4 (+13.4 Units) in their last 23 games as a road favorite of -125 or more. Bet the Orioles Tuesday. |
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04-23-24 | Dodgers v. Nationals OVER 9.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 52 m | Show | |
15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on Dodgers/Nationals OVER 9.5 I love fading Patrick Corbin. He has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last 5 years. He went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 2020, 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and 10-15 with a 5.20 ERA in 2023. He is off to another rough start this season, going 0-3 with an 8.06 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in four starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 44 base runners in 22 1/3 innings. Corbin is 0-4 with a 10.71 ERA in his last five starts against the Dodgers, allowing 25 earned runs, 6 homers and 50 base runners in 21 innings. He just allowed 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-2 loss to the Dodgers on April 16th in his last start. The Dodgers are capable of covering this OVER 9.5 on their own. They are scoring 5.2 runs per game this season with one of the best lineups in baseball. But the Nationals should contribute as well as they have scored 5 and 6 runs in their last two games. The Dodgers are 54-31 OVER in their last 85 road games. James Paxton is 10-1 OVER in his 11 career starts as a road favorite of -175 or more. Washington is 50-31 OVER in its last 81 games off two or more consecutive unders. There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to left-center in Washington tonight that will aid us in cashing this OVER 9.5 ticket. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-23-24 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 4-1 | Win | 100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-130) I love fading Patrick Corbin. He has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last 5 years. He went 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 2020, 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA in 2021, 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA in 2022 and 10-15 with a 5.20 ERA in 2023. He is off to another rough start this season, going 0-3 with an 8.06 ERA and 1.97 WHIP in four starts while allowing 20 earned runs and 44 base runners in 22 1/3 innings. Corbin is 0-4 with a 10.71 ERA in his last five starts against the Dodgers, allowing 25 earned runs, 6 homers and 50 base runners in 21 innings. He just allowed 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 6 1/3 innings of a 6-2 loss to the Dodgers on April 16th in his last start. The Dodgers are 5-1 in their last six games against Corbin with all five wins coming by 4 runs or more. The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound today that will have them winning this game by multiple runs. James Paxton is 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in three starts this season, allowing just 5 earned runs in 16 innings. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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04-22-24 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -120 | 7 h 15 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Blue Jays/Royals OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Blue Jays and Royals tonight. There are expected to be 23 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Kauffman Stadium with temps approaching 70. This should be a home run fest. The Royals are scoring 5.9 runs per game at home this season. The Blue Jays are finally getting their bats going scoring at least 3 runs in nine consecutive games coming in. Both starting pitchers have been solid this season, but their numbers are about to get inflated tonight given the weather conditions working against them. Kansas City is 14-3 OVER in its last 17 home games off a loss by 4 runs or more. Brady Singer is 17-6 OVER in his last 23 starts as an underdog. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-22-24 | Marlins v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 0-3 | Loss | -102 | 7 h 3 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Marlins/Braves OVER 9.5 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9.5 ticket between the Marlins and Braves tonight. There are expected to be light winds blowing out to left-center in Atlanta tonight with temps in the 60's. The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team. They have arguably the best lineup in baseball. They are hitting .285 and scoring 6.2 runs per game this season. They should feast on Ryan Weathers, who is 7-16 with a 5.52 ERA and 1.51 WHIP in his career in the big leagues across 176 innings. The Marlins have gotten their bats going of late scoring at least 3 runs in eight of their last nine games overall. They are scoring 4.8 runs per game against right-handed starters this season. They should keep them going against Bryce Elder, who will be making his first start of the season for the Braves. Elder posted an 8.25 ERA and 1.75 WHIP in spring training this season. The OVER is 14-3 in the last 17 meetings between the Marlins and Braves with 9 or more combined runs in 14 of those 17 meetings. Atlanta is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 home games against bad teams that are outscored by 1 or more runs per game. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-22-24 | Phillies v. Reds OVER 8.5 | 7-0 | Loss | -102 | 6 h 26 m | Show | |
15* NL Monday Total DOMINATOR on Phillies/Reds OVER 8.5 The forecast looks good for a slug fest tonight at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. Temps will be in the 60t's with very light winds blowing across the diamond from the right field foul pole to the left field foul pole. The Philadelphia Phillies have gone 6-0 in their last six games overall and are hitting the cover off the ball right now. They have scored at least 5 runs in five consecutive games and 7 or more in four straight. The Reds have one of the best lineups in the National League. They are scoring 5.3 runs per game overall and 5.5 runs per game at home. They should get to Ranger Suarez, who is getting too much respect for the great numbers he has posted against a very soft schedule of the Rockies, Pirates, Nationals and Braves. Not surprisingly, his worst start came against the Braves. The Phillies should stay hot at the plate against Hunter Grenee, who is 0-1 with a 4.35 ERA and 1.31 WHIP in four starts for the Reds this season. Greene allowed 2 earned runs and 8 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone career start against Philadelphia last season. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-21-24 | Rangers v. Braves OVER 10 | Top | 6-4 | Push | 0 | 8 h 14 m | Show |
20* Rangers/Braves ESPN Sunday Night BAILOUT on OVER 10 The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team. They have arguably the best lineup in baseball. They are hitting .291 and scoring 6.4 runs per game this season, including .305 and 6.7 runs per game against right-handed starters. The Texas Rangers rode their offense to the World Series title last year. Their offense is loaded again this season. They are scoring 4.9 runs per game this season, including hitting .279 and scoring 5.5 runs per game against right-handed starters. Darius Vines will be making just his 2nd start of the season and his 4th career start overall for the Braves today. He only lasted 4 2/3 innings in his first start and will be on a short leash. Michael Lorenzen allowed 8 base runners in 5 innings to the Tigers but no earned runs. He is one of the worst starters in baseball and hasn't pitched more than 153 innings in any season. He allowed 20 homers in those 153 innings last season. There are expected to be 10 MPH winds blowing out to straightaway center in Atlanta tonight that will aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket. Texas is 14-2 OVER in its last 16 games after a 5-game span with a .285 OBP or worse. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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