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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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04-24-23 | Rangers -112 v. Reds | 6-7 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 51 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -112 The Texas Rangers are 14-7 this season while scoring 6.6 runs per game and allowing 3.8 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.8 runs per game. The Cincinnati Reds are 7-15 this season while scoring 4.0 runs per game and allowing 5.0 runs per game, getting outscored by 1.0 runs per game. The Reds have really been brutal offensively during their current six-game losing streak. They have scored a total of 6 runs in the six losses while getting shut out three times. Nathan Eovaldi will shut them down tonight and has been at his best on the road with a 3.08 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in two road starts. Nick Lodolo gets a lot of hype because of his K potential, but hitters have had no problem getting after him this season, especially at home. Lodolo has a 7.36 ERA and 2.181 WHIP in three home starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 2/3 innings. Cincinnati is 4-22 after batting .200 or worse over a five-game span over the past two seasons. The Reds are 17-53 in their last 70 games vs. good teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game on the season. The Rangers are 6-1 in their last seven games overall and scoring 9.1 runs per game during this stretch. Bet the Rangers Monday. |
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04-24-23 | Red Sox v. Orioles OVER 8 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 7 h 54 m | Show | |
15* Red Sox/Orioles AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8 The Boston Red Sox have been a dead nuts OVER team this season going 16-7 to the OVER in their 23 games. They have a great offense scoring 5.7 runs per game but a terrible starting staff. The Baltimore Orioles also have a suspect starting staff but have gone 11-9-1 to the OVER due to an improved offense that is scoring 5.1 runs per game. Both offenses should feast on these two gas can starting pitchers. Chris Sale is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in four starts this season for the Red Sox while allowing 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 18 innings. Dean Kremer is 1-0 with 6.16 ERA and 1.368 WHIP in four starts for the Orioles while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 19 innings. Sale allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 innings of a 9-8 win over the Orioles in his lone start against them this season. Kremer allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 3 innings opposite Sale in that 9-8 loss. The OVER is 7-0 in Red Sox last seven games with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs. The OVER is 9-1 in Red Sox last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-23-23 | A's v. Rangers -1.5 | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-135) The Texas Rangers are 13-7 this season scoring 6.7 runs per game and allowing 3.8 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.9 runs per game. The Oakland A's are 4-17 this season scoring 3.5 runs per game while allowing 8.2 runs per game, getting outscored by 4.7 runs per game. It's easy to see why I'm backing the Rangers on the Run Line today. Texas ace Jacob DeGrom gets the ball today and is back to his dominant self again this season. DeGrom is 1-0 with a 3.48 ERA and 0.871 WHIP in four starts while allowing only 8 earned runs and 18 base runners in 20 2/3 innings with 32 K's. Kyle Muller is 0-1 with a 7.23 ERA and 1.982 WHIP in four starts for the A's this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 37 base runners in 18 2/3 innings. Muller allowed 7 earned runs and 10 base runners in 2 2/3 innings in his lone career starts against Texas, which came last season. Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Sunday. |
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04-23-23 | Dodgers v. Cubs +122 | 7-3 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 59 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs +122 A big reason for Chicago's resurgence this season is their dominance against left-handed pitching. The Cubs are 5-1 and hitting .345 while scoring 7.5 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. The rocked lefty Julio Urias in a 13-0 victory in Game 2, and now they'll get after lefty Clayton Kershaw in Game 4 today. This will be Kershaw's stiffest test of the season to date as Chicago is 10-1 in its last 11 games vs. a left-handed starter. Marcus Stroman is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He is 2-1 with a 0.75 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in four starts this season while allowing only 2 earned runs in 24 innings without a homer. Stroman is 1-0 with a 2.12 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in three career starts against the Dodgers. The Dodgers are 0-6 in their last six games following a win. The Cubs are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss. Bet the Cubs Sunday. |
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04-23-23 | Nationals v. Twins -1.5 | Top | 1-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -1.5 (-115) The Minnesota Twins will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing three straight and six of their last seven. They will be wanting to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the hapless Washington Nationals as -310 and -235 favorites. But after facing two underrated starters for the Nationals in the first two games of this series, now they get to face one of the worst starters in all of baseball. Patrick Corbin went 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.468 WHIP in 31 starts in 2021 and 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP In 31 starts in 2022. Corbin is now 1-2 with a 6.30 ERA and 1.750 WHIP in four starts in 2023 to remain a gas can this season. Bailey Ober has posted a 3.82 ERA and 1.146 WHIP in two seasons in the big leagues across 148 1/3 innings. He will be making his first start of 2023 and I expect him to shut down the Nationals for as long as he's in there. And playing from ahead, the Twins will utilize all their best bullpen arms to protect what will be a multiple-run lead. Minnesota is 14-6 following three or more consecutive losses over the last two seasons and winning by 2.0 runs per game in this spot. They haven't lost four straight this season and won't start today against a Nationals team that is 33-72 in their last 105 games overall. Minnesota is 10-2 in its last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Twins on the Run Line Sunday. |
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04-23-23 | Tigers +162 v. Orioles | 1-2 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 22 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +162 The Detroit Tigers had won five in a row prior to their current three-game losing streak. They will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Baltimore Orioles, who I suspect will suffer a natural letdown after winning the first two of this series and five straight overall. The Tigers actually have the advantage on the mound today, so they should not be this big of underdogs to the Orioles. Eduardo Rodriquez is 1-2 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in four starts this season. He has allowed just 1 earned run and 12 base runners in 14 innings in his last two starts against Toronto and Cleveland. Grayson Rodriquez is 0-0 with a 6.91 ERA and 1.605 WHIP in three starts for the Orioles this season, allowing 11 earned runs and 23 base runners in 14 1/3 innings. Rodriquez has owned the Orioles, going 13-5 with a 3.02 ERA and 1.164 WHIP in 21 career starts against them. Amazingly, Rodriquez is 10-0 with a 1.72 ERA in his last 11 starts against the Orioles while allowing only 13 earned runs in 68 innings. His teams are a perfect 11-0 in his last 11 starts against Baltimore. Bet the Tigers Sunday. |
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04-23-23 | Astros v. Braves -128 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -128 | 12 h 56 m | Show |
20* Interleague GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -128 The Atlanta Braves will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series at home to the Houston Astros. They have their ace on the mound Sunday to get the job done. Max Fried is 1-0 with a 1.08 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in two starts this season for the Braves. He will be making his home debut this season. Christian Javier has been a little shaky to start the season for the Astros with a 3.68 ERA through four starts allowing 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 22 innings. The Braves are 22-6 in Fried's 28 career home starts with a money line of +100 to -150. The Braves are 15-2 in Fried's 17 career Sunday starts. Atlanta is 21-4 after losing three of its last four games over the past two seasons. Bet the Braves Sunday. |
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04-22-23 | Padres v. Diamondbacks +141 | 5-3 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 54 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Arizona Diamondbacks +141 The Arizona Diamondbacks are 12-9 this season and you'd be up $755 betting $100 on them every game. The San Diego Padres are 10-12 this season and you'd be down $570 betting $100 on them every game. Clearly the Padres are overvalued while the Diamondbacks are undervalued, and that continues to be the case here in Game 3 of this series. I'll gladly back Merrill Kelly as a home underdog. Kelly went 13-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 33 starts for the Diamondbacks last season. He has picked up where he left off, posting a 3.37 ERA through four starts this season while allowing just 8 earned runs and one homer in 21 1/3 innings. Joe Musgrove will be making his first start of the season for the Padres as he returns from injury and will be on a pitch count. While Musgrove has posted a 3.93 ERA in nine career starts against Arizona, Kelly has owned the Padres, going 8-2 with a 2.61 ERA in 13 career starts against them. Bet the Diamondbacks Saturday. |
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04-22-23 | A's v. Rangers -1.5 | Top | 3-18 | Win | 100 | 8 h 49 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Texas Rangers -1.5 (-117) The Oakland A's are 4-16 this season scoring 3.5 runs per game and allowing 7.7 runs per game. They are getting outscored by 4.2 runs per game on the season. The Texas Rangers are 12-7 and scoring 6.1 runs per game while allowing 3.9 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.2 runs per game. I'll gladly side with the Rangers on the Run Line tonight. Andrew Heaney has been dominant in his last two starts pitching 10 innings with 14 K's without allowing a single earned run. He'll be opposed by Shintaro Fujinami, who is 0-3 with an 11.37 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 16 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings. Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday. |
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04-21-23 | Cardinals v. Mariners OVER 8 | Top | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Cardinals/Mariners OVER 8 The books have set the bar too low in this game between the Seattle Mariners and St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals are hitting .273 and scoring 4.8 runs per game behind one of the better lineups in the National League. The Mariners are scoring 4.5 runs per game on the season and 4.8 runs per game against left-handed starters. The Mariners should tee off on Steven Matz, who is 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.800 WHIP in three starts this season for the Cardinals while allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 26 2/3 innings. George Kirby is 1-1 with a 5.07 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in two home starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs and 16 base runners in 10 2/3 innings. The OVER is 11-2 in Kirby's last 13 starts in the first half of the season. The OVER is 4-0-1 in Cardinals last five games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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04-21-23 | A's v. Rangers -1.5 | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+105) The Oakland A's are 3-16 this season with 12 losses by two runs or more. The A's are scoring 3.4 runs per game and allowing 7.9 runs per game, getting outscored by 4.5 runs per game on the season. The Rangers are 12-6 and scoring 6.2 runs per game while allowing 3.8 runs per game, outscoring opponents by 2.4 runs per game this season. I'll gladly take the Rangers on the Run Line today to win by two runs or more. Jon Gray is 1-1 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.214 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing only 5 earned runs in 14 innings. Gray fired 7 shutout innings in a 5-2 victory over the A's in his last start against them. JP Sears is 0-1 with a 4.59 ERA in three starts this season for the A's while allowing 8 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 2/3 innings. Sears allowed 5 earned runs in 4 innings in his last start against Texas. Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Friday. |
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04-21-23 | Tigers v. Orioles OVER 8.5 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 12 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Total DOMINATOR on Tigers/Orioles OVER 8.5 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket between the Tigers and Orioles tonight. Temps will be in the 80's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left at Camden Yards in Baltimore tonight. Combine that forecast with these two gas can starting pitchers, and we have a recipe for plenty of runs. Michael Lorenzen has a 4.16 ERA and 1.363 WHIP in 575 innings in the big leagues. Lorenzen will be making his second start of the season and his first was a disaster. He allowed 6 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 innings of a 7-6 win over the San Francisco Giants on April 15th. Tyler Wells is 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA in two starts for the Orioles this season, allowing 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 1/3 innings. Wells is 0-2 with a 10.29 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in two career starts against the Tigers, allowing 8 earned runs and 17 base runners in 7 innings. Lorenzen is 7-0 OVER in his last seven starts as an underdog of +125 to +175. The OVER is 20-7-2 in Tigers last 29 road games. The OVER is 4-1 in Orioles last five home games. Baltimore is scoring 5.7 runs per game at home this season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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04-21-23 | White Sox v. Rays OVER 8.5 | Top | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on White Sox/Rays OVER 8.5 The Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 7.0 runs per game overall and 7.8 runs per game at home this season. They are more than capable of covering this OVER on their own. But the White Sox are scoring 4.4 runs per game and will chip in to help cash this OVER for us against Tampa Bay opener Calvin Faucher and their bullpen. Michael Kopech has been a gas can and is actually lucky to have only a 6.32 ERA and 1.659 WHIP in three starts this season. He has already allowed 7 homers and 10 walks in 15 2/3 innings. And that has come against the Orioles, Pirates and Giants so this is a step up in class for him. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Tampa Bay. The OVER is 11-5-2 in White Sox last 18 games overall. The OVER is 6-1 in Rays last seven home games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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04-20-23 | Dodgers v. Cubs OVER 11 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 2 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Cubs OVER 11 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 11 ticket between the Dodgers and Cubs tonight. There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Wrigley Field tonight in Chicago. Two starters off to rough starts this season go at it. Michael Grove has been a gas can this season, going 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in three starts for the Dodgers. He has allowed 13 earned runs and 21 base runners in 13 innings this season. Jameson Taillon is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in three starts for the Cubs this season. I like the fact that these starters just faced these same lineups in their last starts, which will favor the hitters more than the pitchers. The Cubs are scoring 5.8 runs per game on the season. The Dodgers are scoring 5.2 runs per game on the season and 5.9 runs per game on the road. The OVER is 9-2 in Dodgers last 11 games following a loss. The OVER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings in Chicago. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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04-20-23 | Dodgers v. Cubs -115 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 4 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -115 The upstart Chicago Cubs are 11-6 this season and scoring 5.8 runs per game. They have won four consecutive games coming in and just swept the A's while outscoring them 24-3 in the process. I like their chances of making it five in a row against the Los Angeles Dodgers at home today. Michael Grove has been a gas can this season, going 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in three starts for the Dodgers. He has allowed 13 earned runs and 21 base runners in 13 innings this season. Jameson Taillon is 0-2 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.357 WHIP in three starts for the Cubs this season. The Dodgers will be without Mookie Betts tonight as he is on paternity leave. Their lineup already wasn't as strong as last season, and it's a big blow missing Betts at the top of their lineup. The Dodgers are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning record. Los Angeles is 9-10 on the season and you'd be down $758 betting $100 per game on them as they have consistently been overvalued. Bet the Cubs Thursday. |
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04-19-23 | Blue Jays v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 10 h 6 m | Show |
20* Blue Jays/Astros AL No-Brainer on OVER 9 Two of the most potent lineups in the American League square off tonight against two gas can starters in Jose Berrios and Luis Garcia. The end result should be plenty of runs to get us up and OVER this 9-run total. Berrios went 12-7 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.419 WHIP in 32 starts last season, including 5-5 with a 6.36 ERA and 1.525 WHIP on the road as he has been much worse away from home in his career. Berrios is 1-2 with a 7.98 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three starts this season, including 0-2 with an 11.17 ERA and 1.861 WHIP in two road starts. Luis Garcia is 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.857 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 14 innings. It's not going to go any better for him here against Toronto. The OVER is 14-4 in Berrios' last 18 road starts. The OVER is 8-0 in Berrios' last eight road starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game on the season. The OVER is 8-3-1 in the last 12 meetings in Houston. The OVER is 9-2 in Astros last 11 home games with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 11 games. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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04-19-23 | Twins -124 v. Red Sox | Top | 10-4 | Win | 100 | 9 h 6 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Minnesota Twins -124 The Minnesota Twins come back highly motivated after three consecutive losses including blowing a one-run lead in the 8th and a two-run lead in the 10th to the Red Sox yesterday. The Red Sox will be playing for a 12th consecutive day, are tired and their bullpen is taxed. The Twins have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind one of the most underrated starters in baseball in Joe Ryan. He is 3-0 with a 2.84 ERA and 0.632 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 6 earned runs and 12 base runners in 19 innings with 26 K's. He has struck out 10 in consecutive starts against the Astros and Yankees. Corey Kluber is far past his prime and doesn't go deep into starts, which means the Twins will get into this taxed Boston bullpen early. Kluber is 0-3 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.462 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 innings. The Red Sox are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet the Twins Wednesday. |
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04-19-23 | Rangers v. Royals OVER 9 | 12-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Royals OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Rangers and Royals today. Temps will be in the 70's with whopping 20-30 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City. The wind was blowing out yesterday and the Rangers cover the total on their own in a 12-2 victory. It could easily be more of the same here against Brady Singer, who is 1-1 with a 7.87 ERA in three starts this season while allowing 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 innings. Singer is 0-2 with a 7.56 ERA and 1.801 WHIP in two career starts against the Rangers as well. Martin Perez has big home/road splits and is much better at home than he has been on the road over the past couple seasons. Perez allowed 4 earned runs and 9 base runners in 6 innings of a 10-4 victory at Kansas City in his lone road start against the Royals last season. The OVER is 12-3 in Perez's last 15 day game starts. The OVER is 14-2 in Royals last 16 home games after scoring two runs or fewer in two consecutive games. The OVER is 8-2 in Rangers last 10 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in eight of those 10 games. The OVER is 6-1-1 in Royals last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games, and 11 or more combined runs in six of them. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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04-19-23 | Giants v. Marlins UNDER 8 | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 3 h 6 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Giants/Marlins UNDER 8 There are expected to be 16 MPH winds blowing in from left at pitcher-friendly LoanDepot Park in Miami today. That forecast will help us cash this UNDER ticket between the Giants and Marlins. The UNDER is 6-0 in Marlins last six games overall with 7 or fewer combined runs in all six games. The UNDER is 8-2-2 in Marlins' 12 home games this season. Miami is 10-0 UNDER in its last 10 home games vs. teams that average 1.5 or more homers per game. Alex Cobb is 0-1 with a 3.14 ERA in three starts this season while facing both the Dodgers and Yankees. Trevor Rogers is 1-2 with a 4.20 ERA in three starts this season while facing the Mets twice. Cobb is 3-3 with a 2.65 ERA in six career starts against Miami. Rogers allowed 2 earned runs in 5 innings in his lone career start against San Francisco. The Marlins are scoring just 2.6 runs per game at home this season. The Giants are scoring just 3.4 runs per game against left-handed starters this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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04-18-23 | Pirates v. Rockies OVER 13 | Top | 5-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Pirates/Rockies OVER 13 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 13 ticket between the Pirates and Rockies. Temps will be in the 70's with 20-25 MPH winds blowing out to right at hitter-friendly Coors Field. Colorado's last seven home games have all seen 11 or more combined runs and five have seen 13 or more combined runs. That includes their 17-run outburst with the Rockies yesterday. Two gas cans are on the mound for their respective teams tonight. The Rockies go with Jose Urena, who is 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA and 2.500 WHIP in three starts this season. Vincent Velasquez is 1-2 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.574 WHIP in three starts for the Phillies. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-18-23 | Blue Jays v. Astros OVER 9 | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
15* Blue Jays/Astros AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9 Two of the best lineups in baseball square off tonight in what should be a slug fest between the Astros and Blue Jays. The Blue Jays are scoring 4.8 runs per game overall and 5.1 runs per game on the road. The Astros are scoring 5.1 runs per game overall and 5.2 runs per game against right-handed starters. The Astros won 9-2 yesterday and should have another big day at the plate against Chris Bassitt, who is 1-2 with a 7.63 ERA and 1.566 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 1/3 innings. Bassitt is 0-1 with a 7.90 ERA in his last three starts against Houston, allowing 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 2/3 innings. Jose Urquidy is 1-0 with a 2.35 ERA and 1.370 WHIP in three starts this season allowing 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 21 base runners in 15 1/3 innings. He has been fortunate not to allow more runs and his luck runs out tonight. Urquidy is 1-1 with a 7.20 ERA in his last three starts against the Blue Jays while allowing 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 15 innings. The OVER is 8-2-1 in the last 11 meetings inside hitter-friendly Minute Maid Park. The OVER is 9-1 in Astros last 10 home games. The OVER is 5-0-2 in Blue Jays last seven games after scoring two runs or less in their previous game. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-18-23 | Rangers v. Royals OVER 9 | 12-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 28 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Royals OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Rangers and Royals tonight. Temps will be approaching 80 with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left at Kauffman Stadium. This is a pitching rematch from less than a week ago when the Royals beat the Rangers 10-1 for 11 combined runs. Nathan Eovaldi allowed 6 earned runs and 10 hits in 5 innings to take the loss. He is now 1-2 with a 6.32 ERA and 1.532 WHIP in three starts this season. Eovaldi has allowed 10 earned runs and 3 homers in 11 innings in his last two starts against the Royals. Brad Keller is off to a good start this season. But that was a rare good start for him against the Rangers in his last outing. Keller is 1-2 with a 6.53 ERA and 1.645 WHIP in four career starts against Texas. The OVER is 7-2 in Rangers last nine games overall. The OVER is 5-0 in Rangers last five games when their opponent scored 2 runs or fewer in their previous game. The OVER is 14-2 in Royals last 16 games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-18-23 | Twins -101 v. Red Sox | 4-5 | Loss | -101 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -101 The Boston Red Sox are a tired team as they will be playing for an 11th consecutive day. Their bullpen is taxed after four straight games decided by 2 runs or fewer. The Twins had yesterday off and will not only be the fresher team, but they also have a massive advantage on the mound in this one. Sonny Gray is 2-0 with a 0.53 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing just one earned runs in 17 innings with 19 K's. He'll be opposed by Chris Sale, who is 1-1 with an 11.25 ERA and 2.083 WHIP in three starts while allowing 15 earned runs, 5 homers and 25 base runners in 12 innings. The Twins will get into Boston's taxed bullpen early in this one. The Twins are 5-0 in their last five games following an off day. The Red Sox are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Bet the Twins Tuesday. |
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04-18-23 | Angels v. Yankees OVER 9 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 2 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Angels/Yankees OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 9 ticket between the Angels and Yankees tonight. Temps will be in the 50's with 15-20 MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Yankee Stadium. Two gas cans are on the mound for their respective teams tonight. Jose Suarez is 0-1 with a 10.80 ERA and 2.281 WHIP in two starts for the Angels this season while allowing 10 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 1/3 innings. Clarke Schmidt is 0-0 with an 8.44 ERA and 1.970 WHIP in three starts for the Yankees this season while allowing 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 21 base runners in 10 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-17-23 | Diamondbacks +143 v. Cardinals | 6-3 | Win | 143 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Arizona Diamondbacks +143 Having one of the best farm systems in baseball for the past couple years is finally starting to pay off for the Diamondbacks this season. They have gone 9-7 this season and you'd be up $574 betting $100 per game on them. Conversely, the Cardinals are 7-9 this season and you'd be down $509 betting $100 per game on them. The Diamondbacks have an underrated rotation especially at the top with Zac Gallen and Merrill Kelly. Kelly went 13-8 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 33 starts last season. He has posted a 2.93 ERA in three starts this season while allowing only 5 earned runs in 15 1/3 innings. Kelly has a 2.08 ERA in his last two starts against the Cardinals while allowing only 3 earned runs in 13 innings, and both starts came last season. Jack Flaherty continues making his way back from injury and is far from his old self. He has control issues with 14 walks in 15 1/3 innings this season. He'll be up against an Arizona lineup that is hitting .282 and scoring 5.6 runs per game against right-handed starters this season. The Cardinals are only scoring 3.9 runs per game against right-handed starters to compare. The Diamondbacks are 8-2 in their last 10 games vs. right-handed starters, including 5-0 in their last five road games vs. right-handed starters. The Cardinals are 0-6 in their last six during Game 1 of a series. Their bullpen is taxed after going to extra innings in both games over the weekend with the Pirates. Bet the Diamondbacks Monday. |
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04-17-23 | Rays v. Reds OVER 9 | Top | 1-8 | Push | 0 | 6 h 54 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Rays/Reds OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket between the Rays and Reds tonight. There are expected to be 20-plus MPH winds blowing out to center at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati. The Rays are hitting .280 and scoring 7.1 runs per game as a team. The Reds are hitting .253 and scoring 4.9 runs per game as a team, including .270 and 5.6 runs per game at home. They are hitting .289 and scoring 6.8 runs per game against left-handed starters as well. The Rays are vulnerable on the mound tonight going with an opener in Jalen Beeks who will pitch one inning before giving way to the bullpen. Hunter Greene gets a lot of hype for the Reds due to his K potential, but he is 0-0 with a 5.14 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 8 earned runs and 23 base runners in 14 innings. He will get worked early in this game and the Rays will get into Cincinnati's weak bullpen early. The Reds' bullpen has a 4.47 ERA and 1.423 WHIP on the season. Tampa Bay is 7-0 OVER vs. a team with a losing record this season and we're seeing 12.1 combined runs per game in this spot. The OVER is 9-2-1 in Rays' last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 12 games. The OVER is 7-1 in Reds' last eight games overall with 9 or more combined runs in seven of those eight games. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-16-23 | Orioles v. White Sox OVER 7.5 | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 6 h 21 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/White Sox OVER 7.5 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket, which is why I'm willing to bet an OVER in game involving Chicago ace Dylan Cease. There are expected to be 25 MPH winds blowing out to left at Guaranteed Rate Field today. The White Sox and Orioles have combined for 13 and 9 runs in the first two games of this series, and it should be more of the same due to the forecast today. The Orioles have a taxed bullpen that hasn't been very good due to playing their 10th consecutive day today. The White Sox have the worst bullpen in baseball with a 7.32 ERA and 1.955 WHIP in 51 2/3 innings, allowing 42 earned runs. Grayson Rodriquez hasn't made it past the 5th inning in any of his two starts this season with a 6.75 ERA allowing 7 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings for the Orioles. Baltimore is scoring 5.7 runs per game overall while Chicago is scoring 4.7 runs per game overall, including 5.2 runs per game at home. The OVER is 15-4 in Cease's last 19 starts as a home favorite of -125 to -175. The OVER is 4-0-1 in Orioles last five games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in all five and 12 runs or more in four of the five. The OVER is 6-0-1 in White Sox last seven home games. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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04-16-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 4-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 13 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Cardinals OVER 8.5 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket between the Pirates and Cardinals today. There are expected to be 20 MPH winds blowing out to center at Busch Stadium. These two starters aren't very good, so these teams should easily combine for 9-plus runs in this one. Miles Mikolas has been a total disaster for the Cardinals. He is 0-1 with a 10.05 ERA and 2.233 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 16 earned runs, 4 homers and 32 base runners in 14 1/3 innings. Mitch Keller has been decent at 1-0 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in three starts, but he will get lit up today alongside Mikolas. Pittsburgh is 16-4 OVER in its last 20 games after allowing 3 runs or less in two consecutive games. The Pirates are 12-2 OVER in their last 14 games after allowing 4 runs or fewer in three consecutive games. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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04-16-23 | Angels v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 3 h 28 m | Show | |
15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on Angels/Red Sox OVER 9 The Angels and Red Sox are pretty much mirror images of one another. They have potent lineups, terrible starting rotations and terrible bullpens. That makes both dead nuts OVER teams, and I'll gladly back the OVER 9 runs here at hitter-friendly Fenway Park after these teams just combined for 16 runs yesterday. Reid Detmers is 0-0 with a 5.58 ERA and 1.448 WHIP in two starts for the Angels this season while allowing 6 earned runs and 14 base runners in 9 2/3 innings. He'll be opposed by Garrett Whitlock, who is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.600 WHIP in one start while allowing 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings to the Rays. Whitlock is 0-0 with a 6.00 ERA in two career starts against the Angels, both of which came last season. The OVER is 4-1 in Red Sox last five games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in four of the five, and 8 runs in the other. The Red Sox are scoring 5.7 runs per game overall and 6.1 runs per game at home. The Angels are scoring 5.4 runs per game overall. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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04-16-23 | Guardians -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -140 | 3 h 21 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (-140) Patrick Corbin has been the worst starter in baseball over the past three seasons. He went 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.468 WHIP in 31 starts in 2021 and 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 31 starts in 2022. He hasn't been any better thus far in 2023, going 1-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 14 innings. I'll gladly back the Guardians to win this game by two runs or more with ace Shane Bieber on the mound. Bieber is 55-26 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in his career over 722 innings. He is one of the best starters in baseball. Bieber is 1-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in three starts this season while allowing just 5 earned runs, zero homers and 18 base runners in 19 innings. The Nationals are 5-25 in Corbin's last 30 starts as an underdog and losing by 3.7 runs per game in this spot. Cleveland is 9-0 in his last nine road games vs. a NL team with a .390 slugging percentage or worse and winning by 2.9 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Guardians on the Run Line Sunday. |
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04-15-23 | Cubs v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 1-2 | Loss | -114 | 11 h 34 m | Show | |
15* Cubs/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket tonight between the Cubs and Dodgers. Temperatures will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center at Dodger Stadium. With these two gas cans on the mound, it's not like we need the help. Michael Grove is 0-1 with a 14.73 ERA and 2.319 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 12 earned runs and 17 base runners in 7 1/3 innings. Jameson Taillon is 0-2 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 9 innings. Taillon is 0-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in three career starts against the Dodgers as well. The Cubs are scoring 5.7 runs per game overall, including 8.7 runs per game at home. The Dodgers are scoring 5.8 runs per game overall, including 6.6 runs per game against right-handed starters. Los Angeles has a 5.48 bullpen ERA while Chicago has a 4.27 bullpen ERA. The OVER is 16-4 in Dodgers last 20 games after allowing 8 runs or more. The OVER is 8-0 in Dodgers last eight games following a loss. The Dodgers and their opponents have combined for at least 9 runs in six of their last seven games overall. The Cubs and their opponents have combined for at least 10 runs in seven of their last 10 games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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04-15-23 | Phillies v. Reds OVER 9 | 0-13 | Win | 100 | 6 h 50 m | Show | |
15* Phillies/Reds NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket today between the Phillies and Reds. Temperatures will be approaching 80 with 10 MPH winds blowing out to left at Great American Ball Park, which is one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball. Graham Ashcraft and Matt Strahm are both below-average starters in this league despite both getting off to decent starts this season, which is keeping this total lower than it should be. Both the Phillies and Reds are getting healthier at the plate too and have two very good lineups. The OVER is 5-1 in Reds last six games overall with 9 or more combined runs in five of those six games. The OVER is 4-2 in Phillies last six games overall with 10 or more combined runs in four of those six games. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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04-15-23 | Diamondbacks v. Marlins UNDER 9 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 6 h 46 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Marlins UNDER 9 LoanDepot Park in Miami is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in baseball. There will be 11 MPH winds blowing in from center to boot today to help us cash this UNDER 9 ticket. I like both young starters going today in Ryne Nelson and Braxton Garrett. Nelson has posted a 2.76 ERA and 1.023 WHIP in 29 1/3 innings in the big leagues. Garrett has posted a 4.13 ERA in 137 1/3 innings in the big leagues. The Diamondbacks are scoring just 2.9 runs per game on the road this season and 2.8 runs per game vs. left-handed starters. The Marlins are scoring just 3.3 runs per game on the season and 2.5 runs per game at home. The UNDER is 7-0 in Garrett's last seven starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest. The UNDER is 14-4 in Garrett's last 18 starts overall. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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04-15-23 | Mets v. A's OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -125 | 6 h 31 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Mets/A's OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket. Temperatures will be in the 60's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to right-center at RingCentral Coliseum in Oakland. With these two gas cans on the mound, it's not like we need the help. Shuntaro Fujinami has been the worst starter in baseball thus far, going 0-2 with a 17.57 ERA and 2.252 WHIP in two starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings. The A's have a taxed bullpen as they will be playing for a 9th consecutive day after allowing 17, 8, 4, 12, 5, 11, 11 and 9 runs in their last eight games, respectively. Carlos Carrasco is 0-2 with an 11.42 ERA and 1.961 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 8 2/3 innings. The Mets are missing their closer and don't have a great bullpen right now, either. The OVER is 9-1-1 in A's last 11 games overall with combined scores of 10 runs or more in nine of those 11 games. The OVER is 10-1 in the last 11 meetings. The OVER is 7-0 in the last seven meetings in Oakland. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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04-15-23 | Pirates v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 58 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Early ANNIHILATOR on Pirates/Cardinals OVER 8.5 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket today between the Pirates and Cardinals. Temperatures will be in the 70's with 13 MPH winds blowing out to left at Busch Stadium in St. Louis. With these two gas cans on the mound, it's not like we need the help. Steven Matz is 0-2 with an 8.18 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 10 earned runs and 22 base runners in 11 innings. Matz is 0-2 with a 16.19 ERA in his last two starts against the Pirates, allowing 12 earned runs and 17 base runners in 6 2/3 innings. Roansy Contreras is 1-1 with an 8.00 ERA and 1.889 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 8 earned runs and 17 base runners in 9 innings. Contreras has allowed 5 earned runs, 2 homers and 14 base runners in 7 1/3 innings in two career starts at Busch Stadium. Pittsburgh is 16-4 OVER in its last 20 games after allowing 3 runs or less in two consecutive games. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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04-14-23 | Cubs +148 v. Dodgers | 8-2 | Win | 148 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Chicago Cubs +148 The Los Angeles Dodgers are one of the most overrated teams in baseball this season. They are 7-6 but you'd be down $320 betting $100 per game on them thus far. They are once again too heavily favored over the Cubs tonight, and they shouldn't be favored at all considering the big advantage the Cubs have on the mound. Justin Steele has posted a 3.35 ERA in 188 innings with 196 K's in his career in the majors. Steele is 1-0 with a 0.75 ERA and 1.000 WHP in two starts this season while allowing just one earned run in 12 innings. He'll be backed but a Cubs lineup that is scoring 5.5 runs per game overall including 9.0 runs per game on the road this season. Noah Syndergaard went 10-10 with a 3.94 ERA last season between the Angels and Phillies. He is off to a rough start this season for the Dodgers, going 0-1 with a 6.30 ERA in two starts while allowing 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings. Both starts came against the Diamondbacks. He is 2-2 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.592 WHIP in six career starts against the Cubs. Bet the Cubs Friday. |
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04-14-23 | Braves v. Royals OVER 9 | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 15 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/Royals OVER 9 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket tonight between the Atlanta Braves and Kansas City Royals. Temperatures will be in the 70's tonight at Kauffman Stadium with 14 MPH winds blowing out to left. Charlie Morton got off to a terrible start last season and history is repeating itself this season. Morton is 1-1 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.936 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 5 earned runs and 22 base runners in 10 1/3 innings. Morton is 1-2 with a 4.44 ERA in four career starts against the Royals. Brady Singer is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA in two starts for the Royals this season while allowing 6 earned runs in 11 innings. He faces one of the best lineups in baseball in the Braves who are scoring 4.8 runs per game on the season including 5.3 runs per game on the road. The Royals just hung 10 runs on the Rangers last game and come into this series with some confidence at the plate. The Braves are 15-3 OVER in interleague games over the last two seasons. Morton is 9-1 OVER in his last 10 road starts as a favorite of -150 or less. The OVER is 15-4 in Morton's last 19 night starts. The OVER is 11-2 in Singer's last 13 starts as a dog of +100 to +150. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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04-14-23 | Angels -114 v. Red Sox | 3-5 | Loss | -114 | 8 h 15 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Los Angeles Angels -114 The Boston Red Sox have lost four consecutive games and their bullpen is taxed as they will be playing for 7th consecutive day after giving up 7, 9 and 9 runs to the Rays in their last three games coming in. The Los Angeles Angels will be fresh after having yesterday off with a rested bullpen. The Angels have a big advantage on the mound over the Red Sox tonight as well. Patrick Sandoval is 1-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing only 2 earned runs in 11 innings. He'll be opposed by Tanner Houck, who is 2-0 with a 4.50 ERA while allowing 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 10 innings to the Orioles and Tigers. This is a step up in class facing this potent Los Angeles lineup. The Angels are 10-3 in their last 13 games vs. a right-handed starter. The Red Sox are 0-5 in their last five games vs. a team with a winning record. Boston is 18-39 in its last 57 games following a loss. Bet the Angels Friday. |
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04-14-23 | Rays v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | 3-6 | Push | 0 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Rays/Blue Jays OVER 9 The Tampa Bay Rays are 13-0 this season and scoring 7.8 runs per game. They are more than capable of covering this 9-run total on their own inside the hitter-friendly confines of Rogers Center. Drew Rasmussen is a stud, but the Blue Jays will score enough runs to help push this one OVER the total. Jose Berrios went 12-7 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.419 WHIP in 32 starts for the Blue Jays last season. He is off to a terrible start this season, going 0-2 with an 11.17 ERA and 1.861 WHIP in two starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 18 base runners in 9 2/3 innings. Berrios is 1-4 with a 5.86 ERA in eight career starts against the Rays. He allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings of a 10-5 loss to Tampa Bay in his last start against them. The OVER is 8-1-1 in Rays last 10 games overall. The OVER is 4-1 in the last five meetings. The OVER is 13-3 in Berrios' last 16 starts during the first half of the season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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04-14-23 | Rays -119 v. Blue Jays | Top | 3-6 | Loss | -119 | 10 h 35 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -119 The Tampa Bay Rays are 13-0 this season with 11 wins by 4 runs or more and 12 wins by 2 runs or more. They are scoring 7.8 runs per game with an underrated offense, and allowing 2.3 runs per game with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. They have hit more home runs (32) than runs allowed (30) on the season. The Rays will be motivated to break the modern day record of 13 straight wins to start a season with their 14th victory Friday in Game 1 of this series at Toronto. The Rays have a big advantage on the mound tonight. Drew Rasmussen is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.231 WHIP in two starts this season while pitching 13 shutout innings and allowing only 3 base runners with 15 K's. Rasmussen has posted a 2.45 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in seven career starts against Toronto. Jose Berrios went 12-7 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.419 WHIP in 32 starts for the Blue Jays last season. He is off to a terrible start this season, going 0-2 with an 11.17 ERA and 1.861 WHIP in two starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 18 base runners in 9 2/3 innings. Berrios is 1-4 with a 5.86 ERA in eight career starts against the Rays. He allowed 6 earned runs in 2 innings of a 10-5 loss to Tampa Bay in his last start against them. Bet the Rays Friday. |
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04-13-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 3 h 15 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-104) The Tampa Bay Rays are 12-0 this season with 10 wins by 4 runs or more and 11 wins by 2 runs or more. They are scoring 7.7 runs per game with an underrated offense, and allowing 2.2 runs per game with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. They have hit more home runs (30) than runs allowed (27) on the season. The Rays improve to 13-0 this season when they host the Boston Red Sox for Game 4 of this series this afternoon. Tampa Bay has a big advantage on the mound today with Jeffrey Springs over Corey Kluber. Springs went 9-5 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 135 1/3 innings last season. He is 2-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 0.538 WHIP in two starts this season, pitching 13 shutout innings while allowing only 7 base runners with 19 K's to boot. Corey Kluber went 10-10 with a 4.34 ERA in 31 starts for the Rays last season, so they are very familiar with his stuff. Kluber is 0-2 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.681 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 6 earned runs, 3 homers and 14 base runners in 8 1/3 innings. He has allowed 7 earned runs and 13 base runners in 4 innings in his last two starts against the Rays. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Thursday. |
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04-12-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -125 | Top | 7-9 | Win | 100 | 8 h 8 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -125 The Tampa Bay Rays are 11-0 this season with 10 wins by 4 runs or more. They are scoring 7.5 runs per game with an underrated offense, and allowing 1.8 runs per game with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. They have hit more home runs (29) than runs allowed (20) on the season. The Rays improve to 12-0 this season when they host the Boston Red Sox for Game 3 of this series tonight. The only reason the Rays are a short favorite today is because they are going with an opener in Taj Bradley. But that's not a problem as they have the deepest bullpen in the majors which is why they have no problem deploying an opener. I'll gladly fade Chris Sale, who is a shell of his former self due to injury. Sale has posted an 11.25 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in two starts this season while allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 8 innings. Sale has allowed 10 runs, 6 earned and 20 base runners in 9 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Rays. Sale is 1-10 (-12.7 Units) against the money line vs. a AL team with a slugging percentage of .440 or better in his career. Tampa Bay is the gift that keeps on giving. Bet the Rays Wednesday. |
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04-12-23 | Mariners v. Cubs OVER 11 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -104 | 4 h 48 m | Show |
20* Mariners/Cubs Interleague Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 11 The wind was blowing out yesterday at Wrigley and the Mariners and Cubs combined for 23 runs. It will be more of the same today with a similar forecast calling for temperatures in the 70's with over 20 MPH winds blowing out to center. Marcus Stroman is off to a great start this season which is keeping this total lower than it should be. Logan Gilbert also tends to get some respect from the books. Both are quality starters, but neither stands a chance of keeping the ball in the park with the forecast. The OVER is 14-3 in Gilbert's last 17 road starts following a team loss. The OVER is 22-7-1 in Mariners last 30 interleague road games. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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04-11-23 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 8 | Top | 0-5 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 3 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Dodgers/Giants OVER 8 The forecast will help us cash this OVER ticket between the Los Angeles Dodgers and San Francisco Giants tonight. Temperatures will be in the 50's with whopping 25 MPH winds blowing out to center at Oracle Park tonight. Dustin May and Alex Wood aren't good enough to keep this total from flying over. Wood allowed 6 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings in his last start against the Dodgers. May has faced the Diamondbacks twice this season and he is not as good as his numbers suggest. The OVER is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last four games overall with combined scores of 9, 20, 17 and 10 runs. The OVER is 5-2 in Giants last seven games overall with combined scores of 10 runs or more five times. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-11-23 | White Sox v. Twins OVER 7.5 | 3-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 51 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on White Sox/Twins OVER 7.5 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket tonight. Temperatures will be in the 80's with 14 MPH winds blowing out to left at Target Field in Minnesota tonight. These are two very good offenses who will easily combine to top this 7.5-run total given the forecast. The Twins are capable of covering this OVER on their own. Lance Lynn is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.900 WHIP in two starts this season allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 innings. Lynn is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts against the Twins, allowing 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 innings. All three starts came last season as well. The OVER is 8-1-1 in White Sox last nine games overall with combined scores of 9 runs or more in eight of those 10 games. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-11-23 | White Sox v. Twins -147 | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 49 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Minnesota Twins -147 I expect the Minnesota Twins to bounce back from their Game 1 loss to the White Sox tonight. They have a big advantage on the mound and lost to Chicago ace Dylan Cease last night. Now they take a big step down in class of opposing starting pitcher as Cease is the only reliable starter the White Sox have. Lance Lynn is 0-1 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.900 WHIP in two starts this season allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 innings. Lynn is 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA in his last three starts against the Twins, allowing 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 15 innings. All three starts came last season as well. Pablo Lopez was a great get for the Twins in the offseason as he was part of the Marlins' underrated rotation. Lopez went 10-10 with a 3.75 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in 32 starts last season. He is 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA and 0.730 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing just one earned runs and 9 base runners in 12 1/3 innings with 16 K's. The White Sox are 0-5 in their last five games following a win. Bet the Twins Tuesday. |
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04-11-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -165 | Top | 2-7 | Win | 100 | 10 h 27 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -165 The Tampa Bay Rays are 10-0 this season with nine wins by 4 runs or more. They are scoring 7.6 runs per game with an underrated offense, and allowing 1.8 runs per game with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. The Rays improve to 11-0 this season when they host the Boston Red Sox for Game 2 of this series tonight. Shane McClanahan went 12-8 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.926 WHIP in 28 starts last season with 194 K's in 166 1/3 innings. He has picked up where he left off, going 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.167 WHIP in two starts this season allowing just 2 earned runs in 12 innings. He owns the Red Sox, going 4-1 with a 2.10 ERA and 0.990 WHIP in six career starts against them. Garrett Whitlock will be making his first start of the season. He only pitched 5 innings in spring training and is behind to start the season. Now he has to face the hottest lineup in baseball here in the Rays and I don't expect it to go well for him. Boston is 1-11 in its last 12 games after scoring one run or fewer in a division loss. Tampa Bay is 44-13 in its last 57 games as a favorite of -150 or more. Bet the Rays Tuesday. |
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04-10-23 | Dodgers v. Giants OVER 7.5 | 9-1 | Win | 100 | 13 h 6 m | Show | |
15* Dodgers/Giants NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket between the Dodgers and Giants tonight. There is expected to be 18 MPH winds blowing out to center tonight at Oracle Park in San Francisco. That's why I'm willing to back an OVER in a game involving Julio Urias, who is one of the best starters in baseball. But the Dodgers are more than capable of covering this OVER on their own against Logan Webb and the Giants. Webb has allowed 12 earned runs in 15 innings in his last three starts against the Dodgers. The Giants have a 5.40 bullpen ERA this season. They are scoring 5.2 runs per game and allowing 4.7 runs per game. The Dodgers are scoring 6.0 runs per game and allowing 4.4 runs per game. The Dodgers are 15-4 OVER in their last 19 games after allowing 8 runs or more. San Francisco is 16-5 OVER in its last 21 games after a combined score of 4 runs or less. The OVER is 6-0 in Dodgers last six games following a loss. The OVER is 12-5 in Giants last 17 games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-10-23 | Nationals v. Angels OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 13 h 10 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Nationals/Angels OVER 9.5 It just shows how poor the Washington Nationals are this season when Patrick Corbin is their Opening Day starter. Corbin went 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.468 WHIP in 2021 and 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 2022. It has been more of the same for Corbin to open 2023. He is 0-2 with an 8.00 ERA and 2.222 WHIP in two starts this season allowing 8 earned runs and 20 base runners in 9 innings. He'll get rocked by the Angels again tonight. Los Angeles has one of the most potent lineups in baseball and is scoring 6.2 runs per game on the season, including 7.7 runs per game at home. But the Angels have a shaky pitching staff outside of Shohei Ohtani and Tyler Anderson. They are allowing 4.6 runs per game including 7.0 runs per game at home. Their bullpen has a 4.45 ERA on the season. Jose Suarez was rocked for 6 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of an 11-2 loss to the Mariners in his first start this season. Now he faces a Nationals team that has scored 7.7 runs per game in their last three games overall. The Nationals will get their runs to help contribute to this OVER, and the Angels are capable of covering it on their own after scoring 20 runs in their last two games over the weekend. The forecast will also help us cash this OVER ticket. It will be 70 degrees in Los Angeles tonight with 8 MPH winds blowing out to right-center. The OVER is 5-1-1 in Nationals last seven games overall. The OVER is 22-9-2 in Nationals last 33 interleague home games. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-10-23 | Padres +120 v. Mets | 0-5 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 50 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on San Diego Padres +120 The San Diego Padres are 6-2 in their last eight games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in seven of those eight games. They have one of the best lineups in baseball, and I don't think they should be underdogs to the New York Mets tonight. Father time catches up to everyone, and this might just be the year it catches up to Max Scherzer. He is 1-1 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.412 WHIP in two starts this season, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 1/3 innings. Yu Darvish is coming off a great season in San Diego and was sharp in his first start this season, allowing just one earned run in 5 innings to the Diamondbacks. Darvish owns the Mets having never lost to them, going 6-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.754 WHIP in nine career starts against them. Scherzer allowed 7 earned runs in 4 2/3 innings in his last start against the Padres and has now allowed 14 earned runs and 7 homers in 16 innings in his last three starts against them. Bet the Padres Monday. |
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04-10-23 | Marlins -110 v. Phillies | 3-15 | Loss | -110 | 10 h 20 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Miami Marlins -110 The Philadelphia Phillies are really struggling to start the season. They are 3-6 and scoring just 3.3 runs per game with a depleted lineup, and allowing 5.8 runs per game with one of the worst staffs in the National League. Their bullpen has a 6.75 ERA on the season and is one of the worst bullpens in the league. The Marlins have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Sandy Alcantara over Matt Strahm. Alcantara won the NL Cy Young last season while going 14-9 with a 2.28 ERA and 0.980 WHIP with 207 K's. He is 1-0 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.750 WHIP in two starts this season allowing just 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 14 2/3 innings. Matt Strahm is getting his first real crack at being a starter this season and isn't likely to go deep into this game. That will lead the Marlins to getting into Philly's woeful bullpen early. Strahm allowed 7 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in his lone career start against the Marlins. The Marlins are 10-0 in Alcantara's 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record over the alst two seasons and winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Marlins Monday. |
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04-10-23 | Red Sox v. Rays -150 | Top | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -150 The Tampa Bay Rays are 9-0 this season with all nine wins by 4 runs or more. They are scoring 8.3 runs per game with an underrated offense, and allowing 2.0 runs per game with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. The Rays improve to 10-0 this season when they host the Boston Rd Sox for Game 1 of this series Monday. The Red Sox have one of the worst pitching staffs in baseball and are allowing 5.2 runs per game this season. Nick Pivetta is 40-51 with a 4.99 ERA and 1.390 WHIP in his career. Pivetta is 1-5 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.366 WHIP in eight career starts against Tampa Bay. He posted a 6.11 ERA and 1.981 WHIP in the spring allowing 12 earned runs, 4 homers and 35 base runners in 17 2/3 innings. Bet the Rays Monday. |
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04-09-23 | Cardinals +140 v. Brewers | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 3 h 20 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Undervalued Underdog on St. Louis Cardinals +140 The Milwaukee Brewers are overvalued after a 6-2 start this season. The Cardinals finally ended their six-game winning streak while stopping a four-game losing streak of their own with a 6-0 victory yesterday. And I like the value we are getting on the Cardinals today as big road underdogs. Jake Woodford pitched 5 shutout innings while allowing only 3 base runners in a 2-1 win over the Brewers in his lone career start against them. Freddy Peralta has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-4 with a 7.24 ERA and 1.577 WHIP in eight career starts against them. Bet the Cardinals Sunday. |
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04-09-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 2 h 19 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-145) The Tampa Bay Rays are 8-0 this season with all eight wins by 4 runs or more. They are scoring 8.0 runs per game with an underrated offense, and allowing 2.2 runs per game with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. The Rays continue taking advantage of their easy early schedule by hosting the Oakland A's for Game 3 of this series today. The A's are 2-6 this season scoring just 3.4 runs per game and allowing 7.6 runs per game. They have one of the worst lineups in baseball and a terrible staff as well. Drew Rasmussen fired 6 shutout innings with 7 K's while allowing only two base runners in a 6-2 win at Washington in his first start this season. He'll be opposed by James Kaprielian, who allowed 5 earned runs and 9 base runners in 5 innings of a 12-11 loss to the Guardians in his first start this season. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Sunday. |
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04-08-23 | Blue Jays v. Angels -115 | Top | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show |
20* Blue Jays/Angels AL Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles -115 The Los Angeles Angels should be much bigger favorites tonight over the Toronto Blue Jays considering the big advantage they have on the mound. I'll gladly back Tyler Anderson over Jose Berrios at this short number. Anderson went 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.002 WHIP in 178 2/3 innings for the Dodgers last season. He posted a 1.35 ERA in the spring while allowing just 2 earned runs and 12 base runners in 13 1/3 innings. And he was dominant in his first tart this season pitching 6 shutout innings in a 6-0 victory over the A's. Berrios is decent at home but terrible on the road throughout his career, especially last season. Berrios posted a 5.23 ERA and 1.419 WHIP in 32 starts for the Blue Jays last season, including a 6.36 ERA and 1.525 WHIP in 16 road starts. He just allowed 8 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings at Kansas City in his first start this season, and the Royals aren't nearly as good an offensive team as the Angels. Berrios is 2-4 with a 6.81 ERA and 1.598 WHIP in seven career starts against the Angels. He has allowed 12 earned runs in 6 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Los Angeles. Bet the Angels Saturday. |
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04-08-23 | Cardinals v. Brewers +134 | 6-0 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Milwaukee Brewers +134 The Milwaukee Brewers are 6-0 in their last six games overall and should not be this big of a home underdog to the St. Louis Cardinals today. The Brewers have scored a total of 39 runs in their last five games and are hitting the cover off the ball right now. The St. Louis Cardinals are 0-4 in their last four games overall while scoring a total of 7 runs in those four defeats. The Cardinals may have a slight advantage on the mound with Montgomery over Lauer in this one, but I think the Brewers make up for it at the plate with as hot as they have been compared to how cold the Cardinals have been. The Brewers are 15-5 in Lauer's last 20 starts following a win in their previous game. Montgomery's teams are 5-11 (-13.2 Units) in his last 16 starts as a road favorite of -125 or more. Bet the Brewers Saturday. |
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04-08-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 0-11 | Win | 100 | 7 h 39 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-135) The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-0 this season with all seven wins by 4 runs or more. They are scoring 7.6 runs per game with an underrated offense, and allowing 2.6 runs per game with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. The Rays continue taking advantage of their easy early schedule by hosting the Oakland A's for Game 2 of this series tonight. The A's are 2-5 this season scoring just 3.9 runs per game and allowing 7.1 runs per game. They have one of the worst lineups in baseball and a terrible staff as well. Jeffrey Springs went 9-5 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 135 1/3 innings last season. He pitched 14 shutout innings in spring training while allowing only seven base runners with 24 K's. He allowed one base runner in 6 innings with 12 K's in a dominant first start against the Tigers this season. Shintaro Fujinami was rocked for 8 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of a 13-1 loss to the Angels in his major league debut this season. He struggles with control which was evident in the spring with 17 walks in 18 2/3 innings. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Saturday. |
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04-07-23 | A's v. Rays -1.5 | 5-9 | Win | 100 | 6 h 7 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-130) The Tampa Bay Rays are 6-0 this season with all six wins by 4 runs or more. They are scoring 7.3 runs per game with an underrated offense, and allowing 2.2 runs per game with one of the best pitching staffs in baseball. The Rays continue taking advantage of their easy early schedule by hosting the Oakland A's for Game 1 of this series tonight. The A's are 2-4 this season scoring just 3.7 runs per game and allowing 6.8 runs per game. They have one of the worst lineups in baseball and a terrible staff as well. Zach Eflin held the Tigers to one earned run in 5 innings of a 12-2 victory in his first start this season. Eflin fired 4 shutout innings against the A's in his lone career start against them last season. Ken Waldichuk allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 2/3 innings in his first start this season against the Angels in a 6-0 defeat. Waldichuk has now allowed at least 4 earned runs in four of his last six starts dating back to last season. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Friday. |
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04-06-23 | Giants v. White Sox OVER 8 | 16-6 | Win | 100 | 3 h 2 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Giants/White Sox OVER 8 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket between the Giants and White Sox today. Temps will be in the 50's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago this afternoon. Alex Wood and Lance Lynn are both past their primes. The White Sox have gone for at least 9 combined runs in five consecutive games and are 5-0 OVER in those five games. The Giants have gone for 10 or more combined runs in three of their last four games and are 3-1 OVER during this stretch. The OVER is 8-0-1 in the last nine meetings in Chicago. The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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04-06-23 | Red Sox v. Tigers OVER 8 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 2 h 3 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Red Sox/Tigers OVER 8 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket this afternoon. Temps will be in the 50's in Detroit with 13 MPH winds blowing out to left-center. Chris Sale is a shell of his former self due to injury. He allowed 7 earned runs and 3 homers in 3 innings against the Orioles in his first start this season. Spencer Turnbull is a gas can for the Tigers. He allowed 7 earned runs and 11 base runners in 2 2/3 innings to the Rays in his first start this season. The OVER is 6-0 in Red Sox last six road games vs. a right-handed starter. The OVER is 4-1 in Tigers last five games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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04-05-23 | Rays v. Nationals OVER 8.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 49 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Rays/Nationals OVER 8.5 Pat Corbin was one of the worst starters in baseball last season and it just shows how poor a shape the Nationals are in this season with him being their Opening Day starter. Corbin went 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 31 starts last season. He allowed 4 runs and 10 base runners in 3 innings in his opening start against the Braves. The Tampa Bay Rays are 5-0 this season and scoring 7.4 runs per game. I think the Rays are capable of covering this total on their own like they did last night in a 10-6 victory over the Nationals. The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER ticket. Temperatures will be in the 80's this afternoon with 14 MPH winds blowing out to left-center. The Nationals will score a couple runs to help cash this OVER ticket as well. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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04-05-23 | Rays -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 2 h 55 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-140) The Tampa Bay Rays are 5-0 this season and scoring 7.4 runs per game. The Washington Nationals are 1-4 this season and scoring just 3.0 runs per game. The Rays should win this game by two runs or more today given their big advantage on the mound. Shane McClanahan went 12-8 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.926 WHIP in 28 starts last season. He had a 0.93 ERA and 0.724 WHIP in the spring. He pitched 6 shutout innings in a 4-0 victory over the Tigers in his first start this season. Pat Corbin was one of the worst starters in baseball last season and it just shows how poor a shape the Nationals are in this season with him being their Opening Day starter. Corbin went 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 31 starts last season. He allowed 4 runs and 10 base runners in 3 innings in his opening start against the Braves. The Nationals are 4-24 in Corbin's last 28 starts as an underdog of +100 or higher and losing by 3.9 runs per game. Washington is 2-18 in Corbin's last 20 starts vs. a team with a winning record and losing by 3.5 runs per game. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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04-04-23 | Guardians -1.5 v. A's | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -105 | 8 h 27 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Cleveland Guardians -1.5 (-105) The new MLB rule changes favor teams with speed, contact hitting and fewer strikeouts. No team benefited more from the rule changes than the Cleveland Guardians. That is showing up in the early going as they are 4-1 this season and scoring 5.8 runs per game. The Guardians have a big advantage on the mound over the Oakland A's, who are 1-3 and scoring just 3.5 runs per game. Shane Bieber is 54-26 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in his career in the big leagues. Bieber had a 1.54 ERA and 0.643 WHIP in the Spring while allowing only 4 earned runs in 23 1/3 innings. He fired 6 shutout innings agains the Mariners in his first start this season. JP Sears is the 5th starter for the A's this season. He posted a 4.69 ERA and 1.479 WHIP in Oakland last season allowing 25 earned runs in 48 innings. Sears posted a 5.19 ERA and 1.442 WHIP in the Spring allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 17 1/3 innings. Bieber's teams are 10-0 in his last 10 road starts after he allowed zero earned runs in his previous start and winning by 2.7 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Guardians on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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04-04-23 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 10 | 4-1 | Loss | -105 | 7 h 45 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Braves/Cardinals OVER 10 The Braves and Cardinals have two of the most potent lineups in baseball. The Cardinals are scoring 6.5 runs per game this season while the Braves are scoring 5.7 runs per game. Two bottom end starters in Dylan Dodd and Steven Matz will have to try and contain these potent lineups. They'll also have to try and contain them with the weather being perfect conditions for a slug fest. Indeed, forecasts are calling for 80 degrees with over 20 MPH winds blowing out to left in St. Louis. The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings in St. Louis. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-04-23 | Blue Jays v. Royals OVER 10 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 7 h 40 m | Show | |
15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Blue Jays/Royals OVER 10 Two gas cans are starting for the Blue Jays and Royals tonight. Yusei Kikuchi is 21-31 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.424 WHIp in his career. Kris Bubic is 10-26 with a 4.89 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in his career. These two starts will have no chance of containing these lineups today due to the weather. Temps will be in the 80's with 24 MPH winds blowing out to left at Kauffman Stadium tonight. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-04-23 | Phillies v. Yankees OVER 8.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 51 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Phillies/Yankees OVER 8.5 The Philadelphia Phillies have gone 3-1 OVER in their first four games this season with 9 or more combined runs in three of the four and allowing 37 runs in four games. The Yankees have scored at least 5 runs in all four games this season while averaging 6.0 runs per game. Two bottom end starters go today in Matt Strahm and Domingo German. Strahm is making his transition from bullpen to starter this season and it won't go well against the potent Yankees. German has been inconsistent and had an 8.71 ERA and 1.452 WHIP in the spring while allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 1/3 innings. German is 0-1 with a 9.72 ERA and 2.041 WHIP in two career starts against the Phillies, allowing 9 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings. The Yankees are 15-1 OVER in their last 16 games vs. NL teams that average 3.5 or fewer runs per game. The OVER is 7-0-1 in the last eight meetings in New York. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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04-03-23 | Braves v. Cardinals OVER 8 | Top | 8-4 | Win | 100 | 8 h 6 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Braves/Cardinals OVER 8 The Atlanta Braves and St. Louis Cardinals have two of the best lineups in baseball. The Braves scored 15 runs in three games with the Nationals over the weekend, while the Cardinals scored 22 runs in their three games with the Blue Jays over the weekend. Charlie Morton went 9-6 with a 4.34 ERA in 31 starts for the Braves last season and is past his prime. He allowed 28 homers in 172 innings and is a notorious slow starter to the season. Morton has posted a 6.00 ERA in the spring while allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 innings. Jake Woodford is entering his first full season as a starter for the Cardinals. This is a tall task for him to open the season against this potent Atlanta lineup. The Braves are 10-1 OVER in Morton's last 11 starts following a loss. The OVER is 26-9-3 in Braves last 38 games vs. a team with a winning record. The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings in St. Louis. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-03-23 | Pirates v. Red Sox OVER 9 | 7-6 | Win | 100 | 8 h 31 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Total DOMINATOR on Pirates/Red Sox OVER 9 The Boston Red Sox are a dead nuts OVER team. They went OVER the total in all three meetings with the Orioles at Fenway Park over the weekend with 19, 17 and 14 combined runs in the three games. They have a very good lineup but a terrible rotation and bullpen. The Pirates have a bad lineup and a bad rotation, but even they will get their bats going today largely due to the weather. The forecast is calling for temps in the 50's with 17 MPH winds blowing out toward the Green Monster in left-center at Fenway Park tonight. Johan Ovieda has a 4.34 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in his three seasons in the big leagues across 143 innings. Oviedo posted a 4.58 ERA and 1.424 WHIP in 19 2/3 innings in Spring Training. Kutter Crawford has a 5.90 ERA and 1.475 WHIP in 79 1/3 innings in the big leagues. Crawford has allowing 8 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings for a 4.15 ERA in Spring Training. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-03-23 | Phillies v. Yankees OVER 7.5 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 7 h 27 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Yankees OVER 7.5 The New York Yankees have one of the most potent lineups in baseball. The just scored 5 runs or more in all three games with the Giants over the weekend. The Phillies are still potent even with their current injury situation, and their staff is clearly a weakness allowing 29 runs in three games against the Rangers over the weekend. Nestor Cortes is a solid starter, but this total is too low because he is starting. Taijuan Walker is decent as well, but he was rocked for a 7.71 ERA and 1.929 WHIP while allowing 8 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings in the spring. Aaron Judge has four career hits against Walker, all of which have gone for home runs. He has allowed 6 homers in 17 innings in his last three starts against the Yankees. The main reason for this play is the weather, which is calling for temps in the 50's with 15 MPH winds blowing out to left-center at Yankee Stadium tonight. The ball will be flying out of this hitter-friendly park. The OVER is 6-0-1 in the last seven meetings in New York. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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04-03-23 | Cubs -112 v. Reds | 6-7 | Loss | -112 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Chicago Cubs -112 The Chicago Cubs are coming off consecutive losses to the Milwaukee Brewers at home. I look for the Cubs to bounce back today in Game 1 of this series against the Cincinnati Reds, who are coming off consecutive home wins over the lowly Pittsburgh Pirates. The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound today with Drew Smyly. The left-hander went 7-8 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.194 WHIP in 22 starts for the Cubs last season. Smyly has never lost to the Reds, going 5-0 (7-0 money line) with a 2.91 ERA and 1.118 WHIP on seven career starts against them. Connor Overton was terrible in the spring for the Reds. He posted a 15.43 ERA and 2.486 WHIP while allowing 20 earned runs and 6 homers in 11 2/3 innings. Bet the Cubs Monday. |
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04-02-23 | Angels -150 v. A's | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 14 h 46 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Los Angeles Angels -150 The Los Angeles Angels have a big advantage on the mound today. Tyler Anderson went 15-5 with a 2.57 ERA and 1.002 WHIP in 178 2/3 innings for the Dodgers last season. Anderson psoted a 1.35 ERA and 0.900 WHIP in the spring allowing just 2 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings. Anderson has never lost to the A's, going 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in three career starts against them allowing just 2 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings. Ken Waldichuck went 2-2 with a 4.93 ERA in 34 2/3 innings for the A's last season allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers as a rookie. Waldichuk was a disaster in the spring, posting a 10.54 ERA and 2.268 WHIP while allowing 16 earned runs, 4 homers and 31 base runners in 13 2/3 innings. The Angels just hung 13 runs on the A's yesterday and should stay hot at the plate against Waldichuk. Bet the Angels Sunday. |
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04-02-23 | Brewers v. Cubs -120 | Top | 9-5 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 60 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -120 Jameson Taillon is one of the more underrated starters in baseball. He went 14-5 with a 3.91 ERA and 1.128 WHIP for the Yankees last season. The Cubs were wise to go out and get him. Taillon is 3-5 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.217 WHIP in 11 career starts against Milwaukee. He posted a 3.93 ERA and 0.764 WHIP in the spring while allowing just 8 earned runs and 14 base runners in 18 1/3 innings with 23 K's. Eric Lauer really struggled in the spring for the Brewers with an 11.57 ERA and 2.486 WHIP while allowing 15 earned runs and 29 base runners in 11 2/3 innings. Lauer has posted a 5.03 ERA in seven career starts against the Cubs. Taillon's teams are 90-54 in his 144 career starts. The Brewers are 0-6 in their last six games after allowing two runs or fewer in their previous game. The Cubs are 7-1 in their last eight home games. Chicago is 13-4 in its last 17 games overall. Bet the Cubs Sunday. |
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04-02-23 | Twins -146 v. Royals | 7-4 | Win | 100 | 12 h 49 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Minnesota Twins -146 The Kansas City Royals haven't scored a single run in two games. They have one of the worst lineups in baseball, and it's not going to get any easier for them against Joe Ryan today. Ryan went 13-8 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.102 WHIP in 27 starts last season for the Twins. Ryan has never lost to the Royals, going 4-0 with a 1.13 ERA an 0.833 WHIP in four career starts against them. He posted a 2.16 ERA and 1.020 WHIP in the spring while allowing just 4 earned runs in 16 2/3 innings. Brad Keller posted a 5.39 ERA and 1.661 WHIP in 26 starts in 2021 and wasn't much better in 2022, going 6-14 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.504 WHIP in 139 2/3 innings. Keller has allowed 10 earned runs in 11 innings in his last two starts against Minnesota. He posted a 4.95 ERA and 1.400 WHIP in the spring while allowing 11 earned runs in 20 innings. The Royals are 1-11 in Keller's last 12 home starts following a loss. The Twins are 9-3 in the last 12 meetings. Bet the Twins Sunday. |
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04-02-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 1-4 | Loss | -112 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-112) The Atlanta Braves have won the first two games of this series 7-2 and 7-1. It should be more of the same here in Game 3. They have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, while the Nationals have one of the worst lineups in baseball after trading away Juan Soto last season. Jared Shuster is just the next great young arm for the Braves. He makes his MLB debut today after a dominant spring with a 1.45 ERA and 0.589 WHIP while allowing just 3 earned runs and 11 base runners in 18 2/3 innings with 18 K's. Mackenzie Gore went 4-4 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.471 WHIP in 70 innings for the Padres last season as a rookie. Gore posted a 4.18 ERA and 1.394 WHIP in the spring while allowing 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 33 base runners in 23 2/3 innings. The Braves are 43-16 in the last 59 meetings. The Nationals are 16-54 in their last 70 games as a home underdog of +125 or more and losing by 2.3 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Sunday. |
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04-01-23 | Pirates v. Reds OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 23 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Reds OVER 8.5 The weather is the main reason I'm on the OVER between the Pirates and Reds today. The Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati is already one of the most hitter-friendly fields in baseball. That is amplified today with winds blowing out to center at 25 MPH forecasted. Rich Hill went 8-7 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.303 WHIP while allowing 15 homers in 124 1/3 innings for the Red Sox last season. Hill posted a 9.24 ERA and 1.737 WHIP in spring training this season while allowing 13 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings. Nick Lodolo is a nice young prospect for the Reds after going 4-7 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.248 WHIP in 19 starts last season. But he allowed 13 homers in 103 1/3 innings and is susceptible to the long ball just like Hill. Lodolo allowed two homers in 16 2/3 innings in the spring. The OVER is 8-0-1 in Pirates last nine road games vs. a left-handed starter. These are two young lineups with a lot of potential this season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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04-01-23 | Twins v. Royals UNDER 8.5 | 2-0 | Win | 100 | 6 h 22 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Twins/Royals UNDER 8.5 The wind was blowing out in Game 1 of this series between the Royals and Twins and they still managed just two combined runs in a 2-0 Minnesota victory. Now the wind will be blowing in from left-center at roughly 11 MPH in Game 2 Saturday, and it should be another pitcher's duel as a result. Sonny Gray owns the Royals going 7-2 with a 1.66 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in 10 career starts against them. He faced them three times last season allowing just one earned run in 19 innings. Jordan Lyles has posted a 3.57 ERA and 1.076 WHIP in three career starts against the Twins. He held them to one earned run in 6 1/3 innings in his lone start against them last season. The UNDER is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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04-01-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 6 h 17 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-133) The Atlanta Braves have one of the best lineups in baseball and Spencer Strider is one of the best starters in baseball. He went 11-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 0.995 WHIP last season with 202 K's in 131 2/3 innings and finished 2nd in Rookie of the Year voting. He allowed only 7 homers all season and posted a 1.69 ERA while allowing just 3 earned runs in 16 innings in spring training. The wind is going to be blowing out to right-center in Washington today at roughly 25 MPH, so keeping the ball down and missing bats like Strider does is going to be important. He'll be up against one of the worst lineups in baseball in the Nationals, who traded away Juan Soto last year and are rebuilding. Josiah Gray went 7-10 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.359 WHIP in 28 starts for the Nationals last season while allowing a whopping 38 homers in 148 2/3 innings. He does not keep the ball down and is an extreme fly ball pitcher, which is bad news for him and the Nationals today with the wind blowing out. The Braves are 42-16 in the last 58 meetings. The Nationals are 16-53 in their last 69 games as a home underdog of +125 or more and losing by 2.3 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday. |
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04-01-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 6.5 | Top | 3-1 | Win | 105 | 5 h 4 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Brewers/Cubs UNDER 6.5 This is mostly a bet on the UNDER due to weather. Temperatures will be in the 30's with 29 MPH winds expected to be blowing in from left-center at Wrigley Field today. It's going to be nearly impossible for either team to hit home runs in these conditions. These are two below-average lineups as well. Brandon Woodruff is 2-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.037 WHIP in 14 career starts against the Cubs. He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Chicago. Justin Steele is 1-2 with a 2.70 ERA and 1.225 WHIP in eight career starts against Milwaukee. He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 18 innings in his last three starts against the Brewers. Bet the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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03-31-23 | White Sox v. Astros -143 | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -143 I'll back the defending champs to bounce back from an upset loss to the Chicago White Sox in their opener. A lot of times that opening game is a distraction when they receive their rings. They should be refocused tonight for Game 2. The Astros have a big advantage on the mound with Cristian Javier, who is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Javier went 11-9 with a 2.54 ERA and 0.948 WHIP last season with 194 K's in 148 2/3 innings. He had a great spring with a 2.31 ERA and 0.943 WHIP allowing 3 earned runs in 11 1/2 innings. Lance Lynn went 8-7 with a 3.99 ERA in 21 starts for the White Sox last season. The 36-year-old was not good in the World Baseball Classic and is once again out of shape heading into this season. Lynn had a 4.30 ERA and 1.364 WHIP in spring training with 7 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings. Javier allowed one run in 5 innings of a 4-3 win over the White Sox in his lone career start against them, which came last season. Lynn is 0-6 with an 8.37 ERA in his last six starts against the Astros, allowing a whopping 31 earned runs and 10 homers in 33 1/3 innings. Enough said. Bet the Astros Friday. |
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03-30-23 | Angels -1.5 v. A's | 1-2 | Loss | -120 | 27 h 38 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Angels -1.5 (-120) The Los Angeles Angels should contend for the AL West title this season. They have one of the best lineups in baseball with Ward, Trout, Ohtani, Rendon, Renfroe, Drury and Urshela. Their problem is a lack of depth in their rotation, but that won't come into play tonight. Shohei Ohtani makes the Opening Day start and this will feel like a home game for the Angels despite being played in Oakland. Ohtani is 28-14 with a 2.96 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in four seasons as a starting pitcher. He went 15-9 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.012 WHIP in 28 starts last season with 219 K's in 166 innings. Oakland is one of the worst teams in baseball this season with a terrible lineup and a suspect starting rotation. Kyle Muller gets the Opening Day start despite giving up eight runs (four earned) and 10 hits to the White Sox in his final Spring Training start. He finished the spring with a 6.50 ERA and 1.89 WHIP in 18 innings. That's how poor of shape this rotation is in when they are starting Muller on Opening Day. Ohtani is 4-4 with a 2.50 ERA and 0.884 WHIP in 10 career starts against the A's. He allowed just one earned run in 19 innings in his final three starts against the A's last season for a minuscule 0.47 ERA. He will shut them down again and the Angels will get to Muller and win this game by two runs or more. Bet the Angels on the Run Line Thursday. |
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03-30-23 | Giants v. Yankees -1.5 | 0-5 | Win | 130 | 18 h 37 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Early ANNIHILATOR on New York Yankees -1.5 (+130) The New York Yankees look like one of the best teams in baseball this season. They have Judge, Rizzo, Stanton, Torres and LaMahieu all healthy to start the season and at the top of the lineup. And they sent ace Gerrit Cole to the mound. Cole is 130-71 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.100 WHIP in 10 seasons in the big leagues. The San Francisco Giants are a team that is going to be hurt most by the new rules. They can't shift anymore, and their starting rotation features more ground ball pitchers than any other team in baseball. They also lack team speed so won't be taking advantage of the steal rules. Their lineup looks like one of the worst in baseball on paper. Speaking of ground ball pitchers, Logan Webb goes for the Giants tonight. He has one of the biggest home/road splits in the league. He has a 3.01 ERA at home in his four seasons in the big leagues, but a 3.95 ERA on the road. Now he has to open the season at Yankee Stadium, one of the most hitter-friendly parks in baseball. Bet the Yankees on the Run Line Thursday. |
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03-30-23 | Braves -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 18 h 36 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-140) The Atlanta Braves look like the best team in baseball this season. They have no weaknesses in their lineup and get a healthy Ronald Acuna to start the season plus Marcell Ozuna. They take on what could be the worst team in baseball in the Washington Nationals, who traded away Juan Soto and now have a bunch of no-names in their lineup. Max Fried went 14-7 with a 2.48 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 30 starts last season. He'll be opposed by Patrick Corbin, who is somehow getting the Opening Day start for the Nationals despite going 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.70 WHIP in 31 starts last season. That fact alone tells you just how poor of shape the Nationals are in this season. Fried is 4-1 with a 3.00 ERA in his last six starts against the Nationals, while Corbin is 0-9 with a 7.17 ERA in his last 10 starts against the Braves while allowing 38 earned runs in 47 2/3 innings. The Nationals are 0-10 in Corbin's last 10 starts against the Braves. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Thursday. |
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11-05-22 | Phillies +134 v. Astros | 1-4 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 59 m | Show | |
15* Phillies/Astros World Series ANNIHILATOR on Philadelphia +134 I expect the Philadelphia Phillies to bounce back from two consecutive losses to force a Game 7 tonight. This line is out of whack and should be much closer to even money. The Phillies have the advantage on the mound and their best starter going tonight in Zack Wheeler. Wheeler is 13-9 with a 2.80 ERA and 0.987 WHIP In 31 starts this season. He has allowed just 10 earned runs in 45 1/3 innings in his last eight starts for a 1.99 ERA. Framber Valdez has allowed 13 earned runs in 34 2/3 innings in his last six starts for a 3.37 ERA. The Phillies are 7-0 in their last seven games following an off day. Houston is 2-7 in its last nine World Series home games. The hardest game to win is the close out game, and I expect the Astros to be the ones feeling more pressure tonight. Roll with the Phillies in Game 6 Saturday. |
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11-02-22 | Astros -101 v. Phillies | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 24 m | Show | |
15* Astros/Phillies World Series ANNIHILATOR on Houston -101 The Houston Astros have a big advantage on the mound over the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 4 tonight and should square this series at 2-2 with a win as a result. Aaron Nola has been one of the most overrated starters in baseball for years, and Christian Javier is arguably the single-most underrated starter in baseball this season. Javier is 12-8 with a 2.58 ERA and 0.959 WHIP in 26 starts this season with 178 K's in 139 2/3 innings. He has been lights out of late, going 4-0 with a 0.00 ERA in his last five starts while firing 28 1/3 shutout innings. He has an elite fastball so the Phillies won't be able to know what's coming like they did against McCullers and all his off-speed stuff last night. Nola is 13-14 with a 3.38 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in 36 start this season. He has been terrible in his last two postseason starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 9 innings for an 11.00 ERA. He gave up 5 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings in Game 1 to the Astros. They will get to him again tonight. For a guy that gets so much love, the Phillies are just 33-35 (-12.4 Units) in Nola's 68 starts over the past two seasons. That includes 7-18 (-13.1 Units) in Nola's 25 starts when facing a good team that outscores their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Houston is 37-14 in its last 51 games following a loss. Take the Astros in Game 4 Wednesday. |
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10-22-22 | Padres v. Phillies OVER 8 | Top | 6-10 | Win | 100 | 10 h 50 m | Show |
20* Padres/Phillies NLCS No-Brainer on OVER 8 Look for a similar outburst to Game 2 when the Phillies and Padres combined for 13 runs. These are the worst two starters for their respective teams thus far in this series, and the bats for both teams will get going in Game 4 tonight. Mike Clevinger is 7-8 with a 4.46 ERA in 23 starts this season, including 4-5 with a 5.68 ERA in 14 road starts. Clevinger is 1-1 with a 7.10 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed 5 runs, 4 earned, and 8 base runners in 2 2/3 innings in his lone playoff start against the Dodgers this season. Bailey Falter is 6-3 with a 3.76 ERA in 16 starts this season. But Falter has 'faltered' at home, going 3-2 with a 5.56 ERA in seven starts while allowing 8 homers and 21 earned runs in 34 innings. The Padres will get into this Philadelphia bullpen early. The OVER is 7-1-1 in Padres last nine road games vs. a left-handed starter. The OVER is 8-3-1 in Padres last 12 games overall. The OVER is 5-1 in Phillies last six home games. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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10-19-22 | Phillies v. Padres -115 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 16 h 26 m | Show |
25* MLB Playoffs GAME OF THE YEAR on San Diego Padres -115 Playoff Blake Snell is much different than regular season Blake Snell. He has been in playoff mode for a couple months now and has been absolutely dominant. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight of his last nine starts, including one earned run or fewer in seven of those. Snell has posted a 1.35 ERA in his last five starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 26 2/3 innings with 36 K's to boot. Snell has a 2.89 ERA while allowing just 14 earned runs in 43 2/3 innings in his career in the postseason. He will come up clutch and get the Padres a win here in Game 2 after dropping Game 1. Aaron Nola is getting too much respect here. He has been dominant down the stretch at times as well, but not as consistently as Snell. Nola has allowed 4 earned runs or more in three of his last nine starts. Nola has allowed 9 earned runs in 21 innings in his last three starts against the Padres for a 3.86 ERA as well. The Padres are a perfect 5-0 in their last five games following a loss and will bounce back in a big way today behind Snell. Bet the Padres in Game 2 Wednesday. |
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10-18-22 | Phillies v. Padres -110 | 2-0 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show | |
15* Phillies/Padres NLCS ANNIHILATOR on San Diego -110 The San Diego Padres just beat a pair of 100-win teams in the Mets and Dodgers to get here. Now they take a big step down in class here against the Philadelphia Phillies in the NLCS, and we are getting them at basically even money in Game 1, which is good value. Yu Darvish is 18-8 with a 3.09 ERA and 0.968 WHIP in 32 starts this season. Darvish has been at his best at home, going 7-3 with a 2.60 ERA and 0.877 WHIP in 13 home starts. He is also 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in seven career starts against Philadelphia. Darvish has allowed just 3 earned runs in 13 innings in two starts against the Phillies in 2022. He'll be opposed by Zack Wheeler, who has been at his worst on the road this season at 6-5 with a 3.61 ERA in 15 starts away from home. The Padres are 18-3 in their last 21 games following an off day. The Padres are 15-4 in Darvish's last 19 starts with a total of 7 or less. Take the Padres in Game 1 Tuesday. |
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10-16-22 | Yankees v. Guardians +165 | 4-2 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 20 m | Show | |
15* Yankees/Guardians ALDS ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland +165 The Cleveland Guardians have been the hottest team in baseball down the stretch. They have gone 26-6 in their last 32 games overall and aren't intimidated by the Yankees. They should not be home underdogs in Game 4 of this series tonight, especially with the Yankees reeling after blowing a 5-3 lead in the 9th inning last night. The Guardians have all the momentum now. Cal Quantrill is one of the most underrated starters in baseball this season. He is 15-6 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.218 WHIP in 33 starts, including a perfect 9-0 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.086 WHIP in 19 home starts. The Guardians are 16-2 in Quantrill's last 18 starts overall. Gerrit Cole has come up short in the postseason before and is one of the most overrated starters in baseball. He is 14-8 with an identical 3.43 ERA to Quantrill, including a 3.81 ERA in 17 road starts this season. I'll gladly take the value with the home team today. Bet the Guardians in Game 4 Sunday. |
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10-15-22 | Dodgers -116 v. Padres | 3-5 | Loss | -116 | 12 h 13 m | Show | |
15* Dodgers/Padres NLDS ANNIHILATOR on Los Angeles -116 The Los Angeles Dodgers will bounce back following consecutive losses to the Padres to fall behind 2-1 in this series. They have a big advantage on the mound today, and the experience advantage as the Padres aren't used to trying to close out a series. That is the hardest game to win for inexperienced teams. Tyler Anderson is 14-5 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.020 WHIP in 28 starts this season for the Dodgers. Anderson owns the Padres, going 6-3 with a 2.46 ERA and 1.060 WHIP in 14 career starts against them. He has allowed just 3 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Padres in 2022. Joe Musgrove is having a solid season overall, but he cannot figure out the Dodgers. In fact, Musgrove is 0-6 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.306 WHIP in nine career starts against them, having never beaten Los Angeles. He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in six of his nine career starts against the Dodgers. Roll with the Dodgers in Game 4 Saturday. |
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10-15-22 | Yankees v. Guardians +110 | 5-6 | Win | 110 | 10 h 42 m | Show | |
15* Yankees/Guardians ALDS ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland +110 The Cleveland Guardians have been the hottest team in baseball down the stretch. They have gone 25-6 in their last 31 games overall and aren't intimidated by the Yankees. They should not be home underdogs in Game 3 of this series tonight. Triston McKenzie is 11-10 with a 2.82 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in 31 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 2.58 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in 14 home starts. McKenzie is 1-0 with a 2.45 ERA and 0.909 WHIP in two career starts against the Yankees. He pitched 7 shutout innings in his lone start against New York this season. He pitched 6 shutout innings against the Rays in his first playoff start. Luis Severino hasn't pitched since October 3rd and has a 5.20 ERA in his last seven starts on extended rest. Severino is 1-1 with a 4.82 ERA in his last three starts against the Guardians, allowing 10 earned runs and 7 homers in 18 2/3 innings. Take the Guardians in Game 3 Saturday. |
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10-14-22 | Dodgers -115 v. Padres | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 42 m | Show |
20* Dodgers/Padres NLDS No-Brainer on Los Angeles -115 Getting the Los Angeles Dodgers at nearly even money against the San Diego Padres is a gift from oddsmakers tonight. They have the better starter and have been here before. They should be much bigger than -115 favorites in Game 3. Tony Gonsolin is 16-1 with a 2.14 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 7-0 with a 2.66 ERA and 0.933 WHIP in 12 road starts. Gonsolin has never lost to the Padres, going 3-0 (5-0 money line) with a 1.55 ERA and 0.758 WHIP in five career starts against them. Blake Snell is 8-10 with a 3.49 ERA and 1.256 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 4-8 with a 3.67 ERA in 15 home starts. Snell has been one of the most overvalued starters in baseball this season as the Padres are 9-16 (-13.9 Units) in his 25 starts, including 5-10 (-11.6 Units) in his 15 home starts. The Dodgers are 41-13 in their last 54 vs. NL West opponents. Los Angeles is 67-24 in its last 91 games overall. The Dodgers are 50-20 in their last 70 games following a loss. Los Angeles is 41-17 in the last 58 meetings. The Padres are 2-10 in their last 12 divisional playoff games, including 0-4 in their last four divisional playoff home games. Bet the Dodgers Friday. |
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10-13-22 | Mariners +150 v. Astros | 2-4 | Loss | -100 | 6 h 13 m | Show | |
15* Mariners/Astros ALDS ANNIHILATOR on Seattle +150 The Seattle Mariners aren't lacking any confidence at the plate right now in the postseason. They have scored 21 combined runs in their first three playoff games. They have also scored at least 4 runs in six consecutive games dating back to the regular season. Look for the Mariners to bounce back following a tough Game 1 loss where they blew a 7-3 lead. Luis Castillo will get them back in the win column. He is 9-6 with a 2.85 ERA and 1.072 WHIP in 26 starts this season. Castillo fired 7 1/3 shutout innings against the potent Blue Jays in a 4-0 victory last time out. Framber Valdez is having a solid season overall, but he has lost his touch here down the stretch. Valdez is 1-1 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.724 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 13 runs, 10 earned and 27 base runners in 15 2/3 innings. Valdez allowed 3 earned runs in each of his two starts against the Mariners this season. Seattle is 35-17 in its last 52 road games. The Mariners are 5-0 in their last five games vs. a left-handed starter. Roll with the Mariners Thursday. |
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10-12-22 | Phillies v. Braves -136 | Top | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 34 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Atlanta Braves -136 The Atlanta Braves will bounce back after losing as -200 favorites to the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1. This is a much better value on the Braves in Game 2 as they are now just -136 favorites against the Phillies in essentially what is a 'must win'. They've been winning 'must win' games consistently for two seasons now. Kyle Wright is 21-5 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.159 WHIP in 30 starts this season. Wright has been at his best at home, going 13-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 17 home starts. He is 2-0 with a 2.19 ERA in his last two starts against the Phillies, allowing just 3 earned runs in 12 1/3 innings. The Braves are 16-1 in Wright's last 17 starts. Atlanta is 44-13 in its last 57 during Game 2 of a series. The Braves are 42-13 in their last 55 home games. Atlanta is 11-4 in its last 15 home meetings with Philadelphia. Bet the Braves Wednesday. |
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10-11-22 | Padres v. Dodgers -1.5 | Top | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 18 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+100) The Los Angeles Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the San Diego Padres. Look for them to win this game by two runs or more with ease due to that advantage. They have owned the Padres as well, going 14-5 against them this season, including 8-2 at home. Julio Urias is 17-7 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 31 starts this season. Urias owns the Padres, going 6-1 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 10 career starts against them. He is 5-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last six starts against them, allowing just 4 earned runs in 36 innings. Mike Clevinger is 7-7 with a 4.25 ERA in 22 starts this season, including 4-4 with a 5.34 ERA in 13 road starts. Clevinger has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in four career starts against them. He has allowed 14 earned runs and 5 homers in 14 innings in those five starts. The Dodgers are 29-5 in Urias' 34 starts in the second half of the season over the last two seasons and winning by 3.0 runs per game. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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10-08-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals +111 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 52 m | Show |
20* Phillies/Cardinals NL No-Brainer on St. Louis +111 The St. Louis Cardinals blew a 2-0 lead in the 9th inning yesterday. They were 93-0 in postseason history when having a 2-run lead or higher in the 9th inning. Look for them to bounce back in a big way today. They should not be home underdogs to the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 2. We have underrated starter Miles Mikolas against overrated starter Aaron Nola. These starters have similar numbers, yet Mikolas is a home dog. Mikolas has a 3.30 ERA and 1.033 WHIP in 32 starts this season, while Nola has a 3.25 ERA and 0.956 WHIP in 32 starts. Mikolas has been at his best at home, going 6-3 with a 2.38 ERA and 0.834 WHIP in 14 home starts. He is 2-1 with a 2.55 ERA and 0.973 WHIP in four career starts against Philadelphia. He has held the Phillies to just 3 earned runs in 19 2/3 innings in his last three starts against them. Nolas has allowed 8 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts against the Cardinals. The Phillies are 13-21 (-12.4 Units) in Nola's 34 road starts over the past two seasons. The Cardinals are 11-3 (+8.8 Units) in Mikolas' last 14 starts with a line of +125 to -125. The Phillies are 3-12 (-10.9 Units) in Nola's 15 starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game this season. Bet the Cardinals Saturday. |
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10-08-22 | Rays v. Guardians -102 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 1 h 11 m | Show | |
15* Rays/Guardians AL Early ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland -102 The Cleveland Guardians are the hottest team in baseball heading into the postseason. They have gone 23-5 in their last 28 games overall. They carried that momentum into their 2-1 Game 1 victory over the Tampa Bay Rays, who are 4-13 in their last 17 games overall and playing their worst baseball of the season. They can't just turn on the switch now in the postseason. Getting the hot Guardians and Triston McKenzie at basically even money is great value in Game 2 today. McKenzie is 11-10 with a 2.91 ERA and 0.945 WHIP in 30 starts this season, 5-3 with a 2.77 ERA and 0.898 WHIP in 13 home starts and 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last three starts. McKenzie has a 2.25 ERA and 0.833 WHIP in two career starts against Tampa Bay, both of which resulted in victories for Cleveland. He'll be opposed by Tyler Glasnow, who will be making just his 3rd start of the season for the Rays. That's a tall task to ask him to be in top form in such a short time with their season on the line today. Take the Guardians Saturday. |
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10-07-22 | Phillies v. Cardinals UNDER 7 | Top | 6-3 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 1 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Phillies/Cardinals UNDER 7 It will only be 62 degrees in St. Louis this afternoon and the forecast is calling for 10 MPH winds blowing in from left. Runs will be hard to come by for both offenses against these two underrated starting pitchers in Game 1 of this series. Jose Quintana is 6-7 with a 2.82 ERA in 32 starts for the Cardinals this season and has been a great comeback story. Quintana has been at his best at home, going 4-4 with a 2.24 ERA in 17 home starts. He is also 1-1 with a 0.61 ERA in his last three starts. Quintana owns the Phillies with a 2.90 ERA in seven career starts against them, including a 0.76 ERA in his last four starts against them while allowing just 2 earned runs in 23 2/3 innings. Zack Wheeler is 12-7 with a 2.82 ERA and 1.039 WHIP in 26 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 0.60 ERA and 0.667 WHIP in his last three starts. Wheeler also owns the Cardinals, going 3-0 with a minuscule 0.41 ERA in his last three starts against them, allowing just one earned run in 22 innings. The UNDER is 7-0-1 in Cardinals last eight games after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. The UNDER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with combined scores of 7 runs or fewer in all five meetings. Take the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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10-07-22 | Rays v. Guardians -109 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 7 h 60 m | Show | |
15* Rays/Guardians AL Early ANNIHILATOR on Cleveland -109 The Cleveland Guardians are the hottest team in baseball heading into the postseason. They have gone 22-5 in their last 27 games overall. They will carry that momentum into Game 1 of this series with the Tampa Bay Rays, who are 4-12 in their last 16 games overall and playing their worst baseball of the season coming in. Ace Shane Bieber is 13-8 with a 2.93 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 31 starts this season. Bieber is also 2-2 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.156 WHIP in six career starts against the Rays. Shane McClanahan lost his form in the second half of the season. He is 0-3 with a 7.07 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 innings in 14 innings with only 7 K's. He allowed 5 earned runs and 10 base runners in 4 1/3 innings in his lone start against Cleveland this season on July 31st. Roll with the Guardians Friday. |
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10-05-22 | Cubs -117 v. Reds | 15-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 35 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -117 The Chicago Cubs are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall. But they have lost the first two games of this series at Cincinnati, and I expect them to come back motivated to win the final game of the season and avoid the sweep. They should be much bigger favorites when you consider how big their advantage is on the mound. The Reds are just 6-19 in their last 25 games overall. I'll gladly fade them and Graham Ashcraft, who is 5-5 with a 4.51 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.949 WHIP in his last three. Ashcraft has never beaten the Cubs, going 0-3 with an 11.92 ERA and 2.295 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing 15 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings in three starts against them in 2022 alone. I'll gladly back Adrian Sampson, who is 4-5 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in 18 starts this season. Sampson has done his best work on the road, going 3-2 with a 2.49 ERA and 1.224 WHIP in 10 starts away from home. He has owned the Reds, going 1-1 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.192 WHIP in five career starts against them. He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 13 innings in his last two starts against Cincinnati this season. Cincinnati is 4-19 after batting .200 or worse over a five-game span this season. Bet the Cubs Wednesday. |
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10-05-22 | Tigers +180 v. Mariners | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 30 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +180 The Seattle Mariners are now locked into their seed in the American League and will be playing the Toronto Blue Jays. They won't care about winning this game. Look for them to rest their starters, and they are throwing a gas can of a starting pitcher in Marco Gonzalez tonight. I'll gladly fade Gonzalez, who is 10-15 with a 4.14 ERA and 1.330 WHIP in 31 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA and 1.470 WHIP in his last three. Gonzalez is 1-2 with a 5.63 ERA in his last three starts against the Tigers, allowing 10 earned runs in 16 innings. The Tigers have quietly gone 11-4 in their last 15 games overall with with eight wins as underdogs. They should not be this big of dogs to the Mariners given the situation. I also like what I've seen from Detroit starter Tyler Alexander of late. He is 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 4 earned runs in 18 innings. Take the Tigers Wednesday. |
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