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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-27-21 | A's v. Mariners -107 | Top | 4-13 | Win | 100 | 14 h 49 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Seattle Mariners -107 The Seattle Mariners are 7-1 in their last eight games overall to pull within two games of the final wild card spot in the American League. They are continuing to battle to try and make the postseason, and they should be bigger favorites over the Oakland A's here tonight. Chris Flexen is 13-6 with a 3.56 ERA and 1.240 WHIP in 29 starts this season for the Mariners. Flexen has been at his best at home, going 6-5 with a 3.09 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in 15 starts in Seattle. He is 2-1 with a 1.89 ERA in his last three starts against the A's this season, allowing just 4 earned runs in 19 innings. Cole Irvin is 10-14 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.411 WHIP in 30 starts this season, including 6-7 with a 4.08 ERA and 1.347 WHIP in 15 road starts. Irvin has never beaten the Mariners, going 0-4 with a 7.56 ERA and 2.160 WHIP in four career starts against them. The Mariners are 18-4 in Flexen's 22 starts with a total set of 8.5 to 10 this season. Seattle is 9-0 in its last nine meetings with Oakland. The A's are 6-14 in their last 20 vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Mariners Monday. |
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09-26-21 | Braves +142 v. Padres | 4-3 | Win | 142 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves +142 The Atlanta Braves are 6-1 in their last seven games overall and coming up clutch down the stretch as they try and clinch the NL East. But they still only lead the Philadelphia Phillies by 1.5 games with eight games left. There's still work to be done. Now they go for the sweep of the lowly San Diego Padres, who were just eliminated from the playoffs yesterday and have nothing to play for now. They have pretty much packed it in for weeks, going just 3-11 in their last 14 games overall. San Diego starter Joe Musgrove has struggled of late, going 1-1 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.585 WHIP in his last three starts. Musgrove has posted a 5.55 ERA in five career starts against Atlanta. He and the Padres are getting way too much respect from oddsmakers today as more than -150 favorites. Roll with the Braves Sunday. |
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09-25-21 | Giants -137 v. Rockies | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 20 h 11 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday PLAY OF THE DAY on San Francisco Giants -137 The San Francisco Giants are trying to fend off the Los Angeles Dodgers for first place in the NL West. I think we are getting them at a great value here as a short road favorite over the Colorado Rockies Saturday. The Giants have a big advantage on the mound with Anthony DeSclafini, who is 12-7 with a 3.23 ERA and 1.090 WHIP in 29 starts this season. He owns the Rockies, going 4-1 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in seven career starts against them. Jon Gray is 8-11 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.318 WHIP in 27 starts this season for the Rockies. Gray does not enjoy facing the Giants, going 2-7 with a 5.85 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in 15 career starts against them. The Giants are 42-16 in their last 58 road games, including 24-7 in their last 31 games as road favorites. San Francisco is 5-0 in the last five meetings. Bet the Giants Saturday. |
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09-24-21 | Dodgers -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-135) The Los Angeles Dodgers trail the San Francisco Giants by one game for first place in the NL West. This is a huge series for them against the Arizona Diamondbacks, and they won't be taking them lightly. Look for them to win Game 1 by two runs or more to cover this Run Line due to their advantage on the mound. Tony Gonsolin is 2-1 with a 2.43 ERA in 11 starts this season. Gonsolin is 1-0 with a 1.96 ERA in his last five starts against the Diamondbacks, allowing just 4 earned runs in 18 1/3 innings. He'll be opposed by Humberto Castellanos, who has posted a 4.63 ERA in five starts this season, including a 7.07 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 innings. The Dodgers are 14-2 in 16 meetings with the Diamondbacks this season. Los Angeles is 42-9 in its last 51 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Arizona is 34-91 in its last 125 games overall. The Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last nine home games. Los Angeles is 46-11 as a favorite of -200 or more this season and winning by 2.7 runs per game. Bet the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday. |
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09-23-21 | Giants -108 v. Padres | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -108 | 5 h 52 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on San Francisco Giants -108 The San Francisco Giants are just two games up on the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West and need to keep winning. The San Diego Padres are 6 games back in the wild card and basically out of it at this point. The Padres have gone just 2-10 in their last 12 games overall and have basically packed it in. Logan Webb is 10-3 with a 2.81 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in 23 starts this season. The Giants are 16-1 in Webb's last 17 starts. Webb has posted a 2.87 ERA in three career starts against the Padres as well. Yu Darvish is 8-10 with a 4.13 ERA in 28 starts this season and cannot stay healthy. He just gave up 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 4 innings of a 9-1 loss to the Giants on September 13th in his last start against them. Darvish is now 1-4 with a 7.31 ERA in his last six starts, allowing 23 earned runs in 28 1/3 innings. The Giants are 41-13 in their last 54 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Padres are 1-8 in their last nine games following a loss. Roll with the Giants Thursday. |
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09-22-21 | Giants -103 v. Padres | Top | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 29 m | Show |
20* NL West GAME OF THE MONTH on San Francisco Giants -103 The San Francisco Giants are just one game up on the Los Angeles Dodgers in the NL West and need to keep winning. The San Diego Padres are 5 games back in the wild card and basically out of it at this point. The Padres have gone just 2-9 in their last 11 games overall and have basically packed it in. I'll gladly fade San Diego starter Vincent Velasquez, who is 3-7 with a 6.05 ERA and 1.419 WHIP in 18 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 16.21 ERA and 2.161 WHIP in his last three starts. He is also 0-5 with an 11.63 ERA in his last six starts, allowing 28 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings. Velasquez is 0-4 in his last four starts against the Giants as well. The Giants are 40-13 in their last 53 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. The Padres are 1-7 in their last eight games following a loss. Bet the Giants Wednesday. |
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09-22-21 | Cardinals +120 v. Brewers | 10-2 | Win | 120 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on St. Louis Cardinals +120 The St. Louis Cardinals are coming up clutch down the stretch as usual as they try and get the 2nd wild card spot in the National League. They have won 10 straight and are 12-1 in their last 13 games overall. They are seeing the ball very well right now at the plate. The Milwaukee Brewers are just 2-5 in their last seven games overall with losses to the Tigers as -210 and -225 favorites, a loss to the Cubs as a -220 favorite, and losses to the Cardinals in Game 1 as a -180 favorite and Game 2 as a -200 favorite. They just can't be trusted as this big of a favorite right now. They are just going through the motions knowing they basically already have the NL Central locked up. Miles Mikolas is coming off one of his best starts of the season. He pitched 5 2/3 shutout innings in an 8-2 victory over the Padres. Mikolas is 4-1 with a 4.29 ERA and 0.981 WHIP in six career starts against the Brewers. He'll be opposed by Brett Anderson, who is 4-8 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.336 WHIP In 21 starts this season. Anderson is coming off an IL stint that has sidelined him since September 1st. Anderson's teams are 0-8 in his last eight home starts vs. a team with a winning record and losing by 2.9 runs per game on average in this spot. St. Louis is 7-0 in its last seven road games vs. a left-handed starter. Take the Cardinals Wednesday. |
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09-22-21 | Blue Jays +108 v. Rays | 1-7 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 29 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Toronto Blue Jays +108 The Toronto Blue Jays are surging trying to make the wild card. They have gone 19-5 in their last 24 games overall. They have scored 5 runs or more in 15 of their last 20 games and are seeing the ball as well as anyone right now. The Tampa Bay Rays are 6 games up in the AL East with 10 games to play. They basically already have the division wrapped up and don't have much to play for the rest of the way. That has shown as they have gone just 5-8 in their last 13 games overall and are just kind of going through the motions right now. I'll gladly fade Luis Patino, who is 3-3 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-0 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.769 WHIP in his last three starts which have come against the Tigers (twice) and Twins. Patino is 0-1 with a 5.63 ERA in two starts against the Blue Jays this season. The Blue Jays are 39-17 in day games this season. Toronto is 5-0 in its last five games as a road underdog. The Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 road games overall. Roll with the Blue Jays Wednesday. |
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09-21-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 10-5 | Win | 100 | 13 h 43 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-125) The Houston Astros have the best run differential in baseball. They have the 2nd-best offense and 4th-best defense. The Astros are 7-2 in their last nine games overall and hitting the cover off the ball right now. They have scored at least 4 runs in each of their last six games and are averaging 7.5 runs per game in their last eight games. The Astros should win by two runs or more against the hapless Los Angeles Angels, who have lost four straight and are averaging just 1.8 runs per game during this skid. They are missing basically all of their best hitters on offense except Ohtani. Jose Urquidy should shut down the Angels, too. He is 7-3 with a 3.38 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in 17 starts this season. Urquidy has posted a 1.35 ERA in his last three starts against the Angels. He'll be opposed by Packy Naughton, who is 0-2 with a 5.56 ERA and 1.675 WHIP in three starts this season for the Angels. The Angels are 6-20 in their last 26 home games after scoring one run or less. They are losing by 2.2 runs per game in this spot. The Astros are 93-43 in their last 136 games after allowing two runs or less in their previous game. Houston is 41-19 in the last 60 meetings. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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09-21-21 | Cardinals +196 v. Brewers | 2-1 | Win | 196 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on St. Louis Cardinals +196 The St. Louis Cardinals are coming up clutch down the stretch as usual as they try and get the 2nd wild card spot in the National League. They have won nine straight and are 11-1 in their last 12 games overall. They have scored 7 runs or more in five of their last seven games and are seeing the ball well right now. The Milwaukee Brewers are just 2-4 in their last six games overall with losses to the Tigers as -210 and -225 favorites, a loss to the Cubs as a -220 favorite and a loss to the Cardinals in Game 1 as a -180 favorite. They just can't be trusted as this big of a favorite right now. They are just going through the motions knowing they basically already have the NL Central locked up. The Cardinals have won each of Jake Woodford's last two starts as +160 and +140 underdogs as he has allowed just 3 earned runs in 8 innings. He'll be opposed by Brandon Woodruff, who allowed 6 earned runs in 5 innings of a 4-8 loss to the Cardinals as a -185 favorite in his last start against them on August 19th. Roll with the Cardinals Tuesday. |
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09-21-21 | Blue Jays +100 v. Rays | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 15 m | Show | |
15* Blue Jays/Rays ESPN ANNIHILATOR on Toronto +100 The Toronto Blue Jays are surging trying to make the wild card. They have gone 18-5 in their last 23 games overall. They have scored 5 runs or more in 15 of their last 19 games and are seeing the ball as well as anyone right now. Alek Manoah is another of the many underrated starters in Toronto's rotation. He is 6-2 with a 3.39 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 17 starts this season. Manoah has owned the Rays this season, going 2-1 with a 0.96 ERA and 0.589 WHIP in three starts against them, allowing just 2 earned runs and 11 base runners in 18 2/3 innings with 29 K's. The Blue Jays are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss. Toronto is 6-0 in its last six games after allowing 5 runs or more in its previous game. Take the Blue Jays Tuesday. |
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09-20-21 | Cardinals +193 v. Brewers | 5-2 | Win | 193 | 10 h 10 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on St. Louis Cardinals +193 The St. Louis Cardinals are coming up clutch down the stretch as usual as they try and get the 2nd wild card spot in the National League. They have won eight straight and are 10-1 in their last 11 games overall. They have scored 7 runs or more in five of their last six games and are seeing the ball well right now. The Milwaukee Brewers are just 2-3 in their last five games overall with losses to the Tigers as -210 and -225 favorites, and a loss to the Cubs as a -220 favorite. They just can't be trusted as this big of a favorite right now. They are just going through the motions knowing they basically already have the NL Central locked up. The Cardinals have won each of Jake Woodford's last two starts as +160 and +140 underdogs as he has allowed just 3 earned runs in 8 innings. He'll be opposed by Freddy Peralta, who has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-2 with a 6.56 ERA and 1.457 WHIP in six career starts against them. Roll with the Cardinals Monday. |
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09-20-21 | Blue Jays -124 v. Rays | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -124 | 10 h 40 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -124 The Toronto Blue Jays are surging trying to make the wild card. They have gone 18-4 in their last 22 games overall. They have scored 5 runs or more in 15 of their last 18 games and are seeing the ball as well as anyone right now. Robbie Ray deserves the Cy Young in the American League. He is 12-5 with a 2.64 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in 29 starts with 233 K's in 177 1/3 innings. Amazingly, Ray has allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in 30 consecutive starts, including 3 earned runs or fewer in 27 of those. Ray simply owns the Rays, going 2-1 with a 1.59 ERA in his last six starts against them, allowing just 7 earned runs in 39 2/3 innings with 57 K's. Five of those starts have come this season alone. He'll be opposed by Shane Baz, who will be making his first start of the season for the Rays. Tampa is just kind of going through the motions right now knowing it basically has the AL East locked up. The Rays are 4-7 in their last 11 games overall and coming off two straight losses to the Tigers are -265 and -180 favorites. Take the Blue Jays Monday. |
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09-19-21 | Padres v. Cardinals -107 | 7-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 21 m | Show | |
15* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -107 The St. Louis Cardinals are coming up clutch down the stretch as usual as they try and get the 2nd wild card spot in the National League. They have won seven straight and are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall. They have scored 7 runs or more in four of their last five games and are seeing the ball well right now. Conversely, the San Diego Padres are choking away the wild card down the stretch. They are 2-7 in their last nine games overall while scoring 4 runs or fewer in all seven losses, including 2 runs or less in six of them. Manny Machado was in a shouting match with Fernando Tatis Jr. in the dugout yesterday, so this team just has no chemistry right now and is very frustrated. I'm not backing the Cardinals because of J.A. Happ, I'm backing them because of their positive momentum. And even Happ has been better than Jake Arrieta, who is 5-13 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.729 WHIP in 23 starts this season. Arrieta is 0-9 with a 9.92 ERA in his last 14 starts, allowing 54 earned runs in 49 innings. Arrieta's teams are 0-11 in his last 11 starts. The Padres are 2-13 in their last 15 games as road underdogs. San Diego is 21-52 in its last 73 meetings in St. Louis. Bet the Cardinals Sunday. |
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09-19-21 | Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 9 | 8-5 | Loss | -102 | 1 h 16 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Reds UNDER 9 The Reds have scored 5 runs or fewer in 12 consecutive games, including 4 runs or fewer in 11 of those. The Dodgers have scored 5 runs or fewer in eight of their last 10 games. The UNDER is 32-15-6 in Dodgers last 53 games overall. The UNDER is 9-2-1 in Reds last 12 games overall. Clayton Kershaw is 9-7 with a 3.33 ERA and 0.985 WHIP in 19 starts this season. It's rare that you'll see a total this high in a game started by Kershaw. He is 4-2 with a 2.33 ERA and 0.965 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Reds, including 2-0 with a 0.78 ERA in his last three starts against them while allowing just 2 earned runs in 23 innings. Wade Miley is 12-6 with a 3.09 ERA in 27 starts this season, including 7-3 with a 2.87 ERA in 13 home starts. Miley has had great success against the Dodgers compared to most, going 4-5 with a 3.22 ERA in 17 career starts against them. Miley is 1-0 with a 0.78 ERA in his last five starts against the Dodgers, allowing 2 earned runs in 23 innings, the same as Kershaw. Take the UNDER in this game Sunday. |
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09-18-21 | Padres v. Cardinals -115 | Top | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 48 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -115 The St. Louis Cardinals are coming up clutch down the stretch as usual as they try and get the 2nd wild card spot in the National League. They have won six straight and are 8-1 in their last nine games overall. They have scored 7 runs or more in four consecutive games and are seeing the ball well right now. Conversely, the San Diego Padres are choking away the wild card down the stretch. They are 2-6 in their last eight games overall while scoring 4 runs or fewer in all six losses, including 2 runs or less in five of them. Adam Wainwright has resurrected his career this season and has been one of the best starters in baseball. He is 16-7 with a 2.88 ERA and 1.030 WHIP in 29 starts, including 8-5 with a 2.71 ERA and 0.971 WHIP in 17 home starts. He has allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in 21 consecutive starts, including 3 runs or fewer in 18 of those. Wainwright is 7-5 with a 2.69 ERA and 1.219 WHIP in 14 career starts against the Padres. He'll be opposed by Yu Darvish, who just cannot stay healthy this season and has struggled of late because of it. Darvish is 1-8 with a 7.67 ERA in his last 11 starts, allowing 46 earned runs in 54 innings. He is also 2-6 with a 6.33 ERA in 11 road starts this season. The Padres are 2-12 in their last 14 games as road underdogs. San Diego is 21-51 in its last 72 meetings in St. Louis. Bet the Cardinals Saturday. |
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09-18-21 | Dodgers v. Reds UNDER 8.5 | 5-1 | Win | 100 | 4 h 43 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Dodgers/Reds UNDER 8.5 This game sets up as a pitcher's duel between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Cincinnati Reds. Max Scherzer is making his case here down the stretch to win the Cy Young award. Sonny Gray has pitched his best down the stretch as well. Scherzer is 14-4 with a 2.17 ERA and 0.821 WHIP in 27 starts this season with 219 K's in 162 innings. He has gone 7-0 with a 0.98 ERA in his last nine starts, allowing just 6 earned runs in 55 innings. Scherzer is 5-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.890 WHIP in eight career starts against the Reds as well. Gray is 7-7 with a 3.80 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in 23 starts this season. He has gone 3-1 with a 1.80 ERA in his last five starts, allowing just 6 earned runs in 30 innings. Few starters have had as much success against the Dodgers as Gray, who has posted a 2.18 ERA and 0.726 WHIP in three career starts against them. The Reds have scored 5 runs or fewer in 11 consecutive games, including 4 runs or fewer in 10 of those. The Dodgers have scored 5 runs or fewer in seven of their last nine games. The UNDER is 7-0 in Dodgers last seven games following a loss. The UNDER is 31-15-6 in Dodgers last 52 games overall. The UNDER is 8-2-1 in Reds last 11 games overall. Take the UNDER in this game Saturday. |
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09-17-21 | Tigers +190 v. Rays | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 0 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +190 The Detroit Tigers are 70-77 (+21.7 Units) on the season. They have been one of the most profitable teams to back in all of baseball. They now take on the struggling Tampa Bay Rays, who don't have much to play for the rest of the way with the AL East wrapped up. The Rays are 3-5 in their last eight games and have been held to 4 runs or fewer in five of those. Casey Mize has been one of my favorite starters to back this season because he is grossly undervalued. The Tigers are 15-12 (+11.5 Units) in Mize's 27 starts this season, in which he has posted a 3.66 ERA and 1.140 WHIP this season. He'll be opposed by Luis Patino, who is 3-3 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.433 WHIP in 13 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.736 WHIP in his last three starts. Patino lost as a -140 favorite in his last start on September 12th to the Tigers while allowing 2 earned runs and 7 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 7-8 loss. Simply put, the Tigers shouldn't be nearly 2-to-1 underdog to the Rays tonight. They are 5-2 in their last seven games overall with wins as +205, +190, +130, +145 and +115 underdogs. Detroit is 7-2 (+12.3 Units) in MIze's nine starts as an underdog of +150 or higher this season. Roll with the Tigers Friday. |
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09-17-21 | Twins v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 7-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115) The Toronto Blue Jays are 16-3 in their last 19 games overall and the hottest team in baseball. Ten of their last 11 wins have come by two runs or more. They are battling with the Red Sox and Yankees for the two wild card spots in the American League. They need to keep winning and will be highly motivated to do so. The Minnesota Twins are just 2-6 in their last eight games overall. Now they have to take on a red hot Blue Jays team that has scored 5 runs or more in 13 of their last 15 games, including a combined 58 runs in their last six games for an average of 9.7 runs per game. The Blue Jays have the advantage on the mound. Hyun-Jin Ryu is 13-8 with a 4.11 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in 28 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Michael Pineda, who is 0-2 with a 12.34 ERA in his last three starts against the Blue Jays, allowing 16 earned runs and 7 homers in 11 2/3 innings. Ryu's teams are 27-6 in his last 33 starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest and winning by 2.7 runs per game. Pineda's teams are 1-8 when he's working on 5 or 6 days' rest this season and losing by 1.8 runs per game. The Twins are 6-16 in their last 22 games vs. a left-handed starter. Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Friday. |
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09-16-21 | Tigers +190 v. Rays | 2-5 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 8 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Tigers +190 The Detroit Tigers are 70-76 (+22.7 Units) on the season. They have been one of the most profitable teams to back in all of baseball. They now take on the struggling Tampa Bay Rays, who don't have much to play for the rest of the way with the AL East wrapped up. The Rays are 2-5 in their last seven games and have been held to 4 runs or fewer in five of those. Tyler Alexander is one of the most underrated starters in baseball, and this Tigers rotation is underrated in general, which is why they have been such big money makers this season. Alexander is 1-1 with a 3.68 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 1.048 WHIP in five road starts. Louis Head will be making just his second start of the season for the Rays. His first did not go well as he gave up 2 earned runs and one homer in one inning to the Orioles on August 18th. Alexander beat the Rays as a +145 home dog in a 10-4 victory on September 10th in his last start, allowing just one earned run in 4 1/3 innings. Simply put, the Tigers shouldn't be nearly 2-to-1 underdog to the Brewers tonight. They are 5-1 in their last six games overall with wins as +205, +190, +130, +145 and +115 underdogs. I cash them in each of the last two days in that +200 range, and I'm back on them again today. Detroit is 9-1 (+12 Units) in Alexander's last 10 starts. Roll with the Tigers Thursday. |
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09-15-21 | Padres v. Giants -103 | 9-6 | Loss | -103 | 11 h 23 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on San Francisco Giants -103 The San Francisco Giants are coming up clutch here late in the season with the NL West division on the line. They are 9-0 in their last eight games with eight wins by two runs or more. They have scored at least 6 runs in all nine wins, so they are stupid hot at the plate right now. The San Diego Padres are falling flat on their faces while trying to make the wild card. They are 0-5 in their last five games overall while scoring a combined 6 runs in the five losses, averaging just 1.2 runs per game. They can't be trusted right now. Dominic Leone is just an opener for the Giants but has pitched 5 shutout innings in three starts in this role. Joe Musgrove is getting too much respect here considering he is 1-3 with a 5.14 ERA in four career starts against the Giants. That includes 0-2 with an 8.10 ERA in two starts against the Giants in 2021, allowing 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings. The Padres are 8-21 in their last 29 games overall. The Giants are 47-23 in their last 70 home games. San Francisco is 41-12 in its last 53 games after scoring 5 runs or more in its previous game. The Giants are 5-1 in the last six meetings. Roll with the Giants Wednesday. |
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09-15-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -162 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 45 m | Show |
20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -162 The Toronto Blue Jays are 15-3 in their last 18 games overall and the hottest team in baseball. They are tied with the Red Sox and Yankees for the two wild card spots in the American League. They need to keep winning and will be highly motivated to do so. The Tampa Bay Rays are 2-4 in their last six games overall. They basically have the AL East wrapped up at this point with not much to play for the rest of the way. Now they have to take on a red hot Blue Jays team that has scored 5 runs or more in 12 of their last 14 games, including a combined 52 runs in their last five games for an average of 10.4 runs per game. Robbie Ray is neck and neck with Gerrit Cole for the Cy Young award. Ray has allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in 29 consecutive starts, including 3 earned runs or fewer in 26 of those. He is 1-1 with a 1.65 ERA in his last five starts against the Rays while allowing just 6 earned runs in 32 2/3 innings with 44 K's. Four of those starts have come this season. Michael Wacha is 3-4 with a 3.63 ERA in 20 starts this season. Wacha has been at his worst on the road, going 1-3 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.531 WHIP in 11 starts away from home. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last six during Game 3 of a series. Toronto is 6-1 in its last seven games following a loss. Bet the Blue Jays Wednesday. |
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09-15-21 | Brewers v. Tigers +211 | 1-4 | Win | 211 | 3 h 48 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Detroit Tigers +211 The Detroit Tigers are 69-76 (+20.7 Units) on the season and 38-36 (+11.5 Units) at home. They have been one of the most profitable teams to back in all of baseball. They take on the Milwaukee Brewers, who don't have much to play for the rest the way as they already have the NL Central division title locked up. Matt Manning hasn't posted great numbers this season, but he has been much more effective at home at 2-2 with a 4.72 ERA in seven starts. The Tigers are 4-3 (+2.1 Units) in his seven home starts this season. Brandon Woodruff has posted great season-long numbers, but he is coming off a very poor start against the Philadelphia Phillies. He allowed 4 earned runs, 3 homers and 10 base runners in 6 innings of a 12-0 loss to the Phillies on September 6th. Simply put, the Tigers shouldn't be more than 2-to-1 underdog to the Brewers tonight. They are 4-1 in their last five games overall with wins as +190, +130, +145 and +115 underdogs. Take the Tigers Wednesday. |
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09-14-21 | Padres v. Giants -1.5 | 1-6 | Win | 120 | 12 h 38 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line PLAY OF THE DAY on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (+120) The San Francisco Giants are coming up clutch here late in the season with the NL West division on the line. They are 8-0 in their last eight games with seven wins by two runs or more. They have scored at least 6 runs in all eight wins so they are stupid hot at the plate right now. The San Diego Padres are falling flat on their faces while trying to make the wild card. They are 0-4 in their last four games overall while scoring a combined 5 runs in the four losses, averaging just 1.25 runs per game. They can't be trusted right now. Speaking of can't be trusted, Jake Arrieta was a head-scratching acquisition for the Padres at the trade deadline. Arrieta is 5-12 with a 7.03 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in 22 starts this season. He is 0-8 with a 9.70 ERA in his last 13 starts, allowing 51 earned runs in 47 1/3 innings. Arrieta's teams are 0-10 in his last 10 starts with nine losses by two runs or more. He gave up 6 earned runs in 2 innings in his lone start against the Giants this season. Anthony DeSclafini is 11-6 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.116 WHIP in 27 starts this season. He is 1-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.967 WHIP in seven career starts against the Padres. Arrieta's teams are 1-12 in his 13 starts as an underdog of +125 to +175 over the last two seasons. They are losing by 3.5 runs per game in this spot. Take the Giants on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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09-14-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -130 | Top | 2-0 | Loss | -130 | 9 h 5 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -130 The Toronto Blue Jays are 15-2 in their last 17 games overall and the hottest team in baseball. They are one game ahead of both the Red Sox and Yankees for the two wild card spots in the American League. They need to keep winning and will be highly motivated to do so. The Tampa Bay Rays are 1-4 in their last five games overall. They basically have the AL East wrapped up at this point with not much to play for the rest of the way. Now they have to take on a red hot Blue Jays team that has scored 5 runs or more in 12 of their last 13 games, including a combined 52 runs in their last four games for an average of 13.0 runs per game. Jose Berrios was a great get for the Blue Jays before the trade deadline to add to their already underrated rotation. Berrios is 3-0 with a 2.21 ERA and 0.836 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just 5 earned runs in 20 1/3 innings with 26 K's. Toronto is 8-0 after scoring 7 runs or more in three straight games over the last three seasons. It is coming back to win by 4.5 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Blue Jays Tuesday. |
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09-14-21 | Brewers v. Tigers +191 | 0-1 | Win | 191 | 9 h 33 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +191 The Detroit Tigers are 68-76 (+18.8 Units) on the season and 37-36 (+9.6 Units) at home. They have been one of the most profitable teams to back in all of baseball. They take on the Milwaukee Brewers, who don't have much to play for the rest the way as they already have the NL Central division title locked up. I'll gladly fade Freddy Peralta, who is 0-1 with a 9.39 ERA and 1.956 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 8 earned runs in 7 2/3 innings. He won't go long in this game either, so the Tigers will get into their bullpen early. Wily Peralta has been grossly underrated here and should not be close to a 2-to-1 dog to Freddy Peralta. Wily is 3-3 with a 3.67 ERA in 14 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 2.38 ERA in five home starts. The Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games following an off day. Detroit is 18-7 in its last 25 Tuesday games. Roll with the Tigers Tuesday. |
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09-13-21 | Rays v. Blue Jays -123 | Top | 1-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 52 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -123 The Toronto Blue Jays are 14-2 in their last 16 games overall and the hottest team in baseball. They are tied with the Red Sox for the two wild card spots and one game ahead of the Yankees. They need to keep winning and will be highly motivated to do so. The Tampa Bay Rays are 1-3 in their last four games overall. They basically have the AL East wrapped up at this point with not much to play for the rest of the way. Now they have to take on a red hot Blue Jays team that has scored 5 runs or more in 11 of their last 12 games, including a combined 44 runs in their last three games. The Blue Jays have the advantage on the mound today with Alek Manoah, who is 3-0 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in seven home starts this season. Manoah is 1-1 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in two starts against the Rays this season. He'll be opposed by Colin McHugh, who will only be pitching a couple innings in this one. Toronto is 7-0 in its last seven games after scoring 7 or more runs in three straight games coming in. Bet the Blue Jays Monday. |
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09-12-21 | Marlins v. Braves -1.5 | 3-5 | Win | 100 | 2 h 17 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-130) The Atlanta Braves are trying to win the NL East Division. They are coming off a loss as a -250 favorite to the Marlins yesterday and will be highly motivated to bounce back today. I like their chances of winning this game by two runs or more due to their advantage on the mound. Max Fried has been dominant down the stretch. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts, two earned runs or fewer in seven of them and one earned run or fewer in five of them. He has gone 4-1 with a 1.73 ERA in those eight starts while allowing just 10 earned runs in 52 innings. Edward Cabrera is 0-1 with a 7.11 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in three starts this season. He has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 2/3 innings in those starts, two of which came against the Mets and one against the Nationals. The Braves are 24-7 in Fried's last 31 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher and winning by 3.0 runs per game in this spot. The Marlins are 3-15 in road games vs. left-handed starters this season and losing by 2.6 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Sunday. |
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09-12-21 | Brewers -113 v. Indians | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 2 h 0 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Milwaukee Brewers -113 The Milwaukee Brewers continue to play well as they are 10-3 in their last 13 games overall to improve to 88-55 on the season. Cleveland is 2-7 in its last nine games overall to basically eliminate all hopes of them making the postseason. The Indians will likely pack it in the rest the way. The Brewers won 10-3 over the Indians in Game 1 and came back with a 3-0 combined no-hitter in Game 2. Getting no-hit yesterday says all you need to know about the Indians right now. And starter Aaron Civale will be making just his 2nd start in the last three months after missing a couple months with an injury, so he'll be limited. Milwaukee starter Eric Lauer is underrated, going 5-5 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 16 starts this season. Lauer has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 11 consecutive starts. He is 4-2 with a 1.46 ERA in his last 10 starts, allowing just 9 earned runs in 55 1/3 innings. Milwaukee is 39-16 in its last 55 road games. The Indians are 9-27 in their last 36 games as home underdogs. The Brewers are 14-2 in their last 16 road games with a total of 8 to 8.5 and winning by 4.2 runs per game in this spot. Milwaukee is 10-1 in Sunday road games this season and winning by 3.1 runs per game. The Brewers are 9-0 in road games coming off a shutout this season and winning by 3.6 runs per game. Roll with the Brewers Sunday. |
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09-11-21 | Yankees v. Mets OVER 8 | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 14 h 37 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Yankees/Mets OVER 8 I'm shocked this total is as low as it is today. The wind is expected to be blowing out to center at 9 MPH at Citi Field tonight. That will help aid in cashing this OVER a day after the Mets beat the Yankees 10-3 for 13 combined runs. The Mets should have another big day at the plate against Corey Kluber, who just recently returned from injury. He missed three months of action and returned a couple weeks ago. Kluber has posted an 8.21 ERA in his two starts since returning, allowing 7 earned runs, 2 homers and 16 base runners in 7 2/3 innings. Taijuan Walker is 7-9 with a 4.10 ERA in 25 starts this season. Walker has really struggled of late as well, going 0-2 with a 6.61 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs in 16 1/3 innings. Kluber is 28-11 OVER in his 39 career road starts with a total set of 8 to 8.5. The OVER is 5-1 in the last six meetings with combined scores of 13, 15, 11, 16 and 15 runs in the five OVERS. Roll with the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-11-21 | Brewers -1.5 v. Indians | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 12 h 4 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -1.5 (-112) The Milwaukee Brewers continue to play well as they are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall to improve to 87-55 on the season. Cleveland is 2-6 in its last eight games overall to basically eliminate all hopes of them making the postseason. The Indians will likely pack it in the rest the way. The Brewers won 10-3 over the Indians yesterday and there's reasons to believe they will win in a blowout again. The wind is expected to be blowing out to center at 16 MPH today at Progressive Field. So we want the ground ball pitcher over the fly ball pitcher. Well, Corbin Burnes is a ground ball pitcher who is having a fantastic season. Burnes is 9-4 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in 24 starts this season with only 5 homers allowed and 196 K's in 144 innings. He is also 6-0 with a 1.84 ERA and 0.845 WHIP in 11 road starts. Zach Plesac is 10-4 with a 4.52 ERA in 21 starts this season for the Indians, allowing 20 homers in 119 1/3 innings with only 85 K's. Milwaukee is 38-16 in its last 54 road games. The Indians are 9-26 in their last 35 games as home underdogs. The Brewers are 14-2 in their last 17 road games with a total of 8 to 8.5 and winning by 4.2 runs per game in this spot. Take the Brewers on the Run Line Saturday. |
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09-10-21 | Yankees -117 v. Mets | 3-10 | Loss | -117 | 8 h 39 m | Show | |
15* Yankees/Mets Interleague ANNIHILATOR on New York Yankees -117 I've successfully faded the New York Yankees with the Toronto Blue Jays as underdogs in four straight games. They handed the Yankees their first four-game series sweep at home since 2003. But I think this is where it's time to jump back on the Yankees against the struggling New York Mets. The Yankees now lead the Blue Jays by just 0.5 games for the final wild card spot. They have no margin for error any more, and they'll be putting their best foot forward. The Mets trail the Braves by five games in the NL East after losing four of their last six. They are struggling offensively and just can't be trusted here. The Yankees have a big advantage on the mound with Jordan Montgomery, who is 5-5 with a 3.47 ERA and 1.193 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.15 ERA in his last three starts. He'll be opposed by Tyler Megill, who is 2-4 with a 4.20 ERA in 14 starts this season. The Yankees are 58-31 in night games this season. New York is 11-3 in Montgomery's 14 night starts this season. The Yankees are 8-0 in their last eight interleague games. The Yankees are 10-1 in their last 11 road games with a total set of 7 to 8.5. The Mets are 8-22 in their last 30 games as underdogs. The Mets are 0-7 in their last seven home games vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with the Yankees Friday. |
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09-10-21 | Brewers -135 v. Indians | Top | 10-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 41 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Milwaukee Brewers -135 The Milwaukee Brewers continue to play well as they are 8-3 in their last 11 games overall to improve to 86-55 on the season. The Brewers are rested having yesterday off, while the Indians had to play yesterday against the Twins and are a tired team. Cleveland is 2-5 in its last seven games overall to basically eliminate all hopes of them making the postseason. The Brewers have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Adrian Houser, who is 7-6 with a 3.54 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in 22 starts this season. He is coming off a complete game shutout against the Cardinals last time out. Eli Morgan is 2-6 with a 5.48 ERA in 14 starts this season for the Indians. Morgan has been atrocious at home, going 1-5 with a 7.53 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in eight home starts this season. The Brewers are 6-1 in their last seven games following an off day. Milwaukee is 37-16 in its last 53 road games. The Indians are 9-25 in their last 34 games as home underdogs. Take the Brewers Friday. |
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09-09-21 | Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 6-7 | Loss | -109 | 9 h 32 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-109) The Atlanta Braves are trying to win the NL East as they are 2.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for first place. They will be highly motivated to bounce back from an upset loss to the Washington Nationals yesterday. They should do just that thanks to their advantage on the mound. Huascar Ynoa has posted a 3.24 ERA and 1.005 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including a 2.29 ERA and 0.821 WHIP in six home starts. Ynoa is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA in two starts against the Nationals this season, pitching 12 shutout innings. Erick Fedde is 6-9 with a 5.27 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 9.72 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 9 earned runs and 19 base runners in 8 1/3 innings. Fedde has never beaten the Braves, going 0-4 with an 11.02 ERA and 2.449 WHIP in six career starts against them. He has allowed 14 earned runs in 11 1/3 innings across three starts against the Braves in 2021 alone. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Thursday. |
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09-09-21 | Blue Jays +105 v. Yankees | 6-4 | Win | 105 | 8 h 12 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Toronto Blue Jays +105 The Toronto Blue Jays have gone 10-1 in their last 11 games overall to inch closer to a wild card spot. They are hot at the plate having scored 50 runs in their last six games. They should not be underdogs to the New York Yankees, who are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall. The trade for Jose Berrios was a great one, giving the Blue Jays yet another top end starter in their underrated rotation. Berrios is 10-7 with a 3.55 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 27 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Nestor Cortes Jr., who is getting too much respect for what he has done over a small sample size this season. The Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last seven meetings in New York. The Yankees are 0-6 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter. New York is 0-5 in its last five home games. Take the Blue Jays Thursday. |
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09-08-21 | Reds -120 v. Cubs | 1-4 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 18 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Line Mistake on Cincinnati Reds -120 The Chicago Cubs just had their surprising seven-game winning streak against bad competition come to an end yesterday. Now look for them to suffer a hangover effect here against a highly motivated Cincinnati Reds team that is trying to earn a wild card spot. The Reds should be more than -120 favorites today. Vladamir Gutierrez is 6-2 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.247 WHIP in 10 road starts this season. He has posted a 2.55 ERA in three starts against the Cubs this season, allowing just 5 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings. Alec Mills has been at his worst at home this season, going 2-2 with a 4.28 ERA and 1.337 WHIP in seven starts at Wrigley Field. Mills is 0-2 with a 3.86 ERA in two starts against the Reds in 2021, allowing 5 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings. The Reds are 6-1 in Gutierrez's seven road starts at night this season. The Cubs are 1-11 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings. Take the Reds Wednesday. |
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09-08-21 | Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 58 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-110) The Atlanta Braves have a lot to play for right now as they are 2.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for first place in the NL East. They have a big advantage on the mound over the lowly Washington Nationals tonight. Touki Toussaint is 3-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.215 WHIP in eight starts for the Braves this season. He'll be opposed by lefty Sean Nolin, who is 0-2 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in four starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.57 ERA and 1.865 WHIP in three road starts. The Braves are scoring 5.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season. Atlanta is 22-6 in its last 28 games as a favorite. The Nationals are 17-43 in their last 60 games overall, including 6-21 in their last 27 road games. Atlanta is 26-10 in the last 35 meetings. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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09-08-21 | Blue Jays +108 v. Yankees | 6-3 | Win | 108 | 9 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Toronto Blue Jays +108 The Toronto Blue Jays have gone 9-1 in their last 10 games overall to inch closer to a wild card spot. They are hot at the plate having scored 44 runs in their last five games. They should not be underdogs to the New York Yankees, who are 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. Alek Manoah is just another of the underrated starters in Toronto's rotation. He is 5-2 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.097 WHIP in 15 starts this season. One of those starts came against the Yankees on May 27th when he pitched 6 shutout innings in a 2-0 victory at New York. The Blue Jays are 6-0 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter. The Yankees are 1-6 in their last seven games following a loss. Two teams headed in opposite direction and we'll back the hot team in the underdog role. Roll with the Blue Jays Wednesday. |
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09-07-21 | Reds -147 v. Cubs | 4-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Cincinnati Reds -147 The Cincinnati Reds will be highly motivated for a victory tonight as they continue to pursue a wild card spot, but are coming off a 4-3 loss to the Cubs in Game 1 of this series. Look for them to have their revenge due to their advantage on the mound. Wade Miley has quietly gone 11-5 with a 2.97 ERA in 25 starts this season, including 4-2 with a 3.07 ERA in 12 road starts. Miley pitched 7 shutout innings in a 14-5 win over the Cubs on August 16th in his last start against them. Adrian Sampson will be making just his second start of the season for the Cubs. He is 6-13 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in four years in the majors across 164 1/3 innings. Miley's teams are 16-2 in 18 starts as a favorite of -125 to -175 over the last two seasons. The Cubs are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Roll with the Reds Tuesday. |
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09-07-21 | Nationals v. Braves -1.5 | Top | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 36 m | Show |
20* NL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-113) The Atlanta Braves have a lot to play for right now as they are 1.5 games ahead of the Philadelphia Phillies for first place in the NL East. They are rested having yesterday off, while the Nationals played yesterday and will be playing their 6th game in 5 days. The Braves have a big advantage on the mound over the lowly Nationals tonight. Max Fried has been dominant for a couple months now. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts. Fried has gone 4-1 with a 1.76 ERA in those seven starts, allowing just 9 earned runs in 46 innings. He is 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in his last two starts against the Nationals this season, allowing just 2 earned runs in 12 innings. Paulo Espino is 4-3 with a 4.33 ERA in 14 starts for the Nationals, including 1-0 with a 5.21 ERA in five home starts. Espino faced the Braves once this season on August 15th, allowing 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 10 base runners in 4 innings. The Braves are 39-13 in Fried's last 52 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher, outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game in this spot. The Nationals are 17-42 in their last 59 games overall, including 6-20 in their last 26 road games. Atlanta is 25-10 in the last 35 meetings. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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09-07-21 | Blue Jays +200 v. Yankees | 5-1 | Win | 200 | 9 h 9 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Toronto Blue Jays +200 The Toronto Blue Jays have gone 8-1 in their last nine games overall to inch closer to a wild card spot. They are hot at the plate having scored 39 runs in their last four games. They should not be +200 underdogs to the New York Yankees, who are 2-7 in their last nine games overall. Gerrit Cole is the Cy Young favorite but Robbie Ray of the Blue Jays should give him a run for his money. As good as Cole has been, he still shouldn't be this big of a favorite. Steven Matz is 10-7 with a 3.80 ERA in 24 starts this season, 7-4 with a 3.54 ERA in 13 road starts, and 0-0 with a 2.12 ERA in his last three starts. Matz held the Yankees to one earned run in 6 2/3 innings of a 6-2 win at New York as a +155 dog in his last start against them on May 25th. Take the Blue Jays Tuesday. |
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09-06-21 | Reds -141 v. Cubs | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -141 | 5 h 38 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Cincinnati Reds -141 The Cincinnati Reds are fighting to make the postseason. The Chicago Cubs are getting too much respect from oddsmakers after winning six straight coming in against the Pirates and Twins, two of the worst teams in baseball. The Reds have a big advantage on the mound today with Sonny Gray, who has been at his best on the road this season at 4-2 with a 2.96 ERA in nine starts away from home. Gray is really feeling himself of late, going 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 0.556 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 2 earned runs and 10 base runners in 18 innings. Justin Steele is 1-2 with a 4.58 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in four starts this season for the Cubs, including 0-1 with a 7.27 ERA and 1.499 WHIP in two home starts. Gray is 4-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 0.940 WHIP in nine career starts against the Cubs. The Cubs are 14-39 in their last 53 games as underdogs. Chicago is 5-21 in its last 26 vs. a team with a winning record. The Cubs are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Cincinnati is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings, including 4-1 in the last five meetings in Chicago. Take the Reds Monday. |
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09-06-21 | Blue Jays +125 v. Yankees | 8-0 | Win | 125 | 3 h 21 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on Toronto Blue Jays +125 The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last eight games overall and thriving under the pressure of trying to make the postseason. They are very hot at the plate right now, scoring a combined 29 runs in their last three games. The Yankees are struggling, going just 2-6 in thier last eight games overall. The Blue Jays have the advantage on the mound today and shouldn't be underdogs because of it. Hyun-Jin Ryu is 12-8 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.172 WHIP in 26 starts this season, including 6-4 with a 3.34 ERA and 1.073 WHIP in 13 road starts. Ryu is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA in his last four starts against the Yankees, allowing just 5 earned runs in 25 innings. He'll be opposed by Jameson Taillon, who is 8-5 with a 4.44 ERA in 26 starts this season. Taillon has really struggled of late, going 1-1 with a 9.22 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. He allowed 5 earned runs in 3 2/3 innings of a 7-3 loss to the Blue Jays in his lone start against them in 2021. Roll with the Blue Jays Monday. |
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09-05-21 | Twins v. Rays -1.5 | 6-5 | Loss | -107 | 2 h 16 m | Show | |
15* MLB Run Line ANNIHILATOR on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-107) The Tampa Bay Rays are 15-3 in their last 18 games overall with 14 wins by two runs or more. The Minnesota Twins are 0-4 in their last four games with all four losses by two runs or more. It should be more of the same Sunday. The Rays have the advantage on the mound behind Louis Patino, who is 3-2 with a 2.15 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in six home starts this season. Griffin Jax is 2-3 with a 6.37 ERA and 1.366 WHIP in eight starts this season for the Twins. He has allowed 15 earned runs and 5 homers in 9 2/3 innings in his last two starts coming in. Minnesota is 1-10 in its last 11 road games after scoring four runs or less in four straight games. The Rays are 47-19 in their last 66 Sunday games. Tampa Bay is 51-15 in its last 66 games following a win. The Ryas are 66-19 in their last 85 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Roll with the Rays on the Run line Sunday. |
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09-05-21 | A's v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 0-8 | Win | 100 | 2 h 22 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (+100) The Toronto Blue Jays are 6-1 in their last seven games overall as they make their push for the postseason. One of the teams they are chasing is the A's, who they are trying to sweep today. They have scored 11 and 10 runs in the first two games of this series, so they are clearly swinging the bats well. Now the Blue Jays won't even need that much run support to cover this Run Line. That's because one of the best starters in baseball goes today for them. Robbie Ray has amazingly allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in 27 consecutive starts. Ray has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 10 of his last 11 starts, and 3 earned runs or fewer in 16 of his last 17 starts. Cole Irvin has allowed 3 earned runs or more in each of his last four starts. The Blue Jays will tag him today. Oakland is 0-7 this season after a game where the bullpen gave up 5 earned runs or more. It is coming back to lose by 3.7 runs per game in this spot. Take the Blue Jays on the Run Line Sunday. |
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09-04-21 | Cardinals +130 v. Brewers | 0-4 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 0 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals +130 The St. Louis Cardinals are quietly making a run at the postseason. They have gone 16-9 in their last 25 games overall. The just beat the Brewers 15-4 yesterday, who are going to have a hard time being motivated the rest of the way now that they basically already have the NL Central locked up. The wrong team is favored here as the Cardinals have the advantage on the mound. Kwang-Hyun Kim is 6-6 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 20 starts this season. Kim owns the Brewers, going 1-0 with a 1.04 ERA and 1.096 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing just 2 earned runs in 17 1/3 innings. Adrian Houser is 6-6 with a 3.85 ERA and 1.339 WHIP in 21 starts this season for the Brewers. He just gave up 5 earned runs in 5 innings to the Twins last time out. Houser is 2-2 with a 4.43 ERA and 1.836 WHIP in five career starts against St. Louis. Bet the Cardinals Saturday. |
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09-04-21 | Tigers +180 v. Reds | 4-7 | Loss | -100 | 17 h 54 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Detroit Tigers +180 The Detroit Tigers have been consistently undervalued this season. As a result, they have been one of the most profitable teams to back. That was the case again yesterday as they crushed Cincinnati 15-5 as a big underdog. The Reds are now just 1-5 in their last six games overall and struggling right now. The Tigers shouldn't be this big of an underdog when you consider they actually have the advantage on the mound today. Matt Boyd hast posted a 3.50 ERA and 1.219 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 1.46 ERA in his last three starts. He'll be opposed by Tyler Mahle, who has been great on the road this season, but terrible at home. Indeed, Mahle is 3-3 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 12 home starts this season. Roll with the Tigers Saturday. |
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09-03-21 | Cardinals +161 v. Brewers | 15-4 | Win | 161 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals +161 The St. Louis Cardinals are quietly making a run at the postseason. They have gone 15-9 in their last 24 games overall. They come into this series rested after having yesterday off, while the Brewers had to fly back from a series that ended in San Francisco yesterday and will be fatigued. Ace Adam Wainwright goes for the Cardinals tonight and has been lacking respect all season. He is 13-7 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 26 starts this season. Wainwright has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 15 of his last 16 starts and 4 earned runs or fewer in 18 straight. Wainwright is 6-1 with a 1.55 ERA in his last eight starts, allowing just 10 earned runs in 58 innings. He is 18-12 with a 2.55 ERA and 1.082 WHIP in 39 career starts against Milwaukee. He'll be opposed by Freddy Peralta, who has posted a 4.73 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in his last three starts. Peralta has never beaten the Cardinals, going 0-1 with a 5.49 ERA in five career starts against them. The Cardinals are 12-2 in Wainwright's last 14 starts after losing their previous game. St. Louis is 10-3 in its last 13 road games. Roll with the Cardinals Friday. |
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09-03-21 | Indians +160 v. Red Sox | 5-8 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 52 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cleveland Indians +160 The Cleveland Indians have quietly gone 9-3 in their last 12 games overall and are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They have now scored at least 3 runs in 18 consecutive games and are coming to life at the plate. Cal Quantrill is having a great season for the Indians. He is 4-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.182 WHIP in 17 starts. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 11 consecutive starts. Quantrill is 3-0 with a 1.47 ERA in his last nine starts, allowing just 9 earned runs in 55 innings. One of those starts came against Boston on August 28th in his last outing where he allowed just one earned run in 7 innings. He'll be opposed by Nathan Eovaldi, who is 1-2 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.522 WHIP in four career starts against the Indians. The Indians are 6-1 in their last seven games vs. a right-handed starter. The Red Sox are 5-14 in their last 19 vs. a team with a winning record. Coming off two straight wins over the division rival Rays, this is a bit of a letdown spot for the Red Sox, who are also dealing with COVID issues right now. Take the Indians Friday. |
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09-02-21 | Braves -1.5 v. Rockies | 6-5 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 28 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-105) The Atlanta Braves come in highly motivated for a victory after getting swept by the Dodgers last series with their three losses coming by a combined four runs. They just got done playing the Dodgers, Giants and Yankees the last three series and now take a big step down in competition against the Rockies and should dominate Game 1 of this series. The Braves have a big advantage on the mound that should have them winning by two runs or more. Touki Toussant has been at his best on the road this season, going 2-1 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in four starts away from home. Chi Chi Gonzalez hasn't been good anywhere. He is 2-5 with a 6.15 ERA in 16 starts for the Rockies this season, including 0-1 with a 10.50 ERA in his last three while allowing 14 earned runs in 12 innings. The Braves are 18-4 after losing four of their last five games coming in over the last three seasons. They are coming back to win by 3.0 runs per game in this spot. Atlanta is 41-14 as a road favorite of -125 to -175 over the last three seasons, winning by 2.3 runs per game. Roll with the Braves on the Run Line Thursday. |
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09-02-21 | Indians -106 v. Royals | Top | 4-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 60 m | Show |
20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Cleveland Indians -106 The Cleveland Indians are quietly making a run at the postseason as we enter September. They have quietly gone 8-3 in their last 11 games overall while scoring 5 runs or more in eight of their last 12 games and 3 runs or more in 17 consecutive games. The Indians have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Royals and should be bigger favorites because of it. Triston McKenzie has been lights out, going 2-0 with a 1.29 ERA and 0.429 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 21 innings. McKenzie owns the Royals, going 2-0 with a 1.17 ERA and 0.652 WHIP in four career starts against them. He has pitched 12 shutout innings against the Royals in 2021 alone. He'll be opposed by Mike Minor, who is 8-11 with a 5.30 ERA in 26 starts this season. Minor is 0-1 with an 8.68 ERA in two starts against the Indians in 2021, allowing 9 earned runs in 9 1/3 innings. Kansas City is 1-16 off two straight home losses to a division opponent over the last two seasons. It is losing by 3.6 runs per game in this spot. Cleveland is 37-17 in its last 54 games as a favorite. The Indians are 14-2 in their last 16 meetings in Kansas City. Take the Indians Thursday. |
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09-01-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 4-5 | Loss | -126 | 9 h 33 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-126) The Baltimore Orioles are 3-23 in their last 26 games overall with a whopping 21 losses by two runs or more. That's a big reason I'm willing to lay this juice on the Run Line on the Toronto Blue Jays, who need a big finish to make the postseason and won't be taking the Orioles lightly. They'll come back highly motivated after an upset loss to the Orioles yesterday. The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Steven Matz, who is 10-7 with a 3.81 ERA in 23 starts this season. Matz has been very good of late, going 1-0 with a 1.06 ERA and 0.882 WHIP in his last three starts. Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade in all of baseball. He is 6-14 with a 6.18 ERA and 1.508 WHIP in 26 starts this season. Harvey is also 0-2 with an 8.56 ERA in three starts against the Blue Jays this season, allowing 13 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings. Baltimore is 2-29 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or rose this season. It is getting outscored by an average of 4.0 runs per game in this spot in these 31 games. Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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08-31-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -147 | 8 h 39 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-147) The Baltimore Orioles are 2-23 in their last 25 games overall with a whopping 21 losses by two runs or more. That's a big reason I'm willing to lay this juice on the Run Line on the Toronto Blue Jays, who need a big finish to make the postseason and won't be taking the Orioles lightly. The Blue Jays have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning by two runs or more. Hyun-Jin Ryu is 12-7 with a 3.88 ERA and 1.176 WHIP in 25 starts this season. He has never lost to the Orioles, going 4-0 with a 3.44 ERA and 1.173 WHIP in six career starts against them. That includes 3-0 in 2021 alone with the Blue Jays winning those games by 8, 8 and 3 runs. Keegan Akin is one of the worst starters in baseball. He is 1-8 with a 7.86 ERA and 1.842 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 0-5 with a 9.73 ERA and 2.163 WHIP in seven road starts. Akin is 0-1 with a 7.72 ERA and 1.630 WHIP in three career starts against the Blue Jays as well. He allowed 6 earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of a 12-4 loss to Toronto in his lone start against them in 2021. Baltimore is 1-29 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season, losing by 4.1 runs per game on average. Ryu's teams are 55-17 in his 72 career starts against teams with losing records, and they are winning by 2.8 runs per game. Toronto is 14-1 vs. a starting pitcher with worse than a 20% winning percentage and winning by 4.0 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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08-30-21 | Orioles v. Blue Jays -1.5 | Top | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-155) The Baltimore Orioles are 2-22 in their last 24 games overall with a whopping 20 losses by two runs or more. That's a big reason I'm willing to lay this juice on the Run Line with the Toronto Blue Jays, who need a big finish to make the postseason and won't be taking the Orioles lightly. Robbie Ray is one of my favorite starters to back this season. Ray is 9-5 with a 2.72 ERA and 1.031 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 5-3 with a 2.52 ERA and 0.988 WHIP in 13 home starts. He has a whopping 192 K's in 152 1/3 innings this season. Amazingly, Ray has allowed 4 earned runs or fewer in 26 consecutive starts, including 3 or fewer in 23 of those. He'll be opposed by Chris Ellis, who will be making just his second start of the season after allowing 3 earned runs in 3 innings against the Angels in his first start on August 25th. The Orioles are 11-40 in their last 51 road games. The Blue Jays are 83-39 in their last 122 home meetings. Toronto is 37-17 in the last 54 meetings overall. Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Monday. |
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08-29-21 | Royals v. Mariners -145 | Top | 3-4 | Win | 100 | 5 h 22 m | Show |
20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Seattle Mariners -145 The Seattle Mariners will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday after dropping the first three games of this series to the Kansas City Royals as big favorites. Now they are the smallest favorite they have been in this series and will avoid the sweep. Marco Gonzalez has been at his best down the stretch for the Mariners. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in eight consecutive starts. Gonzalez is 4-0 with a 1.85 ERA in his last seven starts while allowing just 9 earned runs in 43 2/3 innings. Gonzalez is 3-0 with a 2.08 ERA in his last three starts against the Royals as well. He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 3-9 with a 5.07 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in 22 starts this season. Singer is 1-4 with a 4.83 ERA and 1.610 WHIP in nine road starts as well. The Mariners are 8-0 in Gonzalez's last eight home starts when working on 5 or 6 days' rest. Seattle is 8-0 in its last eight during Game 4 of a series. Bet the Mariners Sunday. |
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08-29-21 | Reds -1.5 v. Marlins | 1-2 | Loss | -109 | 2 h 22 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (-109) The Cincinnati Reds have a big advantage on the mound today over the Miami Marlins that should have them winning this game by two runs or more to cover this Run Line. Tyler Mahle is 10-4 with a 3.63 ERA and 1.196 WHIP in 26 starts for the Reds this season. Mahle has been at his best on the road, going 7-1 with a 1.72 ERA and 0.996 WHIP in 14 starts away from home. He has also posted a 3.27 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in two career starts against Miami. Jesus Lazardo has been a dumpster fire this season for the Marlins. He is 3-6 with a 7.51 ERA and 1.847 WHIP In 11 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 9.94 ERA and 2.368 WHIP in his last three starts. The Reds are 30-12 in their last 42 games as favorites. Cincinnati is 20-7 in its last 27 during Game 3 of a series. Miami is 1-8 in its last nine vs. a team with a winning record. The Marlins are 19-40 in their last 59 games as underdogs. Cincinnati is 11-2 in the last 13 meetings. Roll with the Reds on the Run Line Sunday. |
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08-28-21 | Cubs v. White Sox -1.5 | Top | 7-0 | Loss | -140 | 10 h 1 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-140) The Chicago Cubs are a dumpster fire right now. They are just 14-41 in their last 55 games overall and just allowed 17 runs to the Chicago White Sox yesterday. The White Sox are now 4-0 in their last four meetings with the Cubs recently while winning all four games by two runs or more. It should be more of the same today. The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today with Cy Young contender Lance Lynn, who is 10-3 with a 2.20 ERA and 1.048 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 6-2 with a 2.25 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 14 home starts. Lynn held the Cubs to one earned run in 6 innings of an 8-6 victory on August 6th in his lone start against them this season. Alec Mills is 3-6 with a 4.09 ERA and 1.378 WHIP in 13 starts this season for the Cubs. Mills just allowed 6 earned runs and 11 hits in 4 innings of a 9-1 loss to the lowly Kansas City Royals in his last start. He will get rocked by a hot White Sox offense that has now scored 27 combined runs in their last two games. Lynn's teams are 47-16 in his 63 career home starts vs. a team with a losing record. They are winning by 1.7 runs per game on average in this spot. The Cubs are 0-7 in their last seven interleague games. The White Sox are 59-27 in their last 86 home games. Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Saturday. |
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08-28-21 | Cardinals -1.5 v. Pirates | 13-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-105) Death, taxes and Adam Wainwright owns the Pittsburgh Pirates. Wainwright is 6-0 with a 0.86 ERA in his last six starts against the Pirates, allowing just 4 earned runs in 42 innings. He has allowed just one earned run in 23 innings across three starts against the Pirates in 2021 alone. It's no fluke as Wainwright has had a career resurrection this season, going 12-7 with a 3.10 ERA and 1.051 WHIP in 25 starts, including 2-1 with a 0.78 ERA and 0.652 WHIP in his last three. He'll be opposed by Steven Brault, who is 1-3 with a 5.35 ERA and 1.413 WHIP in eight career starts against the Cardinals. St. Louis is 7-0 in Wainwright's last seven starts against the Pirates with all seven wins coming by two runs or more. The Cardinals are 7-1 in their last eight road games. St. Louis is 42-19 in the last 61 meetings, including 22-4 in the last 26 meetings in Pittsburgh. Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Saturday. |
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08-27-21 | Rays -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-140) The Tampa Bay Rays are 8-1 in their last nine games overall with all eight wins coming by two runs or more. They have scored 7 or more runs in seven of those nine games and are hitting the cover off the ball right now. Now they take on a Baltimore Orioles team that they have owned this season. Indeed, the Rays are 15-1 against the Orioles in 2021 with 13 of those wins coming by two runs or more. They take on a struggling Orioles team that is 2-19 in their last 21 games overall with 18 of those losses coming by two runs or more. The Rays have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Shane McClanahan, who is 8-4 with a 3.53 ERA and 1.283 WHIP in 19 starts this season. McClanahan owns the Orioles, going 3-0 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in three starts against them in 2021 with the Rays winning those games by 5, 9 and 6 runs. Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade in all of baseball. He is 6-13 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.544 WHIP In 25 starts this season, including 2-8 with a 6.62 ERA and 1.626 WHIP in 12 home starts. Harvey is 0-2 with a 15.62 ERA and 2.208 WHIP in two starts against the Rays in 2021, allowing 11 earned runs and 4 homers in 6 1/3 innings. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Friday. |
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08-26-21 | Twins v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 3 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-140) The Boston Red Sox have scored 25 combined runs in their last three games. They will give Chris Sale plenty of run support tonight, and he's not going to need much. Sale dominated in the minors leading up to his return from the IL and that has carrier over. Indeed, Sale is 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in his two starts while allowing just 2 earned runs with 13 K's in 10 innings. Now he'll shut down the Minnesota Twins. Sale is 1-0 with a 1.40 ERA in his last three starts against the Twins, allowing just 3 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings with 30 K's. John Gant is 4-7 with a 4.10 ERA and 1.603 WHIP in 15 starts this season while averaging just 4.5 innings per start. Gant has really struggled of late, going 0-3 with a 7.72 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 10 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings. The Twins are 11-28 in their last 39 games vs. a left-handed starters, including 1-6 in their last seven road games vs. southpaws. Minnesota is 4-12 in its last 16 games following a win. The Red Sox are 14-4 in their last 18 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Thursday. |
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08-25-21 | Dodgers -137 v. Padres | Top | 5-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 10 m | Show |
20* Dodgers/Padres ESPN No-Brainer on Los Angeles -137 The Los Angeles Dodgers are playing their best baseball of the season right now. They are 14-2 in their last 16 games overall and should be bigger favorites over the struggling San Diego Padres. The Padres are just 2-10 in their last 12 games overall despite being favorites in 11 of those games. The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight. Ace and Cy Young contender Walker Buehler gets the ball. He is 13-2 with a 2.11 ERA and 0.930 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 5-0 with a 2.07 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in 10 road starts. Buehler has never lost to the Padres, going 4-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 0.840 WHIP in eight career starts against them. He'll be opposed by Blake Snell, who has been a bit of a disappointment for the Padres this season. Snell is 6-5 with a 4.82 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in 23 starts this season. The Dodgers are 15-1 in Buehler's 16 road starts vs. NL West opponents over the last three seasons. Los Angeles is 74-33 in its last 107 games as a road favorite. San Diego is 8-22 in its last 30 games as a home underdog. Bet the Dodgers Wednesday. |
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08-24-21 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | Top | 0-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 25 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-115) The Houston Astros have lost four out of five meetings with the Kansas City Royals over the past week. It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory after dropping Game 1 of this series at home. The Astros have a big advantage on the mound tonight that should have them winning this game by two runs or more. Luis Garcia is 9-5 with a 3.42 ERA and 1.120 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-2 with a 1.92 ERA and 0.888 WHIP in 10 home starts. He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 3-8 with a 5.23 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 21 starts thsi season. Singer has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 10.21 ERA and 2.431 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 30 base runners in 12 1/3 innings. Plays on any team (Houston) - in the AL with a starting pitcher with a 3.50 ERA or better against an opponent with a starting pitcher that wins less than 30% of his starts are 60-12 (83.3%) over the last five seasons. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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08-23-21 | Royals v. Astros -1.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -123 | 9 h 4 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday PLAY OF THE DAY on Houston Astros -1.5 (-123) The Houston Astros are hot at the plate right now in scoring a combined 36 runs in their last four games. They rank 1st in all of baseball in runs per 9 innings, 1st in average and 2nd in OPS. They are exactly the type of team you want to back on the Run Line with their ability to put up runs. Ace Zack Greinke goes for the Astros tonight. He is 11-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 1.109 WHIP in 25 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.89 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last three starts. Greinke has posted a 2.68 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in six career starts against the Royals as well. Daniel Lynch is 3-3 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.499 WHIP in eight starts for the Royals this season. Lynch is 1-2 with a 4.61 ERA and 1.609 WHIP in three road starts as well. He is only averaging 4.8 innings per start and the Astros should get into the Royals shaky bullpen early in this one. Greinke is 54-15 as a home favorite of -175 to -250 in his career with his teams winning by 2.2 runs per game on average. The Royals are 17-35 in their last 52 road games. The Astros are 140-68 in their last 208 home games. Houston is 73-29 in its last 102 home games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Monday. |
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08-22-21 | Pirates v. Cardinals -1.5 | 0-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 11 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 (-110) The St. Louis Cardinals will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday after dropping the first two games of this series to the Pirates as -205 and -195 favorites. Look for them to avoid the sweep and win this game by two runs or more this afternoon. Ace Adam Wainwright has been revived this season, going 11-7 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.093 WHIP in 24 starts, including 6-5 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.040 WHIP in 15 home starts. Wainwright owns the Pirates, going 5-0 with a 1.06 ERA in his last five starts against them while allowing just 4 earned runs in 34 innings. Steven Brault is 1-2 with a 5.70 ERA in seven career starts against the Cardinals. St. Louis is 6-0 in Wainwright's last six starts against Pittsburgh with all six wins coming by two runs or more. Take the Cardinals on the Run Line Sunday. |
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08-22-21 | Nationals v. Brewers OVER 9 | 3-7 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Nationals/Brewers OVER 9 The Washington Nationals have scored 4 or more runs in 19 of their last 25 games overall. The OVER is 15-4 in Nationals last 19 games. The Milwaukee Brewers have scored 4 or more runs in 14 of their last 18 games overall and are just about as hot as any team in the majors over the past couple months. The Brewers should feast on Sean Nolin, who will be making just his second start of the season for the Nationals. He allowed 4 earned runs and 8 hits in 3 innings to the Mets in his only previous start. Adrian Houser is getting too much respect from oddsmakers today. He is 6-5 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.320 WHIP in 19 starts this season. The OVER is 8-0 in Houser's last eight starts with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs. The OVER is 18-6 in Nationals last 24 road games with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs. The OVER is 16-4 in Houser's last 20 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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08-21-21 | Braves -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 5-4 | Loss | -119 | 9 h 18 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-119) The Baltimore Orioles are 0-16 in their last 16 games overall and have been outscored 141-42 in the process. They have lost all 16 games by two runs or more and 15 of them by three runs or more. Look for that trend to continue today against the Atlanta Braves. The Braves are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They have won seven straight and are 14-2 in their last 16 games overall. They have won 11 of those games by two runs or more. And now they once again have a big advantage on the mound over the Orioles today. Drew Smyly is 8-3 with a 4.50 ERA in 21 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Matt Harvey, who is one of my favorite starters to fade. Harvey is 6-12 with a 6.25 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 2-7 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.640 WHIP in 11 home starts. Atlanta is 10-0 in August road games this season and winning by 4.2 runs per game. The Braves are 8-1 in Smyly's last nine road starts following a win. Smyly is 14-0 in his last 14 starts vs. terrible speed teams that average 0.35 or fewer stolen bases per game in the second half of the season. His teams are winning by 3.8 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Saturday. |
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08-21-21 | Giants -108 v. A's | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 20 m | Show | |
15* Giants/A's Interleague ANNIHILATOR on San Francisco -108 The San Francisco Giants have lost two in a row and will be highly motivated to bounce back Saturday. They haven't lost three in a row since July 1st, so they have been a very resilient team over the last month and a half. The Giants have the advantage on the mound today over the Oakland A's. Kevin Gausman is 12-5 with a 2.40 ERA and 0.977 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 6-2 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.951 WHIP in 13 road starts. He hasn't fallen off at all, going 3-0 with a 2.81 ERA in his last three starts. Gausman has posted a 2.87 ERA and 1.062 WHIP in six career starts against Oakland as well. Speaking of falling off, Sean Manaea has been brutal of late for Oakland. He is 0-2 with a 12.27 ERA and 2.182 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings. It's not like he has faced stiff competition either as the three starts have come against the Rangers, Indians and Padres. The Giants are 19-3 in their last 22 games this season coming off a three-game span in which their bullpen threw 13 or more innings. San Francisco is 9-2 in Gausman's 11 starts against a team with a winning record this season. The Giants are 6-1 in their last seven games following a loss. Take the Giants Saturday. |
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08-20-21 | Mets v. Dodgers -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -124 | 12 h 39 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Late-Night BAILOUT on Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-124) The Los Angeles Dodgers are doing their best to chase down the San Francisco Giants in the NL West. They have won seven straight and are 11-1 in their last 12 games overall with seven wins by two runs or more. They should make easy work of the struggling New York Mets, who are 1-6 in their last seven games overall. The Dodgers have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Walker Buehler, who is a Cy Young contender at 12-2 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.938 WHIP in 24 starts this season. Buehler held the Mets to one run in seven innings in his lone start against them this season on August 14th. Carlos Carrasco has returned from the IL and is only a shell of his former self, clearly. Carrasco is 0-1 with a 10.33 ERA and 1.853 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 11 1/3 innings. One of those starts came against the Dodgers on August 15th when he allowed 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 2 innings of a 14-4 defeat. The Mets are 1-10 in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning record. The Dodgers are 65-27 in their last 92 home games. Los Angeles is 42-17 in the last 59 meetings. Take the Dodgers on the Run Line Friday. |
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08-20-21 | Braves -1.5 v. Orioles | Top | 3-0 | Win | 100 | 9 h 34 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Atlanta Braves -1.5 (-149) The Baltimore Orioles are 0-15 in their last 15 games overall and have been outscored 138-42 in the process. They have lost all 15 games by two runs or more and 14 of them by three runs or more. Look for that trend to continue today against the Atlanta Braves. The Braves are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They have won six straight and are 13-2 in their last 15 games overall. They have won 10 of those games by two runs or more. They have scored a total of 43 runs in their last five games for an average of 8.6 runs per game. The Braves have a big advantage on the mound today over the Orioles. Max Fried is 10-7 with a 3.86 ERA in 20 starts this season, including 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last three outings. He'll be opposed by Keegan Akin, who is 0-7 with a 9.29 ERA and 2.065 WHIP in 10 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.800 WHIP in his last three. Atlanta is 9-0 in August road games this season and winning by 4.4 runs per game. The Braves are 15-0 in Fried's last 15 August starts and winning by 4.4 runs per game. Bet the Braves on the Run Line Friday. |
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08-19-21 | Astros -158 v. Royals | Top | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Houston Astros -158 The Houston Astros have dropped four straight, including the first three games of this series to the Kansas City Royals in upset fashion. It's safe to say they will be highly motivated in Game 4 today to avoid the sweep and I think they get the job done. The Astros have a big advantage on the mound today with Luis Garcia over Mike Minor. Garcia is 9-5 with a 3.32 ERA and 1.126 WHIP in 20 starts this season. He has great stuff with 127 K's in 105 2/3 innings. Minor is 8-11 with a 5.35 ERA in 24 starts this season. He is 2-4 with a 4.93 ERA in 13 career starts against the Astros. That includes 0-2 with a 6.64 ERA in his last four starts against the Astros in which he has allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 20 1/3 innings and his teams have gone 0-4 in those four games. The Royals are 44-90 in their last 134 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Kansas City is 23-61 in its last 84 vs. AL West opponents. Bet the Astros Thursday. |
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08-19-21 | Angels v. Tigers +105 | 13-10 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 49 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +105 The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 49-40 in their last 89 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. And now they'll be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after dropping the first two games of this series to the Angels. The Tigers should feast on Jose Quintana, who is 0-3 with a 7.22 ERA and 1.931 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-2 with a 9.49 ERA and 2.271 WHIP in four road starts. Matt Manning has been at his best at home for the Tigers, going 2-1 with a 3.15 ERA in four home starts this season. Detroit is 9-1 vs. a starting pitcher that is winless after 5-plus starts over the last three seasons. The Tigers are 33-29 at home this season. Detroit is 4-0 in its last four vs. a left-handed starter. The Tigers are 7-2 in their last nine home games vs. a left-handed starter. Take the Tigers Thursday. |
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08-18-21 | Astros -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 2-3 | Loss | -111 | 9 h 49 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Houston Astros -1.5 (-111) The Houston Astros come in highly motivated for a victory after losing three straight overall, including the first two games of this series to the Kansas City Royals in upset fashion. Look for them to bounce back with a win by two runs or more in Game 3 due to their advantage on the mound. Ace Zack Greinke takes the ball for the Astros. He is 11-3 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.121 WHIP in 24 starts this season. Greinke has been at his best on the road, going a perfect 6-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 0.887 WHIP in 11 starts away from home. He has posted a 2.90 ERA and 1.226 WHIP in five career starts against Kansas City as well. He'll be opposed by Brady Singer, who is 3-8 with a 5.42 ERA and 1.631 WHIP in 20 starts this season. Singer has been at his worst at home, going 2-5 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.699 WHIP in 12 home starts. He has been roughed up of late, going 0-2 with a 19.05 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 12 earned runs and 22 base runners in 5 2/3 innings. Plays against home teams (Kansas City) - a poor hitting team with a .260 average or worse against a top level starting pitcher with a sub 3.60 ERA and a sub 1.300 WHIP in the American League, with a starting pitcher with a winning percentage less than 30% are 32-4 (88.9%) over the last five seasons. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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08-17-21 | Angels v. Tigers -119 | 8-2 | Loss | -119 | 11 h 39 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Night Line Mistake on Detroit Tigers -119 The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 49-38 in their last 874 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. And they are rested and ready to go tonight after having yesterday off. The Angels aren't rested as they had to play yesterday in a make up game against the New York Yankees. They will have a hard time getting back up off the mat after that 2-1 defeat. Runs have been hard to come by for the Angels during a 2-5 stretch over their last seven games in which they have averaged just 2.1 runs per game. The Tigers have a big advantage on the mound tonight over the Angels as well. Casey Mize is 6-6 with a 3.66 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 22 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Dylan Bundy, who is 2-9 with a 6.21 ERA and 1.343 WHIP in 17 starts. Bundy has never beaten the Tigers, going 0-2 with a 5.29 ERA and 1.529 WHIP in three career starts against them. The Tigers are 14-5 in their last 19 home games. Detroit is 17-4 in its last 21 Tuesday games. The Tigers are 5-0 in their last five games following a loss. Detroit is 7-0 in its last seven games after allowing 5 runs or more in its previous game. The Tigers are 7-1 in their last eight games following an off day. Roll with the Tigers Tuesday. |
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08-17-21 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | 0-10 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (+100) The Baltimore Orioles are 0-12 in their last 12 games overall and have been outscored 113-36 in the process. They have lost all 12 games by two runs or more and 11 of them by three runs or more. Look for that trend to continue today against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays are built to have openers like Drew Rasmussen shut down the opponent in the early innings and their dominant bullpen take over in the middle innings. That was the case yesterday in their 9-2 win over the Orioles. And it should be more of the same today. John Means is definitely Baltimore's best starter, but even he has struggled of late. Means is 1-4 with a 6.06 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing 22 earned runs and 13 homers in 32 2/3 innings. Means is 0-1 with a 5.51 ERA in three starts against the Rays in 2021 alone, allowing 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 16 1/3 innings with the Orioles losing all three of his starts by two runs or more. Tampa Bay is 12-1 against Baltimore this season with 10 wins by two runs or more. The Orioles are 1-25 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season. They are losing by 3.9 runs per game in this spot. Tampa Bay is 27-6 in its last 33 home meetings with Baltimore. Take the Rays on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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08-17-21 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Nationals | Top | 6-12 | Loss | -125 | 10 h 28 m | Show |
20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-125) The Toronto Blue Jays rank 2nd in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average, 1st in OPS and 1st in homers this season. They have just the type of offense that you want to back on the Run Line. The Washington Nationals are just 1-12 in their last 13 games overall and clearly packed it in at the trade deadline. It won't get any easier for them with Erick Fedde on the mound. Fedde is 4-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.434 WHIP in 19 starts this season. Alek Manoah has been the best starter for the Blue Jays this season right alongside Robbie Ray. Manoah is 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA and 1.017 WHIP in 11 starts with 71 K's in 59 innings. He'll shut down the Nationals tonight. Washington is 0-8 in its last eight home games vs. an AL team with a slugging percentage of .440 or better and losing by 4.1 runs per game in this spot. The Nationals are 4-18 as home dogs of +100 or higher this season. The Blue Jays are 13-3 in their last 16 interleague games. The Nationals are 0-7 in their last seven home games. Washington is 8-25 in its last 33 games overall. Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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08-16-21 | Orioles v. Rays -1.5 | Top | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 7 h 18 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-125) The Baltimore Orioles are 0-11 in their last 11 games overall and have been outscored 104-34 in the process. They have lost all 11 games by two runs or more and 10 of them by three runs or more. Look for that trend to continue today against the Tampa Bay Rays. The Rays come in highly motivated for a victory after losing two straight at Minnesota over the weekend. Now they are back home after a nine-game road trip. Collin McHugh takes the ball and has a 0.00 ERA and 0.450 WHIP in four starts this season spanning 6 2/3 innings. Matt Harvey is one of my favorite starters to fade in all of baseball. Harvey is 6-11 with a 6.10 ERA and 1.558 WHIP in 23 starts this season. He has faced the Rays once in his career and that came back on May 18th of this season. Harvey allowed 6 earned runs in 1 2/3 innings of a 13-6 loss. Tampa Bay is 11-1 against Baltimore this season with nine wins by two runs or more. Baltimore is 7-34 vs. AL teams that score 4.9 or more runs per game this season. It is losing by 3.3 runs per game in this spot. The Rays are 59-18 in their last 77 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Tampa Bay is 26-6 in its last 32 home meetings with Baltimore. Bet the Rays on the Run Line Monday. |
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08-15-21 | Orioles v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 2-6 | Win | 100 | 5 h 50 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-150) The Baltimore Orioles are 0-10 in their last 10 games overall and have been outscored 98-32 in the process. They have lost all 10 games by two runs or more and nine of them by three runs or more. Look for that trend to continue today against the Boston Red Sox. The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound today with Eduardo Rodriquez. He simply owns the Orioles, going 11-5 with a 3.37 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 19 career starts against them. That includes 8-0 with a 2.11 ERA in his last nine starts against Baltimore as he has allowed just 13 earned runs in 55 1/3 innings. The Red Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Rodriquez's last nine starts against the Orioles with eight wins by two runs or more. He'll be opposed by Keegan Akin, who is 0-6 with a 9.57 ERA and 2.045 WHIP in nine starts this season, including 0-4 with a 10.21 ERA and 2.148 WHIP in six road starts. The Orioles are 11-42 in their last 53 games following a loss. The Red Sox are 74-31 in their last 104 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%. Boston is 44-19 in the last 63 meetings. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Sunday. |
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08-14-21 | Orioles v. Red Sox -1.5 | Top | 2-16 | Win | 100 | 7 h 28 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-160) The Baltimore Orioles are 0-9 in their last nine games overall and have been outscored 82-30 in the process. They have lost all nine games by two runs or more and eight of them by three runs or more. Look for that trend to continue today against the Boston Red Sox. Fenway Park will be rocking today with the much-anticipated return of Chris Sale, who has dominated in the minors leading up to this start. Sale is 8-2 with a 2.42 ERA and 1.004 WHIP in 14 career starts against the Orioles. He'll be opposed by Jorge Lopez, who is 3-12 with a 5.75 ERA and 1.602 WHIP in 23 starts this season, including 2-7 with a 5.96 ERA and 1.619 WHIP in 11 road starts. Lopez is 0-1 with a 7.45 ERA in two career starts against Boston, both of which have come in 2021. The Orioles are 11-41 in their last 52 games following a loss. The Red Sox are 73-31 in their last 103 games vs. a team with a winning percentage below 40%. Boston is 43-19 in the last 62 meetings. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Saturday. |
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08-13-21 | Cardinals -135 v. Royals | Top | 6-0 | Win | 100 | 11 h 27 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on St. Louis Cardinals -135 The St. Louis Cardinals are 5-1 in their last six games overall with their lone loss coming by a single run. They are making a run at the playoffs here late in the season, and now they get their ace back on the mound in Jack Flaherty for the stretch run. Flaherty is 8-1 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.032 WHIP in 11 starts this season. He has never lost to the Royals, going 3-0 with a 0.95 ERA and 0.579 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing just 2 earned runs and 11 base runners in 17 innings with 19 K's. Mike Minor is 8-10 with a 5.39 ERA in 23 starts this season for the Royals. He is 2-2 with a 6.00 ERA and 1.485 WHIP in six career starts against the Cardinals. He faced St. Louis on August 6th earlier this month and allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 5 innings. The Cardinals are 35-17 in their last 52 games as favorites. St. Louis is 16-7 in the last 23 meetings. The Cardinals are 37-15 in their last 52 meetings in Kansas City. The Royals are 41-87 in their last 128 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Bet the Cardinals Friday. |
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08-13-21 | Indians v. Tigers +105 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +105 The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 48-36 in their last 84 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. And they should not be underdogs to the Cleveland Indians tonight. The Indians have lost three straight and are 3-7 in their last 10 games overall after getting blasted 17-0 by the A's yesterday. It won't get any easier for them with Zach Plesac on the mound, who is 1-1 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.643 WHIP in his last three starts. Plesac has posted a 5.40 ERA in seven road starts this season as well. Tyler Alexander has been solid for the Tigers this season, going 1-0 with a 4.12 ERA and 1.250 WHIP in seven starts. One of those starts came against the Indians on August 7th in his last start where he pitched 5 1/3 innings of a 2-1 victory as a +135 road underdog. The Tigers are 6-1 in Alexander's seven starts this season. Detroit is 6-0 in Alexander's six starts vs. a team with a losing record this season. The Tigers are 13-3 in their last 16 home games, including 8-1 in their last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter. Take the Tigers Friday. |
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08-12-21 | Blue Jays -129 v. Angels | 3-6 | Loss | -129 | 12 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -129 The Toronto Blue Jays are 12-3 in their last 15 games overall while outscoring opponents 88-41 in the process. The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average, 1st in OPS and 1st in home runs this season. They have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and that is showing of late. The Angels have lost four of their last five and just can't get any momentum playing without two of their best hitters in Mike Trout and Anthony Rendon. Shohei Ohtani has done his best to make up for it, but even he is getting too much respect from oddsmakers here. Jose Berrios has been a new man since getting new life after the trade to Toronto. Berrios is 1-1 with a 0.47 ERA and 0.737 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing just one earned run and 14 base runners in 19 innings. One of those starts came against the Angels on July 24th when he fired seven innings without allowing a single earned run and only three base runners. Toronto is 38-15 in its last 53 games vs. a team with a losing record, including 25-8 against losing teams this season. The Angels are 1-5 in their last six home games. Los Angeles is 2-7 in its last nine games vs. a right-handed starter. The Angels are 30-63 in their last 93 games vs. a starting pitcher with a 1.15 WHIP or lower. Roll with the Blue Jays Thursday. |
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08-12-21 | Tigers +133 v. Orioles | 6-4 | Win | 133 | 7 h 42 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +133 The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 47-36 in their last 83 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. And they should not be underdogs to the Baltimore Orioles tonight. The Orioles are 0-7 in their last seven games overall and have been outscored 68-25 in the process. That's why they should not be favorites, let alone this big of favorites even though I'm conceding they have the advantage on the mound with John Means over Matt Manning. Manning held the Orioles to 2 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings on July 31st in his last start against them. Another performance like that will be more than enough for him and the Tigers to come away with victory tonight. Baltimore is 1-23 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season. It is losing by 3.9 runs per game in this spot. Take the Tigers Thursday. |
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08-11-21 | Blue Jays -1.5 v. Angels | Top | 10-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 (-115) The Toronto Blue Jays are 11-3 in their last 14 games overall while outscoring opponents 78-39 in the process. The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 1st in average and 1st in OPS this season. They have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and that is showing of late. Injuries have really hit the Angels hard with the losses of Trout, Rendon and Walsh. They are now at a big disadvantage on the mound tonight with Dylan Bundy, who is 2-8 with a 6.19 ERA and 1.361 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 6.38 ERA and 1.446 WHIP in eight home starts. Alek Manoah has been nothing short of spectacular for the Blue Jays. He is 4-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.013 WHIP in 10 starts this season while allowing just 34 hits with 60 K's in 52 1/3 innings. He will shut down the Angels tonight. Toronto is 12-1 vs. a starting pitcher with a winning percentage of less than 20% over the last three seasons. It is winning by 3.8 runs per game in this spot. The Angels are 30-62 in thier last 92 games vs. a starting pitcher with a 1.15 WHIP or lower. Bet the Blue Jays on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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08-11-21 | Tigers -112 v. Orioles | Top | 5-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 56 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers -112 The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 46-36 in their last 82 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. And they should be bigger favorites over the lowly Baltimore Orioles in Game 2 of this series tonight. The Tigers won 9-4 in Game 1 last night and it should be more of the same tonight. They have the advantage on the mound with Tarik Skubal, who is 7-9 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 20 starts this season with 116 K's in 104 2/3 innings. The Orioles are 0-6 in their last six games overall and have been outscored 63-23 in the process. It won't get any better for them today with Matt Harvey taking the ball. Harvey is 6-10 with a 6.13 ERA and 1.525 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 2-6 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.572 WHIP in 10 home starts. Baltimore is 1-22 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worse this season. It is losing by 3.8 runs per game in this spot. Take the Tigers Wednesday. |
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08-11-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Twins | 0-1 | Loss | -114 | 3 h 46 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Early ANNIHILATOR on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-114) The Chicago White Sox are 4-1 in their last five games overall while outscoring the opposition 35-14 in the process. They have a big advantage on the mound over the Minnesota Twins today that should have them winning this game by two runs or more. Lance Lynn is a Cy Young contender at 10-3 with a 2.04 ERA and 1.055 WHIP in 20 starts this season for the White Sox. He has never lost to the Twins, going 2-0 with a 2.17 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in five career starts against them. That includes 2-0 with a 1.50 ERA in four starts in 2021, allowing just 4 earned runs in 24 innings to the Twins. The White Sox should feast on Bailey Ober, who is 1-1 with a 4.99 ERA in 12 starts this season, including 1-0 with a 5.34 ERA in six home starts. Ober is 1-1 with a 6.23 ERA in four career starts against the White Sox as well. The White Sox are 54-23 in their last 77 games as favorites. Chicago is 57-25 in its last 82 vs. a team with a losing record. The White Sox are 14-5 in the last 19 meetings. The Twins are 1-9 in their last 10 games following a win. Roll with the White Sox on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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08-10-21 | Tigers -118 v. Orioles | Top | 9-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 8 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Detroit Tigers -118 The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 45-36 in their last 81 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. And they should be bigger favorites over the lowly Baltimore Orioles in Game 1 of this series tonight. The Tigers have a big advantage on the mound with ace Casey Mize, who is 6-6 with a 3.57 ERA and 1.129 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 3-3 with a 3.58 ERA and 1.071 WHIP in 11 road starts. Mize faced the Orioles on July 29th in his lone career start against them, pitching 7 innings without allowing a single earned run in a 6-2 victory. The Orioles are 0-5 in their last five games overall and have been outscored 54-19 in the process. It won't get any better for them today with Keegan Akin taking the ball. Akin is still in search of his first win this season, going 0-5 with an 8.82 ERA and 1.990 WHIP in eight starts while allowing 33 earned runs and 67 base runners in 33 2/3 innings. Baltimore is 1-21 after a 5-game span where the bullpen had a 7.00 ERA or worst this season, losing by 3.8 runs per game in this spot. The Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games following an off day. Detroit is 7-2 in its last nine games as a favorite. Baltimore is 12-40 in its last 52 games following a loss. Bet the Tigers Tuesday. |
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08-10-21 | White Sox -144 v. Twins | 3-4 | Loss | -144 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
15* American League ANNIHILATOR on Chicago White Sox -144 The Chicago White Sox have now won four straight games while outscoring the opposition 32-10 in the process. They beat the Twins 11-1 in Game 1 yesterday and should put it on them again in Game 2 Tuesday. Eloy Jimenez has 4 homers and 10 RBI's in his last two games to show what made him one of the top prospects in baseball. Dallas Keuchel has been solid this season for the White Sox at 7-5 with a 4.40 ERA in 21 starts. Keuchel owns the Twins, going 6-2 with a 3.83 ERA in 10 career starts against them. Griffin Jax is getting too much respect from oddsmakers tonight. He is 1-1 with a 4.19 ERA in four starts this season, but has performed well in his last three. He is only averaging 4.8 innings per start, so the Twins have been limiting him and will have to use their awful bullpen (4.87 ERA) early in this one. Chicago is 34-12 (+15.7 Units) as a favorite of -125 to -175 this season. The White Sox are 57-24 in their last 81 vs. a team with a losing record. Chicago is 54-22 in its last 76 games as a favorite. The White Sox are 16-5 in the last 21 meetings. Roll with the White Sox Tuesday. |
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08-10-21 | Angels v. Blue Jays -160 | 6-3 | Loss | -160 | 7 h 8 m | Show | |
15* AL Non-Divisional KNOCKOUT on Toronto Blue Jays -160 (Game 1) The Toronto Blue Jays are 10-2 in their last 12 games overall while outscoring opponents 71-33 in the process. The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS this season. They have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and that is showing of late. Injuries have really hit the Angels hard with the losses of Trout, Rendon and Walsh. And now they are at a big disadvantage on the mound with Chris Rodriquez, who will be making just his second start of the season. Rodriquez allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, in 6 innings to the lowly Texas Rangers in his only previous start and takes a big step up in class tonight. Steven Matz is 9-6 with a 4.30 ERA in 19 starts this season, including 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA in his last three. Matz held the Angels to one run in 6 innings of a 15-1 victory in his lone career start against them back on April 10th. The Angels are 39-84 in their last 123 road games vs. a team with a winning record. The Blue Jays are 10-1 in their last 11 Game 1's of a double-header. Take the Blue Jays in Game 1 Tuesday. |
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08-09-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Twins | Top | 11-1 | Win | 100 | 10 h 54 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-120) The Chicago White Sox just swept the Cubs over the weekend. They won all three games by two runs or more and outscored the Cubs 21-9 in the series. Now they will put it on the Minnesota Twins in Game 1 of this series tonight. The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound behind Lucas Giolito, who is 8-8 with a 3.98 ERA and 1.155 WHIP in 22 starts this season. Giolito is 2-0 with a 2.57 ERA in his two starts against the Twins this season, allowing just 4 earned runs in 14 innings. And the Twins have lost some key guys to injury and trade that he won't have to face this time around. Beau Burrows will be making his first start of the season for the Twins. Burrows has posted an 8.62 ERA while allowing 15 earned runs in 15 2/3 innings in the majors in his career. He hasn't been much better at the Triple A level, posting a 5.32 ERA with 54 earned runs allowed in 91 1/3 innings. The White Sox are a perfect 9-0 in Giolito's nine August road starts in his career and winning by 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Chicago is 31-10 in its last 41 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and winning by 2.5 runs per game. Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Monday. |
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08-08-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 9-3 | Win | 100 | 8 h 54 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-114) The Chicago Cubs are just 10-27 in their last 37 games overall. They just traded away four of their best players in Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Javier Baez and Craig Kimbrel prior to the deadline to wave the white flag. They have proceeded to go 2-9 in their last 11 games overall. The Cubs are fade material the rest of the way. The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today that should have them winning by two runs or more. Dylan Cease is 8-6 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.256 WHIP In 22 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 1.118 WHIP in his last three. He'll be opposed by Kyle Davies, who is 6-8 with a 4.79 ERA and 1.527 WHIP in 23 starts this season. Davies has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 9.90 ERA in his last two starts, allowing 11 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings. The White Sox are 13-2 in Cease's 15 starts vs. a team with a losing record this season. They are winning by 4.1 runs per game in this spot. Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Sunday. |
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08-07-21 | Pirates v. Reds -1.5 | 3-11 | Win | 103 | 15 h 32 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+103) The Cincinnati Reds are rolling right now. They just beat the Pirates 10-0 yesterday to improve to 8-2 in their last 10 games overall with seven of those wins coming by 3 runs or more. It should be more of the same today against the Pirates, who are 1-5 in their last six games with all five losses by two runs or more. The Reds have a big advantage on the mound today that should lead to them winning by two runs or more. Vladamir Gutierrez has held his own this season, going 6-3 with a 4.39 ERA and 1.360 WHIP in 12 starts. He is 2-0 with a 2.03 ERA in his last two starts, allowing just 3 earned runs in 13 1/3 innings. Mitch Keller has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season. He is 3-8 with a 7.05 ERA and 1.777 WHIP in 13 starts. Keller has never beaten the Reds, going 0-2 with a 9.37 ERA and 1.898 WHIP in four career starts against them. He allowed 7 earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of a 14-1 loss to the Reds in his lone start against them in 2021. The Pirates are 25-68 in their last 93 road games. Pittsburgh is 17-51 in its last 68 during Game 3 of a series. Cincinnati is 10-1 in its last 11 home meetings with Pittsburgh. The Reds are 7-0 in their last seven games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Roll with the Reds on the Run Line Saturday. |
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08-07-21 | White Sox -1.5 v. Cubs | Top | 4-0 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show |
20* MLB Saturday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-130) The Chicago Cubs are just 10-26 in their last 36 games overall. They just traded away four of their best players in Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, Javier Baez and Craig Kimbrel prior to the deadline to wave the white flag. They have proceeded to go 2-8 in their last 10 games overall. The Cubs are fade material the rest of the way. The White Sox have a big advantage on the mound today that should have them winning by two runs or more. Carlos Rodon is a Cy Young contender at 8-5 with a 2.49 ERA and 0.965 WHIP in 18 starts this season with a whopping 149 K's in 104 2/3 innings. Adbert Alzolay is 4-11 with a 4.85 ERA in 19 starts this season, including 0-2 with a 6.19 ERA in his last three. Alzolay cannot be trusted because he serves up the long ball at a higher clip than any other starter in the league. He has allowed 23 homers in 98 1/3 innings this season. The White Sox are 51-22 in their last 73 games as favorites. The White Sox are 54-24 in their last 78 games vs. a team with a losing record. Bet the White Sox on the Run Line Saturday. |
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08-07-21 | Mariners +180 v. Yankees | 4-5 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 30 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Undervalued Underdog on Seattle Mariners +180 The Seattle Mariners will be highly motivated for a victory today after losing three straight games to the Rays and Yankees by a combined 4 runs. The Mariners are one of the most underrated teams in baseball and continue to be undervalued on a regular basis. Speaking of underrated, Seattle starter Chris Flexen is consistently overlooked. Flexen is 10-5 with a 3.75 ERA in 20 starts this season with the Mariners going 14-6 (+11.7 Units) in those 20 starts. I believe the Mariners actually have a big advantage on the mound today with Flexen over Andrew Heaney, who is 6-8 with a 5.42 ERA in 19 starts, including 3-4 with a 5.82 ERA in 11 home starts. Heaney is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA in two starts against the Mariners in 2021, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 7 1/3 innings. Flexen is 12-2 (+13.3 Units) against the money line with a total of 8.5 to 10 this season. New York is 7-11 (-11.8 Units) as a home favorite of -150 to -200 this season. The Yankees are 14-25 (-21.7 Units) in day games this season. Heaney is 0-6 (-7.5 Units) when playing against a team that wins 51% to 54% of their games this season. Take the Mariners Saturday. |
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08-06-21 | Rangers v. A's -1.5 | Top | 1-4 | Win | 100 | 18 h 28 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Oakland A's -1.5 (-120) The Oakland A's are 5-2 in their last seven games overall with four wins by two runs or more. Now they are rested and ready to go after having Thursday off and will put it on the Texas Rangers in Game 1 due to their advantage on the mound tonight. The Rangers have lost three in a row to the Angels coming in after losing 5-0 yesterday, getting outscored 18-4 in the three defeats. Mike Foltynewicz is 2-10 with a 6.00 ERA in 21 starts for the Rangers this season, 1-6 with an 8.38 ERA in nine road starts, and 0-2 with a 14.34 ERA in his last three starts. Chris Bassitt is 11-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.058 WHIP in 22 starts this season, including 4-3 with a 2.70 ERA and 0.917 WHIP in nine home starts. Bassitt has owned the Rangers of late, going 4-0 with a 1.00 ERA in his last four starts against them while allowing just 3 earned runs in 27 innings. The A's have won all four games by two runs or more. Oakland is 21-5 in Bassitt's 26 starts as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last two seasons, winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot. Texas is 13-40 in road games this season. The Rangers are 2-16 in road games vs. AL teams that allow 4.4 or fewer runs per game this season, losing by 3.0 runs per game in this spot. Texas is 0-15 vs. a starting pitcher with a winning percentage of better than 70% over the last three seasons, losing by 3.0 runs per game. Bassitt is 11-0 vs. a team with a losing record this season, winning by 3.2 runs per game. Bet the A's on the Run Line Friday. |
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08-06-21 | Tigers +141 v. Indians | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 16 h 58 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +141 The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 44-34 in their last 78 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. I like getting them as a nice-sized dog here against the struggling Cleveland Indians, who have lost three straight coming in. I would argue the Tigers have the advantage on the mound tonight with how well Matt Manning has been pitching of late. He is 1-1 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.260 WHIP in his last three starts. He has allowed two earned runs or fewer in six of his eight starts this season. Cal Quantrill is 2-1 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.304 WHIP in 12 starts for the Indians this season while averaging just 4.7 innings per start. He allowed 4 earned runs and 10 base runners in 3 1/3 innings of a 9-4 loss to the Tigers in his lone career start against them on June 30th. The Tigers are 9-3 in their last 12 games following a win. Detroit is 4-1 in its last five games as an underdog. Cleveland is 3-13 in its last 16 Friday games. The Indians are 1-8 in their last nine home games vs. a right-handed starter, and 0-6 in their last six games vs. a right-handed starter overall. Roll with the Tigers Friday. |
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08-06-21 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays -131 | 4-12 | Win | 100 | 16 h 55 m | Show | |
15* Red Sox/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on Toronto -131 The Toronto Blue Jays are 7-1 in their last eight games overall while outscoring opponents 48-19 in the process. The Blue Jays rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS this season with one of the most potent lineups in the league. Now they take on a struggling Boston Red Sox team that is 1-6 in its last seven games overall. The Red Sox have scored just 23 runs total in their last nine games for an average of 2.6 runs per game. It won't get much easier for them against Alek Manoah tonight. Manoah has been incredible for the Blue Jays this season. He is 3-1 with a 2.47 ERA and 0.972 WHIP in nine starts this season with 56 K's in 47 1/3 innings. Manoah has been at his best at home, going 2-0 with a 1.54 ERA and 0.857 WHIP in four home starts. He held the Red Sox to one run in 6 innings in his lone career start against them on June 14th. Take the Blue Jays Friday. |
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08-05-21 | Royals v. White Sox -1.5 | 3-2 | Loss | -109 | 11 h 32 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago White Sox -1.5 (-109) The Chicago White Sox are 35-12 against left-handed starters over the last two seasons and scoring 5.9 runs per game while winning by 2.4 runs per game in this spot. Now they should tee off on Kansas City left Daniel Lynch tonight. Lynch is 1-3 with a 6.95 ERA and 1.681 WHIP in five starts this season with only 13 K's in 22 innings. Lynch allowed 8 earned runs in just 2/3 of an inning in a 9-1 loss to the White Sox in his only career start against them this season. Dallas Keuchel has been at his best at home, going 4-1 with a 4.26 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in 10 starts. Keuchel owns the Royals, going 7-2 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.195 WHIP in 13 career starts against them. The White Sox are 12-1 in home games after scoring two runs or less this season. They are coming back to win by 4.1 runs per game in this spot. Take the White Sox on the Run Line Thursday. |
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08-05-21 | Indians v. Blue Jays OVER 9 | Top | 0-3 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 30 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Indians/Blue Jays OVER 9 The books have set the total in this game too low tonight. These are two terrible starting pitchers, and the Blue Jays are capable of covering this OVER on their own as they rank 2nd in baseball in runs per 9 innings, 2nd in average and 1st in OPS. The Blue Jays won 8-6 yesterday over the Indians. They should feast on Triston McKenzie, who is 1-4 with a 6.34 ERA and 1.425 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 0-1 with an 8.36 ERA and 1.571 WHIP in his last three. Ross Stripling hasn't been much better for the Blue Jays. He is 4-6 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.328 WHIP in 17 starts, including 1-1 with a 7.60 ERA and 1.501 WHIP in his last three. The OVER is 23-9 in all Toronto home night games this season. The OVER is 12-4-3 in Indians last 19 games after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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08-04-21 | Giants -1.5 v. Diamondbacks | 7-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 40 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Francisco Giants -1.5 (-105) The San Francisco Giants are 10-2 against the Arizona Diamondbacks this season. But they are coming off a rare loss last night in this head-to-head series to Madison Bumgarner, who has pitched very well since returning from injury, so there's no shame in that loss. Look for the Giants to bounce back in a blowout victory tonight behind Kevin Gausman. The right-hander is 9-5 with a 2.35 ERA and 0.942 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 5-2 with a 1.55 ERA and 0.962 WHIP in 12 road starts. Gausman owns the Diamondbacks, going 4-1 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.064 WHIP in six career starts against them. Gausman is 4-0 with a 1.44 ERA in his last four starts against Arizona, allowing just 4 earned runs in 25 innings. He'll be opposed by Zac Gallen, who is 1-5 with a 4.60 ERA and 1.359 WHIP in 12 starts this season. Gallen is 0-3 with a 10.24 ERA in his last three starts against San Francisco, allowing 11 earned runs in 9 2/3 innings. Gallen is 1-10 at home with a total of 7 to 8.5 over the last three seasons, losing by 2.9 runs per game on average. Arizona is 1-21 vs. an NL starting pitcher with a 1.05 WHIP or better this season, losing by 5.0 runs per game in this spot. Roll with the Giants on the Run Line Wednesday. |
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08-04-21 | Red Sox v. Tigers +136 | 4-1 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 11 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Detroit Tigers +136 The Detroit Tigers have quietly gone 43-33 in their last 76 games overall despite being an underdog in almost every game. They have been one of the best money makers in baseball this season. And they are being overlooked as home dogs to the Boston Red Sox in Game 2 of this series Wednesday. The Red Sox come in struggling with five straight losses. They are 1-6 in their last seven games overall and scoring just 2.6 runs per game during this stretch. It won't get any easier against Detroit's Casey Mize, who is their ace and one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Mize is 6-5 with a 3.41 ERA and 1.108 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 3.15 ERA and 1.160 WHIP in nine home starts. He'll be opposed by Eduardo Rodriquez, who is 7-6 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.415 WHIP in 20 starts this season. Mize beat the Red Sox on May 5th by allowing just one earned run in 6 innings of a 6-5 victory. Mize is 11-7 (+10.9 Units) as an underdog of +100 or higher this season. Detroit is 12-2 in its last 14 home games. The Tigers are 9-2 in their last 11 games following a win. Take the Tigers Wednesday. |
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