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Date | Match Up | Rating | Score | Result | Profit | Lead Time | Analysis |
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09-27-23 | Yankees +110 v. Blue Jays | 6-0 | Win | 110 | 9 h 47 m | Show | |
15* Yankees/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on New York +110 The New York Yankees are one of the few teams eliminated from the playoffs that are playing for pride here down the stretch. They are motivated to keep their streak of 30 consecutive winning seasons going, and they sit at 79-77 after going 4-1 in their last five games overall despite facing playoff contenders in Toronto and Arizona. It's rare you'll get the opportunity to back AL Cy Young favorite Gerrit Cole as an underdog, and we'll take advantage of that opportunity today. Cole is 14-4 with a 2.74 ERA and 1.015 WHIP in 32 starts this season. Cole owns the Blue Jays, going 7-2 with a 3.04 ERA and 0.960 WHIP in 15 career starts against them. He has faced the Blue Jays three times this season, allowing just one earned run in 19 2/3 innings for a minuscule 0.46 ERA. Jose Berrios is 11-11 with a 3.58 ERA in 31 starts this season and has bounced back well after last season's disaster, but he's getting too much respect here. Berrios does not enjoy facing the Yankees, going 3-6 with a 4.96 ERA in 12 career starts against them. That includes 0-3 with a 6.11 ERA in his last three starts against them, allowing 12 earned runs in 17 2/3 innings. He has allowed at least 3 earned runs in six of his last seven starts against New York. The Yankees are 12-1 in Cole's 13 starts after he allowed one earned runs or fewer in his last start this season. Bet the Yankees Wednesday. |
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09-27-23 | Rays -119 v. Red Sox | Top | 5-0 | Win | 100 | 8 h 53 m | Show |
20* AL East GAME OF THE MONTH on Tampa Bay Rays -119 The Tampa Bay Rays are still trying to chase down the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East. They have a great chance to gain some ground here playing the Boston Red Sox, who have been dead for weeks. The Red Sox are 4-15 in their last 19 games overall and have scored a total of 5 runs in their last three games. They have scored 5 runs or fewer in 13 consecutive games. The Rays have a big advantage on the mound tonight with Tyler Glasnow, who is 9-7 with a 3.76 ERA and 1.104 WHIP in 20 starts this season with a whopping 153 K's in 115 innings. Glasnow is 3-1 with a 3.35 ERA and 1.081 WHIP in 10 career starts against Boston. He has allowed just 3 earned runs with 36 K's in 21 innings for a 1.29 ERA in his last four starts against the Red Sox. Brayan Bello is 1-2 with a 9.00 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in his last three starts for the Red Sox. Bello is 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.650 WHIP in four career starts against Tampa Bay. He has allowed 15 earned runs in 20 innings in those four starts. Bet the Rays Wednesday. |
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09-26-23 | Royals +160 v. Tigers | 3-6 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 47 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday UPSET SHOCKER on Kansas City Royals +160 The Kansas City Royals are playing their best baseball of the season to close out the year. They are 10-1 in their last 11 games overall despite being underdogs in all 11 games. They have scored 6 or more runs in eight of those 11 games and are hot at the plate. I have recently cashed them as +234, +234, +205 underdog and I'm not about to jump off the train now. Zack Greinke has a 3.48 ERA in his last three starts for the Royals. Greinke loves facing the Tigers, going 12-9 with a 2.92 ERA and 1.172 WHIP in 31 career starts against them. He has allowed just 3 earned runs in 16 innings in his last three starts against Detroit for a 1.69 ERA. Reese Olson is the likely starter for the Tigers in this one. He is 5-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 17 starts this season, including 3-5 with a 4.99 ERA in 10 home starts while allowing 29 earned runs and 11 homers in 52 1/3 innings. Olson allowed 4 runs, 3 earned, and 2 homers in 6 innings in his lone start against Kansas City this season. Detroit is 1-9 in its last 10 home games following five or more consecutive road games. Bet the Royals Tuesday. |
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09-26-23 | Reds v. Guardians OVER 7.5 | Top | 11-7 | Win | 105 | 7 h 9 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Reds/Guardians OVER 7.5 The forecast is going to help us cash this OVER 7.5 ticket tonight. Temps will be around 70 with 11 MPH winds blowing out to left to help improve home run chances. This total was already too low with these two starting pitchers going tonight, and that's especially the case with the forecast. Gas can Lucas Giolito is 8-14 with a 4.70 ERA in 31 starts this season while allowing a whopping 37 homers. Giolito is 0-1 with a 6.55 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in two career starts against the Reds, allowing 8 earned runs and 4 homers in 11 innings. Hunter Greene is 4-6 with a 4.24 ERA and 1.346 WHIP in 20 starts for the Reds this season. Don't be surprised if the Reds cover this total on their own, but I expect the Guardians to chip in as well. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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09-25-23 | Padres v. Giants UNDER 7 | 1-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 52 m | Show | |
15* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY on Padres/Giants UNDER 7 NL Cy Young favorite Blake Snell goes for the Padres tonight. Snell is 14-9 with a 2.33 ERA and 1.195 WHIP in 31 starts this season with a whopping 227 K's in 174 innings. Snell has pitched 13 shutout innings while allowing only 2 base runners in his last two starts. Snell owns the Giants, going 5-1 with a 1.83 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in eight career starts against them. He has pitched 18 shutout innings with 27 K's in his last three starts against San Francisco. The Giants have been held to 2 runs or fewer in four of their last five games overall. Ace Logan Webb goes for the Giants tonight. Webb is 6-6 with a 2.63 ERA and 0.894 WHIP in 15 home starts this season. Webb is 2-2 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.014 WHIP in eight career starts against San Diego. He has allowed just 2 earned runs in 21 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Padres. The Padres are 8-0 in Snell's eight starts vs. a NL team with a .315 OBP or worse this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Monday. |
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09-24-23 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 3-4 | Loss | -121 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-121) The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 6 runs in five consecutive games and a total of 39 runs in those five games. They are red hot at the plate, which is why I'm willing to take them on the Run Line today against the lowly Colorado Rockies, who have lost six consecutive games coming in. Jordan Wicks is 3-1 with a 2.67 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in five starts for the Cubs this season. Wicks held the Rockies to one run and 4 base runners in 6 innings in Colorado on September 11th earlier this month in his lone career start against them. He'll be opposed by Ty Blach, who is 3-2 with a 4.97 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 11 starts. Blach is 1-1 with a 9.22 ERA and 2.195 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs and a whopping 6 homers in 13 2/3 innings. Blach has posted a 5.32 ERA and 1.682 WHIP in four career starts against Chicago. Colorado is 3-42 as an underdog of +200 or higher this season and getting outscored by 3.6 runs per game in this spot. The Rockies are 0-15 in road games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs per game this season and getting outscored by 5.0 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Sunday. |
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09-24-23 | Royals +234 v. Astros | 6-5 | Win | 234 | 5 h 44 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday UPSET SHOCKER on Kansas City Royals +234 The Kansas City Royals are playing their best baseball of the season to close out the year. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall despite being underdogs in all 10 games. They have scored 7 or more runs in seven of those 10 games and are hot at the plate. Kansas City took two out of three from Houston just two series ago winning as +170 and +135 dogs. They have been a real thorn in Houston's side and are taking pride in it. They won Game 1 as a +210 underdog and Game 2 as a +240 underdog. I was on them in both games, and I'll back them again today. Hunter Brown has no business being this big of a favorite over the Royals. He is 10-12 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 4-8 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.536 WHIP in 14 home starts. The Astros are 5-9 (-9.9 Units) in Brown's 14 home starts this season. He allowed 7 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings to the Orioles in his last start, which also came at home. Bet the Royals Sunday. |
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09-24-23 | Royals v. Astros OVER 9 | 6-5 | Win | 100 | 5 h 43 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Royals/Astros OVER 9 The Kansas City Royals are playing their best baseball of the season to close out the year. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games overall despite being underdogs in all 10 games. They have scored 7 or more runs in seven of those 10 games and are hot at the plate. The Royals will stay hot at the plate against the overrated Hunter Bown. He is 10-12 with a 4.93 ERA and 1.350 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 4-8 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.536 WHIP in 14 home starts. He allowed 7 earned runs in 5 1/3 innings to the Orioles in his last start, which also came at home. The Royals will be going with opener Steven Cruz in this one before turning it over to their bullpen, which has a 5.21 ERA and 1.477 WHIP on the season. The Astros have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last seven games and are scoring 5.1 runs per game this season. They should get their bats going as well. Houston is 17-4 OVER when revenging a one-run loss this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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09-23-23 | Royals +234 v. Astros | 3-2 | Win | 234 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday UPSET SHOCKER on Kansas City Royals +234 The Kansas City Royals are playing their best baseball of the season to close out the year. They are 8-1 in their last nine games overall despite being underdogs in all eight games. They have scored 7 or more runs in seven of those nine games and are hot at the plate. Kansas City took two out of three from Houston just two series ago winning as +170 and +135 dogs. They have been a real thorn in Houston's side and are taking pride in it. They won Game 1 as a +210 underdog last night. I took them in that game, and I'm back on them again today. J.P. France has no business being this big of a favorite. He is 5-3 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.361 WHIP in 11 home starts this season. France faced the Royals on the road in his last start on September 16th and allowed 5 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-8 defeat. Jordan Lyles has been respectable against Houston, going 2-3 with a 4.31 ERA and 1.135 WHIP in seven career starts against the Astros. He'll keep them in this game while their bats stay hot against France. The value is too good to pass up today. Bet the Royals Saturday. |
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09-23-23 | Royals v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 3-2 | Loss | -120 | 9 h 42 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Royals/Astros OVER 9 The Kansas City Royals are playing their best baseball of the season to close out the year. They are 8-1 in their last nine games overall despite being underdogs in all eight games. They have scored 7 or more runs in seven of those nine games and are hot at the plate. J.P. France is getting too much respect from the books with this low 9-run total. He is 5-3 with a 4.59 ERA and 1.361 WHIP in 11 home starts this season. France faced the Royals on the road in his last start on September 16th and allowed 5 earned runs and 9 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-8 defeat. The Astros have one of the best offenses in baseball scoring 5.2 runs per game this season. They have scored at least 5 runs in five of their last six games overall. They will get to Jordan Lyles, who is 2-9 with a 7.76 ERA and 1.421 WHIP in 15 road starts this season. Lyles allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings in his lone start against Houston this season. Kansas City is 8-1 OVER in road games vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs per game this season. Lyles is 11-2 OVER in his last 13 starts vs. good power teams averaging 1.25 or more homers per game in the second half of the season. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-23-23 | Tigers v. A's OVER 8.5 | 1-4 | Loss | -115 | 6 h 43 m | Show | |
15* AL Saturday Total DOMINATOR on Tigers/A's OVER 8.5 The OVER is 6-3 in Tigers last nine games overall and they have scored at least 5 runs in five of those nine games and 4 or more in six of them. The OVER is 4-0 in A's last four games overall and we've seen 9 or more combined runs in all four games. Gas can Joey Wentz goes for the Tigers today. He is 1-10 with a 7.15 ERA and 1.794 WHIP in 18 starts this season. He'll be opposed by an opener for the A's followed by their god awful bullpen. The A's have a 5.24 ERA and 1.505 WHIP as a bullpen this season. Temps will be approaching 70 in Oakland today with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center to help aid us in cashing this OVER 8.5 ticket. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-23-23 | Rockies v. Cubs -1.5 | Top | 3-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 5 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -1.5 (-107) The Chicago Cubs have scored at least 6 runs in four consecutive games and a total of 33 runs in those four games. They are red hot at the plate, which is why I'm willing to take them on the Run Line today against gas can Chris Flexen and the awful Colorado Rockies. Marcus Stroman is 10-8 with a 3.85 ERA and 1.236 WHIP in 23 starts for the Cubs this season, including 6-6 with a 3.71 ERA and 1.052 WHIP in 12 home starts. Stroman is 4-2 with a 2.31 ERA and 0.846 WHIP in six career starts against Colorado. Flexen is 1-8 with a 7.70 ERA and 1.695 WHIP in 14 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 10.99 ERA and 2.187 WHIP in five road starts. Flexen is 0-1 with a 12.92 ERA and 3.003 WHIP in two career starts against the Cubs, both of which have come in 2023. He has allowed 11 earned runs and 23 base runners in 7 2/3 innings in those two starts against Chicago. Colorado is 3-41 as an underdog of +200 or higher this season and getting outscored by 3.6 runs per game in this spot. The Rockies are 0-14 in road games vs. NL teams scoring 5 or more runs per game this season and getting outscored by 5.0 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Cubs on the Run Line Saturday. |
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09-22-23 | Royals +205 v. Astros | 7-5 | Win | 205 | 10 h 56 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday UPSET SHOCKER on Kansas City Royals +205 The Kansas City Royals are playing their best baseball of the season to close out the year. They are 7-1 in their last eight games overall despite being underdogs in all eight games. They have scored 6 or more runs in six of those eight games and are hot at the plate. Kansas City took two out of three from Houston just two series ago winning as +170 and +135 dogs. They were +135 dogs with Cole Ragans, who is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. Ragans is 4-1 with a 2.43 ERA and 1.045 WHIP in 10 starts this season while allowing only 2 homers with a whopping 76 K's in 59 1/3 innings. Framber Valdez has been overvalued all season for the Astros, especially when pitching at home. The Astros are just 7-8 (-7.6 Units) in Valdez's 15 home starts this season. They were nearly swept by the Orioles and A's in their last two series at home, having to win Game 3 in both just to salvage. The value is too good to pass up on Ragans and Kansas City tonight. Bet the Royals Friday. |
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09-22-23 | Orioles +106 v. Guardians | 8-9 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 59 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Baltimore Orioles +106 The Cleveland Guardians have been eliminated from playoff contention. They cannot be favored over the Baltimore Orioles, who are battling with the Tampa Bay Rays for the AL East title. Shane Bieber will be making his first start since July 9th and will be on a pitch count for the Guardians. Bieber allowed 7 earned runs in 4 innings to the Orioles in his lone start against them this season. Dean Kremer is one of the many underrated starters this season for the Orioles. They are 23-7 (+17.9 Units) in Kremer's 30 starts this season. He has done his best work on the road at 5-3 with a 3.51 ERA in 12 starts away from home. The Orioles are 12-1 in Kremer's last 13 starts. Bet the Orioles Friday. |
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09-22-23 | Rockies v. Cubs OVER 9 | 0-6 | Loss | -100 | 4 h 9 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rockies/Cubs OVER 9 The Chicago Cubs have scored a total of 27 runs in their last three games. I like their chances of staying hot at the plate against the lowly Colorado Rockies and starter Noah Davis this afternoon. Davis is 0-2 with a 7.47 ERA and 1.914 WHIP in four starts this season. He has allowed 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings in his last two starts coming in. The Rockies have scored 5 runs or more in six of their last nine games overall and 9 runs or more four times. They should be able to get to Jameson Taillon, who is 7-10 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.316 WHIP in 27 starts this season, including 3-6 with a 5.50 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 14 home starts. Taillon faced the Rockies in his last start on September 13th and allowed 5 runs, 3 earned, and 2 homers in 5 innings of a 7-3 defeat. Chicago is 10-0 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs this season, including 13-1 OVER after the bullpen gave up 4 or more earned runs last game. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-21-23 | Pirates v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 8-6 | Win | 100 | 10 h 4 m | Show | |
15* MLB PLAY OF THE DAY on Pirates/Cubs OVER 8.5 The Cubs and Pirates went for 15 combined runs in Game 1 and 20 combined runs in Game 2. I think we see more of the same here in Game 3 inside hitter-friendly Wrigley Field with these two starters on the mound tonight. Kyle Hendricks is 3-4 with a 4.41 ERA and 1.301 WHIP in 12 home starts this season. Hendricks is 1-0 with a 4.96 ERA and 1.408 WHIP in his last three starts coming in. Johan Oviedo is 8-14 with a 4.27 ERA and 1.356 WHIP in 30 starts this season, 4-8 with a 4.36 ERA and 1.476 WHIP In 16 road starts, and 0-1 with a 5.11 ERA and 2.350 WHIP in his last three starts. Oviedo is 1-4 with a 4.14 ERA in eight career starts against Chicago. Chicago is a perfect 9-0 OVER after a game where the bullpen was rocked for 5 or more earned runs this season, and 12-1 OVER after a game where they were hit for 4 or more earned runs. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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09-20-23 | Tigers v. Dodgers OVER 8 | 4-2 | Loss | -120 | 12 h 1 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Tigers/Dodgers OVER 8 The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in 10 of their last 12 games overall. The OVER is 17-6-2 in Dodgers last 25 games overall. The Detroit Tigers have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last six games and a total of 34 runs in those six contests. Reese Olson is 4-7 with a 4.72 ERA in 16 starts for the Tigers this season and averaging just 5.0 innings per start. Bobby Miller is 10-3 with a 4.02 ERA in 19 starts for the Dodgers, including 5-2 with a 4.73 ERA in nine home starts. The OVER is 24-5-1 in Dodgers last 30 games vs. AL opponents. Detroit is 9-1 OVER vs. NL teams averaging 5 or more runs per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-20-23 | Orioles v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 18 m | Show |
20* Orioles/Astros AL Early ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9 The Baltimore Orioles have scored 8, 5, 8 and 9 runs in their last four games. The Houston Astros have scored 8, 7, 7 and 5 runs in their last four games. This total is too low for these two hot offenses up against these two starting pitchers today. Cristian Javier is 9-4 in spite of a 4.74 ERA in 28 starts this season. Kyle Bradish has been good for the Orioles, but he did allow 4 earned runs in 7 innings to the Rays in his last start, and I believe the Astros will get to him today. The OVER is 10-0 in Orioles last 10 road games. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-20-23 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 5-15 | Win | 100 | 4 h 6 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Rangers OVER 8.5 The Texas Rangers are hitting .272 and scoring 5.8 runs per game at home this season. The Boston Red Sox are hitting .261 and scoring 4.9 runs per game on the season. I expect both of these starting pitchers to struggle today. Jon Gray is 3-4 with a 4.23 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in 14 home starts this season. Gray is 0-1 with a 7.14 ERA and 2.293 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 9 earned runs and 26 base runners in 11 1/3 innings. Bryan Bello is 2-1 with a 4.76 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 9 earned runs in 17 innings. Texas is a perfect 10-0 OVER after a 5-game span where they had a .285 OBP or worse this season. The Rangers are 15-2 OVER after batting .225 or worse over a 5-game span this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-19-23 | Tigers v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 2-3 | Loss | -120 | 13 h 13 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Tigers/Dodgers OVER 9 The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in 10 of their last 11 games overall. The OVER is 17-5-2 in Dodgers last 24 games overall. The Detroit Tigers have scored at least 5 runs in four of their last five games and a total of 32 runs in those five contests. The Tigers will be going with an opener today before turning it over to their shaky bullpen. Ryan Yarbrough has been used in several different roles for the Dodgers and likely won't go deep into this one before giving way to their bullpen. The OVER is 24-4-1 in Dodgers last 29 games vs. AL opponents. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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09-19-23 | Orioles v. Astros OVER 9 | Top | 9-5 | Win | 100 | 11 h 11 m | Show |
20* AL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Orioles/Astros OVER 9 The Baltimore Orioles have scored 8, 5 and 8 runs in their last three games. The Houston Astros have scored 8, 7 and 7 runs in their last three games. This total is too low for these two hot offenses up against these two starting pitchers tonight. Kyle Gibson is 14-9 in spite of a 4.98 ERA in 30 starts this season because he tends to get tremendous run support every time out. Hunter Brown is 10-11 with a 4.68 ERA in 27 starts this season, including 4-7 with a 5.60 ERA and 1.539 WHIP in 13 home starts. Brown allowed 5 earned runs in 6 innings to the Orioles in his lone start against them this season. The OVER is 9-0 in Orioles last nine road games. Houston is 16-4 OVER in its last 20 games when revenging a one-run loss. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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09-19-23 | Red Sox v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 11 h 13 m | Show | |
15* Red Sox/Rangers AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5 The Boston Red Sox go with Tanner Houck, who is 5-9 with a 4.94 ERA and 1.333 WHIP in 18 starts this season. Houck will be facing a Texas lineup that is hitting .273 and scoring 5.8 runs per game at home this season. I expect the Rangers to hang a big number on him tonight. The Red Sox will get their runs off opener Nathan Eovaldi and this woeful Texas bullpen, which has a 4.98 ERA on the season and a 5.23 ERA at home. Eovaldi is 0-1 with a 7.73 ERA and 2.432 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 6 earned runs and 18 base runners in 7 innings as injury has limited him to an opener role. Texas is 14-2 OVER after hitting .225 or worse over a 5-game span this season. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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09-19-23 | Twins v. Reds OVER 9.5 | 7-0 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Twins/Reds OVER 9.5 The Minnesota Twins have scored at least 3 runs in eight consecutive games. The Cincinnati Reds are 2-0 OVER in their last two games overall with 10 and 12 combined runs. The Twins are 5-1 OVER in their last six games overall with 10 or more combined runs in four of their last five contests. Kenta Maeda is 5-7 with a 4.50 ERA in 19 starts for the Twins while averaging 5.1 innings per start. Maeda is 2-1 with a 5.06 ERA in four career starts against Cincinnati. The Reds will get into their bullpen early. Fernando Cruz is just an opener for the Reds. The Twins will get into Cincinnati's bullpen even earlier. The OVER is 13-3 in Maeda's last 16 road starts vs. NL Central opponents. Minnesota is 13-2 OVER in its last 15 road games vs. a NL team with a .255 batting average or worse in the second half of the season. Maeda is 18-5 OVER in road games vs. NL teams with a .250 average or worse in his career. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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09-18-23 | Brewers v. Cardinals +165 | 0-1 | Win | 165 | 10 h 5 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Undervalued Underdog on St. Louis Cardinals +165 Adam Wainwright is done after this season and is sitting on 199 career wins. It's safe to say he and his teammates will be motivated to get him that 200th win tonight. He pitched well at Baltimore in a 5-2 victory as a +170 dog to get his 199th win in his last start. And I think he'll pitch well enough to give himself a chance tonight. Wainwright has awful numbers this season, but now faces an opponent he always has success against. He is 21-14 with a 2.79 ERA and 1.137 WHIP in 47 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers have nothing to play for at this point as they are pretty much locked into the No. 3 seed in the NL Central. Freddy Peralta just cannot figure out the Cardinals, going 1-5 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.580 WHIP in 10 career starts against them. He is 1-4 with an 8.51 ERA in his last six starts against St. Louis, allowing 23 earned runs in 24 1/3 innings. Milwaukee is actually 4-10 (-13.2 Units) in its last 14 games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 6.40 ERA or worse. The Brewers are 4-10 (-9.3 Units) in Peralta's last 14 starts vs. a team with a losing record. The value is too good to pass up tonight given the situation. Bet the Cardinals Monday. |
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09-18-23 | Brewers v. Cardinals OVER 8.5 | Top | 0-1 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 5 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Brewers/Cardinals OVER 8.5 This is a very low total for a game involving Adam Wainwright. He is 4-11 with a 7.95 ERA and 1.979 WHIP in 20 starts this season. But I think the Cardinals are going to get to Freddy Peralta as well tonight. Peralta just cannot figure out the Cardinals, going 1-5 with a 6.60 ERA and 1.580 WHIP in 10 career starts against them. He is 1-4 with an 8.51 ERA in his last six starts against St. Louis, allowing 23 earned runs in 24 1/3 innings. The OVER is 16-2 in Peralta's last 18 road starts after giving up one or fewer earned runs in his last start. Milwaukee is 12-1 OVER in its last 13 games vs. a starting pitcher with a 6.40 ERA or worse. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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09-18-23 | Phillies v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 7-1 | Loss | -100 | 10 h 39 m | Show | |
15* Phillies/Braves NL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5 The Atlanta Braves are a dead nuts OVER team. The OVER is 11-2 in Braves last 13 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 11 of those 13 games. They just went for 18, 16 and 15 combined runs in three games at pitcher-friendly Miami over the weekend. Kyle Wright is likely to get lit up again tonight. He is 0-2 with a 7.48 ERA and 1.892 WHIP in six starts this season. Wright made his return to the rotation from a long absence on September 11th, allowing 6 earned runs in 3 innings to these same Phillies in a 7-5 defeat. Zack Wheeler just faced the Braves in his last start and it did not go well for him. Wheeler allowed 6 earned runs, 3 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings of a 7-6 loss to Atlanta. It should be more of the same tonight. The OVER is 25-11 in Wheeler's last 36 starts with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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09-17-23 | Cubs -112 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 2-6 | Loss | -112 | 9 h 19 m | Show |
25* ESPN Sunday Night Baseball GAME OF THE YEAR on Chicago Cubs -112 I backed the Cubs in a similar situation against the Diamondbacks last series. They lost the first three games of that series but took Game 4 to avoid the sweep. After losing the first two games of this series to the Diamondbacks, I expect them to take Game 3 and avoid the sweep as well. The Cubs have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind Jordan Wicks, who is 3-0 with a 1.99 ERA and 1.059 WHIP in four starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA and 0.937 WHIP in three road starts. Two of those road starts came at two of the most hitter-friendly parks in the majors as well in Colorado and Cincinnati. Ryne Nelson is an absolute gas can for the Diamondbacks. He is 7-8 with a 5.53 ERA and 1.444 WHIP in 26 starts this season, including 2-5 with an 8.59 ERA and 1.948 WHIP in 11 home starts. Nelson is 1-3 with a 10.69 ERA in his last four starts, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 innings. Nelson has allowed at least one homer in nine of this last 10 starts, including 2 homers or more in five of those. Bet the Cubs Sunday. |
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09-17-23 | Rangers v. Guardians OVER 8 | 2-9 | Win | 100 | 4 h 42 m | Show | |
15* MLB TOTAL OF THE DAY on Rangers/Guardians OVER 8 The Texas Rangers have come up clutch in their last two series going 6-2 in their last eight games overall. They are red hot at the plate scoring at least 6 runs in five of their last seven games. The OVER is 12-2 in Rangers last 14 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 14 games. Now the Rangers should get to Gavin Williams, who is 2-3 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.362 WHIP in nine home starts for the Guardians this season. They Guardians should get to Cody Bradford, who is 4-1 with a 3.80 ERA this season with 20 earned runs and 8 homers in 47 1/3 innings. Bradford will likely give way to Martin Perez, who is 9-4 with a 4.65 ERA and 1.458 WHIP this season while allowing 68 earned runs and 21 homers in 131 2/3 innings. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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09-16-23 | Cubs -101 v. Diamondbacks | 6-7 | Loss | -101 | 10 h 14 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -101 The Chicago Cubs have lost four out of five to the Diamondbacks in two of their last three series. It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory today. I like their chances of bouncing back due to their big advantage on the mound. Kyle Hendricks is 6-7 with a 3.86 ERA and 1.162 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 3-3 with a 3.21 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in nine road starts. Hendricks is 5-3 with a 3.77 ERA and 1.223 WHIP in 10 career starts against Arizona. He allowed 2 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of a 5-2 victory over the Diamondbacks in their lone victory last series. Zach Davies is 2-5 with a 6.81 ERA and 1.606 WHIP in 16 starts for the Diamondbacks this season while allowing a whopping 57 earned runs in 75 1/3 innings. The Cubs are 27-6 in Hendricks' last 33 Saturday starts. Bet the Cubs Saturday. |
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09-16-23 | Rangers v. Guardians OVER 8 | 1-2 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 13 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rangers/Guardians OVER 8 The Texas Rangers have come up clutch in their last two series going 6-1 in their last seven games overall. They are red hot at the plate scoring at least 6 runs in five of their last six games. The OVER is 12-1 in Rangers last 13 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 12 of those 13 games. Dane Dunning is 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.929 WHIP in his last three starts for the Rangers. Dunning is 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.000 WHIP in three career starts against Cleveland. The Guardians hung 12 runs on the Rangers yesterday and should hang another big number against Dunning and company to help us get this OVER the 8-run total. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-15-23 | Dodgers v. Mariners OVER 7.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 5 m | Show | |
15* Dodgers/Mariners MLB Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 7.5 The OVER is 7-1-1 in Dodgers last nine games overall. They have gone for 9 or more combined runs in eight of those nine games. The OVER is 8-3-1 in Mariners last 12 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 10 of those 12 games. This total is too low for a game involving the Dodgers and Mariners and these two starting pitchers tonight. Bobby Miller allowed 5 earned runs in 7 innings to the Nationals and 4 earned runs in 6 innings to the Diamondbacks in two of his last three starts coming in. George Kirby is 0-2 with a 6.92 ERA and 1.538 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 10 earned runs, 4 homers and 20 base runners in 13 innings. The Dodgers are 12-2 OVER after scoring one run or fewer last game this season. The OVER is 12-1 in Dodgers last 13 games vs. a team with a winning record. The OVER is 13-1 in Dodgers last 14 games vs. a AL team hitting .260 or worse. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-15-23 | Cubs -130 v. Diamondbacks | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -130 | 13 h 44 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -130 The Chicago Cubs lost three out of four to Arizona before losing the last two to Colorado last series. It's safe to say they will be highly motivated for a victory in Game 1 of this series with the Diamondbacks. They should be bigger favorites in Game 1 when you consider the massive advantage they have on the mound. Justin Steele is among the NL Cy Young favorites at 16-3 with a 2.83 ERA and 1.138 WHIP in 27 starts. Steele has been untouchable of late, going 2-0 with a 0.43 ERA and 0.810 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing just one earned run in 21 innings with 26 K's. He has owned the Diamondbacks with a 1.00 ERA and 0.778 WHIP in three career starts against them, allowing 2 earned runs in 18 innings with 25 K's. Brandon Pfaadt is 1-8 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.460 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 17 homers in 74 2/3 innings. Pfaadt is 1-5 with a 7.30 ERA and 1.721 WHIP in nine home starts this season. Arizona is 1-16 after scoring 4 runs or less in four consecutive games this season. They have now been held to 4 runs or fewer in seven consecutive games while averaging just 2.3 runs per game during this stretch. The Cubs are 13-2 in Steele's last 15 starts. Bet the Cubs Friday. |
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09-15-23 | Astros v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 2-4 | Loss | -110 | 11 h 7 m | Show | |
15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Astros/Royals OVER 9.5 Winds will be blowing out to center in Kansas City today with temps in the 70's. The conditions are right for a slug fest between the Royals and Astros in Game 1 of this series. Plus, neither of these starting pitchers can be trusted. Zack Greinke is 1-13 with a 5.46 ERA in 23 starts for the Royals this season. Greinke has allowed 10 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 11 1/3 innings in his last two starts against Houston. He faced a Houston lineup that has scored at least 6 runs six of their last nine games overall, including 12 or more runs in four of those nine games. Christian Javier is 9-3 with a 4.78 ERA in 27 starts this season, 4-1 with a 5.51 ERA in 15 road starts, and 0-1 with a 7.07 ERA in his last three starts. He allowed 5 earned runs and 3 homers in 5 innings of a 7-4 loss to the Royals in his lone career start against them. He faces a Royals lineup that has scored a combined 18 runs in their last two games coming in. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-15-23 | Rangers v. Guardians OVER 8 | 3-12 | Win | 100 | 10 h 11 m | Show | |
15* Rangers/Guardians AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8 The Texas Rangers have come up clutch in their last two series going 6-0 in their last six games overall. They are red hot at the plate scoring at least 6 runs in five consecutive games now. They are more than capable of covering this total on their own. Lucas Giolito is an absolute gas can for the Guardians and pitching on his 3rd different team this season. He is 7-13 with a 4.89 ERA in 29 starts this season with a whopping 36 homers allowed. Giolito is 0-3 with a 10.34 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 18 earned runs and 9 homers in 15 2/3 innings. Giolito allowed 4 earned runs in 6 innings of a 7-3 loss to the Rangers in his lone start against them this season. The OVER is 4-1 in his five career starts against Texas. I don't expect Jon Gray to be perfect for the Rangers. He did allow 4 earned runs in 6 innings in a 12-4 victory over the Guardians in his lone career start against them. The OVER is 3-0 in Gray's three previous starts against Cleveland. The OVER is 11-1 in Rangers last 12 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 11 of those 12 games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-15-23 | Rangers -116 v. Guardians | Top | 3-12 | Loss | -116 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
25* AL GAME OF THE YEAR on Texas Rangers -116 The Texas Rangers have come up clutch in their last two series going 6-0 in their last six games overall. They are red hot at the plate scoring at least 6 runs in five consecutive games now. They get to face a Cleveland Guardians team that has quit, going 3-8 in their last 11 games overall and one that has nothing to play for the rest of the way. The Rangers have a big advantage on the mound behind Jon Gray, who is 8-7 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.252 WHIP in 26 starts this season. Gray has done his best work on the road, going 5-3 with a 3.28 ERA and 1.092 WHIP in 12 starts away from home. Lucas Giolito is an absolute gas can for the Guardians and pitching on his 3rd different team this season. He is 7-13 with a 4.89 ERA in 29 starts this season with a whopping 36 homers allowed. Giolito is 0-3 with a 10.34 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 18 earned runs and 9 homers in 15 2/3 innings. Giolito's teams are 1-11 in his last 12 starts overall. Giolito's teams are 0-8 ATS in his last eight starts as a home underdog. Bet the Rangers Friday. |
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09-15-23 | Red Sox v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 0-3 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
15* Red Sox/Blue Jays AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8 The OVER is 4-0 in Blue Jays last four games overall with 9 or more combined runs in all four. The OVER is 21-5-1 in Red Sox last 27 games overall with 8 or more combined runs in 22 of those 27 games and 9 or more combined runs in 23 of them. Jose Berrios is 10-10 with a 3.63 ERA in 29 starts for the Blue Jays this season. Berrios is 2-6 with a 4.34 ERA and 1.344 WHIP in 13 career starts against Boston. He has allowed 12 earned runs, 6 homers and 24 base runners in 17 innings in three starts against the Red Sox in 2023 alone. Bryan Bello is 1-2 with a 6.50 ERA and 2.056 WHIP in four career starts against the Blue Jays, all of which have come over the past two seasons. He has allowed 13 earned runs and 37 base runners in 18 innings in those four starts. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-14-23 | Rays v. Orioles OVER 8 | 4-3 | Loss | -105 | 10 h 55 m | Show | |
15* Rays/Orioles AL East ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8 The Baltimore Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own, again. They have scored 10 runs or more in four of their last seven games overall. The OVER is 9-2 in their last 11 games overall. This total of 8 is too low for a game involving the Orioles right now. The Rays are hot at the plate as well scoring at least 5 runs in five of their last six games overall. They should get to Kyle Bradish, who is 1-2 with a 6.53 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in four career starts against Tampa Bay and just cannot seem to figure them out. Aaron Civale is faltering coming into this one allowing 7 earned runs in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts. Civale has posted a 7.36 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in two career starts against Baltimore, so he cannot seem to figure out the Orioles either. The OVER is 9-1 in Civale's last 10 September starts. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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09-14-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 9-2 | Win | 100 | 10 h 49 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Rangers/Blue Jays OVER 8 The OVER is 10-1 in Rangers last 11 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 games. This total of 8 is too low for a game involving the Rangers, who have scored 35 runs in their last four games and are averaging 5.5 runs per game this season. The Blue Jays are scoring 4.6 runs per game and should get to Nathan Eovaldi and this Texas bullpen. Eovaldi has been relegated to opener duty due to injury. When he exits, the Texas bullpen has a 4.88 ERA this season. Kevin Gausman has been solid this season, but not even he can slow down this Texas lineup at this point. Gausman has allowed 9 earned runs and 3 homers in 16 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Texas. Texas is 41-24 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 runs this season. The Rangers are 9-1 OVER following a shutout victory this season. Toronto is 14-4 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs per game per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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09-13-23 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -120 | 11 h 36 m | Show |
20* MLB Wednesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Dodgers OVER 8 The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in six consecutive games and the OVER is 7-0-1 in their last eight games overall. The San Diego Padres are 5-0 OVER in their last five games overall while scoring a total of 31 runs themselves and going for 12 or more combined runs in all five. They have scored 4 runs or more in 13 of their last 17 games overall. With how hot both offenses have been, the books are giving these two starting pitchers too much respect. Blake Snell is the favorite to win the NL Cy Young right now, and the Dodgers would love nothing more than to get to him and hurt his chances. Ryan Pepiot has good numbers in limited action for the Dodgers, but this is a big step up in class for him here. The OVER is 6-0 in the last six meetings with 10 or more combined runs in all six. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-13-23 | Rangers v. Blue Jays OVER 8 | 10-0 | Win | 100 | 7 h 29 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Rangers/Blue Jays OVER 8 The OVER is 9-1 in Rangers last 10 games overall with 9 or more combined runs in nine of those 10 games. This total of 8 is too low for a game involving the Rangers, who have scored 25 runs in their last three games and are averaging 5.5 runs per game this season, including 6.0 runs per game vs. left-handed starters. The Blue Jays are scoring 4.8 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season and should get to lefty Jordan Montgomery, who is really struggling of late. Montgomery is 0-1 with an 8.59 ERA and 1.636 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 14 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings. Yusei Kikuchi is also getting too much respect from the books tonight. He is 9-5 with a 3.57 ERA in 28 starts this season, including 0-1 with a 4.02 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in his last three starts. Texas is 40-24 OVER when the total is 8 to 8.5 runs this season. Toronto is 13-4 OVER vs. AL teams scoring 5.4 or more runs per game per game this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-13-23 | Braves v. Phillies OVER 9 | 4-1 | Loss | -110 | 7 h 2 m | Show | |
15* NL Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Phillies OVER 9 The Phillies are hot at the plate right now scoring at least 4 runs in 13 of their last 15 games overall, including 5 runs or more in 11 of those contests. The Braves have scored at least 4 runs in nine consecutive games, including 5 runs or more in eight of those contests. Spencer Strider commands a lot of respect every time he takes the mound. But he is getting too much of it here. Strider is 16-5 with a 3.83 ERA in 28 starts this season. He has really struggled in his last two starts, allowing 10 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings. Strider has also allowed 8 earned runs in 14 1/3 innings in his last three starts against the Phillies. Christopher Sanchez has been solid for the Phillies this season, but he hasn't had to face the potent Braves yet. I expect Atlanta to get to him, too. The OVER is 8-1 in Braves last nine games overall. The OVER is 10-5 in Phillies last 15 games overall. The OVER is 3-0 in three meetings in this series with 18, 12 and 13 combined runs. It will be more of the same today. Philadelphia is 10-1 OVER in its last 11 home games vs. NL teams with a .440 slugging percentage or better. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-13-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 1-0 | Loss | -100 | 7 h 53 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Orioles OVER 10 The Baltimore Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own, again. They have scored 10 runs or more in four of their last six games overall. The OVER is 9-1 in their last 10 games overall. The Cardinals have been hot at the plate themselves. They have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games overall. The OVER is 7-3 in those 10 games. Drew Rom is an absolute gas can for the Cardinals. He is 0-2 with a 7.79 ERA and 2.018 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 15 earned runs and 4 homers in 17 1/3 innings. Kyle Gibson is a gas can for the Orioles as well, going 14-8 with a 5.12 ERA and 1.340 WHIP in 29 starts this season, including 6-4 with a 5.69 ERA and 1.441 WHIP in 12 home starts. The OVER is 20-4 in Gibson's last 24 home starts in September. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-12-23 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 9 | Top | 2-11 | Win | 100 | 12 h 46 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday Late-Night BAILOUT on Padres/Dodgers OVER 9 The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in five consecutive games and the OVER is 6-0-1 in their last seven games overall. The San Diego Padres are 4-0 OVER in their last four games overall while scoring a total of 29 runs themselves and going for 12 or more combined runs in all four. They have scored 4 runs or more in 13 of their last 16 games overall. Lance Lynn is an absolute gas can for the Dodgers. He is 10-11 with a 6.09 ERA and 1.422 WHIP in 28 starts this season while allowing a whopping 40 homers. Lynn has allowed 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts for a 15.00 ERA. Michael Wacha recently returned from injury and has not been very sharp. He is 1-1 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.761 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 27 base runners in 15 1/3 innings. Wacha cannot figure out the Dodgers, going 3-5 with a 5.51 ERA and 1.559 WHIP in 10 career starts against them. He has allowed 16 earned runs and 5 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last three starts against Los Angeles. Lynn is 9-1 OVER vs. good power teams averaging 1.25 or more homers per game this season. The OVER is 20-8 in Lynn's 28 starts this season. The OVER is 5-0 in the last five meetings with 10 or more combined runs in all five. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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09-12-23 | Cubs -173 v. Rockies | Top | 4-6 | Loss | -173 | 10 h 17 m | Show |
25* MLB GAME OF THE YEAR on Chicago Cubs -173 The Chicago Cubs are fighting for a playoff spot and to stay alive in the NL Central. The Colorado Rockies are 3-17 in their last 20 games overall to fall to 51-92 on the season and simply just going through the motions right now waiting for the season to be over. That's why I'm willing to lay the big juice on the Cubs today. I also like what I've seen from Chicago starter Javier Assad, who is 2-1 with a 2.58 ERA and 1.125 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 2-0 with a 1.32 ERA and 0.915 WHIP in four road starts. The Cubs have a massive advantage on the mound in this one. This is more of a fade of Chris Flexen than anything. Flexen has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season, going 1-7 with an 8.04 ERA and 1.732 WHIP in 12 starts while allowing a whopping 50 earned runs and 17 homers in 56 innings. Flexen faced the Cubs earlier this season, allowing 8 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of a 14-9 defeat. Colorado is 2-19 vs. NL teams that average 5 or more runs per game this season and getting outscored by 4.2 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Cubs Tuesday. |
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09-12-23 | Cardinals v. Orioles OVER 10 | Top | 5-2 | Loss | -120 | 8 h 19 m | Show |
20* Interleague TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Cardinals/Orioles OVER 10 The Baltimore Orioles are capable of covering this total on their own, again. They have scored 10 runs or more in four of their last five games overall. The OVER is 9-0 in their last nine games overall and that streak will extend to 10 straight overs today. The reason I say they are capable of covering this total on their own is not only because they are hot at the plate, but now they get to face one of the worst starters in all of baseball. Adam Wainwright is 3-11 with an 8.19 ERA and 1.977 WHIP in 19 starts this season, including 2-4 with an 8.79 ERA and 1.905 WHIP in nine road starts. The Cardinals have been hot at the plate themselves. They have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games overall. The OVER is 7-2 in those nine games. They should be able to get to John Means, who will be making his first start of the season for the Orioles. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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09-11-23 | Padres v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 | Top | 11-8 | Win | 100 | 12 h 29 m | Show |
20* NL TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Padres/Dodgers OVER 9.5 The Los Angeles Dodgers have scored at least 6 runs in four consecutive games and the OVER is 5-0-1 in their last six games overall. The San Diego Padres are 3-0 OVER in their last three games overall while scoring a total of 18 runs themselves and going for 12 or more combined runs in all three. They have scored 4 runs or more in 12 of their last 15 games overall. Two gas cans go tonight for these teams. Gavin Stone is 0-0 with a 14.40 ERA and 3.000 WHIP as a starter this season, allowing 16 earned runs and 30 base runners in 10 innings for the Dodgers. Pedro Avila is 1-2 with a 3.50 ERA and 1.722 WHIP in four starts this season, allowing 12 runs, 7 earned, and 31 base runners in 18 innings. The Dodgers are 20-5 OVER in their last 25 games following two consecutive games where they stranded 10 or more base runners. The OVER is 4-0 in the last four meetings with 10 or more combined runs in all four. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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09-11-23 | Cubs -166 v. Rockies | 5-4 | Win | 100 | 11 h 46 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Chicago Cubs -166 The Chicago Cubs are fighting for a playoff spot and to stay alive in the NL Central. The Colorado Rockies are 3-16 in their last 19 games overall to fall to 51-91 on the season and simply just going through the motions right now waiting for the season to be over. That's why I'm willing to lay the big juice on the Cubs today. I also like what I've seen from Chicago starter Jordan Wicks, who is 3-0 with a 2.16 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in three starts this season. He'll be opposed by lefty Kyle Freeland, who is 6-14 with a 5.09 ERA and 1.473 WHIP in 27 starts this season. The Cubs are hitting .270 and scoring 5.5 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season. Freeland allowed 5 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 5-2 loss to the Cubs in his last start against them. Bet the Cubs Monday. |
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09-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs OVER 8.5 | 2-5 | Loss | -115 | 4 h 54 m | Show | |
15* Diamondbacks/Cubs NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5 After two pitcher's duels in a row in this series between Steele/Kelly and Taillon/Gallen, this total has been set lower than it should be. The quality of the two starting pitchers Sunday is much lower, especially for the Diamondbacks. Brandon Pfaadt is 1-8 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.460 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 52 earned runs and a whopping 17 homers in 74 2/3 innings for Arizona. Kyle Hendricks has been at his worst at home, going 2-4 with a 4.53 ERA in 11 starts. Hendricks allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 5 innings to the Diamondbacks in his last start against them, which came at home. Hendricks is 15-4 OVER in his last 19 home starts as a favorite. The weather looks good for scoring with less than 10 MPH winds and temps in the 70's this afternoon at hitter-friendly Wrigley FIeld. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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09-10-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -129 | Top | 2-5 | Win | 100 | 4 h 54 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE MONTH on Chicago Cubs -129 I love the spot for the Chicago Cubs today. They will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first three games of this series to the Arizona Diamondbacks, including the last two by a single run. I like their chances of getting the job done in Game 4 with their advantage on the mound. Kyle Hendricks is 5-7 with a 3.89 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 20 starts this season for the Cubs. Hendricks is 4-3 with a 3.83 ERA and 1.203 WHIP in nine career starts against the Diamondbacks. He'll be opposed by Brandon Pfaadt, who is 1-8 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.460 WHIP in 15 starts this season while allowing 52 earned runs and a whopping 17 homers in 74 2/3 innings. Arizona is 2-14 in its last 16 road games after allowing 4 earned runs or fewer in three consecutive games. The Cubs are 27-7 in Hendricks' 34 career home starts as a favorite of -150 or less. Bet the Cubs Sunday. |
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09-10-23 | Padres v. Astros OVER 10 | 2-12 | Win | 100 | 4 h 38 m | Show | |
15* Interleague Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Padres/Astros OVER 10 The Astros and Padres have combined for 12 and 13 runs in the first two games of this series. It should be more of the same Sunday. The Padres have now scored 5 runs or more in six of their last eight games overall and 4 or more in seven of those. The Astros have scored a total of 48 runs in their last five games for an average of 9.6 runs per game. Matt Waldron is 0-2 with a 5.12 ERA this season for the Padres allowing 11 earned runs in 19 1/3 innings. JP France has allowed 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 8 innings in his last two starts coming in for the Astros. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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09-10-23 | Pirates v. Braves OVER 10 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 3 h 12 m | Show | |
15* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Pirates/Braves OVER 10 The Atlanta Braves have the best offense in baseball hitting .276 and scoring 5.8 runs per game this season. They have scored at least 6 runs in four of their last five games overall. The Pittsburgh Pirates have quietly scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall and 14 of their last 18 games overall. Luis Ortiz is an absolute gas can for the Pirates. He is 3-4 with a 5.28 ERA and 1.741 WHIP in 12 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 9.24 ERA and 2.370 WHIP in his last three, allowing 13 earned runs, 3 homers and 30 base runners in 12 2/3 innings. Allan Winans has struggled in his three starts for the Braves, going 1-1 with a 5.17 ERA and 1.405 WHIP in three starts. Winans allowed 7 earned runs and 2 homers in 4 1/3 innings of a 10-4 loss to the Mets in his last start coming in. Atlanta is 22-5 OVER vs. NL Central opponents this season. Pittsburgh is 9-0 OVER vs. good teams outscoring opponents by one or more runs per game in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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09-09-23 | Guardians v. Angels OVER 8.5 | 2-6 | Loss | -120 | 20 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Late-Night BAILOUT on Guardians/Angels OVER 8.5 Both the Cleveland Guardians and Los Angeles Angels should have a lot of success at the plate tonight against these two gas cans. I expect both starters to have to exit this one early to pave the way for two poor bullpens as well. Lucas Giolito is 7-12 with a 4.88 ERA and 1.315 WHIP in 28 starts this season, including 3-8 with a 6.27 ERA and 1.607 WHIP in 15 road starts. Giolito has been absolutely rocked in his last two starts, allowing 14 earned runs and 6 homers in 8 2/3 innings. He has allowed 7 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 innings in two starts against the Angels in 2023. Tyler Anderson is 5-5 with a 5.67 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 23 starts this season. Anderson has been rocked in his last three starts, going 0-1 with an 8.79 ERA and 1.675 WHIP while allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 14 1/3 innings. Anderson allowed 3 earned runs and 9 base runners in 6 innings in his lone start against Cleveland in 2023. The OVER is 43-24 in Anderson's last 67 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-09-23 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 13-12 | Win | 100 | 17 h 49 m | Show | |
15* AL PLAY OF THE DAY on Orioles/Red Sox OVER 10 There are expected to be nearly double-digit winds blowing out to left in Boston today that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket. The Orioles have scored at least 5 runs in 15 of their last 18 games overall. The Red Sox have scored at least 6 runs in four of their last six games overall. Chris Sale is 6-3 with a 4.46 ERA in 16 starts this season. Sale has not enjoyed facing the Orioles this season, going 0-1 with a 13.50 ERA while allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 19 base runners in 8 innings in two starts against them. Jack Flaherty is 8-8 with a 4.84 ERA and 1.545 WHIP in 25 starts between the Orioles and Cardinals this season. He has not been sharp at all of late, going 0-1 with a 9.45 ERA and 1.724 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 14 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 1/3 innings. The OVER is 6-1 in six meetings between the Orioles and Red Sox this season. The OVER is 15-5 in Sale's last 20 starts with a total set of 8.5 to 10 runs. The OVER is 12-4 in Flaherty's 16 starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs this season. The OVER is 10-1 in Sale's last 11 starts vs. good teams that are outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-09-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -137 | 3-2 | Loss | -137 | 14 h 36 m | Show | |
15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on Chicago Cubs -137 The Chicago Cubs will be highly motivated for a victory after dropping the first two games of this series to the Arizona Diamondbacks. I expect them to bounce back with a victory in Game 3 with their ace on the mound. Justin Steele is making his case to win the NL Cy Young award. He is 16-3 with a 2.90 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 26 starts this season, including 12-2 with a 2.84 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in 16 home starts. Steele has fired 14 shutout innings with 20 K's in his last two starts coming in. He has also posted a 0.82 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in two career starts against Arizona, allowing just one earned run and 8 base runners in 11 innings with 19 K's. Merrill Kelly has been more vulnerable on the road than he has been at home this season. Kelly has a 3.69 ERA and 1.332 WHIP in 12 road starts in 2023. Kelly does not enjoy facing the Cubs, posting a 4.76 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in four career starts against them. The Cubs are 9-0 in Steele's last nine starts and 13-1 in his last 14 starts. Bet the Cubs Saturday. |
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09-09-23 | Mets v. Twins OVER 8.5 | 4-8 | Win | 100 | 13 h 16 m | Show | |
15* Interleague PLAY OF THE DAY on Mets/Twins OVER 8.5 There are expected to be nearly double-digit winds blowing out to center at Target Field in Minnesota today. That's bad news for these two gas can starting pitchers up against these two offenses as this one should sail OVER 8.5 combined runs. David Peterson is 2-7 with a 5.71 ERA and 1.618 WHIP in 17 starts for the Mets this season, including 1-5 with a 7.84 ERA and 1.790 WHIP in nine road starts. He'll be opposed by Kenta Maeda, who is 2-2 with a 6.44 ERA and 1.404 WHIP in seven home starts thsi season. Maeda is 0-0 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.786 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 25 base runners in 14 innings. The Twins have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last seven games overall and should hit at least that number today. The Mets have scored 6 runs or more in three of their last five games overall. The Twins score 4.8 runs per game at home, while the Mets score 4.7 runs per game on the road. The OVER is 12-3 in Peterson's last 15 road starts with a total set of 8.5 to 10 runs. The OVER is 17-6 in Maeda's last 23 starts with a total set of 7 to 8.5 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-08-23 | A's v. Rangers OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 9 h 16 m | Show | |
15* AL Friday Total DOMINATOR on A's/Rangers OVER 8.5 The OVER is 5-0 in Rangers last five games overall with 11 or more combined runs in all five games. The OVER is 4-2-1 in A's last seven games overall with 9 or more combined runs in four of those seven games. Both these starting pitchers have not fared well against these lineups. Paul Blackburn is 2-2 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.549 WHIP in seven road starts this season. Blackburn is 0-3 with a 13.50 ERA and 2.125 WHIP in four career starts against Texas, allowing 28 earned runs in 16 innings. Jordan Montgomery has allowed 9 earned runs in 9 innings for a 9.00 ERA in his last two starts coming in. Montgomery has allowed 7 earned runs and 15 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Oakland. Texas is 14-3 OVER in its last 17 home games following six of more consecutive home games. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-08-23 | Pirates v. Braves OVER 9.5 | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 9 h 38 m | Show | |
15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Pirates/Braves OVER 9.5 The Atlanta Braves have scored at least 6 runs in six of their last eight games overall and average 5.8 runs per game on the season. The Pittsburgh Pirates have scored at least 4 runs in eight of their last nine games overall and are having a ton of success at the plate of late. Bryce Elder has been hit and miss this season for the Braves. One miss was his lone start against the Pirates on August 10th where he allowed 5 earned runs in 5 innings of a 7-5 road loss to Pittsburgh. Mitch Keller is 0-2 with an 8.64 ERA and 2.340 WHIP in four career starts against the Braves. He has allowed 16 earned runs, 4 homers and 39 base runners in 16 2/3 innings in those four starts. Atlanta is 20-5 OVER vs. NL Central opponents this season. The OVER is 4-1 in Pirates last four games overall. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-08-23 | Orioles v. Red Sox OVER 10 | Top | 11-2 | Win | 100 | 8 h 22 m | Show |
20* AL East TOTAL OF THE MONTH on Orioles/Red Sox OVER 10 There are expected to be double-digit winds blowing out to left in Boston tonight that will help aid us in cashing this OVER 10 ticket. The Orioles have scored at least 5 runs in 14 of their last 17 games overall. The Red Sox have scored at least 6 runs in four of their last five games overall. Tanner Houck is 4-8 with a 5.07 ERA in 16 starts this season, including 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA in eight home starts. Houck is 1-2 with a 4.80 ERA and 1.467 WHIP in three career starts against Baltimore. While Kyle Bradish is having a good season, one of his worst starts of the year came against the Red Sox where he allowed 7 earned runs and 12 base runners in 2 1/3 innings. He also allowed 7 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings in his previous start against the Red Sox. Bradish is now 0-4 with a 9.36 ERA and 1.840 WHIP in six career starts against Boston. The OVER is 5-1 in six meetings between the Orioles and Red Sox this season. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-08-23 | Cardinals v. Reds -115 | Top | 9-4 | Loss | -115 | 8 h 56 m | Show |
20* NL Central GAME OF THE MONTH on Cincinnati Reds -115 The Cincinnati Reds have a big rest advantage over the St. Louis Cardinals tonight. They had Thursday off while The Cardinals completed a series in Atlanta on Thursday. The Reds also have a big advantage on the mound over the Cardinals tonight and should be bigger favorites as a result. Andrew Abbott is 8-4 with a 3.22 ERA and 1.200 WHIP in 17 starts this season, including 3-2 with a 2.66 ERA and 0.947 WHIP in eight home starts. He faced the Cardinals once this season, firing 5 2/3 shutout innings in an 8-4 victory. The Reds should tee off on Drew Rom, who is 0-2 with a 7.24 ERA and 1.902 WHIP in three starts this season despite facing the lowly Pirates twice, allowing 9 earned runs in 8 1/3 innings in those two starts. The Reds are 13-4 in Abbott's 17 starts this season. Bet the Reds Friday. |
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09-07-23 | Diamondbacks v. Cubs -153 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -153 | 10 h 24 m | Show |
20* MLB Thursday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -153 The Chicago Cubs are coming up clutch trying to make the playoffs and chase down the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. They are red hot at the plate right now scoring a total of 39 runs in winning each of their last four games. The Cubs will stay hot at the plate against Ryne Nelson, who is 6-7 with a 5.47 ERA and 1.456 WHIP in 24 starts this season, including 0-2 with an 18.00 ERA in his last two starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings. Nelson will be making his first start since August 11th here and there will be a rust factor. Javier Assad is one of the most underrated starters in baseball right now. Assad is 2-0 with a 2.25 ERA and 1.075 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-0 with a 1.33 ERA and 0.984 WHIP in his last three. He has allowed just one earned run and 13 base runners in 15 innings in his last two starts coming in. Bet the Cubs Thursday. |
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09-07-23 | Cardinals v. Braves OVER 10 | 5-8 | Win | 100 | 10 h 6 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Cardinals/Braves OVER 10 The Atlanta Braves have the best offense in baseball hitting .275 and scoring 5.8 runs per game. The St. Louis Cardinals are going through their best stretch of the season at the plate during their 5-2 run in their last seven games, scoring 5 runs or more in six of those seven games while averaging 6.6 runs per game. The Braves are capable of covering this total on their own off Adam Wainwright, who is 3-10 with an 8.10 ERA and 1.980 WHIP in 18 starts this season. But the Cardinals have scored 10 and 11 runs in winning each of the first two games of this series, including hammering Spencer Strider yesterday. They can get to Max Fried, who is 1-1 with a 3.70 ERA and 1.438 WHIP in four home starts this season. There will be 9 MPH winds blowing out to left in Atlanta tonight to held aid us in cashing this OVER ticket. Atlanta is 10-1 OVER in Thursday games this season. Atlanta is 19-5 OVER vs. NL Central opponents this season. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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09-06-23 | White Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5 | Top | 6-4 | Win | 100 | 10 h 7 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on White Sox/Royals OVER 9.5 The OVER is 4-0-1 in Royals last five games overall with 15, 14, 10, 13 and 13 combined runs all at home. The Royals have scored a total of 40 runs in their last five games for an average of 8.0 runs per game. The White Sox blew a 6-0 lead yesterday and have terrible starting pitching and a bad bullpen. Touki Toussaint is 2-7 with a 5.54 ERA and 1.615 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 0-3 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.764 WHIP in five road starts. He isn't about to cool off the Royals, and once he departs early the White Sox have a 4.87 ERA as a bullpen. Chicago should get its bats going against Jordan Lyles, who is 4-15 with a 6.17 ERA in 26 starts this season while allowing a whopping 34 homers. Lyles is 0-2 with a 5.14 ERA in his two starts against the White Sox in 2023, allowing 8 earned runs in 14 innings. Once Lyles departs, the Royals have an even worse bullpen with a 5.24 ERA on the season. The OVER is 8-0 in White Sox last eight games vs. bad teams that are outscored by 0.5 or more runs per game. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-06-23 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | 2-5 | Loss | -105 | 6 h 6 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/A's OVER 8 The OVER is 4-0-1 in Blue Jays last five games overall with 22, 15, 12, 11 and 8 combined runs. The OVER is 4-1-1 in A's last six games overall with 9, 11, 16 and 11 combined runs in the four overs. Temps will be in the 70's with 10 MPH winds blowing out to center in Oakland today to help aid us in cashing this OVER 8 ticket. The Blue Jays are capable of covering this total on their own off JP Sears, who is 3-11 with a 4.54 ERA in 27 starts this season while allowing a whopping 31 homers. Sears is 1-5 with a 4.98 ERA in 12 home starts while allowing 16 homers in 65 innings. Sears is 1-2 with a 7.31 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 13 earned runs and 5 homers in 16 innings. Hyun-Jin Ryu has allowed 4 earned runs and 3 homers in 10 innings in his last two starts coming in for the Blue Jays. Ryu has allowed 9 earned runs and 2 homers in 9 innings in his last two starts against the A's as well. Ryu is 11-1 OVER in his last 12 starts after giving up 2 earned runs or fewer in two consecutive starts. Oakland is 20-8 OVER vs. AL East opponents this season. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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09-06-23 | Giants v. Cubs -136 | Top | 2-8 | Win | 100 | 5 h 59 m | Show |
20* MLB GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -136 The Chicago Cubs are coming up clutch trying to make the playoffs and chase down the Milwaukee Brewers in the NL Central. They are red hot at the plate right now scoring a total of 31 runs in their last three games. The Giants are falling apart with five consecutive losses. They have scored 3 runs or fewer in five of their last seven games, including one run or fewer four times. The Cubs will stay hot at the plate against lefty Alex Wood, who is 2-3 with a 5.40 ERA and 1.556 WHIP in 11 starts this season. Wood has really struggled of late, going 0-2 with a 9.82 ERA and 2.091 WHIP in his last three starts. The Cubs are hitting .268 and scoring 5.5 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season. Lefty Jordan Wicks has been impressive in two starts this season, going 2-0 with a 1.80 ERA and 1.100 WHIP while allowing just 2 earned runs in 10 innings with 12 K's. Those weren't easy tasks as they were both on the road against the Reds and Pirates. The Giants are hitting .235 and scoring 3.9 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season. San Francisco is 4-19 in its last 23 road games. Bet the Cubs Wednesday. |
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09-05-23 | Blue Jays v. A's OVER 8 | 7-1 | Push | 0 | 12 h 34 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Blue Jays/A's OVER 8 The OVER is 4-0 in Blue Jays last four games overall with 22, 15, 12 and 11 combined runs. The OVER is 4-1 in A's last five games overall with 9, 11, 16 and 11 combined runs in the four overs. The Blue Jays are capable of covering this total on their own off Ken Waldichuk, who is 1-4 with a 6.07 ERA and 1.639 WHIP in 19 starts this season while allowing a whopping 20 homers in 86 innings. Chris Bassitt has been vulnerable on the road for the Blue Jays with a 5.02 ERA and 1.474 WHIP in 14 road starts this season, allowing 42 earned runs and 18 homers in 75 1/3 innings. Bassitt allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 5-4 loss to the A's in his lone start against them in 2023. Oakland is 20-8 OVER vs. AL East opponents this season. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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09-05-23 | Orioles -1.5 v. Angels | 5-4 | Loss | -100 | 12 h 43 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (+102) The Baltimore Orioles continue coming up clutch trying to win the AL East. They are 9-3 in their last 12 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in 10 of those 12 games. The Angels have been a dumpster fire since the trade deadline. They are 8-23 in their last 31 games overall, including 1-7 in their last eight games and were just swept at Oakland over the weekend while getting outscored 21-9 in the process. Dean Kremer is 12-5 with a 4.20 ERA in 27 starts this season, 5-3 with a 3.77 ERA in 11 road starts, and 1-1 with a 2.00 ERA in his last three starts. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in seven consecutive starts and 12 of his last 14 starts overall. Kremer is 2-0 with a 2.53 ERA in two career starts against the Angels. Reid Detmers is 3-10 with a 5.01 ERA in 24 starts for the Angels this season. He has really struggled of late, going 1-5 with a 7.56 ERA in his last nine starts while allowing 35 earned runs and 10 homers in 41 2/3 innings. Baltimore is 14-1 in its last 15 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and outscoring opponents by 3.1 runs per game in this spot. The Orioles are 9-1 in Kremer's last 10 starts and winning by 3.4 runs per game. Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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09-05-23 | Giants v. Cubs -115 | Top | 8-11 | Win | 100 | 9 h 27 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Chicago Cubs -115 The Chicago Cubs are 9-4 in their last 13 games overall and have scored a total of 20 runs in their last two games. The San Francisco Giants are 1-5 in their last six games and have scored a total of 5 runs in the five losses. They have been held to one run in 27 innings in losing each of their last three games coming in. The Giants will stay cold at the plate against Kyle Hendricks, who is 1-1 with a 1.50 ERA and 1.056 WHIP in his last three starts. Hendricks ranks among the MLB leaders with 16 starts allowing 3 earned runs or fewer since May 25th. He nearly threw a no-hitter in his last start against the Giants on June 10th, firing 8 shutout innings while allowing only two base runners. Hendricks is now 6-2 with a 2.17 ERA and 0.924 WHIP in 12 career starts against the Giants. He and the Cubs should be much bigger favorites today considering how poorly the Giants have hit the ball of late. Opener Ryan Walker goes for the Giants before giving way to the bullpen and likely the awful Sean Manaea. The Cubs are 26-7 in Hendricks' last 33 home starts as a favorite of -150 or less. The Giants are 0-7 in their last seven road games after batting .200 or worse over a 5-game span. San Francisco is 4-18 in its last 22 road games. Bet the Cubs Tuesday. |
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09-04-23 | Orioles -1.5 v. Angels | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 13 h 42 m | Show | |
15* MLB Monday Night BLOWOUT on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-114) The Baltimore Orioles continue coming up clutch trying to win the AL East. They are 8-3 in their last 11 games overall while scoring at least 5 runs in nine of those 11 games. They are raking right now and will stay hot at the plate against Kenny Rosenberg, who will be making his first start of the season for the lowly Angels. The Angels have been a dumpster fire since the trade deadline. They are 8-22 in their last 30 games overall, including 1-6 in their last seven games and were just swept at Oakland over the weekend while getting outscored 21-9 in the process. Grayson Rodriquez is going through his best stretch of the season for the Orioles. He is 2-1 with a 2.32 ERA in his last seven starts, allowing 11 earned runs in 42 2/3 innings while allowing 3 earned runs or fewer in all seven starts. Baltimore is 13-1 in its last 14 games as a road favorite of -125 or more and outscoring opponents by 3.1 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Monday. |
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09-04-23 | Giants v. Cubs -132 | Top | 0-5 | Win | 100 | 6 h 40 m | Show |
20* NL GAME OF THE WEEK on Chicago Cubs -132 The San Francisco Giants have gone 1-4 in their last five games overall while scoring a total of 5 runs in the four losses. They just cannot hit. Meanwhile, the Chicago Cubs just hung 15 runs on the Reds yesterday and are feeling good about themselves at the plate. They will get to Logan Webb, who is 0-2 with a 5.71 ERA in his last three starts. Webb has posted a 4.15 ERA in two career starts against the Cubs. He is getting too much respect from oddsmakers with this money line today. Ace Justin Steele goes for the Cubs and will make life even more difficult on this weak San Francisco lineup. Steele is 15-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 25 starts this season. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 12 of his last 14 starts. Bet the Cubs Monday. |
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09-03-23 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 8.5 | Top | 6-1 | Loss | -110 | 9 h 36 m | Show |
20* Yankees/Astros ESPN No-Brainer on OVER 8.5 The Houston Astros are raking right now scoring a total of 59 runs in their last seven games for an average of 8.3 runs per game. The New York Yankees have gotten their bats going again scoring 4 runs or more in nine of their last 11 games overall. I think both teams get 4-plus runs in this one as we easily cash this OVER 8.5 ticket. Christan Javier has taken a big step back for the Astros this season with a 4.66 ERA in 25 starts. Javier has a 7.24 ERA and 2.121 WHIP in his last three starts, allowing 11 earned runs, 3 homers and 29 base runners in 13 2/3 innings. He allowed 3 earned runs, 2 homers and 7 base runners in 4 2/3 innings in his lone start against the Yankees in 2023. Micheal King is basically just an opener for the Yankees and has averaged 2.9 innings per start in his three starts this season. He has faced the Tigers, Nationals and Marlins, which are three of the worst lineups in the league. Now he takes a big step up in class here against Houston. Houston is 14-3 OVER when revenging a one-run loss this season. The OVER is 17-7-1 in Javier's 25 starts this season. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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09-03-23 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 9 | 1-3 | Loss | -110 | 6 h 37 m | Show | |
15* NL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Braves/Dodgers OVER 9 Two of the hottest offenses in baseball square off in this series between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 11 games and are scoring 5.6 runs per game on the season. The Braves have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last 10 games and are averaging 5.8 runs per game this season. This total is too low for these two offenses. Charlie Morton is pitching well of late but takes a big step up in class here. Morton is 1-4 with a 5.44 ERA in nine career starts against the Dodgers. He has allowed 10 earned runs and 4 homers in 10 1/3 innings in his last two starts against them. He'll be opposed by Bobby Miller, who has posted a 5.28 ERA in eight home starts this season. The Dodgers are 11-1 OVER in their last 12 games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Los Angeles is 12-1 OVER in its last 13 games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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09-03-23 | Twins v. Rangers -135 | Top | 5-6 | Win | 100 | 4 h 9 m | Show |
20* AL GAME OF THE MONTH on Texas Rangers -135 The Texas Rangers will be highly motivated for a victory today after suffering three consecutive losses, including each of the first two games of this series to the Twins. They will avoid the sweep today and salvage with a victory in Game 3 due to their advantage on the mound. Jon Gray is 8-7 with a 3.60 ERA and 1.199 WHIP in 24 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Kenta Maeda, who is 3-7 with a 4.69 ERA in 16 starts this season. Maeda has really been roughed up of late with an 8.31 ERA in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs and 4 homers in 13 innings to the Guardians, Brewers and Tigers. The Twins are 1-8 in Maeda's nine day game starts this season. Bet the Rangers Sunday. |
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09-03-23 | Red Sox v. Royals OVER 9.5 | 7-3 | Win | 100 | 4 h 37 m | Show | |
15* AL Sunday Total DOMINATOR on Red Sox/Royals OVER 9.5 It has been hot in Kansas City all weekend with the wind blowing out to center and that will be the case again Sunday. These teams combined for 15 runs in Game 1 and 14 runs in Game 2 and it should be more of the same in Game 3. Temps will be in the 90's with double-digit winds blowing out to center this afternoon. Chris Sale is 5-3 with a 4.75 ERA in 15 starts for the Red Sox this season, including 4-3 with a 5.44 ERA in eight road starts. Taylor Clarke is merely an opener for the Royals today as they will make this a bullpen game. The Royals have a 5.29 ERA as a bullpen this season and a 5.61 ERA at home. The OVER is 15-5 in Sale's last 20 starts with a total set of 8.5 to 10 runs. Boston is 15-3 OVER in its last 18 road games vs. a AL team with a .330 OBP or worse. Boston is 13-2 OVER in its last 15 road games vs. a AL team hitting .255 or worse. Bet the OVER in this game Sunday. |
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09-02-23 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 | Top | 4-2 | Loss | -115 | 10 h 11 m | Show |
20* Braves/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 9.5 Two of the hottest offenses in baseball square off in this series between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 10 games and are scoring 5.6 runs per game on the season. The Braves have scored at least 5 runs in eight of their last nine games and are averaging 5.9 runs per game this season. This total is too low for these two offenses. Plus, both of these starting pitchers are vulnerable. Bryce Elder is 5-3 with a 4.04 ERA and 1.290 WHIP in 12 road starts this season. Emmet Sheehan is 3-1 with a 5.77 ERA and 1.340 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 1-1 with a 7.90 ERA and 1.756 WHIP in his last three. The Dodgers are 11-0 OVER in their last 11 games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Los Angeles is 12-0 OVER in its last 12 games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-02-23 | Phillies v. Brewers OVER 9 | 5-7 | Win | 100 | 8 h 16 m | Show | |
15* Phillies/Brewers NL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9 The Milwaukee Brewers are absolutely raking at the plate right now. They have scored at least 5 runs in 10 of their last 12 games overall with the only two exceptions being when the wind was blowing in heavy at Wrigley Field two days in a row. The same can be said for the Phillies, who have scored at least 5 runs in 11 of their last 14 games overall. This is a very low total for how hot these offenses are up against these two starting pitchers today. Colin Rea is 5-5 with a 5.06 ERA in 19 starts this season while allowing 19 homers in 99 2/3 innings. Rea is 2-3 with a 5.58 ERA in 10 home starts, allowing 12 homers in 50 innings. He'll be opposed by Aaron Nola, who has been great at home but terrible on the road. Nola is 6-5 with a 5.26 ERA in 15 road starts this season, allowing 19 homers in 90 2/3 innings. The OVER is 13-2 in Rea's last 15 home starts as an underdog. The OVER is 13-3 in Nola's last 16 road starts with a total of 8.5 to 10 runs. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-02-23 | Twins v. Rangers -1.5 | 9-7 | Loss | -100 | 8 h 10 m | Show | |
15* MLB Saturday Night BLOWOUT on Texas Rangers -1.5 (+107) I like the Texas Rangers to bounce back in blowout fashion today due to their advantage on the mound. The Minnesota Twins have huge righty/lefty splits this season and are hitting just .222 and scoring 3.5 runs per game vs. left-handed starters. The Rangers are hitting .273 and scoring 6.1 runs per game vs. left-handed starters. Lefty Jordan Montgomery is 8-10 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.201 WHIP in 26 starts this season. Montgomery has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 15 of his last 16 starts. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in 12 of those, and one earned run or fewer in nine of them. Lefty Dallas Kechel goes for the Twins. He is washed up and no more than a fill-in starter. Keuchel is 1-1 with a 4.85 ERA and 1.462 WHIP in three starts this season. His lone road start was a complete disaster as he allowed 6 earned runs and 8 base runners in 1 2/3 innings of a 13-2 loss at Philadelphia. Bet the Rangers on the Run Line Saturday. |
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09-02-23 | Yankees v. Astros OVER 8.5 | 5-4 | Win | 102 | 8 h 5 m | Show | |
15* AL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Yankees/Astros OVER 8.5 The Houston Astros are raking right now scoring a total of 55 runs in their last six games for an average of 9.2 runs per game. The New York Yankees have gotten their bats going again scoring 4 runs or more in eight of their last 10 games overall. I think both teams get 4-plus runs in this one as we easily cash this OVER 8.5 ticket. Luis Severino has been one of the worst starters in baseball this season. He is 4-7 with a 6.35 ERA and 1.626 WHIP in 16 starts this season, including 1-5 with a 7.59 ERA and 1.875 WHIP in nine road starts. Severino is also 2-7 with a 4.66 ERA in 11 career starts against Houston, including 0-5 with a 5.26 ERA in his last five starts against them while allowing 15 earned runs and 6 homers in 25 2/3 innings. Hunter Brown is one of the most overrated starters in baseball for Houston. He is 9-9 with a 4.53 ERA and 1.336 WHIP in 24 starts this season. While Brown has been much better on the road, he has been awful at home, going 3-5 with a 5.47 ERA and 1.568 WHIP in 10 home starts this season. Brown is also 1-2 with an 8.56 ERA and 1.756 WHIP in his last three starts coming in. The Yankees are 12-3 OVER in road games following two or more consecutive unders this season. Severino is 34-19 OVER in his 53 career starts after allowing one earned run or fewer in his last start. Bet the OVER in this game Saturday. |
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09-01-23 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 8.5 | 6-3 | Win | 100 | 11 h 15 m | Show | |
15* Braves/Dodgers NL Late-Night BAILOUT on OVER 8.5 Two of the hottest offenses in baseball square off in this series between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in nine consecutive games and are scoring 5.7 runs per game on the season. The Braves have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last eight games and are averaging 5.8 runs per game this season. This total is too low for these two offenses. Julio Urias is having a down year for the Dodgers with a 4.41 ERA in 20 starts with 21 homers allowed in 112 1/3 innings. Max Fried has been solid for the Braves, but he has allowed 5 earned runs, 3 homers and 18 base runners in 11 2/3 innings to the lowly Giants in his last two starts. The Dodgers are 10-0 OVER in their last 10 games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Los Angeles is 11-0 OVER in its last 11 games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game. Bet the OVER in this game Friday. |
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09-01-23 | Yankees v. Astros -1.5 | 6-2 | Loss | -100 | 9 h 15 m | Show | |
15* MLB Friday Night BLOWOUT on Houston Astros -1.5 (+125) The Houston Astros are 5-0 in their last five games overall while scoring outscoring opponents 52-17 in the process. They are red hot at the plate and that will continue tonight against the lowly New York Yankees, who are 5-13 in their last 18 games overall and out of playoff contention. The Astros have the rest advantage after having yesterday off while the Yankees played extra innings in Detroit on Thursday. They also have the advantage on the mound behind Justin Verlander, who is 10-6 with a 3.06 ERA and 1.168 WHIP in 21 starts this season, including 6-3 with a 2.27 ERA and 0.995 WHIP in 11 home starts. Verlander has owned the Yankees over the past two seasons, going 3-1 with a 1.41 ERA in his last five starts against them while allowing just 5 earned runs in 32 innings. He'll be opposed by Carlos Rodon, who is 1-4 with a 5.97 ERA and 1.407 WHIP in eight starts this season, including 0-2 with a 7.71 ERA and 1.500 WHIP in three road starts. Rodon allowed 5 earned runs and 2 homers in 2 2/3 innings of a 9-7 loss to the Astros in his lone start against them in 2023. The Yankees are 1-7 in Rodon's eight starts this season and getting outscored by 2.3 runs per game. Houston is 13-2 vs. starting pitchers that average less than 5 innings per start this season and outscoring opponents by 2.6 runs per game. New York is 4-17 in its last 21 road games vs. teams outscoring opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Bet the Astros on the Run Line Friday. |
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09-01-23 | Red Sox -1.5 v. Royals | Top | 2-13 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 17 m | Show |
20* MLB Friday No-Doubt Rout on Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-115) It's now or never for the Boston Red Sox. They are 6.5 games out of the wild card and have a month to make it up. It starts with their series against the lowly Kansas City Royals tonight. The Royals are 1-10 in their last 11 games overall with seven losses by two runs or more. This is the perfect opponent for the Red Sox to get back on track after facing the Astros for seven games and the Dodgers for three games during a brutal stretch. The Red Sox have a big advantage on the mound tonight behind James Paxton, who is 7-4 with a 3.99 ERA and 1.257 WHIP in 18 starts this season. Paxton has never lost to the Royals, going 4-0 with a 1.51 ERA and 0.902 WHIP in eight career starts against them. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in all eight starts, including firing 19 1/3 shutout innings with 29 K's in his last three. The Red Sox will tee off on Jordan Lyles, who is one of the worst starters in baseball this season. Lyles is 3-15 with a 6.39 ERA in 25 starts while allowing a whopping 33 homers. That includes 0-2 with a 9.59 ERA in his last three starts, allowing 17 earned runs and 9 homers in 16 innings. Lyles is also 2-3 with a 6.66 ERA and 1.788 WHIP in 10 career starts against Boston. He has allowed 14 earned runs in 13 2/3 innings in his last three starts against the Red Sox. Bet the Red Sox on the Run Line Friday. |
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09-01-23 | Marlins v. Nationals UNDER 8.5 | 8-5 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 34 m | Show | |
15* NL TOTAL OF THE DAY on Marlins/Nationals UNDER 8.5 The Miami Marlins have scored 3 runs or fewer in nine of their last 11 games overall and the UNDER is 9-2 in those 11 games. The Washington Nationals have scored 3 runs or fewer in five of their last six games overall and the UNDER is 4-2 in those six games. This total is too high for these two struggling offenses tonight. Eury Perez is 5-4 with a 2.68 ERA and 1.041 WHIP in 15 starts this season and the new ace of this Miami staff. Perez is 1-0 with a 0.82 ERA and 0.727 WHIP in two starts against the Nationals this season, allowing one earned run and 8 base runners in 11 innings. Jake Irvin is quietly having a solid season with a 4.38 ERA in 20 starts. Irvin has been very sharp of late, posting a 1.45 ERA in his last three starts while allowing just 3 earned runs in 18 2/3 innings. He has posted a 1.64 ERA and 1.18 WHIP in two starts against the Marlins in 2023, allowing just 2 earned runs in 11 innings. The UNDER is 7-0 in Perez's seven road starts this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Friday. |
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08-31-23 | Braves v. Dodgers OVER 8 | Top | 8-7 | Win | 100 | 11 h 16 m | Show |
25* NL TOTAL OF THE YEAR on Braves/Dodgers OVER 8 Two of the hottest offenses in baseball square off in this series between the Atlanta Braves and Los Angeles Dodgers. The Dodgers have scored at least 5 runs in eight consecutive games and are scoring 5.7 runs per game on the season. The Braves have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last seven games and are averaging 5.8 runs per game this season. This total is too low due to both Spencer Strider and Lance Lynn being sharp of late. But both take a big step up in competition here, and I expect both to struggle. Lynn has a 5.56 ERA and 1.381 WHIP on the season and had a bad outing against the Red Sox last time out, allowing 3 runs, 2 homers and 11 base runners in 6 innings. Lynn allowed 4 earned runs, 2 homers and 9 base runners in 5 1/3 innings of a 6-5 win over Strider and the Braves in his lone start against them this season on July 15th. Strider allowed 4 runs, 2 earned, and 8 base runners in 6 innings in his lone start against the Dodgers this season. Lynn is 18-8 OVER in all games this season. Lynn is 9-1 OVER in its last 10 starts vs. good power teams averaging 1.25 or more homers per game. The Dodgers are 9-0 OVER in their last nine games vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Los Angeles is 10-0 OVER in its last 10 games vs. teams averaging 3.5 or more extra base hits per game. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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08-31-23 | Giants v. Padres OVER 8.5 | 7-2 | Win | 100 | 11 h 45 m | Show | |
15* MLB Thursday Total DOMINATOR on Giants/Padres OVER 8.5 Two gas cans go tonight for both the San Francisco Giants and San Diego Padres. That should lead to 9-plus combined runs as we easily cash this OVER 8.5 ticket. Sean Manaea is 1-2 with a 7.54 ERA and 1.809 WHIP in six starts for the Giants this season, allowing 19 earned runs, 5 homers and 41 base runners in 22 2/3 innings. Pedro Avila is 0-1 with a 6.48 ERA and 1.801 WHIP in two starts for the Padres, allowing 6 earned runs and 15 base runners in 8 1/3 innings. Manaea has allowed 9 earned runs and 17 base runners in 6 1/3 innings in his last two starts against San Diego. Bet the OVER in this game Thursday. |
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08-30-23 | Diamondbacks v. Dodgers OVER 9.5 | Top | 0-7 | Loss | -108 | 11 h 46 m | Show |
20* MLB TOTAL OF THE WEEK on Diamondbacks/Dodgers OVER 9.5 The OVER is 6-0 in Dodgers last six games overall with 10 or more combined runs in all six games. They have scored 5 runs or more in seven consecutive games and are capable of covering this total on their own. The Diamondbacks are 7-3 OVER in their last 10 games overall and have scored at least 4 runs in eight of those 10 games. Brandon Pfaadt is 1-6 with a 5.91 ERA and 1.358 WHIP in 13 starts this season while allowing a whopping 15 homers in 67 innings. He'll be opposed by Ryan Pepiot, who cannot be expected to go very deep in this game as the Dodgers are making it a bullpen game. Bet the OVER in this game Wednesday. |
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08-30-23 | Astros v. Red Sox +125 | 7-4 | Loss | -100 | 5 h 49 m | Show | |
15* Astros/Red Sox AL ANNIHILATOR on Boston +125 The Boston Red Sox will be highly motivated to avoid the sweep after losing the first two games of this series to the Houston Astros. I like the value we are getting on the Red Sox as home underdogs to avoid the sweep in Game 3 today. Kutter Crawford has been one of the more underrated starters in baseball this season. He is 6-5 with a 4.20 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in 17 starts, including 1-0 with a 2.87 ERA and 0.766 WHIP in his last three. Crawford allowed one earned run in 6 innings of a 2-1 victory over the Astros in his lone career start against them. Framber Valdez went deep into his last start with a no-hitter through 7 innings but was unable to finish it due to poor control with 5 walks. I could see him having a tired arm in this one and it really affecting him. He had allowed 9 earned runs in 12 2/3 innings in his previous two starts prior to that near no-hitter against the lowly Tigers. Boston is a very profitable 19-11 (+16.4 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. The Red Sox are 25-8 after playing four or more consecutive home games this season. Bet the Red Sox Wednesday. |
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08-30-23 | Brewers v. Cubs UNDER 7 | 2-3 | Win | 100 | 3 h 52 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Total DOMINATOR on Brewers/Cubs UNDER 7 There are expected to be 15-20 MPH winds blowing in from left today at Wrigley Field in Chicago. That will help aid us in cashing this UNDER 7 ticket. It worked yesterday in a 1-0 victory for the Cubs with 20 MPH winds blowing in from center. It will be more of the same today with runs hard to come by. Ace Brandon Woodruff goes for the Brewers today and is 3-1 with a 2.65 ERA and 0.883 WHIP in six starts this season. Kyle Hendricks goes for the Cubs and is 5-7 with a 3.97 ERA and 1.150 WHIP in 18 starts this season. Hendricks is 10-8 with a 3.51 ERA and 1.148 WHIP in 32 career starts against Milwaukee. He has allowed 2 earned runs or fewer in eight of his last 12 starts against the Brewers. Woodruff has allowed one earned run or fewer in eight of his last 10 starts against the Cubs. Milwaukee is 9-1 UNDER in road games vs. a NL starting pitcher with a 1.250 WHIP or better this season. The Brewers are 17-3 UNDER in road games vs. a starting pitcher with good control walking 1.75 or fewer batters per start this season. Bet the UNDER in this game Wednesday. |
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08-30-23 | Guardians +146 v. Twins | 5-2 | Win | 146 | 2 h 50 m | Show | |
15* MLB Wednesday Undervalued Underdog on Cleveland Guardians +146 The Cleveland Guardians are trying to chase down the Minnesota Twins in the AL Central. This is a huge game for them if they want any chance to catch them, and I love the value we are getting on the Guardians today. Tanner Bibee is one of the most underrated starters in baseball. He is 10-3 with a 3.01 ERA and 1.203 WHIP in 21 starts for the Guardians this season. Sonny Gray hasn't had much success against Cleveland of late, going 0-2 with a 6.58 ERA in his last three starts against them while allowing 10 earned runs and 23 base runners in 13 2/3 innings. Bet the Guardians Wednesday. |
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08-30-23 | Angels v. Phillies -160 | Top | 10-8 | Loss | -160 | 2 h 41 m | Show |
20* MLB BLOWOUT GAME OF THE WEEK on Philadelphia Phillies -160 The Philadelphia Phillies are on a tear at the plate right now during their 9-3 run over last 12 games. They have scored at least 6 runs in nine of those 12 games. They take on the hapless Los Angeles Angels, who are just going through the motions now after basically being eliminated from playoff contention. The Angels are 7-19 in their last 26 games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 13 of their last 20 games overall. They have also been held to 4 runs or fewer in 23 of their last 30 games overall and haven't topped 7 runs once during that stretch. They are without Mike Trout right now and injuries have really decimated them. The Phillies have a big advantage on the mound today behind Cristopher Sanchez, who is 2-3 with a 3.33 ERA and 1.010 WHIP in 13 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Reid Detmers, who is 3-10 with a 5.02 ERA and 1.383 WHIP in 23 starts, 1-6 with a 5.70 ERA and 1.429 WHIP in 10 road starts, and 1-2 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.637 WHIP in his last three starts. Philadelphia is 18-4 in home games vs. left-handed starters this season and outscoring opponents by 2.8 runs per game in this spot. The Angels are 3-15 vs. NL teams that score 4.5 or more runs per game this season and getting outscored by 2.4 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Phillies Wednesday. |
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08-29-23 | Reds +145 v. Giants | 1-6 | Loss | -100 | 13 h 25 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Undervalued Underdog on Cincinnati Reds +145 Alex Cobb and the San Francisco Giants have no business being this big of a favorite over Brandon Williamson and the Cincinnati Reds tonight. This line should be much closer to even money, thus we'll take the value with the Reds to bounce back in Game 2 of this series. Williamson is 4-3 with a 4.18 ERA and 1.252 WHIP in 18 starts this season. He has allowed 3 earned runs or fewer in 11 of his last 13 starts, including 2 runs or fewer in eight of his last 10 starts. Williamson held the Giants to 2 earned runs in 6 innings in his lone start against them in 2023. Cobb is 0-2 with a 7.20 ERA and 1.733 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 12 earned runs, 3 homers and 26 base runners in 15 innings. Cobb allowed 5 earned runs and 13 base runners in 4 1/3 innings of a 5-1 loss to the Reds in his lone start against them in 2023. San Francisco is a dreadful 25-29 (-16.8 Units) in its last 54 games as a home favorite of -125 to -175. Cincinnati is a very profitable 27-25 (+14 Units) as an underdog of +125 to +175 this season. Bet the Reds Tuesday. |
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08-29-23 | Brewers v. Cubs -126 | 0-1 | Win | 100 | 12 h 48 m | Show | |
15* Brewers/Cubs NL Central ANNIHILATOR on Chicago -126 This feels like a must-win game for the Chicago Cubs if they want any shot of winning the NL Central. They now trail the Brewers by 5 games for 1st place after dropping Game 1. I expect them to bounce back in Game 2 with ace Justin Steele on the mound. Steele is 14-3 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.188 WHIP in 24 starts this season for the Cubs. Steele is 1-2 with a 2.60 ERA and 1.192 WHIP in 10 career starts against Milwaukee. The Brewers are hitting .221 and scoring 3.3 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season with huge righty/lefty splits. Corbin Burnes allowed 5 earned runs in 5 2/3 innings to the White Sox and 6 earned runs and 3 homers in 6 innings to the Twins in two of his last three starts. Burnes allowed 4 earned runs in 5 innings of a 4-0 loss to the Cubs in his lone start against them in 2023. The Cubs are 8-1 in Steele's nine night starts this season and outscoring opponents by 4.6 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Cubs Tuesday. |
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08-29-23 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 10 | 6-2 | Loss | -113 | 11 h 42 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Total DOMINATOR on Astros/Red Sox OVER 10 Two teams that are hot at the plate square off tonight insider hitter-friendly Fenway Park. The OVER is 9-1 in Astros last 10 games overall and they have scored at least 5 runs in seven of their last nine games. That includes a ridiculous 39 runs in their last three games overall coming in. The OVER is 12-0 in Red Sox last 12 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 11 of those 12 games. Boston has scored at least 4 runs in 11 of those 12 games and at least 6 runs in seven of them. The hitters will have the advantage in this game having seen these starters in their last starts. JP France allowed 10 earned runs in 2 1/3 innings of a 17-1 loss to the Red Sox on August 24th. Brayan Bello was much sharper in that game but still allowed 12 base runners in 7 innings and was fortunate to give up only one run. He won't be so fortunate tonight as the Astros are blistering hot at the plate right now. The OVER is 5-0 in five meetings between the Astros and Red Sox this season with 10 or more combined runs in all five, and 12 or more combined runs in four of them. Bet the OVER in this game Tuesday. |
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08-29-23 | Rangers -121 v. Mets | Top | 2-1 | Win | 100 | 11 h 37 m | Show |
20* MLB Tuesday No-Doubt Rout on Texas Rangers -121 The Texas Rangers are in a 3-way battle with the Mariners and Astros for first place in the AL West that will be a thrilling race the rest of the way. They came up clutch last night with two runs in the 9th inning to beat the Mets 4-3. That win stopped the bleeding, and now they should come back with a ton of confidence tonight. I'll gladly back lefty Andrew Heaney, who is 9-6 with a 4.34 ERA in 25 starts this season. Heaney has posted a 2.45 ERA and 1.091 WHIP in two career starts against the Mets. New York has huge righty/lefty splits this season and is hitting just .221 and scoring 3.5 runs per game vs. left-handed starters. Conversely, the Rangers own southpaws hitting .275 and scoring 6.2 runs per game vs. left-handed starters. They should crush washed-up lefty Jose Quintana, who allowed 5 earned runs and 12 base runners in 5 1/3 innings in his last start. Quintana has allowed 9 earned runs, 3 homers and 22 base runners in 12 2/3 innings in his last three starts against Texas. The Mets are 11-37 as underdogs this season. Bet the Rangers Tuesday. |
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08-29-23 | White Sox v. Orioles -1.5 | Top | 3-9 | Win | 100 | 11 h 38 m | Show |
20* AL GAME OF THE WEEK on Baltimore Orioles -1.5 (-113) The Baltimore Orioles are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall and fighting to win the AL East. They have scored at least 5 runs in nine of their last 10 games overall and will hang another big number on the hapless Chicago White Sox tonight to cover this Run Line. The White Sox are simply going through the motions since selling at the deadline. The White Sox are 11-23 in their last 34 games overall with nine of those wins coming against non-playoff contenders. Now they face Dean Kremer, who is 2-1 with a 2.37 ERA and 1.053 WHIP in his last three starts. Kremer pitched 6 shutout innings in a 7-0 home win over the Blue Jays in his last start. Kremer fired 5 2/3 shutout innings in a 4-0 victory in his lone career starts against Chicago as well. I'll gladly fade Jesse Scholtens, who is 0-3 with a 5.30 ERA and 1.486 WHIP in seven starts this season, including 0-2 with a 7.80 ERA and 1.667 WHIP in his last three starts while allowing 13 earned runs in 15 innings. The White Sox are 1-6 in Sholtens' seven starts this season. The Orioles are 11-2 in Kremer's last 13 starts with nine wins by 2 runs or more. Baltimore is 26-6 as a favorite of -150 or more this season and outscoring opponents by 2.3 runs per game. The Orioles are 20-4 vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 or fewer walks per game this season and outscoring them by 2.3 runs per game. Bet the Orioles on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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08-29-23 | Angels v. Phillies -1.5 | 7-12 | Win | 122 | 10 h 9 m | Show | |
15* MLB Tuesday Night BLOWOUT on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+122) The Philadelphia Phillies are on a tear at the plate right now during their 8-3 run over last 11 games. They have scored at least 6 runs in eight of those 11 games. Now they take on the hapless Los Angeles Angels, who are just going through the motions now after basically being eliminated from playoff contention. The Angels are 7-18 in their last 25 games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 13 of their last 19 games overall. They have also been held to 4 runs or fewer in 23 of their last 29 games overall and haven't topped 7 runs once during that stretch. They are without Mike Trout right now and injuries have really decimated them. The Phillies have a big advantage on the mound today behind Michael Lorenzen, who is 7-8 with a 3.69 ERA and 1.124 WHIP in 22 starts this season. He'll be opposed by Tyler Andrson, who is 5-4 with a 5.47 ERA and 1.546 WHIP in 21 starts this season. Anderson has really been roughed up in his last two starts, allowing 12 earned runs in 8 2/3 innings. He allowed 7 earned runs in 6 innings of a 9-7 loss to the Phillies in his last start against them. Philadelphia is 17-4 in home games vs. left-handed starters this season and outscoring opponents by 2.8 runs per game in this spot. The Angels are 3-14 vs. NL teams that score 4.5 or more runs per game this season and getting outscored by 2.3 runs per game in this spot. Bet the Phillies on the Run Line Tuesday. |
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08-28-23 | A's v. Mariners -1.5 | Top | 0-7 | Win | 100 | 12 h 12 m | Show |
20* MLB Monday Late-Night BAILOUT on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-125) The Seattle Mariners are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They are 11-1 in their last 12 games overall with eight wins by 2 runs or more. They have scored 6 runs or more in nine of their last 13 games overall as well. Now they take on the Oakland A's, who are 38-93 this season. Bryan Woo has posted a 3.60 ERA and 1.267 WHIP in his last three starts and gets to face the A's for the first time this season, which works to his advantage. He'll be opposed by Kyle Muller, who is 1-4 with a 7.79 ERA and 1.962 WHIP in 11 starts this season, including 1-3 with a 10.42 ERA and 2.143 WHIP in five road starts. Muller allowed 6 earned runs, 2 homers and 10 base runners in 5 innings of an 11-2 loss to the Mariners in his lone career start against them. The Mariners are 7-0 against the A's in 2023. They improve to 8-0 Monday with a win by 2 runs or more. Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Monday. |
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08-28-23 | Brewers v. Cubs -118 | Top | 6-2 | Loss | -118 | 11 h 44 m | Show |
20* Brewers/Cubs NL Central No-Brainer on Chicago -118 The Chicago Cubs trail the Milwaukee Brewers by 4 games in the NL Central. This is a huge series for them to gain some ground, and I expect them to take Game 1 tonight. Lefty Wade Miley goes for the Brewers tonight. The Cubs are hitting .273 and scoring 5.6 runs per game vs. left-handed starters this season. Miley allowed 4 earned runs and 11 base runners in 5 innings of a 7-6 loss to the Cubs in his lone start against them this season. Jameson Taillon has had a lot of success against the Brewers in his career. He has posted a 3.75 ERA and 1.267 WHIP in 12 career starts against them. The Brewers are hitting .230 and scoring just 4.1 runs per game on the road this season. The Cubs are 25-6 in their last 31 home games after scoring 9 runs or more in consecutive games. Taillon's teams are 25-7 in his 32 career starts vs. teams that average 2.75 or fewer extra base hits per game in the second half of the season. Bet the Cubs Monday. |
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08-28-23 | Astros v. Red Sox OVER 9.5 | 13-5 | Win | 100 | 10 h 45 m | Show | |
15* Astros/Red Sox AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 9.5 Two teams that are hot at the plate square off tonight insider hitter-friendly Fenway Park. The OVER is 8-1 in Astros last nine games overall and they have scored at least 5 runs in six of their last eight games. That includes 26 runs in their last two games coming in. The OVER is 11-0 in Red Sox last 11 games overall with 10 or more combined runs in 10 of those 11 games. Boston has scored at least 4 runs in 10 of those 11 games and at least 6 runs in seven of them. Christian Javier has posted a 4.52 ERA in 24 starts this season and a 5.33 ERA in 14 road starts while allowing 15 homers in 74 1/3 innings away from home. Chris Sale has posteda. 4.68 ERA in 14 starts this season and a 5.14 ERA in his last three. Neither starter can be trusted to make it out of the 5th inning in this one. Houston is 15-1 OVER in Monday games this season. The OVER is 16-7-1 in Javier's 24 starts this season, while the OVER is 8-4-2 in Sale's 14 starts. The OVER is 9-1 in Sale's last 10 starts vs. good teams that outscore their opponents by 0.5 or more runs per game. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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08-28-23 | Yankees v. Tigers OVER 8.5 | 4-1 | Loss | -115 | 9 h 19 m | Show | |
15* Yankees/Tigers AL ANNIHILATOR on OVER 8.5 Two gas cans take the mound tonight in Game 1 of this series between the New York Yankees and Detroit Tigers. This total is too low for a game involving two of the worst starters in baseball. I also expect the Tigers to tee off on Luis Severino, who has amazingly kept his spot in the rotation despite being one of the worst starters in baseball. Severino is 3-7 with a 6.97 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in 15 starts this season, including 0-5 with a 9.08 ERA and 2.103 WHIP in eight road starts. The Tigers have scored at least 4 runs in nine of their last 11 games overall. The Yankees have scored at least 4 runs in four of their last five games with the OVER going 4-1. They should do a fair bit of damage on Reese Olson, who is 2-5 with a 6.11 ERA and 1.393 WHIP in 12 starts for the Tigers this season. The OVER is 5-1 in Tigers last six games overall with 10 or more combined runs in five of those six games, all of which have come at home. Detroit is 21-8 OVER in home games at night this season. Detroit is 13-3 OVER in home games vs. a team witha. losing record this season. The Tigers are 12-2 OVER in their last 12 home games vs. a starting pitcher that allows one or more homers per start. Bet the OVER in this game Monday. |
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08-28-23 | Angels v. Phillies -141 | Top | 4-6 | Win | 100 | 9 h 11 m | Show |
20* Interleague GAME OF THE MONTH on Philadelphia Phillies -141 The Philadelphia Phillies are on a tear at the plate right now during their 7-3 run over last 10 games. They have scored at least 6 runs in seven of those 10 games. Now they take on the hapless Los Angeles Angels, who are just going through the motions now after basically being eliminated from playoff contention. The Angels are 7-17 in their last 24 games overall and have been held to 3 runs or fewer in 13 of their last 18 games overall. They have also been held to 4 runs or fewer in 22 of their last 28 games overall and haven't topped 7 runs once during that stretch. They are without Mike Trout right now and injuries have really decimated them. I'll gladly fade Lucas Giolito, who has been a disaster since getting traded to the Angels. Giolito is 1-5 with a 7.06 ERA in his last seven starts while allowing 28 earned runs and 10 homers in 35 2/3 innings. He is also 3-7 with a 6.14 ERA and 1.623 WHIP in 14 road starts this season. Taijuan Walker has been at his best at home for the Phillies this season, going 6-2 with a 3.26 ERA and 1.186 WHIP in 13 home starts. Walker's teams are 12-1 in his last 13 home starts as a favorite of -125 to -175. Walker's teams are 17-3 in his last 20 home starts with a total of 9 to 9.5 runs. Giolito's teams are 4-18 in his last 22 starts as an underdog. Bet the Phillies Monday. |
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08-27-23 | Royals v. Mariners -1.5 | 2-3 | Loss | -135 | 6 h 4 m | Show | |
15* MLB Sunday Afternoon BLOWOUT on Seattle Mariners -1.5 (-135) The Seattle Mariners are one of the hottest teams in baseball. They are 10-1 in their last 11 games overall with eight wins by 2 runs or more. They have scored 6 runs or more in nine of their last 12 games overall as well. They'll be opposed by the Kansas City Royals, who are 2-9 in their last 11 games overall with six losses by 2 runs or more. The Mariners are coming off a 15-2 win over the Royals yesterday. It should be more of the same today with their big advantage on the mound. Luis Castillo is 10-7 with a 3.20 ERA and 1.042 WHIP in 26 starts this season, including 6-3 with a 2.81 ERA and 0.948 WHIP in 14 home starts. Alec Marsh is still in search of his first victory for the Royals this season. He is 0-5 with a 7.00 ERA and 1.704 WHIP in six starts this season, allowing 21 earned runs and 10 homers in 27 innings. The Royals are 0-6 in Marsh's six starts with five losses by 3 runs or more. Bet the Mariners on the Run Line Sunday. |
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